Eccocide's MMA Picks

[rocky mattioli]

I'd suggest signing up for 5Dimes if you havent already. Bookmaker is great for openers but their odds fall flat after that.



Fukuda is a solid wrestler, relentless and IMO he can put Ring on his back in this fight if he chooses to. He usually likes to use his wrestling in reverse to keep the fight standing and that might be the case in this one as Ring is more comfortable on the ground than he is standing. Ring has some pretty slick JJ but he's much better from the top position. In the standup, Nick is prolly quicker and is a little more technical but Riki has some nasty power and Ring's head movement and footwork leave much to be desired. I've been impressed with Fukuda's recent run (albeit against average competition) and I thought he won that split decision loss to Villasenor back in Elite XC. If Fukuda fights aggressive and dictates the pace I think this is his fight to lose. He gets in trouble when he gets tentative, sits back and tries to counter.

Its also very important to remember Ring is coming off of a 16 month layoff after his third ACL reconstruction. Going back to your question on speed, I'm not sure how fast he will be on that robot knee. He likes to use a lot of kicks in his standup arsenal and combine the fact that he is coming off another knee rebuild and hes facing a very good wrestler, I expect him to be pretty tentative with his attack. As for Fukuda's loss to Doersken, I dont think that really means anything as it was his first MMA fight and it was around 7 years ago.

All that being said, no I wouldnt be overly surprised if Ring catches Fukuda in a triangle or something similar if he gets to overzealous.

thanks for the response...wanted to hear your rationale...good points on the knee and the inactivity....

what i thought was worrisome was fukuda`s rudimentary "shots" ..when he shoots he has a tendency to start from too far outside....he`s a little slow and telegraphed...and ring hads some nasty muay thai...that and the recent history showing that many japanese fighters` struggles in their first ufc fight...but, ring`s record isn`t exactly replete with top tier opponents...big edge there for fukuda,imo...and the strength...fukuda looks like a bull....he can overpower guys...he has quite a few decision wins....if he puts ring on his back consistently,i think he wins...

lefty vs lefty always interests me...sometimes it throws certain fighters...i`m curious to see who adapts..

i think it should be a great fight.....very happy to see it was added to the ion broadcast....

g.l.,bro...

[mvikingsfan52]

Anybody wondering why Zhang is more the 2.5 to one when Reinhart is more experienced, has been training with Wand fight team and Spencer Fisher, is generally built like a brick kybo and there's no evidence that Zhang's can conquests were any more skilled then his?

A lot of people on this site are saying the same thing. Do you guys think that Reinhart is a good pick?

[MMAdisciple]

Isn't Reinhardt 41 or 42?

[FlashinLeather]

I'm going to stay away but I like Zhang based on the UFC wanting to get into China, it would be good for them to have chinese fighter that has a decent record and that could influence that match ups that he gets.

[Vaughany]

I'm going to stay away but I like Zhang based on the UFC wanting to get into China, it would be good for them to have chinese fighter that has a decent record and that could influence that match ups that he gets.

Yes but you could have applied that logic to the last fight against Downes (which I'm sure many did) and all it showed was that Zhang doesn't have great cardio.

[omalley21]

Yes but you could have applied that logic to the last fight against Downes (which I'm sure many did) and all it showed was that Zhang doesn't have great cardio.

So now Joe silva realizes that Zhang isnt as good as he hoped and matches him up with an easier opponent (who wasn't currently in the ufc before this fight was scheduled). It seems like they are feeding him reinhardt.

[terpkeg]

So now Joe silva realizes that Zhang isnt as good as he hoped and matches him up with an easier opponent (who wasn't currently in the ufc before this fight was scheduled). It seems like they are feeding him reinhardt.

Reinhardt has made a career off of fighting professional novices and cans. He was severey overmatched in his first UFC fight a few years back, but that was at 155. 145 seems a better fit. It does kind of feel like they are throwing Zhang a bone here. Hopefully he comes in with better cardio. Travel should be more difficult on Reinhardt as well.

