Vaughany's MMA Picks...

[rocky mattioli]

what happened to ladle,v?....the guy was constantly involved in shinkicks but seemed fairly well informed....

somebody decide to give him the hook?...

[bjpenn85]

people that disappear suddenly, very often lose big chips. Dont they? I liked ladle actually, hope he comes back. sounds gay hmm..

[Vaughany]

what happened to ladle,v?....the guy was constantly involved in shinkicks but seemed fairly well informed....

somebody decide to give him the hook?...

ha yeah maybe he thought all the shin-kicking was getting too much - he had some epic drawn-out duels with MMADisciple!

[Vaughany]

[Vaughany]

Both going with Roop...

[Vaughany]

[TheCalculator]

Good analysis from Chael.

[Vaughany]

[Vaughany]

people that disappear suddenly, very often lose big chips. Dont they? I liked ladle actually, hope he comes back. sounds gay hmm..

Pretty sure Ladle made considerably more than he lost, same with Lasker. Maybe they were making more plays which they didnt post and loss money, I doubt it though, they knew what they were talking about.

[TheCalculator]

Maybe they won too much and didn't want to share their thoughts anymore?

[Vaughany]

Adding:


0.75 units on Cro-Cop by Decision at +1600 to win 12 units;


0.333 units on Hioki by Submission at +1200 to win 3.996 units;

1 unit on Hioki by Submission at +300 to win 3 units;

0.833 units on Hioki/Roop to End by Submission at +600 to win 4.998 units;

1.389 units on Hioki/Roop to End by Submission at +225 to win 3.125 units;

0.1 units on Roop by Decision at +900 to win 0.9 units;

0.043 units on Roop KO of the Night at +3500 to win 1.505 units;


0.1 units on Mitrione/Kongo to be Quickest Ending Fight of the Night at +1400 to win 1.4 units;


2.451 units on Griffin/Palaszewski to Go the Distance at -187.5 to win 1.307 units;


Parlay (double): 5 units on Jacoby (Evens) & Vera (-450) to win 7.222 units;

0.675 units on Starks by Decision at +200 to win 1.35 units.

[bjpenn85]

Where did you find the props for the bonuses?

[Vaughany]

Where did you find the props for the bonuses?

Paddy

[v1y]

Adding:


0.75 units on Cro-Cop by Decision at +1600 to win 12 units;


0.333 units on Hioki by Submission at +1200 to win 3.996 units;

0.043 units on Roop KO of the Night at +3500 to win 1.505 units;

Ok the books are officially retarded. RIDICULOUS lines.

[TheCalculator]

Paddy

I'm in Paddy now -- not sure if I'm blind but I can't find those options. Can you help me out?

Thanks Vaughany!

[TheCalculator]

Never mind... I found them.

[illmatick]

0.75 units on Cro-Cop by Decision at +1600 to win 12 units



on the same play for less than half the price.

GL V

[TheCalculator]

0.75 units on Cro-Cop by Decision at +1600 to win 12 units



on the same play for less than half the price.

GL V

How did you catch that? Did they open with that line? I got it at 700+

[Vaughany]

How did you catch that? Did they open with that line? I got it at 700+

Opening line on Skybet, still available at +800 on there

[Vaughany]

25 minute interview with Diaz... http://www.mmafighting.com/2011/10/2...lshare_twitter

Interesting insight on Nick falling out with his camp and not having a great camp leading up to this fight

[TheCalculator]

You like Skybet for props? Do they have even better prop lines that Paddy? So far -- Paddy has the best prop lines for the most part (5dimes had a few beaten but not many).

[Vaughany]

You like Skybet for props? Do they have even better prop lines that Paddy? So far -- Paddy has the best prop lines for the most part (5dimes had a few beaten but not many).

Skybet release props later and are inconsistent (sometimes they wont offer props at all), but then at times you'll get very generous lines, such as Hioki by Sub at +1200 and CroCop decision at +1600!

[TheCalculator]

Skybet release props later and are inconsistent (sometimes they wont offer props at all), but then at times you'll get very generous lines, such as Hioki by Sub at +1200 and CroCop decision at +1600!

Every book has it's pluses and negatives. There's definitely some serious strength in having accounts all over the place (I'm up to 7). I guess Skybet is next!

