Vaughany's MMA Picks...

**Vaughany** · 11-20-11, 12:57 PM

hahah nice! Gemma Atkinson me thinks?!

**ghost kid** · 11-20-11, 02:36 PM

Yep. That's Gemma.

**Vaughany** · 11-21-11, 06:15 PM

UFC 140 plays so far:

8.286 units on Antonio Rogerio Nogueira at -161 to win 5.147 units;

7.5 units on Antonio Rogerio Nogueira at -150 to win 5 units;

Parlay: 1.859 units on Nelson by TKO/KO (+140), Benson Henderson (-230), & Mir (-260) to win 7.006 units.

**The HOFF** · 11-21-11, 07:02 PM

You don't think Tito dry humps Nog for 3 rounds?

**Beelzebubzy** · 11-21-11, 07:04 PM

Originally posted by The HOFF

You don't think Tito dry humps Nog for 3 rounds?

Lil Nog defended Bader and Davis's takedowns. He is going to eat alot of uppercuts on his way in

**Vaughany** · 11-22-11, 02:58 AM

Originally posted by The HOFF

You don't think Tito dry humps Nog for 3 rounds?

There's always a possibility of that, but I just don't think Tito has the stamina to be able to do that for fifteen minutes anymore, maybe if he wasn't get hit he might be able to do it but with somebody like Lil Nog who has decent boxing I see Tito getting hit quite a bit which will help slow him down. That being said, I will be playing fight goes distance or Tito by decision as well, or even arbing out as I think Tito might reach +200

**Vaughany** · 11-22-11, 07:41 AM

Paul Sass' version of the Pettis ninja kick!...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aWP1bhlDg1Q&feature=youtube_gdata_player

**bjpenn85** · 11-22-11, 08:01 AM

with wanderlei silva + 200, and hendo at + 165 right before the line was closed this weekend, i will be more hesitant to buy openers in the future. And live, jesus. New era.. are you on patricky this weekend, pickwise? afraid of crazy bellator decisions?

**bjpenn85** · 11-22-11, 08:03 AM

do you think he need a marquart KO a la demian maia to intensively train standup? his subs are off tha hook tho

**Vaughany** · 11-22-11, 08:40 AM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

with wanderlei silva + 200, and hendo at + 165 right before the line was closed this weekend, i will be more hesitant to buy openers in the future. And live, jesus. New era.. are you on patricky this weekend, pickwise? afraid of crazy bellator decisions?

Yeah probably avoiding it, too many questions about Pellegrino's condition for me. I think Pellegrino will get a decision tho

**Vaughany** · 11-22-11, 10:54 AM

*UPDATED* Gil Martinez Says Maynard is Likely Leaving Xtreme Couture to Train at AKA; Gray Says He’s Undecided:

Gil Martinez appeared on Mauro Ranallo’s “The MMA Show“ radio program today and the head boxing trainer and coach at Xtreme Couture dropped a bombshell about one of his highest profile students.

According to Martinez, he’s pretty sure that former number one UFC lightweight contender Gray Maynard has decided to cut ties with the Vegas gym and is planning a move to the San Francisco Bay area where he will train American Kickboxing Academy moving forward. There, Maynard will join a top-tier team that includes notables like Jon Fitch, Josh Koscheck, Mike Swick, Cain Velasquez, Daniel Cormier, Josh Thomson and Muhammed “King Mo” Lawal.

Martinez told Ranallo that he was hurt and disappointed that Gray decided to move without discussing it with his Xtreme Couture stablemates and coaches, but wishes him the best at his new gym.

Besides his recent knockout loss to Frankie Edgar, part of the reason for Maynard’s departure could be comments Martinez made about his camp for the bout. He revealed in his Fighters.com blog after the bout that he wasn’t involved as much in Maynard’s camp as he has been for previous bouts.

“In the corner I was just playing it by ear and looking for certain things since I wasn’t exactly sure of everything he had been doing since I wasn’t completely involved with his camp this time around, though I wish I had been,” he explained

Martinez also mentioned in the weeks after the fight that he didn’t agree with Gray’s decision to not train every day at Xtreme Couture for the camp. Instead, “The Bully” decided it would be best if he he rented out a gym closer to home and bring in training partners to train with so he didn’t have to travel to XC every day for the eight weeks before the bout.

Although he says that no official decision has been made by Gray, from what he is hearing, it’s all but a done deal.

Attempts to reach Maynard for comment have been unsuccessful. We’ll have more updates as we receive them.

*UPDATED at 7:30 pm ET on Monday, November 21, 2011:
Gray texted us the following statement regarding his supposed switch in camps:

“Nothing for sure yet. Just training, getting new looks. I love [Xtreme Couture], but there’s a lot to learn out there.”

So it seems that he is strongly considering a change of scenery, however he’s taking his time and putting a lot of consideration into where he’ll eventually land.

