MD's House of Winnerz

**Vaughany** · 09-10-13, 03:59 AM

ha I must of been thinking of you and "Mexicons"!

MD · 09-10-13, 10:37 AM

17 Types Of People You See On "Jeremy Kyle"

http://www.buzzfeed.com/samjparker/17-types-of-people-you-see-on-jeremy-kyle

Jezza: bringing you the best of Britain, week in, week out.

**Vaughany** · 09-10-13, 11:19 AM

The perfect example of a buttertuff

MD · 09-10-13, 08:21 PM

Played Taylor -130 for WSoF 5. Really wanted Mutapcic at big dog odds, though. Think Taylor should be around -170 to -180, was expecting -220.

**Vaughany** · 09-11-13, 03:13 AM

Whilst on the subject of early morning/daytime trash TV in England, have you seen this Katie Hopkins woman who is just the ultimate troll! People are getting so angry over here because of this one woman! She's a sharp!

MD · 09-13-13, 04:19 PM

Jesus, Patricio Pitbull is a much better boxer than I thought he was, and I thought he was pretty damn good. I broke one of his fights down almost frame by frame (and literally frame by frame for some of it), and I'm very impressed.

Still dunno about dat Nunes fight though. As long as Nunes doesn't fight like he did in the Palaszewski fight (which is arguably his best performance, funnily), he can decision pretty much anyone if the judges like him enough, which they usually do.

MD · 09-14-13, 11:33 AM

10. Nik Lentz
9. Dustin Poirier
8. Chan Sung Jung
7. Frankie Edgar
6. Ricardo Lamas
5. Cub Swanson
4. Patricio Freire
3. Pat Curran
2. Chad Mendes
1. Jose Aldo

I'm reppin' dat "Bellator is underrated" crew, sons.

David Branch vs Dildo Villefort is shaping up to be the most boring fight of the year. Why am I surprised to see Mutapcic become a favourite over Taylor, by the way? Taylor is so aggressive that I expect him to win most of the time, although I absolutely can't stand the guy. I 'capped him at around -180 and I think that's being generous to the King, considering how easily he's been taken down by lesser wrestlers. It assumes that he's smart enough to fight a very smart fight and batter Taylor as much as he can. I've never wanted to lose money more than on this fight.

**NunyaBidness** · 09-14-13, 11:40 AM

Originally posted by MD

I've never wanted to lose money more than on this fight.

You're doing it wrong.

MD · 09-14-13, 11:56 AM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

You're doing it wrong.

GSP vs Diaz.

MD · 09-15-13, 05:18 PM

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/2575716-justin-bieber-floyd-mayweather-again.html#post19646106

Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

MD · 09-19-13, 02:26 PM

Played Not Jones KO -193 and Jones by sub or decision -150. Big value on both.

I like pretty much nothing on Bellator, and it may be because I didn't put much time into the card, but it looks really dry. Lima line was about right when it opened, can't underestimate Saunders. Not surprised to see War Machine get faded so hard, but his opponent is awful, so this isn't exactly a good spot to do it.

**Mercersux** · 09-19-13, 02:43 PM

Originally posted by MD

Played Not Jones KO -193 and Jones by sub or decision -150. Big value on both.

I like pretty much nothing on Bellator, and it may be because I didn't put much time into the card, but it looks really dry. Lima line was about right when it opened, can't underestimate Saunders. Not surprised to see War Machine get faded so hard, but his opponent is awful, so this isn't exactly a good spot to do it.

Surprised to see how much value there is in the prop lines considering how Huge of a favorite Bones is.

MD · 09-19-13, 02:49 PM

Originally posted by Mercersux

Surprised to see how much value there is in the prop lines considering how Huge of a favorite Bones is.

Jones is being overvalued I think. I 'cap him somewhere between -400 and -600. All it's going to take is Gustafsson avoiding the clinch, and this will be an interesting fight. If there was an o/u on double legs landed by Jones, I'd take the under, because I really only see him taking Gus down from the clinch or against the cage.

**mmaed** · 09-19-13, 02:53 PM

Originally posted by MD

Jones is being overvalued I think. I 'cap him somewhere between -400 and -600. All it's going to take is Gustafsson avoiding the clinch, and this will be an interesting fight. If there was an o/u on double legs landed by Jones, I'd take the under, because I really only see him taking Gus down from the clinch or against the cage.

Everyone is parlaying the sweet Jesus out of Jon Jones. Gustaffson +10.5 points at +310 is a nice line.

**Catchn_Picks** · 09-20-13, 07:54 AM

Good Luck this week MD...ty for posting. Looking forward to tomorrow night.

MD · 09-21-13, 03:11 PM

$437.50

$250.00

Pending

10/9/13 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1101 Erick Silva -175* vs Dong Hyun Kim

You ok Kalikas?

**Beelzebubzy** · 09-21-13, 03:20 PM

First time in a while I grabbed an opener before you penetrates moved the line

MD · 09-21-13, 03:24 PM

It's the only opener that matters, bro.

