Christ like MMA betting

**Vaughany** · 07-16-12, 06:45 AM

Originally posted by GunShard

I'm going to put both Barao and Faber's highlight video in my argument. Just like my previous Dos Santos vs Velasquez prediction thread.

Vaughany, I'll keep doing threads like that until I lose. Let's see how many predictions I can get correctly in a row. If I lose once, then I'm not allowed to make threads like that anymore.

haha fair play brother, I like your thinking

**NunyaBidness** · 07-16-12, 11:49 PM

Originally posted by gabe

I can't recall seeing Barao fight from his guard, I wonder how active he is re: submission attempts and strikes.

Thanks for clearing up what active from his guard meant. I was afraid you were talking about poops and sharts.

**NunyaBidness** · 07-16-12, 11:50 PM

Originally posted by GunShard

I'm going to put both Barao and Faber's highlight video in my argument.

Good call. That'll make it easier to watch them at the same time.

**DublinMeUp** · 07-17-12, 04:23 AM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

Good call. That'll make it easier to watch them at the same time.

haha

**GunShard** · 07-17-12, 04:28 AM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

Good call. That'll make it easier to watch them at the same time.

lol, I did that with Dos Santos and Velasquez to see who was faster in the octagon at the same time. It gave the illusion of both fighters, fighting in the octagon.
What I did was unorthodox. It worked, I won money off of Dos Santos win.

**illmatick** · 07-17-12, 01:39 PM

Originally posted by GunShard

What I did was unorthodox. .

haha.

**illmatick** · 07-17-12, 01:42 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Highly doubt you'll find it anywhere but the Barao vs Leone fight from his WEC debut shows how good Barao's grapplin game is. Leone was doin very well in tht fight (and arguably winning). He took Barao down in first half and was doing ok in the striking. Then in the third he took Barao down again and Barao absolutely tooled him on the ground. I think he went for a heelhook and used tht to reverse position and end up on top then latched on to an armbar and Leone tapped out. Obviously Faber is a complete different level to Leone but shows tht Barao isnt a "duck out of water" when/if it comes to him being on his back.

damn, i need to track this fight down. From the play by play it sounds like Barao was outstruck in the second round.

Did they they show this fight on the broadcast...how did you watch it?

**Vaughany** · 07-17-12, 01:49 PM

Originally posted by illmatick

damn, i need to track this fight down. From the play by play it sounds like Barao was outstruck in the second round.

Did they they show this fight on the broadcast...how did you watch it?

Not on the broadcast...think I saw it on WEC website ages ago before Barao's fight with Cariaso

**Beelzebubzy** · 07-17-12, 01:57 PM

Agree with barao off his back however Fabers top game is not comparable to leone

**gabe** · 07-17-12, 05:39 PM

main card plays?

**Khiaao** · 07-18-12, 07:01 PM

JC... Who you got for <small>UFC 149 ?</small>

**Mercersux** · 07-18-12, 08:56 PM

Originally posted by Khiaao

JC... Who you got for <small>UFC 149 ?</small>

I'm eager to see what everyone is going with as well. Especially JC. This card really seems to be kind of a hard one to cap. Alot of crap fighters on this card to so no one really is jumping out @ me. JC you going to be capping the Bellator card on friday?

**Jesus Christ** · 07-18-12, 11:08 PM

I can say this...this weekend is a tough tough bunch to find an angle on.

Friday I'm only playing one thing and that is Attila Vegh but I haven't decided on how much.

Saturday all I know I'm playing is Faber but again not sure how much.

**Jesus Christ** · 07-18-12, 11:10 PM

Leans Perosh, Clements, Delorme, Jordan...but I'm on vacation right now and haven't done the proper research yet.

**DirtyX** · 07-18-12, 11:53 PM

Originally posted by Bradbatross

The lines gonna close with Faber around even. Cole Escovedo rocked Barao. Faber is the better striker and wrestler. Wherever the fight goes Faber has the advantage.

This is just rubbish... More like Faber closing around +160/+180 range..

**gabe** · 07-19-12, 12:14 AM

Originally posted by Jesus Christ

Leans Perosh, Clements, Delorme, Jordan...but I'm on vacation right now and haven't done the proper research yet.

Perosh?? tell me you're joking

**Vaughany** · 07-19-12, 02:12 AM

Originally posted by Jesus Christ

I can say this...this weekend is a tough tough bunch to find an angle on.

Friday I'm only playing one thing and that is Attila Vegh but I haven't decided on how much.

