UFC Fight Night 24
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LadleSBR Wise Guy
- 03-21-11
- 835
#141Comment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#142What about Mcorcle and Morecraft not going the distance 1.50 / -200 @ paddypower.com?Comment -
LadleSBR Wise Guy
- 03-21-11
- 835
#143Those odds indicate the fight doesn't go the distance 67% of the time. If you believe that the fight doesn't go the distance at least 77% of the time, then it's a good bet. In my opinion, it's just about worthy of a play.Comment -
VaughanySBR Aristocracy
- 03-07-10
- 45563
#144Yeah I cap it not going the distance about 75% of time so will be making a play on this later as long as odds dont worsen...also like Morecraft in Rnd 1 at +350 or Morecraft by TKO/KO at +250.Comment -
bjpenn85SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-17-11
- 5059
#145where do you get these numbers, 67% 75%?Comment -
VaughanySBR Aristocracy
- 03-07-10
- 45563
#148ha In terms of converting odds in to percentages I use this: http://sportility.net/oddsconverter/
But in terms of me estimating how many times a certain outcome will occur as a percentage...that is taken from my ass pretty much!Comment -
LadleSBR Wise Guy
- 03-21-11
- 835
#149
But yes, Vaughany is correct. I just used an odds converter to work out how the odds translated to a percentage. Here's my personal favourite: http://www.onlinegambling.com/sports...alculators.htmComment -
NickTheGripSBR Rookie
- 10-18-10
- 33
#150You have a knowledgeable ass, sir.Comment -
VaughanySBR Aristocracy
- 03-07-10
- 45563
#151Morecraft/McCorkle, Hathaway/McCray, and Figueroa/McDonald all on facebook.Comment -
sirchadwick1SBR MVP
- 06-02-10
- 1375
#152Sweet facebook lineup. I just hate how the streams are unreliable. Sometimes it's slow or choppy... other times I maximize and it doesn't run in HD. I do have the latest version of Silverlight, but have noticed this on multiple systems. Can't really complain b/c it's free though.Comment -
LadleSBR Wise Guy
- 03-21-11
- 835
#153Sweet facebook lineup. I just hate how the streams are unreliable. Sometimes it's slow or choppy... other times I maximize and it doesn't run in HD. I do have the latest version of Silverlight, but have noticed this on multiple systems. Can't really complain b/c it's free though.
Forget watching a laggy stream! Can't think of anything more frustrating.Comment -
LadleSBR Wise Guy
- 03-21-11
- 835
#157Good point. I hope Madsen by decision comes out at better than even money so I can drop some more on it (I maxed out at Paddy). Then I can put extra on Russow.Comment -
Educ8d Degener8SBR MVP
- 01-12-10
- 3177
#158True, true... judging ineptitude is something to consider in any fight where a decision outcome is of reasonable probability.Comment -
Educ8d Degener8SBR MVP
- 01-12-10
- 3177
#160
'Cos even if it landed on tails, he'd award the flip to heads because tail flips certainly don't finish coin flips.Comment -
LadleSBR Wise Guy
- 03-21-11
- 835
#161You're being generous. I don't think Cecil Peoples is intelligent enough to even comprehend the concept of coin flip.Comment -
THE_LOCKSMITHSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-25-08
- 7237
#165weigh ins at 7:00pm. will Johnson make weight????????Comment -
sirchadwick1SBR MVP
- 06-02-10
- 1375
#166Rumble NOT to make weight -500
Rumble makes weight +325Comment -
syn^SBR Sharp
- 03-08-10
- 360
#167Does anyone see any value in Damarques johnson +210 beating amir? Damarques is taller and should have an advantage standing up. He's also pretty good on the ground too... im thinking hes got a legitamate chance to win the fight.Comment -
VaughanySBR Aristocracy
- 03-07-10
- 45563
#168Are u sayin DaMarques will have an advantage standing just because he is taller? I think Sadollah has advantage standing, he has decent technical Muay Thai even if he does lack power and killer instinct. He's heavily favoured to win by decision for a reason.Comment -
MMAdiscipleSBR High Roller
- 02-16-11
- 227
#169
Peter Sobatta, Phil Baroni...not that Johnson's opponents were much better but I like DJ's ability to make the match a fight and finish the fight. Wouldn't be surprised if he won an ugly split.Comment -
illmatickSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-05-09
- 5456
#170If the reason is "decent technical MT", I think Johnson's chances are decent.
Peter Sobatta, Phil Baroni...not that Johnson's opponents were much better but I like DJ's ability to make the match a fight and finish the fight. Wouldn't be surprised if he won an ugly split.Comment -
FightFightFightSBR Wise Guy
- 03-21-11
- 594
#172Cant take too much from it, it was quick, but Damarques looked phenomenal last fight. Guymon isnt a pushover. He was expected to be stronger than Damarques. I think either Damarques strength or wrestling has improved. His power advantage on the feet may bring the standup closer to even. I made a mistake, and took Damarques at +160. Hopefully just a mistake because of the bad line.Comment -
syn^SBR Sharp
- 03-08-10
- 360
#173Amir is pretty aggressive coming forward with his muay thai and Damarques has some nice strong counter punching... he could very well floor amir.Comment -
VaughanySBR Aristocracy
- 03-07-10
- 45563
#174Dan Hardy gettin emotional at Bruce Lee's grave...
Comment -
LayingThe$DownSBR Hustler
- 03-12-11
- 69
#175I usually avoid props, but Phil Davis to win decision is even money....this strikes me as a solid wager. I doubt he stops Lil Nog by submission given Nog's level of BJJ skills, and Davis hasn't yet demonstrated the striking ability necessary to stop Nog, either imo.
I have small bets on Rumble, Morecraft, Russow, and Garcia.
No big bets this event, just a few small plays here and there. The next Strikeforce, 129, and 130 look more juicy.Comment
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