[Vaughany]

Adding:


Parlay: 3.106 units on Carmont (+115), Vera (-400), Not Cro-Cop by Submission (-5125), & Not Roop by Submission (-5640) to win 5.555 units.

[Vitooch]

Adding:


Parlay: 3.106 units on Carmont (+115), Vera (-400), Not Cro-Cop by Submission (-5125), & Not Roop by Submission (-5640) to win 5.555 units.

I hope Cro Cop wins by flying armbar now haha

[Vaughany]

I hope Cro Cop wins by flying armbar now haha

Nah I'm expecting gogoplata in the third

[rocky mattioli]

http://bjpenn.com/news/2011/10/27/ufc-137-nick-diaz-says-this-could-be-his-last-fight-6942.html

i honestly hope the line doesn`t keep going up(i don`t want to get sucked in)....i couldn`t comprehend much of this(with the head down and the mumbling)...wjhatever he said,it didn`t sound confident......i`m beginning to think that the ufc stage might be a bit much for a guy like diaz(who obviously has such limited social skills)...

the guy has some serious issues...

[TheCalculator]

Yup -- guy has issues no doubt. Definitely get the feeling he loves the "pity pot". Everything he's in an interview -- there's always a "poor me" story thrown in. That being said... He's a great fighter and my money is on him on Saturday.

[rocky mattioli]

Yup -- guy has issues no doubt. Definitely get the feeling he loves the "pity pot". Everything he's in an interview -- there's always a "poor me" story thrown in. That being said... He's a great fighter and my money is on him on Saturday.

i wish i had your stones...i`ve grown tired of penn....i think if diaz seemed a little more up for this(i.e. wasn`t acting weird and talking like he swallowed one of those l.l. bean rubber boots with the knitted sock tops),i might join you....he`s tough and talented...but i`m not sensing that trademerk diaz fire and anger...

[Vaughany]

Summary of UFC 137 plays so far:


6.479 units on Cerrone at +135 to win 8.747 units;


6.48 units on Palaszewski at +240 to win 15.552 units;

2.451 units on Griffin/Palaszewski to Go the Distance at -187.5 to win 1.307 units;


6.376 units on Nelson/Cro-Cop to Go the Distance at +250 to win 15.95 units;

0.39 units on Nelson/Cro-Cop to Go the Distance at +350 to win 1.365 units;

0.455 units on Nelson/Cro-Cop to Go the Distance at +300 to win 1.365 units;

0.195 units on Nelson by Decision at +700 to win 1.365 units;

0.75 units on Cro-Cop by Decision at +1600 to win 12 units;


Parlay: 2.5 units on Baczynski (-138), Koch (-175), & BJ Penn (-125) to win 9.714 units;


Parlay (double): 6.376 units on Penn/Diaz to Go the Distance (-195), & Henderson/Guida to Go the Distance (-210) to win 7.863 units;


Parlay: 6.343 units on Griffin/Palaszewski Starts Round 2 (-675), Not Siver by Submission (-2120), Not Roop by Submission (-4740), Nelson/Cro-Cop Starts Round 2 (-306), Diaz/Penn Starts Round 2 (-670), & Not Guida Inside the Distance (-1282) to win 6.457 units;


1.778 units on Penn/Diaz to Go the Distance at +150 to win 2.667 units;

0.304 units on Penn/Diaz to Go the Distance at +110 to win 0.334 units;

0.347 units on Diaz by Decision at +400 to win 1.388 units;

0.455 units on Diaz by Decision at +300 to win 1.365 units;


Parlay: 3.106 units on Carmont (+115), Vera (-400), Not Cro-Cop by Submission (-5125), & Not Roop by Submission (-5640) to win 5.555 units;


0.333 units on Hioki by Submission at +1200 to win 3.996 units;

1 unit on Hioki by Submission at +300 to win 3 units;

0.585 units on Hioki by Submission at +230 to win 1.345 units;

0.833 units on Hioki/Roop to End by Submission at +600 to win 4.998 units;

1.389 units on Hioki/Roop to End by Submission at +225 to win 3.125 units;

1.063 units on Hioki/Roop to Not Go the Distance at +125 to win 1.329 units;

0.1 units on Roop by Decision at +900 to win 0.9 units;

0.043 units on Roop KO of the Night at +3500 to win 1.505 units;


0.1 units on Mitrione/Kongo to be Quickest Ending Fight of the Night at +1400 to win 1.4 units;


Parlay (double): 5 units on Jacoby (Evens) & Vera (-450) to win 7.222 units;

0.675 units on Starks by Decision at +200 to win 1.35 units.

