Snowball's Live Chases & Fades

Snowball · 08-25-12, 02:32 PM

Originally posted by nosaij

100% agree mate! again, cant wait for HOCKEY TIME snow!!! GL

thanks and go Roger tonight. I have more $ on him to SO over 2.5
than anything else today.

nosaij · 08-26-12, 10:03 AM

keep on fading padre?

Snowball · 08-26-12, 10:16 AM

Braves chase completed (3)
Pirates chase completed (2)

Summary:
35 chases/fades won on 1st game
20 on 2nd game
6 on 3rd game
1 on 4th game
1 discontinued after 3rd
1 discontinued after 4th

well, here I am needing a 4th to complete a chase for
only the 3rd time in 63 (.047%). The Padres have won 6 straight.
when it goes to 4th, it's up to you guys and your bankroll
preferences if you want to play it or not. Saunders was scheduled
but is now being traded according to reports. So we don't know who
will pitch. I have other commitments and will not be available to make
the wager. Even if I were available, I wouldn't want to risk
a 4x on some pitcher being called up at the last second going
against a team who has won 6 straight.
I am ending the fade and will start these 3 new ones.

active
(1) Cubs chase +109
(1) Red Sox chase -137
(1) Yankees RL chase -101

nosaij · 08-26-12, 06:39 PM

nice hit!! missed the 3 new play damn. thank god you didnt fade padre haha

thekidfanky · 08-27-12, 08:23 AM

Nice sweeeeeeep!!

Snowball · 08-27-12, 08:52 AM

yeah good thing i ended the Padres fade. that would have hurt.
not sure when this ends yet. starting a couple today.

Cubs chase completed (1)
Red Sox chase completed (1)
Yankees RL chase completed (1)

Summary:
38 chases/fades won on 1st game
20 on 2nd game
6 on 3rd game
1 on 4th game
1 discontinued after 3rd
1 discontinued after 4th

active
Athletics RL chase +115
Orioles chase -114

nosaij · 08-27-12, 08:57 AM

yaay you updated before my bed time hahahaha. cheers

Snowball · 08-27-12, 02:25 PM

Originally posted by nosaij

yaay you updated before my bed time hahahaha. cheers

where you from bud ? time zone

nosaij · 08-27-12, 06:17 PM

australia. so 7pm for you is 9am for me.

nosaij · 08-27-12, 06:17 PM

and there is only 1 channel that shows bball haha, so sad

jimmy007oc · 08-27-12, 09:17 PM

thekidfanky · 08-27-12, 09:35 PM

jimmy007oc · 08-28-12, 12:31 AM

It seems like really weird to me cuz we're making money in this Thread, and this thread only has about 110 replies + 3000 views @_@

nosaij · 08-28-12, 04:05 AM

its le secret

ridims · 08-28-12, 06:48 AM

keep it going. been hot

Snowball · 08-28-12, 07:25 AM

Originally posted by nosaij

and there is only 1 channel that shows bball haha, so sad

but you can watch the free internet feeds, and get a PC ready tv...

Orioles chase completed (1)
Athletics RL chase completed (1)

Summary:
40 chases/fades won on 1st game
20 on 2nd game
6 on 3rd game
1 on 4th game
1 discontinued after 3rd
1 discontinued after 4th

active
(1) Braves RL chase +105
(1) Dodgers RL chase -105

nosaij · 08-28-12, 07:49 AM

thekidfanky · 08-28-12, 12:27 PM

Or u could get mlbtv its only $10 for the rest of the year...they mite still have the.promotion up

Snowball · 08-29-12, 08:51 AM

Braves RL chase completed (1)

Summary:
41 chases/fades won on 1st game
20 on 2nd game
6 on 3rd game
1 on 4th game
1 discontinued after 3rd
1 discontinued after 4th

active
(2) Dodgers RL chase +125
~~(1) Phillies chase -159~~
(1) Nationals chase -127

nosaij · 08-29-12, 11:33 AM

hey snow. phillies pitcher changed. still on it?

Snowball · 08-29-12, 12:15 PM

Originally posted by nosaij

hey snow. phillies pitcher changed. still on it?

no, i won't back Cloyd. His big league debut, no thanks. I only started the chase
because of Hamels. Take Mets +120 still to win whatever was bet on Philly and
scratch that.

Snowball · 08-30-12, 07:57 AM

Dodgers RL chase completed (2)
Nationals chase completed (1)

Summary:
42 chases/fades won on 1st game
21 on 2nd game
6 on 3rd game
1 on 4th game
1 discontinued after 3rd
1 discontinued after 4th

active
(1) Tigers chase -129
(1) Cardinals chase +102
(1) Athletics chase -105

nosaij · 08-30-12, 08:22 AM

thanks for the fast picks haha. How did you know i have to wake up in 7 hours for uni tomr!!