Saturday all I know I'm playing is Faber but again not sure how much.

Vegh is an interesting one. Gonna do some more research on him today or tomorrwo

**Vaughany** · 07-19-12, 03:19 AM

Originally posted by DirtyX

This is just rubbish... More like Faber closing around +160/+180 range..

ha yeah, if he thinks Faber will close at Evens he should be putting a lot on him at current line!

**getlucky2win** · 07-19-12, 03:32 AM

dont the public usually bet faber? i think public will bet faber and push line down a lil but not all the way to evens

**Khiaao** · 07-19-12, 04:02 AM

Thanks, enjoy your vacation

**Jesus Christ** · 07-19-12, 11:55 AM

Originally posted by getlucky2win

dont the public usually bet faber? i think public will bet faber and push line down a lil but not all the way to evens

From what I heard the public pounded Barao in this fight

**getlucky2win** · 07-19-12, 12:10 PM

the line has def moved since opener but i think it will move back a lil. faber is a fan fav so i was thinkin he will get some action the day of the fight

**Beelzebubzy** · 07-19-12, 12:13 PM

Originally posted by getlucky2win

the line has def moved since opener but i think it will move back a lil. faber is a fan fav so i was thinkin he will get some action the day of the fight

But wouldn't people that see barao value at -200 jump on him at -160 moving the line back?

**Vaughany** · 07-19-12, 12:16 PM

Originally posted by getlucky2win

the line has def moved since opener but i think it will move back a lil. faber is a fan fav so i was thinkin he will get some action the day of the fight

hmmm doubt he'll get much action.... he went from opening +170 against Aldo to +285 at fight time.

**Vaughany** · 07-19-12, 12:18 PM

Moreover, Faber is much more of a "fan favourite" and more well known than Dominick Cruz yet went from -120 opener to +170 by fight time in their last fight

**getlucky2win** · 07-19-12, 12:32 PM

yall prob right. i was just thinkin barao doesnt have as big of a name as aldo cruz and faber. i also just dont c how any1 could lay -250 on barao in his first ufc title fight against a proven vet. i think baroa will win and faber is over rated but i think the line should be closer to 3-2

**Beelzebubzy** · 07-19-12, 01:13 PM

Originally posted by getlucky2win

yall prob right. i was just thinkin barao doesnt have as big of a name as aldo cruz and faber. i also just dont c how any1 could lay -250 on barao in his first ufc title fight against a proven vet. i think baroa will win and faber is over rated but i think the line should be closer to 3-2

Then do you see value in the Faber line?

**getlucky2win** · 07-19-12, 01:23 PM

i woulda liked to get barao when it opened @ -120. now i have it as a no play. if faber gets over +200 i c value. i think barao takes a dec. most likely

**gabe** · 07-19-12, 01:28 PM

Heysoos, you don't like Amassou?

**DirtyX** · 07-20-12, 11:44 AM

I jumped on Barao at -170. This kid has all the tools necessary to win this fight imo. His ground game and grappling are top level. Barao is the superior striker, although he seems to get reckless at times, and that worries me. However, Faber isn't known for KOing guys standing, and I don't just don't see him subbing Barao. Pegado wins just like Cruz and Aldo and Brown did. GL this weekend everyone.

Ticket#:71366016
Jul 21 11:45 PM

INTERNET / -1

Jun 27 04:40 PM

MU

STRAIGHT BET
[24252] R BARAO -170
(U FABER vrs R BARAO)

170 / 100

**Jesus Christ** · 07-20-12, 03:19 PM

YTD 42-43-2 +$6,348.26

One play for tonight's Bellator event tonight.

I like Vegh to beat Newton tonight...Vegh has been making his rounds on the Euro fight scene and fought pretty good competition..I think his more polished striking and range will win over Newton's attempts to have this hit the mat...i'll say Attila Vegh wins via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27,30-27)

**Jesus Christ** · 07-20-12, 03:24 PM

Originally posted by gabe

Heysoos, you don't like Amassou?

I was tossing that around but if Baker survives the initial onslaught he will break down Amoussou and prolly finish him.

**DeFactoCrippler** · 07-20-12, 03:39 PM

Tailing again. heres to hoping it goes better than last week

**Vaughany** · 07-20-12, 03:41 PM

THink Vegh has a decent chance...GL Jesus

**gabe** · 07-20-12, 04:51 PM

Haven't locked anything in for 149 yet?