Vaughany's MMA Picks...

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  • sirchadwick1
    SBR MVP
    • 06-02-10
    • 1375

    #1191
    Hey V, who do you like in Cruz/Faber? I was leaning Cruz until the line for Faber opened at +160. I had to throw down on that.
    Comment
    • Vaughany
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 03-07-10
      • 45563

      #1192
      Originally posted by sirchadwick1
      Hey V, who do you like in Cruz/Faber? I was leaning Cruz until the line for Faber opened at +160. I had to throw down on that.
      I'll be waiting for Cruz by decision as I think that's the most likely outcome. If I had to take a straight up winner at those odds I would take Faber at +160 tho as it's decent value...I expected Faber to be more like Evens to +115 range.
      Comment
      • Vaughany
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 03-07-10
        • 45563

        #1193
        Additional UFC 129 Plays:

        6.2 units on Henderson/Bocek to go the distance at +170 to win 10.54 units;


        6.2 units on Machida/Couture to not go the distance at +160 to win 9.92 units;

        6.2 units on Machida/Couture to not go the distance at +125 to win 7.75 units.
        Comment
        • Vaughany
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 03-07-10
          • 45563

          #1194
          Saunders destruction of Lee....

          Comment
          • Vaughany
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 03-07-10
            • 45563

            #1195
            Strikeforce Diaz vs Daley Play:

            3.337 units on Diaz by Submission at +300 to win 10.011 units.
            Comment
            • RaiderNation MMA
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-05-10
              • 598

              #1196
              betting asides...u think paul daley will win tho right?
              Comment
              • Vaughany
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 03-07-10
                • 45563

                #1197
                Originally posted by RaiderNation MMA
                betting asides...u think paul daley will win tho right?
                No idea to be honest...I think Nick Diaz has more ways of winning while Daley will have to connect with his left hook! All I know is Diaz by sub at +300 is good value!
                Comment
                • JBT
                  Restricted User
                  • 06-26-10
                  • 1819

                  #1198
                  Hey man, could you please summarize in short where does arbing come into play here? Thanks!
                  Comment
                  • rafa martin
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 12-15-10
                    • 256

                    #1199
                    HEY VAUGHhany,, where do you get those bets from?,,what books have those fights,,,,is this only martial arts or boxing too?.regards,
                    Comment
                    • Vaughany
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 03-07-10
                      • 45563

                      #1200
                      Originally posted by JBT
                      Hey man, could you please summarize in short where does arbing come into play here? Thanks!
                      DO you mean what is arbing in general? Or how I use arbs in my betting on MMA?
                      Comment
                      • Vaughany
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 03-07-10
                        • 45563

                        #1201
                        Originally posted by rafa martin
                        HEY VAUGHhany,, where do you get those bets from?,,what books have those fights,,,,is this only martial arts or boxing too?.regards,
                        Check ur private messages Rafa
                        Comment
                        • omalley21
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-08-10
                          • 908

                          #1202
                          Originally posted by Vaughany
                          Strikeforce Diaz vs Daley Play:

                          3.337 units on Diaz by Submission at +300 to win 10.011 units.
                          Thats insane. Who makes their odds? Im surprised they don't just hire you.
                          Comment
                          • snake11eyes
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 07-28-10
                            • 618

                            #1203
                            Vaughany, What do you think about Chandler vs Cupcake. Both undefeated but Chandler looks like a beast the few matches I saw of him in Bellator. I think Chandler should be able to control Woodard with his wrestling leading to a decision. -110 seems very fair.
                            Comment
                            • rafa martin
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 12-15-10
                              • 256