Snowball · 08-30-12, 08:27 AM

Originally posted by nosaij

thanks for the fast picks haha. How did you know i have to wake up in 7 hours for uni tomr!!

why go to uni ? this is our career.

Riceboi · 08-30-12, 12:22 PM

so with cards and tigers they are both coming off of 2 loses in a row. Are you pretty much chasing them because you don't think they will lose anywhere from 3-6 games in a row?

Snowball · 08-30-12, 03:57 PM

Originally posted by Riceboi

so with cards and tigers they are both coming off of 2 loses in a row. Are you pretty much chasing them because you don't think they will lose anywhere from 3-6 games in a row?

yeah i look at the streaks but i also look at the level of competition, and odds. I avoid starting ML chases on teams which are going to be huge favorites anytime over the next 2-3 games, those are the one's I do as RL.
Parity is important, teams which are closely evaluated..
as the season winds down, I've pretty much stopped backing
teams which don't have anything to play for because I don't
trust their motivation.
Earlier posts in this thread I explain my strategy in more details.

Snowball · 08-31-12, 08:09 AM

Athletics chase completed (1)

Summary:
43 chases/fades won on 1st game
21 on 2nd game
6 on 3rd game
1 on 4th game
1 discontinued after 3rd
1 discontinued after 4th

active
(2) Tigers chase -139
(2) Cardinals chase -105

2daBank · 08-31-12, 08:28 AM

snow i dont know if you consider things that may happen in mist of a series chase and not trying to mess with your success here as like i said from jump "i knew this would be successful thread" but i thought i would mention that furcal may have been lost for season last night and that has a huge impact on what cards do defensively, with him out at short delscalso i would think has to move to ss and while that guy is one hard working sob he simply doesnt have the range of a furcal, and just as bad is if he moves to short that mean shoe has to replace him at 2nd which is a pretty big drop off as well..with my guy wainwright on hill you wouldnt think this be as big a deal but he has one of highest gb rates in the league and hard not to think there be at least a few balls get thru that normally wouldnt and another double play or 2 get botched, all that leads to waino having to get 4 maybe 5 outs in several innings this gm which id expect him to battle but that may be to much to overcome when you considered cards be hard pressed to plate many of Gio, another downside to furcal out is he a switch hitter while descalso and skip both lefties that gonna have to be in, plus jay and basically all the table setters on a slumping team will be lefty on lefty..you know i luv my cards bro and as mentioned this ur bbq and it taste good, just pointing out something i think may make it worth considering just dropping them before it gets to deep...

Snowball · 08-31-12, 09:58 AM

i understand, 2da, and I wouldn't be taking Cards tonight as a spot bettor,
but I won't cancel the chase on Gm2 with low odds.. the odds are only -105
so that's not expensive.
if they lose tonight, i won't cancel them on Gm3 either..
that's just how this works.

2daBank · 08-31-12, 10:06 AM

right on brother, in reality i still dont think they get swept, just have a hard time backing these guys w/o a legit ss in the gm, that said i didnt think you would cancel and you wont get wainwright any cheaper and he capable of winning the gm himself if he has to..gl brother

Snowball · 08-31-12, 12:40 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

right on brother, in reality i still dont think they get swept, just have a hard time backing these guys w/o a legit ss in the gm, that said i didnt think you would cancel and you wont get wainwright any cheaper and he capable of winning the gm himself if he has to..gl brother

gl on your plays also - i'm still undecided on when to end this thread's plays this season
but it isn't far away - looking forward to applying the same to NHL.
it's not easy to resist the temptation to spot bet - but the money makes it easier.

jimmy007oc · 08-31-12, 12:51 PM

^ when NHL begin bro???

2daBank · 08-31-12, 01:01 PM

Originally posted by Snowball

gl on your plays also - i'm still undecided on when to end this thread's plays this season
but it isn't far away - looking forward to applying the same to NHL.
it's not easy to resist the temptation to spot bet - but the money makes it easier.

hopefully they have a nhl season as i would like to follow along, i check this thread out from time to time and jump in on a series but just impossible for me to bet a sport i know like this all yr, luckily i have no delusions of grandeur when it comes to hockey so it be easy to just tag along and count money!!

Snowball · 08-31-12, 04:15 PM

Originally posted by jimmy007oc

^ when NHL begin bro???

October 11 - although they are still working on a labor agreement.

Snowball · 09-01-12, 09:17 AM

Tigers chase completed (2)

Summary:
43 chases/fades won on 1st game
22 on 2nd game
6 on 3rd game
1 on 4th game
1 discontinued after 3rd
1 discontinued after 4th

active
(3) Cardinals chase +102
(1) Pirates chase +116
(1) Yankees RL chase +141
(1) Rangers RL chase -105

note on Cardinals: they are still a half game up on the Wild Card. Today and tomorrow in Washington, then coming home to a series hosting the Mets. I intend to chase the Cardinals until they win.