[Eccocide]

thanks for the response...wanted to hear your rationale...good points on the knee and the inactivity.... what i thought was worrisome was fukuda`s rudimentary "shots" ..when he shoots he has a tendency to start from too far outside....he`s a little slow and telegraphed...and ring hads some nasty muay thai...that and the recent history showing that many japanese fighters` struggles in their first ufc fight...but, ring`s record isn`t exactly replete with top tier opponents...big edge there for fukuda,imo...and the strength...fukuda looks like a bull....he can overpower guys...he has quite a few decision wins....if he puts ring on his back consistently,i think he wins... lefty vs lefty always interests me...sometimes it throws certain fighters...i`m curious to see who adapts.. i think it should be a great fight.....very happy to see it was added to the ion broadcast.... g.l.,bro...

Yeah i forgot to mention the strength advantage that you alluded to as well. I think that ties into the wrestling if he choose to go that route. It will be an interesting fight, no doubt. Being Canadian, I'd like to see Ring succeed as I think he has a lot of upside, I'm just not sure this is a great spot for him.

Anybody wondering why Zhang is more the 2.5 to one when Reinhart is more experienced, has been training with Wand fight team and Spencer Fisher, is generally built like a brick kybo and there's no evidence that Zhang's can conquests were any more skilled then his?

I'm going to stay away but I like Zhang based on the UFC wanting to get into China, it would be good for them to have chinese fighter that has a decent record and that could influence that match ups that he gets.

Yes but you could have applied that logic to the last fight against Downes (which I'm sure many did) and all it showed was that Zhang doesn't have great cardio.

I see some ppl are backing Reinhardt for this fight, but I just cant put real money on him (although I can see why others are based on Zhangs last performance). He hasn't fought in over 2 years, hes a natural 135lb, the last 2 opponents he's faced after he got demolished in the UFC were 0-5 and 2-11. As for Zhangs cardio, it was attrocious in his last fight for sure. But Reinhardt is 40 something and hes only fought into the second round 2 times in his career and both of those ended in the first minute of it. Who knows what his cardio will be like. I just dont see the smaller, older, ring-rusted guy out-wrestling and holding down Zhang for 3 rounds. Although at these odds I can see why others are tempted.

[Eccocide]

Adding:

Gustaffson/Te Huna Under 1.5 Rounds (-165) 3.3 units to win 2 units
Penn (+180) 1.25 units to win 2.25 units
Warburton (+135) 1 unit to win 1.35 units

UFC 127 Recap:

Sotiropolous by Submission (+100) 1.5 units to win 1.5 units
Bisping/Rivera Under 2.5 Rounds (-106) 1.59 units to win 1.5 units
Fukuda (-120) 1.8 units to win 1.5 units & (-116) 0.58 units to win 0.5 units
Fisher (+160) 1.25 units to win 2 units
Gustaffson/Te Huna Under 1.5 Rounds (-165) 3.3 units to win 2 units
Penn (+180) 1.25 units to win 2.25 units
Warburton (+135) 1 unit to win 1.35 units
Bisping by Sub (+1400) 0.25 units to win 3.5 units

I seem to have some unpopular bets compared to the rest of the board so I may be in trouble this time out lol. I may have another play, waiting on some movement.

[brooks85]

Im liking that gusta/huna under play a lot, Ive been taking a lonnggggg look at it, line keeps moving against me.

[Eccocide]

Im liking that gusta/huna under play a lot, Ive been taking a lonnggggg look at it, line keeps moving against me.

Ya I figured it would be closer to -190 to -195. Im not sure where it opened, but the highest I saw it at was -175.

Adding 2 props:

UFC 127:

Fisher/Pearson FOTN (+425) 0.35 units to win 1.4875 units
Zhang Quickest Sub (+725) 0.25 units to win 1.8125 units

[BIGDAY]

Good Luck! Looks good.

[Eccocide]

Good Luck! Looks good.

Tnx, GL to you as well.

[Eccocide]

MFC 25:

Jimmo/Whitson 2-Fight Parlay (-130) 1.95 units to win 1.5 units

[Eccocide]

MFC 25:

Jimmo/Whitson 2-Fight Parlay (-130) 1.95 units to win 1.5 units

MFC 25 Results: +1.5 units

[xelance]

congrats! Not too sure about that Whitson decision, but it worked in your favor!

