BJPENNs thread

**bjpenn85** · 08-06-12, 02:16 PM

UFC 150 - Benson vs the answer

22 units on Benson @ 1.73 to win - 16 units
8 units on Okami,cerrone @ 1.64 to win - 5,12 units

**gabe** · 08-06-12, 03:18 PM

Shoulda just had 30 units on Benson/Okami/Cerrone

**bjpenn85** · 08-06-12, 03:52 PM

After a cold streak of losing parlays i kind of gave up a parlays for a while ago. Lately i have started to win again, but im not fan of tossing big money on 3 man parlays in mma as there always seems to be an upset. When that being said, that has already happened to okami, and is not likely to happen againt with this can. Cerrone never gets koed, but, if he ends up koed, guillard certainly is capable. I def, think i could have spent 30 units here, but i just wanted to take the safe road. Last two weekends ive benefitted huge by playing conservative. so no 3 or 4 parlays for me this event. Obviously all of those three wins now, antijinx.

**DirtyX** · 08-06-12, 04:15 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

After a cold streak of losing parlays i kind of gave up a parlays for a while ago. Lately i have started to win again, but im not fan of tossing big money on 3 man parlays in mma as there always seems to be an upset. When that being said, that has already happened to okami, and is not likely to happen againt with this can. Cerrone never gets koed, but, if he ends up koed, guillard certainly is capable. I def, think i could have spent 30 units here, but i just wanted to take the safe road. Last two weekends ive benefitted huge by playing conservative. so no 3 or 4 parlays for me this event. Obviously all of those three wins now, antijinx.

I think this is a really smart move for you to make. Parlays can pay out huge, but as you said, one of the locks always seems to get upset. Bendo straight up is the smart play imo. Honestly imo, in the long run, making straight bets on fights that you love, is the best way to win when betting MMA.

**gabe** · 08-06-12, 04:25 PM

Most of my MMA profits come from hitting 4-8 team parlays.

Gonna have some nice parlays for this card.

**bjpenn85** · 08-06-12, 05:07 PM

but you play small, and have a nose for those big parlays. maybe you see something i do not and i see something you dont. those big parlays are your bread and butter, its your style. we all win, or most of us do. but its not that simple to copy your strategy, vaughanys or jesus and make a perfect symbiose of all the perfect strategies and then win 10 times what i usually do. i tried to tail jesus a couple of events ago and lost. etc even though he usually wins.

**PunisherIND** · 08-06-12, 06:09 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

but you play small, and have a nose for those big parlays. maybe you see something i do not and i see something you dont. those big parlays are your bread and butter, its your style. we all win, or most of us do. but its not that simple to copy your strategy, vaughanys or jesus and make a perfect symbiose of all the perfect strategies and then win 10 times what i usually do. i tried to tail jesus a couple of events ago and lost. etc even though he usually wins.

wise words.

**PunisherIND** · 08-06-12, 06:10 PM

Originally posted by gabe

Most of my MMA profits come from hitting 4-8 team parlays.

Gonna have some nice parlays for this card.

gabe out of curiousity, do you keep a record of your wagers?

**bjpenn85** · 08-08-12, 01:07 PM

Adding:

6 units on Bolt to win 200m, N.Lentz, Dennis B. @ 2.0 to win - 6 units

**bjpenn85** · 08-08-12, 01:20 PM

ey. douche, get the hell out of my site.

**bjpenn85** · 08-09-12, 02:37 AM

adding:

3 units on Frankie Edgar split/maj dec @ 11.8 to win - 32,5 units

If this fight become a little bit to close for my taste, a split dec is very very likely. Thank you 5Dimes.

**bjpenn85** · 08-09-12, 06:13 AM

OL 2012

3 units on Usain Bolt to break 200m world record @ 3.50 to win - 7, 5 units

**Hannibal** · 08-09-12, 02:34 PM

Pinnacle had +295 for a world record in 200m, regardless who broke the record.

**bjpenn85** · 08-09-12, 02:52 PM

ouch.

**gabe** · 08-09-12, 03:40 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

gabe out of curiousity, do you keep a record of your wagers?

no, too many parlays n shit to keep track of

**Grabaka** · 08-09-12, 06:29 PM

This is what i use....a simple excel bla bla bla. Do you guys use something fancier?

