Mlb 2012

BiffTFinancial · 07-19-12, 08:10 AM

Wednesday 7.18.2012 final card
2* Cardinals -1 (-110) - LOSER
2* Pirates ML (-117) - WINNER
2* Angels ML (-107) - LOSER
2* Giants/Braves over 8.5 (+102) - WINNER
2* Tribe/Rays under 8 (-115) - LOSER
2* Cubs ML (+105) - WINNER
2* Twins RL (+125) - LOSER
1* Phillies/Dodgers under 6 (-105) - LOSER
1* Pirates RL (+140) - WINNER
1* Angels RL (+155) - LOSER

4-6 -3.15u

252-334-13 +28.18u season to date

BiffTFinancial · 07-19-12, 08:11 AM

Originally posted by Madison

Many many years and you can sense things. The trick is to react properly based on those FELLINGS. Tough thing as we've discussed before but dogging bullets is part of a successful gambler!!!

indeed. picking winners is easier than avoiding losses. figure out how to avoid the losses that look like winners and then you've got something.

BiffTFinancial · 07-19-12, 08:15 AM

taking a break. everything's cool, no cause for concern. BOL to all, look forward to talking games with you guys soon.

Madison · 07-19-12, 08:52 AM

At the pace you've been cranking out plays recently well advised. Play some golf, clear head, come back strong.

Although you may cost me as I'm wishing ill upon myself ... looking at Buehrle/Maholm under ... day game Wrigley???

BiffTFinancial · 07-19-12, 09:03 AM

Originally posted by Madison

At the pace you've been cranking out plays recently well advised. Play some golf, clear head, come back strong.

Although you may cost me as I'm wishing ill upon myself ... looking at Buehrle/Maholm under ... day game Wrigley???

Yeah looked at my cards the last 2 days and disappointed in myself. When I don't have time to do it properly, better to hit the bench.

Haven't capped/looked at these factors quantitatively at all, but ump, weather, park, SPs, lineups struggles vs lefties all support under. BOL if you play it Madison.

EXhoosier10 · 07-19-12, 09:14 AM

I'm dumb

Madison · 07-19-12, 09:14 AM

Thanks, have a great break.

BiffTFinancial · 07-19-12, 09:34 AM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Should be pretty humid with all the rain we had last nigth and this morning. Cousins is also an over ump (bottom 15 in strike called, bottom 10 in strikeouts, top 10 in walks issued over L3 years). Both teams suck at hitting LHP though, so it's not a sure thing. Line opens at 8, I'll bite on the over; unless I see plus odds at 8.5, probably be no play for me.

Lahair out for the Cubs (expected, facing a lefty)

I thought it was Cousins last night and Kulpa today? Not able to check right now. Oh well, catch yous guys later and BOL whatever you decide.

EXhoosier10 · 07-19-12, 09:41 AM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

I thought it was Cousins last night and Kulpa today? Not able to check right now. Oh well, catch yous guys later and BOL whatever you decide.

Dyslexia got the best of me on Tuesday. Thanks for the heads up -- enjoy your day(s) off

BiffTFinancial · 07-25-12, 08:11 AM

Wednesday 7.25.2012
2* Parlay: Nationals ML + Angels ML (+124)
2* Braves/Marlins over 7' (-113)
2* Brewers/Phillies under 8' (-116)

may add night games later. BOL to all today.

silvap · 07-25-12, 10:43 AM

Great to see you back sir, best of luck on your plays

italianbandit · 07-25-12, 10:57 AM

Hey Biff, nice to see ya. Good luck. I like the Angels here.

HOT WINGS · 07-25-12, 12:09 PM

Like the parlay Biff gl

hydrosmak · 07-25-12, 12:30 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

Wednesday 7.25.2012
2* Parlay: Nationals ML + Angels ML (+124)
2* Braves/Marlins over 7' (-113)
2* Brewers/Phillies under 8' (-116)

may add night games later. BOL to all today.