MD · 09-22-13, 12:55 AM

Cashed on every single one of my twitter plays and went +14.5u for the night. Great night, after a few very disappointing ones.

**PunisherIND** · 09-22-13, 08:21 AM

Originally posted by MD

Cashed on every single one of my twitter plays and went +14.5u for the night. Great night, after a few very disappointing ones.

solid! Great job

**omalley21** · 09-22-13, 10:25 AM

I thought those were just fliers?

MD · 09-22-13, 10:48 AM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

solid! Great job

Thanks bruhv. It's all thanks to the Gabers Criterion.

Originally posted by omalley21

I thought those were just fliers?

oh u

**Vaughany** · 09-22-13, 11:59 AM

Originally posted by omalley21

I thought those were just fliers?

No, they were flierz

**Beelzebubzy** · 09-22-13, 12:51 PM

Filkins

MD · 09-22-13, 12:55 PM

Attn: Nunya. My opinion of the Shields/Maia fight below. Just incase you're reading my thread, I know you hate hearing others' opinions before you've 'capped the fights.

Pounding Shields +255. Jesus, what a f-cking ridiculous line.

**Vaughany** · 09-22-13, 12:57 PM

Yee does seem off at first glance. Especially seeing as its highly likey to gomthe distance

MD · 09-22-13, 01:09 PM

Most will disagree with me, but I favour Shields here slightly. In a five round fight, why can't he decision Maia? I 'capped him at -150 off the top of my head. Don't expect it to change much with tape-watching, as they're both very easy to figure out. 60-40 Maia at absolute worst.

He can out-point Maia on the feet and probably hold him down without trouble once Maia gasses.

**mmaed** · 09-22-13, 01:18 PM

I am skeptical Shields can outpoint Maia on the feet. I mean when has Jake shields standup ever looked good? The best its ever been was in the Tyrone Woodley fight and it was after Woodley gassed. Maia at least started working on his striking after the Marquardt knock out. I think Maia wins the striking. I think Maia can probably win the wrestling too though it will be close. He took down Dong Hyun Kim, Rick Story and he Fitch'd Jon fitch. Shields cardio might be a bit better than Maia but keep in mind this fight is at 170. Shields cardio has looked like crap there before. Maia might be better than him everywhere.

**Beelzebubzy** · 09-22-13, 01:22 PM

When has Maia gassed? Weidman fight and that's it I I recall correctly

MD · 09-22-13, 01:40 PM

Originally posted by mmaed

I am skeptical Shields can outpoint Maia on the feet. I mean when has Jake shields standup ever looked good? The best its ever been was in the Tyrone Woodley fight and it was after Woodley gassed. Maia at least started working on his striking after the Marquardt knock out. I think Maia wins the striking. I think Maia can probably win the wrestling too though it will be close. He took down Dong Hyun Kim, Rick Story and he Fitch'd Jon fitch. Shields cardio might be a bit better than Maia but keep in mind this fight is at 170. Shields cardio has looked like crap there before. Maia might be better than him everywhere.

Jake Shields' standup has never looked good, and neither has Maia's, but Shields is excellent at doing exactly what he needs to do to outpoint people, even on the feet. It's all pitter patter jabs and low kicks.

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

When has Maia gassed? Weidman fight and that's it I I recall correctly

Grove. Munoz. Anderson. He even looked a bit tired at the end of the Fitch fight, and that was the slowest paced grappling match I've ever seen. Maia historically has horrible cardio.

**mmaed** · 09-22-13, 01:44 PM

Yeah I guess the pitter patter can win points for Shields. If he can lean him up against the cage wall early on and tire him out he has a chance. Frankly I think that's his best chance and will probably be his gameplan. I am going to watch Maia vs Fitch right now.

**Beelzebubzy** · 09-22-13, 02:02 PM

Don't recall those fights but Anderson. I remember scoring the Munoz fight for Maia. But not enough to critique heavily.
For the record I played shield at 190 yesterday. Think Maia should be the small fav however as MD said shields has the skill to neutralize Maia. Both are older with no striking power and both have decent chins. If better cappers say this should be a coin flip then I will have to bet the dog

MD · 09-22-13, 02:11 PM

I thought Maia beat Munoz, too. Pretty weak decision.

**Beelzebubzy** · 09-22-13, 02:22 PM

I played bisling at -160
think he could putwrestle Munoz

**mmaed** · 09-22-13, 02:28 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Don't recall those fights but Anderson. I remember scoring the Munoz fight for Maia. But not enough to critique heavily.
For the record I played shield at 190 yesterday. Think Maia should be the small fav however as MD said shields has the skill to neutralize Maia. Both are older with no striking power and both have decent chins. If better cappers say this should be a coin flip then I will have to bet the dog

Maia has more power standing than Jake. He rocked Munoz in their fight. The reason I think Shields might not be able to neutralize Maia is because Jon Fitch didn't even come close to doing it. I cant even remember any parts of that fight that were close. Fitch is very similar to Shields. I don't know which one of them is better but ya gotta admit its a close call. I think the best bet for shields is him be decision or with points. He probably cant knock out anyone and he isn't subbing maia.