**proposition joe** · 11-22-11, 12:07 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

*UPDATED* Gil Martinez Says Maynard is Likely Leaving Xtreme Couture to Train at AKA; Gray Says He’s Undecided:

Gil Martinez appeared on Mauro Ranallo’s “The MMA Show“ radio program today and the head boxing trainer and coach at Xtreme Couture dropped a bombshell about one of his highest profile students.

According to Martinez, he’s pretty sure that former number one UFC lightweight contender Gray Maynard has decided to cut ties with the Vegas gym and is planning a move to the San Francisco Bay area where he will train American Kickboxing Academy moving forward. There, Maynard will join a top-tier team that includes notables like Jon Fitch, Josh Koscheck, Mike Swick, Cain Velasquez, Daniel Cormier, Josh Thomson and Muhammed “King Mo” Lawal.

Martinez told Ranallo that he was hurt and disappointed that Gray decided to move without discussing it with his Xtreme Couture stablemates and coaches, but wishes him the best at his new gym.

Besides his recent knockout loss to Frankie Edgar, part of the reason for Maynard’s departure could be comments Martinez made about his camp for the bout. He revealed in his Fighters.com blog after the bout that he wasn’t involved as much in Maynard’s camp as he has been for previous bouts.

“In the corner I was just playing it by ear and looking for certain things since I wasn’t exactly sure of everything he had been doing since I wasn’t completely involved with his camp this time around, though I wish I had been,” he explained

Martinez also mentioned in the weeks after the fight that he didn’t agree with Gray’s decision to not train every day at Xtreme Couture for the camp. Instead, “The Bully” decided it would be best if he he rented out a gym closer to home and bring in training partners to train with so he didn’t have to travel to XC every day for the eight weeks before the bout.

Although he says that no official decision has been made by Gray, from what he is hearing, it’s all but a done deal.

Attempts to reach Maynard for comment have been unsuccessful. We’ll have more updates as we receive them.

*UPDATED at 7:30 pm ET on Monday, November 21, 2011:
Gray texted us the following statement regarding his supposed switch in camps:

“Nothing for sure yet. Just training, getting new looks. I love [Xtreme Couture], but there’s a lot to learn out there.”

So it seems that he is strongly considering a change of scenery, however he’s taking his time and putting a lot of consideration into where he’ll eventually land.

AKA seems to be the best at developing fighters with Gray's skillsets. Great move, IMO

**Vaughany** · 11-22-11, 12:53 PM

For anybody who hasnt seen Warrior yet starring Joel Edgerton, Nick Nolte and Tom Hardy... http://vidreel.com/video/OTQ1Mjk4/

Superb movie IMO

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 11-22-11, 02:31 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

For anybody who hasnt seen Warrior yet starring Joel Edgerton, Nick Nolte and Tom Hardy... http://vidreel.com/video/OTQ1Mjk4/

Superb movie IMO

really..haven't seen it, will check it out in the next week for sure now

**Vaughany** · 11-25-11, 01:43 PM

Gonna be in Sharm-El Sheikh, Egypt till day after TUF Finale so might not get a chance to post before

**TheCalculator** · 11-25-11, 02:01 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Gonna be in Sharm-El Sheikh, Egypt till day after TUF Finale so might not get a chance to post before

Vacation or business?

Either way -- have fun!

**Das Jax** · 11-26-11, 04:20 AM

Say hello to all the Russians for me...

**Vulcan300** · 12-04-11, 06:09 PM

tuf was very profitable despite what i thought, hope the trip was good. let's finish the year big!

**Beelzebubzy** · 12-04-11, 07:36 PM

Do you plan on arbing out of Lil Nog?

**Vaughany** · 12-05-11, 06:01 AM

UFC 140 play:

17.903 units on Mark Hominick at -280 to win 6.394 units.

**Jordan23** · 12-05-11, 06:55 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

UFC 140 play: 17.903 units on Mark Hominick at -280 to win 6.394 units.

You love you some Mark!

I like this play... good luck to you!

**Vaughany** · 12-05-11, 07:20 AM

Originally posted by TheCalculator

Vacation or business?

Either way -- have fun!

Vacation mate with a few buddies, was a good time cheers!

Originally posted by Das Jax

Say hello to all the Russians for me...

haha No shit! There where loads of Russians and Ukrainians - lead to some entertaining nights out with them!

Originally posted by Vulcan300

tuf was very profitable despite what i thought, hope the trip was good. let's finish the year big!

Didn't get a chance of make any plays on TUF as internet was shit in Egypt and they block all the gambling sites anyway! Was some great value in some of the dogs on that card.

**Vaughany** · 12-05-11, 07:23 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

UFC 140 play:

17.903 units on Mark Hominick at -280 to win 6.394 units.

Originally posted by Jordan23

You love you some Mark!

I like this play... good luck to you!

