BJPENNs thread

**Vitooch** · 07-06-12, 03:26 AM

Originally posted by GunShard

True. As long as gamblers watch both full fight videos as well as the highlight videos, then you can see how a fighter truly performs.

I'll stick to full fight videos.

**GunShard** · 07-06-12, 04:30 AM

Originally posted by Vitooch

I'll stick to full fight videos.

Of course, lol.

**bjpenn85** · 07-06-12, 04:35 AM

adding:

6 units on chael inside dist @ 11 to win - 60 units

**bjpenn85** · 07-06-12, 04:36 AM

Heading to London and wireless festival, good luck everybody!!!

**Vaughany** · 07-06-12, 05:20 AM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

Heading to London and wireless festival, good luck everybody!!!

Nice one, enjoy...I was going to go but got VIP tickets for F1 at Silverstone so going to tht even tho F1 bores me!

**bjpenn85** · 07-07-12, 12:23 PM

haha. maybe better live? Saw deadmou5 yesterday, woaw, that really stinked. However, Santigold rocks. Her twin dancers just dominated the scene from start to end. Best stage performance on a festival that i have seen.. Funny and creative, just became a fan basically.

**bjpenn85** · 07-08-12, 05:55 AM

ufc 148

results: -13 units

**bjpenn85** · 07-09-12, 03:30 PM

UFC ON FUEL TV4 :Munoz vs Weidman

34 units on Weidman @ 1.75 to win - 25,5 units
6 units on Munoz inside dist @ 5.23 to win - 25.3 units

**TheCalculator** · 07-09-12, 08:36 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

UFC ON FUEL TV4 :Munoz vs Weidman

34 units on Weidman @ 1.75 to win - 25,5 units
6 units on Munoz inside dist @ 5.23 to win - 25.3 units

Perfect hedge. Love it.

**Vitooch** · 07-10-12, 12:43 AM

I think this is a very risky hedge. Munoz can take this by decision.

**bjpenn85** · 07-10-12, 02:36 AM

it is risky. but im willing to liveplay out if the fight, which again poses new ways to lose even more money obviously. But i usually win when liveplaying so am just willing to take those kind of risks. But people shouldnt follow me on this one, if they dont have cash to liveplay. If munoz wins its maybe more likely to be by decision, but if did bet munoz by decision instead of inside distance, i would never be able to capitalize and liveplay when it happens. Inside distance gives me 4 and half round to decide what to do.

**bjpenn85** · 07-11-12, 07:27 PM

Live at bookmaker
adding :

2.5 unit on dos anjos dec @ 3.0 to win 5 units

**bjpenn85** · 07-11-12, 09:54 PM

UFC ON FUEL TV4 :Munoz vs Weidman

Result : +24.5 units

**bjpenn85** · 07-11-12, 09:58 PM

Total result on this thread:

=+39.32 units

**Vaughany** · 07-12-12, 04:30 AM

Great job bro

**bjpenn85** · 07-12-12, 06:57 AM

Thanks bud!

**AdamB** · 07-12-12, 07:43 AM

Really nice. Great call on dos Anjos decision - he's such a brutal fighter that I had him catching a sub or KO, or Njokuani taking a decision. Have yet to watch the fight but I really didn't expect a decision.

**bjpenn85** · 07-12-12, 08:14 AM

it was njokuanis takedown defence in the first round that made me think it would go the three rounds. For some reason google chrome ****** up and i had to chance browser, the odds went from 4.0 to 3.0 during those 20 sec, if that hadnt happen i would have gotten him @ 4.0 which is pretty crazy if you saw the "nature" of the fight in the first round.

**AdamB** · 07-12-12, 01:13 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

it was njokuanis takedown defence in the first round that made me think it would go the three rounds. For some reason google chrome ****** up and i had to chance browser, the odds went from 4.0 to 3.0 during those 20 sec, if that hadnt happen i would have gotten him @ 4.0 which is pretty crazy if you saw the "nature" of the fight in the first round.