                              #1204
                              thanks for the info! ,yes add a house in huelva,right in the border with portugal,, you know,,, deep andalucia,,not to well known but beautiful place,,, if you come down here feel free to send me a message, i will take good care of you. dutch loves those kind of fights maybe you are from there or at least near.... i wish i could bet like you, hegding and that strategic behavior, but i cannot control myself right now i am a gift for the bookies, a stupid candyman,,if i lose the first 2 bets, i throw the remaining 1000 euros left, and just fund the account again... last year baseball season decent,,, this year nfl following maddux decent,,but in last 4-5 moths,, over 10,000 euros loss, and my businesses are not now like before,,, so i have to quit ,,but i will follow this forum and yr thread just because i liked but the betting is over for a while,,, right now honestly if i lose a bet, the next one is my entire bankroll,,i guess i became a degenerate after so much live betting........ good luck with yr picks man,, and crush the books with talent and patient,,, which is what i lack.. tks again bro!!!
                              Comment
                              • rafa martin
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-15-10
                                • 256

                                #1205
                                i read the entire thread,, you talk about 10 pounds to be 1 unit,so i know where you are from? what amazes me is the patient, and the ability you must have starting out with 100 pounds,,, is awesome man,, . one question, do you treat this as a serious investment?, a way of making consistent money,?,, but i wish to know,,if you have no fight bets,, do you bet anything else?, or just wait your opportunity..paddy powers i hear is like eurobet,, if you win often they restrict too much yr bets, and also cut down the size of your stake that was my first serious drawback with this industry,, i was winning with them quite a bit and i suffered the first letdown,, now all i do is lose. is that the same with paddy powers',. SPORTINGBET ARE THIEVES!!!!, everyone in this thread should know that,,,so what book will you still recommend for yr market betting?
                                by june i will be betting with you, if fights are over will bet wimbledon with you,neither federer nor murray will be the winners.. okey
                                Comment
                                • Poppa Catfish
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-22-10
                                  • 3352

                                  #1206
                                  Only one Strikeforce play?
                                  Comment
                                  • Vaughany
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 03-07-10
                                    • 45563

                                    #1207
                                    Originally posted by Poppa Catfish
                                    Only one Strikeforce play?
                                    Should be a couple more, just waitin to see if Paddy offer props for the other main card fights. Also waitin to see if pinnacle offer Over 2.5 for Diaz/Daley. Possibly gonna play Beerbohm by decision as well.
                                    Comment
                                    • Vaughany
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 03-07-10
                                      • 45563

                                      #1208
                                      Adding:

                                      Parlay: 1.222 units on Davis, Douglas Lima, Askren, & Melendez to win 3.168 units;

                                      Parlay: 0.611 units on Davis, Melendez/Kawajiri goes distance, & Aldo to win 0.895 units.
                                      Comment
                                      • Vaughany
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 03-07-10
                                        • 45563

                                        #1209
                                        Adding:

                                        2.5 units on Chandler at -118 to win 2.119 units.

                                        Originally posted by snake11eyes
                                        Vaughany, What do you think about Chandler vs Cupcake. Both undefeated but Chandler looks like a beast the few matches I saw of him in Bellator. I think Chandler should be able to control Woodard with his wrestling leading to a decision. -110 seems very fair.
                                        Yep I agree! Woodard was able to keep it standing against Vanier but Vanier was a Div 3 All-American as far as I'm aware so not at the level of Chandler.
                                        Comment
                                        • sirchadwick1
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 06-02-10
                                          • 1375

                                          #1210
                                          Oh yeah, I love Chandler at -125! Should be a good fight... but I think he'll set the pace and win the wrestling match. UD win for Mike.

                                          I'm going to have a lot of trouble deciding between Pitbull and Chandler (pending a win)... but Mike's fight against Cupcake should give us a good idea of how he will deal with Pitbull's standup.

                                          Bellator is the shiz.
                                          Comment
                                          • Vaughany
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 03-07-10
                                            • 45563

                                            #1211
                                            Originally posted by Vaughany
                                            Adding:

                                            2.5 units on Chandler at -118 to win 2.119 units.



                                            Yep I agree! Woodard was able to keep it standing against Vanier but Vanier was a Div 3 All-American as far as I'm aware so not at the level of Chandler.
                                            Line has gone to -110 on Sportbet and -106 (-101 at one point) so gonna take the steam and play Woodard at +120 on paddy and see if the Chandler Bing line improves even more...

