Boxing/MMA PLAYS

**Eccocide** · 02-05-11, 10:13 AM

GL tonight Ill. Lets hope Kingsbury gets er done!

**illmatick** · 02-05-11, 07:54 PM

Originally posted by Eccocide

GL tonight Ill. Lets hope Kingsbury gets er done!

Originally posted by illmatick

thanks poppa..our boy Kingsbury looked sharp at the weigh-ins.

Originally posted by Poppa Catfish

He looked great, but I'm very biased.

movement was looking scary for a second. Kingsbury prevails .

**illmatick** · 02-12-11, 05:43 PM

finished a little over +1 unit for ufc 126

plays for strikeforce

Arlovski +105 x1
S.Kharitonov wins in round 1 +225 x.35

Shane Del ross -185 x1....I actually played it at -170 but wasn't around to post that price at the time.

**Educ8d Degener8** · 02-12-11, 07:01 PM

Originally posted by illmatick

finished a little over +1 unit for ufc 126

plays for strikeforce

Arlovski +105 x1
S.Kharitonov wins in round 1 +225 x.35

Shane Del ross -185 x1....I actually played it at -170 but wasn't around to post that price at the time.

This is the only play on the card I'm considering... but fuuuuuuuuuuck, now I'm even having trouble digging up SF footage. I'll probably just tail you homez. From memory (keep in mind I've drank away quite a few cells), SDR has come across as a much more technical striker than Lavar; in addition, he has a decent sub game iirc. The one thing I don't like is that didn't Brandon Cash threaten him very briefly in their bout... before SDR finished him with an omoplata?

**illmatick** · 02-13-11, 12:16 AM

Originally posted by illmatick

finished a little over +1 unit for ufc 126 plays for strikeforce

Arlovski +105 x1
S.Kharitonov wins in round 1 +225 x.35

Shane Del ross -185 x1....I actually played it at -170 but wasn't around to post that price at the time.

small profit on the night, around +.5 units.

Originally posted by Educ8d Degener8

This is the only play on the card I'm considering... but fuuuuuuuuuuck, now I'm even having trouble digging up SF footage. I'll probably just tail you homez. From memory (keep in mind I've drank away quite a few cells), SDR has come across as a much more technical striker than Lavar; in addition, he has a decent sub game iirc. The one thing I don't like is that didn't Brandon Cash threaten him very briefly in their bout... before SDR finished him with an omoplata?

meh, I give him a B- for his performance. Johnson's gas tank didn't dissapoint.

**illmatick** · 02-15-11, 05:38 PM

Rafael Cavalcante +180 x1
Mark Bocek +110 x1
Rua +185 x.5
Mark Hominick +330 x.35
Dennis Siver +260 x.25

**Eccocide** · 02-15-11, 06:00 PM

I already have Bocek and Rua played and am waiting to play feijao and Hominick (actually gunna play him now). Only play I prolly wont be on is Siver. Glad to see you thinking along the same lines as me!

**illmatick** · 02-16-11, 03:00 AM

gl ecco. I think the Feijao and Hominick lines have peaked. Feijao jumping back over +200 would be a gift.

**illmatick** · 02-17-11, 09:37 AM

Nonito Donaire -220 x4.5
Fight won't start round 11 -124 x.75

Montiel wins in round 1-6 +1132 x.35

**illmatick** · 02-18-11, 08:54 AM

Darrell Montague +100 x1
Pat Healy +175 x.35

**Eccocide** · 02-18-11, 08:58 AM

On both already, GL tonight bud.

**illmatick** · 02-18-11, 06:14 PM

GL ECCO!

Originally posted by illmatick

Nonito Donaire -220 x4.5
Fight won't start round 11 -124 x.75

Montiel wins in round 1-6 +1132 x.35

heavy money pouring in on Donaire right now, up to -295 at pinnacle. free money at this point if if i choose to arb out .

adding....

Not Jones by 12 rnd decision -116 x.35

**illmatick** · 02-18-11, 11:49 PM

adding Leopoldo +120 x.25

**rocky mattioli** · 02-18-11, 11:55 PM

Originally posted by illmatick

GL ECCO!

heavy money pouring in on Donaire right now, up to -295 at pinnacle. free money at this point if if i choose to arb out .

adding....

Not Jones by 12 rnd decision -116 x.35

the pinoys reach land....with lots of cash...

**phillybadboy** · 02-19-11, 12:01 AM

good luck tommoow illmatic

**illmatick** · 02-19-11, 12:52 AM

Originally posted by illmatick

Darrell Montague +100 x1
Pat Healy +175 x.35
Leopoldo +120 x.25

2-1 on the night for slightly over +1 unit

Originally posted by rocky mattioli

the pinoys reach land....with lots of cash...

hehe, even I was surprised to see how high the line reached. figured it would peak around -250

Originally posted by phillybadboy

good luck tommoow illmatic

thanks phil, gl to u as well.

**Vaughany** · 02-19-11, 04:20 PM

GL tonight with Donaire Ill...this fight should defo be gettin more attention. I've got an arb on fight not goin distance and going distance but need it to go distance to make any substantial profit. Expecting Donaire to finish it tho.