[TheCalculator]

I like the way your thinking. Got many similar plays.

Went straight up on Jacoby for 5 units.

Jorgensen 3 units (as well as in quite a few parlays).

Summary of UFC 137 plays so far:


6.479 units on Cerrone at +135 to win 8.747 units;


6.48 units on Palaszewski at +240 to win 15.552 units;

2.451 units on Griffin/Palaszewski to Go the Distance at -187.5 to win 1.307 units;


6.376 units on Nelson/Cro-Cop to Go the Distance at +250 to win 15.95 units;

0.39 units on Nelson/Cro-Cop to Go the Distance at +350 to win 1.365 units;

0.455 units on Nelson/Cro-Cop to Go the Distance at +300 to win 1.365 units;

0.195 units on Nelson by Decision at +700 to win 1.365 units;

0.75 units on Cro-Cop by Decision at +1600 to win 12 units;


Parlay: 2.5 units on Baczynski (-138), Koch (-175), & BJ Penn (-125) to win 9.714 units;


Parlay (double): 6.376 units on Penn/Diaz to Go the Distance (-195), & Henderson/Guida to Go the Distance (-210) to win 7.863 units;


Parlay: 6.343 units on Griffin/Palaszewski Starts Round 2 (-675), Not Siver by Submission (-2120), Not Roop by Submission (-4740), Nelson/Cro-Cop Starts Round 2 (-306), Diaz/Penn Starts Round 2 (-670), & Not Guida Inside the Distance (-1282) to win 6.457 units;


1.778 units on Penn/Diaz to Go the Distance at +150 to win 2.667 units;

0.304 units on Penn/Diaz to Go the Distance at +110 to win 0.334 units;

0.347 units on Diaz by Decision at +400 to win 1.388 units;

0.455 units on Diaz by Decision at +300 to win 1.365 units;


Parlay: 3.106 units on Carmont (+115), Vera (-400), Not Cro-Cop by Submission (-5125), & Not Roop by Submission (-5640) to win 5.555 units;


0.333 units on Hioki by Submission at +1200 to win 3.996 units;

1 unit on Hioki by Submission at +300 to win 3 units;

0.585 units on Hioki by Submission at +230 to win 1.345 units;

0.833 units on Hioki/Roop to End by Submission at +600 to win 4.998 units;

1.389 units on Hioki/Roop to End by Submission at +225 to win 3.125 units;

1.063 units on Hioki/Roop to Not Go the Distance at +125 to win 1.329 units;

0.1 units on Roop by Decision at +900 to win 0.9 units;

0.043 units on Roop KO of the Night at +3500 to win 1.505 units;


0.1 units on Mitrione/Kongo to be Quickest Ending Fight of the Night at +1400 to win 1.4 units;


Parlay (double): 5 units on Jacoby (Evens) & Vera (-450) to win 7.222 units;

0.675 units on Starks by Decision at +200 to win 1.35 units.

[BIGDAY]

Rock on Bro!

Only have two wagers right now. Cowboy Cerrone and Penn/Diaz goes dist.

I will probably parlay Cowboy with Ben Henderson and Cain in a couple weeks. I really like all three a lot.

GL this weekend!

[Vaughany]

http://bjpenn.com/news/2011/10/27/uf...ight-6942.html

i honestly hope the line doesn`t keep going up(i don`t want to get sucked in)....i couldn`t comprehend much of this(with the head down and the mumbling)...wjhatever he said,it didn`t sound confident......i`m beginning to think that the ufc stage might be a bit much for a guy like diaz(who obviously has such limited social skills)...

the guy has some serious issues...

[sirchadwick1]

LOL, he looks like he's about to have a nervous breakdown. Lower that thing out of my face... I ain't no gay.

[JuicedUp]

guy is unique for sure.