Watching the fight now and yeah that makes sense. His ability to get back up impressed me, then again what really impresses me is RDA - he's incredibly well rounded now.

**bjpenn85** · 07-12-12, 04:56 PM

Strikeforce- Rockhold vs Kennedy july 14th.

9,5 units on Roger Gracie @ 1.59 to win - 5.6 units
6 units on Rockhold/Kennedy to go the distance @ 2.80 to win - 10.8 units

**bjpenn85** · 07-14-12, 03:05 PM

buying out of the Roger gracie play.

**bjpenn85** · 07-14-12, 04:09 PM

adding:

5 units on T.Stinson @ 3.0 to win - 10 units

**bjpenn85** · 07-16-12, 08:30 AM

Strikeforce- Rockhold vs Kennedy july 14th.

Results: +5,8 units

**bjpenn85** · 07-16-12, 08:33 AM

UFC 149

12 units on S.Jordan @ 1.95 to win - 11.4 units
5 units on U. Faber @ 2.66 to win - 8,3 units

**bjpenn85** · 07-16-12, 10:45 AM

adding :

7 units on Shawn Jordan @ 2.0 to win - 7 units

**bjpenn85** · 07-18-12, 02:05 PM

adding:

12 units on A.Kuivanen @ 1.87 to win - 10,9 units

**gabe** · 07-18-12, 07:34 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

adding:

12 units on A.Kuivanen @ 1.87 to win - 10,9 units

why??

**Vaughany** · 07-19-12, 03:24 AM

Originally posted by gabe

why??

U wer on Kuivanen in his last fight werent u? Why would you suddenly not like him against Clarke?

**bjpenn85** · 07-19-12, 04:27 AM

Kuivanen seems to be the better fighter at least standing. He got good takedown defence, although he was taken down three times in his fight against salas. It should be noted that salas power double was very well executed, and for the most of the fight anton was able to stop most of the shots. On the ground Kuivanen is absolutely no fish out the water either so if clarke can take him down, he can reverse positsions as he did against salas, or scramble back up. Im not 100% sold on kuivanen so therefor im not willing to risk more than 12 units, but i def think he has better striking than clarke. Clarke was dominated by cholish standing and on the ground, but no shame in that really as cholish is very good. But i do think that the way he lost shows some weaknesses i think kuivanen can exploit, especially in the standing department, where i think the fight will end up. Anyway, i wouldnt necessarily tail me in this matchup, because this is the type of fights i usually lose money. Im horrible at predicting outcomes of fighters that have had only one fight in the ufc, at least the last 2 months, but i cant just not bet kuivanen at that price. I strongly feel and see kuivanen as the better fighter. I may be off, so please challenge me.

**gabe** · 07-19-12, 05:15 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

U wer on Kuivanen in his last fight werent u? Why would you suddenly not like him against Clarke?

'cos he was disappointing, against a dude who got jobbed by tim means.

**gabe** · 07-19-12, 05:17 AM

I'm personally not touching that fight...

**bjpenn85** · 07-19-12, 05:37 AM

why?

**Vaughany** · 07-19-12, 06:30 AM

I cant imagine Mitch Clarke having the same takedown ability as Justin Salas

**bjpenn85** · 07-20-12, 07:23 AM

Making a couple of adjustments after weighing pros and cons. These are the final bets:
UFC 149

14 units on Kuivanen @ 1.87 to win - 12.1 units
7 units on shawn jordan @ 2.0 to win - 7 units
7,5 units on B.Ebersole, Machida @ 1.75 to win - 5,6 units
5 units on Faber @ 2.66 to win - 8.3 units
4.2 units on Caraway, Jimmo @ 2.40 to win - 6 units
2.5 units on B.Ebersole, Delorme @ 2.75 to win 4,3 units
Also have two parlays with lombard as last leg, these will not be added if successfully completed as they were not posted:

12 units on Rockhold, lombard 1.78 - 9,3 units
6 units on High, lombard @ 2.0 to win - 6 units

**bjpenn85** · 07-22-12, 08:30 AM

UFC 149

Results: -2 units