2012 Picks

No coincidences · 06-28-12, 01:08 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

i have no doubt you will turn things around brother, you picked a really bad time to play damn near every dog available the last 2 days but hey anyone who acts like they havnt been cold is prob a big pussy with a rock avatar and crys about how he cant get girls on some dating chat site..

It is what it is. Yes, I picked a bad time to back dogs and make so many plays. Just a whirlwind of awful calls. I'm reeling a little right now Banker.

To be honest, I still haven't recovered from losing a 15U play on Philly when Lee was up 5-2 in the 8th at Toronto. My confidence has been off ever since, and I have no business making as many plays as I'm making.

No coincidences · 06-28-12, 01:10 AM

PIT -103 (1.03U to win 1)

blackeyeshamus · 06-28-12, 01:12 AM

hold fast, noco!
we're long haul truckers
not flash in the pan hobbyists,
after all. best of luck, sir.

blackeyeshamus · 06-28-12, 01:14 AM

good number on pitt.
5dimes was juiced @ -110, already...
but I booked the bucs for 1u. let's get 'em!
good luck tomorrow. thanks.

No coincidences · 06-28-12, 01:15 AM

Hard to back Burnett blackeye, but Kendrick is Kendrick which means we'll see that awful Philly pen.

lunchbawks · 06-28-12, 01:17 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Hard to back Burnett blackeye, but Kendrick is Kendrick which means we'll see that awful Philly pen.

are you kidding me burnett is having a career year. if theres ever a time to drop 15x its on pitt FF or game

philly will not win this game

No coincidences · 06-28-12, 01:19 AM

Originally posted by lunchbawks

are you kidding me burnett is having a career year. if theres ever a time to drop 15x its on pitt FF or game

philly will not win this game

I just mean that every time I take AJB, he regresses into old AJB.

2daBank · 06-28-12, 01:23 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

It is what it is. Yes, I picked a bad time to back dogs and make so many plays. Just a whirlwind of awful calls. I'm reeling a little right now Banker.

To be honest, I still haven't recovered from losing a 15U play on Philly when Lee was up 5-2 in the 8th at Toronto. My confidence has been off ever since, and I have no business making as many plays as I'm making.

you have certainly been firing at a machine gun pace as of late..problem with machine guns is they hard to aim...

i remember the tor/phi gm, i passed just cause didnt trust him or team but that was certainly a tough one 2 swallow i imagine.. just take a breath and find you a couple upcoming series to focus on that you know you can bag a winner or 2 out of at some point over coarse of series...

only thing im touching during the day is nats/rox ov 11...not much to explain i havnt said in several threads of my own and others last few days talking bout this series..obviously the humidor isnt working these days at Coors, we pretty much know we gonna see 3-4 innings of rox pen (minimum), while i dont like nats vs lefties this is now 4th day in a row they will see a lefty and have been producing..Jackson been freakishly consistent for him this season, while that is fine he has a track record of the exact opposite and if memory serves me right has been tagged once or twice at Coors..probably a super square day over as after last 2 gms id imagine ppl will come around to betting this over but ive made a commitment to either playing rox rrl at home when i think they can steal one or over if not.. no reason to stop going to the well until they give me reason to stop..

Hall2Collie · 06-28-12, 02:13 AM

Haven't been on here in a good while but it's good to see this thread is still going strong (despite a recent rough patch)

Are you planning on backing Bauer/D'backs tomorrow? Kid has disgusting stuff and nobody has seen him in the Majors yet.

Originally posted by lunchbawks

are you kidding me burnett is having a career year. if theres ever a time to drop 15x its on pitt FF or game

philly will not win this game

You just have to hope he doesn't give you one of those 3IP 11ER 5BB 3HR type of games that he is famous for every month or two.

EXhoosier10 · 06-28-12, 09:45 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

1-8, -10.3U today
243-259, -23.94U thread

3-15, -22.93U last two days. Can say I've never done that before in such a short period of time -- miss 15 of 18 bets. First time for everything I guess.

I've been up 20 plus units and down 20 plus units over the course of this thread, so I have no choice but to start digging back out of the mess I've made for myself in the last 52 brutal hours.

No worries, NC. I was on a similarly torrid pace from the beginning of the season all of the way through May 28th, hitting a solid 41% over 120 bets and being down ~35 units.

Your avi is the perfect description of the feeling that you go through on one of these streaks; at least you're picking something right.

No coincidences · 06-28-12, 10:47 AM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

No worries, NC. I was on a similarly torrid pace from the beginning of the season all of the way through May 28th, hitting a solid 41% over 120 bets and being down ~35 units.

Your avi is the perfect description of the feeling that you go through on one of these streaks; at least you're picking something right.

Biggest problem is trusting your stuff. Hard to do that when your system is failing. Easy to get short-sighted and frustrated over a few bad days and feel like nothing will go right again.

No coincidences · 06-28-12, 10:48 AM

Originally posted by Hall2Collie

Haven't been on here in a good while but it's good to see this thread is still going strong (despite a recent rough patch)

Are you planning on backing Bauer/D'backs tomorrow? Kid has disgusting stuff and nobody has seen him in the Majors yet.

You just have to hope he doesn't give you one of those 3IP 11ER 5BB 3HR type of games that he is famous for every month or two.

Good to see you posting here man. You playing any baseball this year?