Chalky but I think Hominick should be -300 to -400 range. I'd of preferred to double him up with some props on sportbet but unfortunately they haven't got any on offer at moment - hopefully the rumours about them stopping props aren't true. I'd of been very confident in Hominick even if Tompkins hadn't passed way, but now that he's going in to this fight emotionally charged I think he's going to be relentless and finish KZ reasonably comfortably.

**TheCalculator** · 12-05-11, 09:38 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

UFC 140 play:

17.903 units on Mark Hominick at -280 to win 6.394 units.

This is my big play this week also.

LOVE this guy.

**Vaughany** · 12-05-11, 09:54 AM

**Vulcan300** · 12-05-11, 01:44 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

i didn't notice this before but i wonder if he really calls himself that.

Other names: Bad Boy, TWAS (The White Anderson Silva)

**Vaughany** · 12-06-11, 09:55 AM

Adding:

6.25 units on Jones/Machida to End by TKO/KO at -125 to win 5 units;

10.483 units on Jones/Machida to End by TKO/KO at -162.5 to win 6.451 units.

**Vaughany** · 12-06-11, 11:36 AM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Do you plan on arbing out of Lil Nog?

Not currently, waiting to see how Tito looks at weigh-ins. Will probably have fight starts rnd 2 in a couple parlays as back up tho

**Beelzebubzy** · 12-06-11, 12:50 PM

I have 4.3u on Lil Nog at -160 but I also have
4u on Mir at -255
4u on Jones at -350
2u on Hominick at -340

I am playing alot of favs here. this is definetely the most I have bet on a single event since Schaubs chin failed me at 134; hence why I am considering arbing out on at least one

**Vaughany** · 12-07-11, 09:02 AM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

I have 4.3u on Lil Nog at -160 but I also have
4u on Mir at -255
4u on Jones at -350
2u on Hominick at -340

I am playing alot of favs here. this is definetely the most I have bet on a single event since Schaubs chin failed me at 134; hence why I am considering arbing out on at least one

Yeah playing a lot of faves can always be problematic as it can take just one upset to ruin your profits from the rest. Thing is, how can Machida beat Jones? Is he going to be able to out point him for 5 rounds? I highly doubt it. Is he going to be able to sub him? Even more unlikely. I guess a TKO/KO is only possibility for me and if he does catch Jones and finish him he'll most likely be getting KOTN which you'll be able to get at +750 or better I should think.

**Vaughany** · 12-07-11, 09:08 AM

Adding:

10 units on Mir by TKO/KO or DQ at +475 to win 47.5 units;

0.236 units on Mir by TKO/KO at +550 to win 1.298 units;

1.783 units on Nogueira/Ortiz to Go the Distance at -137.5 to win 1.297 units;

1.568 units on Ebersole/Patrick to Go the Distance at -120 to win 1.307 units;

8.033 units on Hominick by TKO/KO or DQ at +375 to win 30.124 units;

0.343 units on Hominick by TKO/KO at +400 to win 1.372 units.

**caveira** · 12-07-11, 09:27 AM

Where did you get these odds Vaughany? I was looking for Mir by KO on paddypower and its +400 right now.

**Beelzebubzy** · 12-07-11, 10:47 AM

10 units on Mir by TKO/KO or DQ at +475 to win 47.5 units;

GREAT BET!!!

**Vaughany** · 12-07-11, 11:57 AM

Summary of UFC 140 plays so far:

6.25 units on Jones/Machida to End by TKO/KO at -125 to win 5 units;

10.483 units on Jones/Machida to End by TKO/KO at -162.5 to win 6.451 units;

10 units on Mir by TKO/KO or DQ at +475 to win 47.5 units;

0.236 units on Mir by TKO/KO at +550 to win 1.298 units;

Parlay: 1.859 units on Nelson by TKO/KO (+140), Benson Henderson (-230), & Mir (-260) to win 7.006 units;

8.286 units on Antonio Rogerio Nogueira at -161 to win 5.147 units;

7.5 units on Antonio Rogerio Nogueira at -150 to win 5 units;

1.783 units on Nogueira/Ortiz to Go the Distance at -137.5 to win 1.297 units;

17.903 units on Mark Hominick at -280 to win 6.394 units;

8.033 units on Hominick by TKO/KO or DQ at +375 to win 30.124 units;

0.343 units on Hominick by TKO/KO at +400 to win 1.372 units;

1.568 units on Ebersole/Patrick to Go the Distance at -120 to win 1.307 units;

10 units on Soszynski at -205 to win 4.878 units.

**BIGDAY** · 12-07-11, 12:27 PM

BOL!

I just have acouple ends to parlays,

Mir to end a four fight parlay (Will pay +205) and Homimick to end to end a three fight parlay (Will pay +135). Hopefully both cash but one should for sure.

Not really loving anything strait for this event. Nice catch at -280 for Hominick.
Hope you Cash em!