**phillybadboy** · 02-19-11, 11:37 PM

congrats on the donaire win

**illmatick** · 02-19-11, 11:37 PM

Originally posted by illmatick

Nonito Donaire -220 x4.5
Fight won't start round 11 -124 x.75

Montiel wins in round 1-6 +1132 x.35
Not Jones by 12 rnd decision -116 x.35

Donaire by 2nd round tko, +1.89 units

2011- +10.59 units

**phillybadboy** · 02-20-11, 02:32 AM

i think the donaire fight was a bad stoppage, once monteil got up i think he could have continued fighting

**kiefynugs** · 02-20-11, 06:21 AM

I need to pay more attention to boxing. Nice left counter there

**illmatick** · 02-20-11, 06:06 PM

I don't know phil, he was out on his feet.

I also read Montiel is going through reconstructive surgery on his jaw and his face was fokin dented (broken zygomatic arch or bone).

**illmatick** · 02-21-11, 08:38 AM

Spencer Fisher +160 x.75

I waited too long at +175 but still think the line closes around +130.

**illmatick** · 02-21-11, 11:30 PM

Originally posted by illmatick

Spencer Fisher +160 x.75

I waited too long at +175 but still think the line closes around +130.

Fisher already down to +120.

adding

Jon Fitch -200 x1
Not Sotiropoulos inside distance -105 x.5
Camozzi wins by 3 round decision +300 x.25

**corcoran65** · 02-22-11, 07:44 PM

what is your ytd so far

**illmatick** · 02-22-11, 08:27 PM

ytd is +10.59, I finished 2010 around +50 units. Keep in mind I rarely put more than 3 units on one play.

adding

JASON REINHARDT +200 x.5
TOM BLACKLEDGE -180 x.75
RIKI FUKUDA -130 x1

**illmatick** · 02-22-11, 08:46 PM

MACIEJ JEWTUSZKO -135 x1

**Vaughany** · 02-23-11, 05:27 AM

Originally posted by illmatick

ytd is +10.59, I finished 2010 around +50 units. Keep in mind I rarely put more than 3 units on one play.

adding

JASON REINHARDT +200 x.5
TOM BLACKLEDGE -180 x.75
RIKI FUKUDA -130 x1

Good plays Ill

, Im gonna take Reinhardt as well but being greedy and waiting to see if the line improves further to +225 or something.
I dont get why ther is so much love for the Tie Quan. Yes Reinhardt hasnt fought in a while and could be well out of his depth in UFC but until that's proven I dont see why this match-up shouldnt be closer to Evens either way. Reinhardt has been working with Wand Fight Team and I expect him to have better cardio and clearly has a lot of experience. I'll take him at +200 or better all day.

**illmatick** · 02-23-11, 08:00 AM

I'm surprised to see it still moving against me. More of a fade on Zhang than anything else. I played Danny Downes( +220) at a similar price against Zhang in his last fight.

Reinhardt doesn't have much outside of his wrestling but I give him a much greater chance of grinding out a 29-28 decision than the line(+200) suggests. I'd put it much closer to around 40%, which would put my line on reinhardt around +150. Of course Reinhardt's layoff and age are two big x-factors in this fight but as you mentioned I assume he's coming off of a strong training camp.

I think Zhang either submits him in the first round or he fades late in route to getting edged out on the scorecards.

**The HOFF** · 02-23-11, 11:42 AM

Originally posted by illmatick

I'm surprised to see it still moving against me. More of a fade on Zhang than anything else. I played Danny Downes( +220) at a similar price against Zhang in his last fight.

Reinhardt doesn't have much outside of his wrestling but I give him a much greater chance of grinding out a 29-28 decision than the line(+200) suggests. I'd put it much closer to around 40%, which would put my line on reinhardt around +150. Of course Reinhardt's layoff and age are two big x-factors in this fight but as you mentioned I assume he's coming off of a strong training camp.

I think Zhang either submits him in the first round or he fades late in route to getting edged out on the scorecards.

Reinhardt has finished every one of his 20 fights. 4 TKOs and 16 SUBs. I wouldn't be surprised to see him catch Zhang towards the end of the fight.

**ddream1** · 02-23-11, 03:05 PM

rein-zhang a tough one for me, when was the last time rein fought? and seriously who has he fought in his career? i think u guys r right on for the value but this fight is hard to read. bol guys!! and great start sir

**illmatick** · 02-24-11, 01:46 AM

CAGE WARRIORS-40

ISMAEL PADAVIA -130 x.75

**illmatick** · 02-24-11, 06:00 PM

EMANUEL NEWTON -160 x1

FOK, can't believe I slept through these openers. Oh well, still have Newton capped around the -220 range.

**illmatick** · 02-25-11, 07:49 AM

Brando Rios -190 x.5
Siver/Sotiropoulos won't start round 3 -132 x.35
Zhang Tie Quan has quickest submission +725 x.15
Curt Warburton has quickest TKO/KO +1400 x.05

**illmatick** · 02-25-11, 11:06 PM

Veach +110 x.15