No coincidences · 06-28-12, 10:49 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

you have certainly been firing at a machine gun pace as of late..problem with machine guns is they hard to aim...

i remember the tor/phi gm, i passed just cause didnt trust him or team but that was certainly a tough one 2 swallow i imagine.. just take a breath and find you a couple upcoming series to focus on that you know you can bag a winner or 2 out of at some point over coarse of series...

only thing im touching during the day is nats/rox ov 11...not much to explain i havnt said in several threads of my own and others last few days talking bout this series..obviously the humidor isnt working these days at Coors, we pretty much know we gonna see 3-4 innings of rox pen (minimum), while i dont like nats vs lefties this is now 4th day in a row they will see a lefty and have been producing..Jackson been freakishly consistent for him this season, while that is fine he has a track record of the exact opposite and if memory serves me right has been tagged once or twice at Coors..probably a super square day over as after last 2 gms id imagine ppl will come around to betting this over but ive made a commitment to either playing rox rrl at home when i think they can steal one or over if not.. no reason to stop going to the well until they give me reason to stop..

I like the over, the Rockies TT over and the Nats TT over. No reason this can't be a 12-13 run game minimum.

ridims · 06-28-12, 11:19 AM

Ruiz ? Utley ? Not in lineup today?

Any idea why?

DiamondBack · 06-28-12, 11:28 AM

Originally posted by ridims

Any idea why?

Just says rest on sportsoptions.

No coin: Props to you and how you run your thread. Usually check in everyday. Cheers and good luck going forward.

EXhoosier10 · 06-28-12, 11:37 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Biggest problem is trusting your stuff. Hard to do that when your system is failing. Easy to get short-sighted and frustrated over a few bad days and feel like nothing will go right again.

That's the worst part. I added a few more hitting indicators to look at a few weeks ago, but I don't think it does much as I'm still using the old system to corroborate with the new one. On the bright side, the last two days came on the same set of series', so at least it's not a sample that spans over a large grouping; sometimes teams are just overmatched.

Lighten the unit-load a little bit until you get on another hot streak. It feels infinitely worse when you try getting it all back at once and those lose too.

No coincidences · 06-28-12, 11:38 AM

Originally posted by DiamondBack

Just says rest on sportsoptions.

No coin: Props to you and how you run your thread. Usually check in everyday. Cheers and good luck going forward.

Thanks. Sorry the results haven't been better. At least I'm good fade material right now.

Ralphie1412 · 06-28-12, 12:59 PM

You are awful at this.

No coincidences · 06-28-12, 01:04 PM

COL TT over 5 +100 (1U to win 1)

No coincidences · 06-28-12, 01:25 PM

Originally posted by Ralphie1412

You are awful at this.

Because I've had two bad days? I'm sure you've never hit a cold stretch before....

I'm sorry you hate your life.

No coincidences · 06-28-12, 01:26 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

COL TT over 5 +100 (1U to win 1)

Adding another unit to this. I think the Rockies win, but I'm not about to back Outman.

No coincidences · 06-28-12, 03:21 PM

I didn't get a chance to see the late movement in Colorado -- talk about the books striking back with a vengeance. Did you see where the Rockies ML closed at Pinny vs. Bovada?

2-0, +3U this afternoon. I'll take it to stop the bleeding a little.

2daBank · 06-28-12, 03:23 PM

that how you hit a over son...3rd inning ov 11, i luv me some Coors field..

Hall2Collie · 06-28-12, 04:15 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Good to see you posting here man. You playing any baseball this year?

Yeah.

Looking at SD, ARI and CIN tonight.

No coincidences · 06-28-12, 04:43 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

that how you hit a over son...3rd inning ov 11, i luv me some Coors field..

I should've gone with my gut and played all three overs (TT's and game). Holy scorefest.

No coincidences · 06-28-12, 05:08 PM

TOR +124 (1U to win 1.24)

TOR TT over 4 (1.2U to win 1)
OAK TT over 4.5 (1.3U to win 1)
CHW TT over 4 (1.3U to win 1)

Might play Seattle and Cincy later.

No coincidences · 06-28-12, 05:25 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

TOR +124 (1U to win 1.24)

TOR TT over 4 (1.2U to win 1)
OAK TT over 4.5 (1.3U to win 1)
CHW TT over 4 (1.3U to win 1)

Might play Seattle and Cincy later.

CHW +1.5 -120 (1.2U to win 1)

No coincidences · 06-28-12, 05:27 PM

Lean Arizona and Tampa, but no plays there.

No coincidences · 06-28-12, 05:33 PM

SD -102 (1.02U to win 1)

So much for narrowing down my plays.

No coincidences · 06-28-12, 05:41 PM

Adding a unit to the Pads, and adding the White Sox ML for a unit at +163.

I'm out of control.

Dexter · 06-28-12, 07:11 PM

NC...from a pure #'s standpoint, what was the play on total tex/oak?

No coincidences · 06-28-12, 09:03 PM

CIN +108 (1U to win 1.08)

Hall2Collie · 06-29-12, 12:07 AM

Originally posted by Hall2Collie

Yeah.

Looking at SD, ARI and CIN tonight.

Originally posted by No coincidences

SD -102 (1.02U to win 1)

So much for narrowing down my plays.

2 out of 3 ain't bad. Glad to see we both hit lucky with the AA Grand Slam.

No coincidences · 06-29-12, 12:29 AM

8-2, +7.63U today
251-261, -16.31U thread

1Time! · 06-29-12, 02:07 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

8-2, +7.63U today
251-261, -16.31U thread

Hey NC, never post in your thread & rarely actually post at all.. but do use your thread amongst others for valuable insight & thoughts.. its a long road ahead but wishing you all the best mate!