**NunyaBidness** · 08-09-12, 06:45 PM

I have spots for calculating betsize automatically, confidence, predicted openers, and lots of notes.

**PunisherIND** · 08-09-12, 06:48 PM

Originally posted by Grabaka

[ATTACH]45664[/ATTACH]

This is what i use....a simple excel bla bla bla. Do you guys use something fancier?

i use something similar. not fancier, but i have separate sheets for SU, props, and parlays.

lol @ jordan burrows

**PunisherIND** · 08-09-12, 06:51 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

I have spots for calculating betsize automatically, confidence, predicted openers, and lots of notes.

calculating betsize automatically... is this a granchow formula or did you come up with something yourself??

**NunyaBidness** · 08-09-12, 06:55 PM

Good artists borrow, great artists steal.

**PunisherIND** · 08-09-12, 07:26 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

Good artists borrow, great artists steal.

lol hook a bruva up! i've been trying to find that without success. thought it didnt exist but apparently i need to tighten up my search game.

**Beelzebubzy** · 08-09-12, 07:32 PM

Formula for Net Loss if you design it right
=IF(ISBLANK(M62),"",IF(M62="PUSH","$0.00 ",IF(M62="WIN",0,-L62)))
I'll trade though

**Beelzebubzy** · 08-09-12, 07:34 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

i use something similar. not fancier, but i have separate sheets for SU, props, and parlays.

lol @ jordan burrows

hook me up wit da parlay preview whitey

**PunisherIND** · 08-09-12, 07:41 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

hook me up wit da parlay preview whitey

que?

**Beelzebubzy** · 08-09-12, 07:46 PM

Can you copy and paste how your spreadsheet looks with parlays. Mine sucks

**PunisherIND** · 08-09-12, 08:01 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Can you copy and paste how your spreadsheet looks with parlays. Mine sucks

sure, but mine isnt that great either. i would like to track the odds for each leg of the parlay, but with the amount of parlays that i make i think it would be too much work.

here is screenshot from my best event this year.

ps why you call me whitey? lol

**Beelzebubzy** · 08-09-12, 08:11 PM

Ahah you white then you ben affleck
Just saw role models so I started calling people whitey today.

Hmm yours looks similar to mine. I hope you have some basic formulas that calculate your non parlays. Let me know if not, Ill sober up and write them

**Grabaka** · 08-09-12, 08:44 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

i use something similar. not fancier, but i have separate sheets for SU, props, and parlays.

lol @ jordan burrows

Thank you guys. LOL i have way more on the burrows. #alliseeisdoughs....good catch
I think its a really good idea to separate parlays, props and SU. A clearer way to see an event. Thank you whitey.

**NunyaBidness** · 08-09-12, 08:47 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

lol hook a bruva up! i've been trying to find that without success. thought it didnt exist but apparently i need to tighten up my search game.

Just a moment...

http://www.majorwager.com/forums/mess-hall/166009-complete-squares-guide-sports-wagering-kelly-criterion-jay-graziani.html

**NunyaBidness** · 08-09-12, 08:50 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Just saw role models so I started calling people whitey today.

Dude, if you like that, you're going to love (insert name of movie from 2009 here).

**PunisherIND** · 08-09-12, 08:52 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

http://www.majorwager.com/forums/mes...-graziani.html

thanks my dude. i am eternally grateful, which shall be quantified with 2 sbr points.

**PunisherIND** · 08-09-12, 08:54 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

thanks my dude. i am eternally grateful, which shall be quantified with 2 sbr points.

fock! can i get my 2 point back??? i have to register in order to dload the file, and registration is closed. lol.

**NunyaBidness** · 08-09-12, 08:54 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

thanks my dude. i am eternally grateful, which shall be quantified with 2 sbr points.

Well, I guess that's better than a cheap-ass nomination.

**NunyaBidness** · 08-09-12, 08:56 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

fock! can i get my 2 point back??? i have to register in order to dload the file, and registration is closed. lol.

Don't download the file. Everything you need to know is in the text, play around with excel for 10 minutes and you'll have it sorted to fit your exact application, and you'll be on your way to 1%ville.

**Grabaka** · 08-09-12, 08:56 PM

lol