[Eccocide]

congrats! Not too sure about that Whitson decision, but it worked in your favor!

Yeah it was a close fight but I had it 29-28 Whitson, as did almost all of the play-by-plays I read. I will say I was a bit nervous waiting for the decision though.

[Jordan23]

good luck tomorrow man.

[NickTheGrip]

gl im on fukuda too

[Eccocide]

good luck tomorrow man.

gl im on fukuda too

Thx guys, hope tonight treats you both well.

[Eccocide]

One last add that I've been staring at this week. I was hoping for the line to move more in my direction but its been pretty steady and I dunno how much I'll be around a computer the rest of the day.

Adding:

Lytle inside the distance (+180) 1.25 units to win 2.25 units

UFC 127 Recap:

Sotiropolous by Submission (+100) 1.5 units to win 1.5 units
Bisping/Rivera Under 2.5 Rounds (-106) 1.59 units to win 1.5 units
Fukuda (-120) 1.8 units to win 1.5 units & (-116) 0.58 units to win 0.5 units
Fisher (+160) 1.25 units to win 2 units
Gustaffson/Te Huna Under 1.5 Rounds (-165) 3.3 units to win 2 units
Penn (+180) 1.25 units to win 2.25 units
Warburton (+135) 1 unit to win 1.35 units
Bisping by Sub (+1400) 0.25 units to win 3.5 units
Lytle inside the distance (+180) 1.25 units to win 2.25 units
Fisher/Pearson FOTN (+425) 0.35 units to win 1.4875 units
Zhang Quickest Sub (+725) 0.25 units to win 1.8125 units

GL tonight everyone!

[Mr.Kitty]

All the trashtalk and the fact that Bisping and Rivera almost started to fight during the weigh-ins makes me wanna take under 2.5 rounds. Feels like Bisping might have a big urge to finish him now, and this is exactly what Rivera wants, turn it into a brawl. I will be very disappointed if this fight goes to a decision.
Best of luck Ecco

[kiefynugs]

its why i didnt bet on this fight. all the shit talk makes bisping too unpredictable

[ddream1]

bol sir

[Vaughany]

GL tonight Ecco...hoping Warburton gets us off to a good start.

[Eccocide]

All the trashtalk and the fact that Bisping and Rivera almost started to fight during the weigh-ins makes me wanna take under 2.5 rounds. Feels like Bisping might have a big urge to finish him now, and this is exactly what Rivera wants, turn it into a brawl. I will be very disappointed if this fight goes to a decision.
Best of luck Ecco

Yeah I agree whole heartedly. GL tonight Kitty!

bol sir

u2 sir!

GL tonight Ecco...hoping Warburton gets us off to a good start.

And he does!! Good win for us. I think we were the only 2 ppl on him for this entire forum lol.

[Vaughany]

Yeah I agree whole heartedly. GL tonight Kitty!



u2 sir!



And he does!! Good win for us. I think we were the only 2 ppl on him for this entire forum lol.

ha yeah gd job bro, I had the fight to go to decision as well, I expected Warburton to do exactly what he did to Fisher in first round of their fight but this time not gas out and do it for at least two out of the three...looks like that's what happened!

[rocky mattioli]

And he does!! Good win for us. I think we were the only 2 ppl on him for this entire forum lol.

good call...it was based on takedowns...

once again...you can`t wrestle and you`re often toast in the ufc...

[xelance]

nice hit guys...damn warburton POS!

[Vaughany]

good call...it was based on takedowns...

once again...you can`t wrestle and you`re often toast in the ufc...

Yeah Warburton has good takedowns and top control by UK fighter standards.

[illmatick]

nice call ecco and Vaughany. I definitely overestimated Maciej's takedown defense

[xelance]

yeah, that will teach me to not bet on a fighter that I dont know much about...lol

[Eccocide]

Tnx guys. How about Zhang quickest sub??? lol I hope that holds up!!!

[xelance]

looks good to me, and it will def. save my night if it hits. Horrible start for me so far..down about 10 units

[Vaughany]

Tnx guys. How about Zhang quickest sub??? lol I hope that holds up!!!

Ha yeah looks like we got tht one in the bag as well! Reinhardt is an absolute clown!