                                            5.496 units on Woodward at +120 to win 6.595 units.
                                            Comment
                                            • ufcmma36
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-22-10
                                              • 1065

                                              #1212
                                              for some reason I keeep seeing Couture steamroll thru Lyoto with nonstop takedowns an gnp. Couture gets KO'd! definitely. theres is no way he tries to stand an strike... Couture shouldnt have much a problem taking him down. Maybe a boring dec or late TKO, but either way +650 is pretty good for Couture inside the distance!!!
                                              Comment
                                              • Vaughany
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 03-07-10
                                                • 45563

                                                #1213
                                                Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                Strikeforce Diaz vs Daley Play:

                                                3.337 units on Diaz by Submission at +300 to win 10.011 units.
                                                Adding:

                                                0.571 units on Diaz by decision at +700 to win 3.997 units;

                                                2 units on Melendez by decision at +150 to win 3 units;

                                                1.778 units on Mousasi by TKO/KO at +225 to win 4.001 units.
                                                Comment
                                                • Joweman
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 04-06-11
                                                  • 58

                                                  #1214
                                                  Originally posted by Vaughany

                                                  Adding:

                                                  0.571 units on Diaz by decision at +700 to win 3.997 units;

                                                  2 units on Melendez by decision at +150 to win 3 units;

                                                  1.778 units on Mousasi by TKO/KO at +225 to win 4.001 units.

                                                  Where did you get Mousasi by TKO?. . . I've been looking for it to no avail
                                                  Comment
                                                  • thesox0311
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 01-23-10
                                                    • 365

                                                    #1215
                                                    Good luck tomorrow night V...still deciding on my picks, tough card
                                                    Comment
                                                    • FightFightFight
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 03-21-11
                                                      • 594

                                                      #1216
                                                      OMFG! The gifts they give you at Paddy!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cheeese
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 02-22-11
                                                        • 784

                                                        #1217
                                                        Must be nice
                                                        Comment
                                                        • rafa martin
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 12-15-10
                                                          • 256

                                                          #1218
                                                          vaughany,,, i check all the lines at pinnacle and all of them are close,, is this because of you posting the bets?.. at the moment i quit betting but enjoy being in this forum,, and if i comeback to bet again will like to know if the lines changes, is still valuable following your picks?,, right now will be impossible to bet at pinny,,and others are even smaller books....so must be difficult bro...best of luck to you!!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Chairib
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 03-08-10
                                                            • 917

                                                            #1219
                                                            Vaughany don' you go rounin' roun to re ro
                                                            Comment
                                                            • The HOFF
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-02-08
                                                              • 4847

                                                              #1220
                                                              Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                              Adding: 2.5 units on Chandler at -118 to win 2.119 units.
                                                              Love it. I played Chandler myself. Glad to see others on it.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Vaughany
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 03-07-10
                                                                • 45563

                                                                #1221
                                                                Originally posted by Joweman
                                                                Where did you get Mousasi by TKO?. . . I've been looking for it to no avail
                                                                Skybet opener
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Ladle
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 03-21-11
                                                                  • 835

                                                                  #1222
                                                                  Solid bets. I've also made a play on Chandler.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Vaughany
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 03-07-10
                                                                    • 45563

                                                                    #1223
                                                                    Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                                    Line has gone to -110 on Sportbet and -106 (-101 at one point) so gonna take the steam and play Woodard at +120 on paddy and see if the Chandler Bing line improves even more...

                                                                    5.496 units on Woodward at +120 to win 6.595 units.
                                                                    Chandler line didn't get better than -101 and back up to -114 so gonna take that before it reaches -120...

                                                                    6.5 units on Chandler at -114 to win 5.702 units.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Vaughany
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 03-07-10
                                                                      • 45563

                                                                      #1224
                                                                      Adding:

                                                                      0.459 units on Beerbohm by decision at +750 to win 3.442 units;

                                                                      0.5 units on Aoki by Submission at +150 to win 0.75 units.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ufcmma36
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-22-10
                                                                        • 1065

                                                                        #1225
                                                                        bol on your plays tonight bro. the weigh ins were crazy gonna be a great night of fights.
                                                                        Comment
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