Been chasing that Miami home over without much luck lately. Hopefully it hits!

BiffTFinancial · 07-25-12, 05:57 PM

Originally posted by silvap

Great to see you back sir, best of luck on your plays

Originally posted by italianbandit

Hey Biff, nice to see ya. Good luck. I like the Angels here.

Originally posted by HOT WINGS

Like the parlay Biff gl

thanks a lot, fellas. great to see you. Phils pen blew the under, but can't complain about 2-1 start. lean Tigers, Tigers/Tribe under, Rays/O's over in 7 pm games but passing. got really busy with work this afternoon and haven't had time to look as closely as i'd like. have interest in some 8 pm games so will take a closer look there. lean Reds/Astros under, Dodgers/Cards under, Cards, Dbacks, Rockies/Dbacks under.

BiffTFinancial · 07-25-12, 05:58 PM

Originally posted by hydrosmak

Been chasing that Miami home over without much luck lately. Hopefully it hits!

yeah, those Miami home overs sure have cooled off of late. glad that we hit today.

BiffTFinancial · 07-25-12, 06:00 PM

under in Tribe game has a lot of potential, but there is a serious wind out to center.

BiffTFinancial · 07-25-12, 06:59 PM

adding

2* Dodgers/Cardinals first five innings under 5 (+110)
2* Diamondbacks RL (+110)

Wednesday 7.25.2012 updated card
2* Parlay: Nationals ML + Angels ML (+124) - WINNER
2* Braves/Marlins over 7' (-113) - WINNER
2* Brewers/Phillies under 8' (-116) - LOSER
2* Dodgers/Cardinals FF under 5 (+110)
2* Diamondbacks RL (+110)

lost 5c juice on each by waiting. bah. could've played Cards FF under at 5' -115. we'll see how that works out. BOL to all tonight.

BiffTFinancial · 07-25-12, 07:01 PM

Choo doubles off the wall. Rick Manning: "One more piece of sushi and that one's outta here!"

blackeyeshamus · 07-25-12, 07:41 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

Choo doubles off the wall. Rick Manning: "One more piece of sushi and that one's outta here!"

hydrosmak · 07-25-12, 07:46 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

yeah, those Miami home overs sure have cooled off of late. glad that we hit today.

BiffTFinancial · 07-26-12, 04:49 AM

Week 16 ended during my break and never wrapped that up:

SEASON TO DATE
Week 1: 4-10 -15.46u 
Week 2: 18-22-1 -7.67u 
Week 3: 27-12-2 +27.71u 
Week 4: 25-8-1 +40.24u 
Week 5: 20-15 +10.73u
Week 6: 11-18-1 -18.72u
Week 7: 15-14-1 +3.25u
Week 8: 17-16-1 -0.75u
Week 9: 16-19 -5.29u
Week 10: 19-13-1 +12.01u
Week 11: 8-8 +0.53u
Week 12: 15-15-2 +1.57u
Week 13: 23-14-1 +10.5u
Week 14: 20-22-1 for -8.19u
Week 15: 5-16 for -20.37u
Week 16: 9-10 for -1.81u

Overall: 252-234-13 for +28.28u

BiffTFinancial · 07-26-12, 04:50 AM

Wednesday 7.25.2012 final card
2* Parlay: Nationals ML + Angels ML (+124) - WINNER
2* Braves/Marlins over 7' (-113) - WINNER
2* Brewers/Phillies under 8' (-116) - LOSER
2* Dodgers/Cardinals FF under 5 (+110) - WINNER
2* Diamondbacks RL (+110) - LOSER

3-2 +2.36u

255-236-13 +30.64u season to date

BiffTFinancial · 07-26-12, 05:48 AM

Thursday 7.26.2012
2* Rays/Orioles under 9 (-108)

BiffTFinancial · 07-26-12, 01:19 PM

adding

2* Pirates -1 (-128)
2* Royals/Mariners under 7 (-121)

Thursday 7.26.2012 updated card
2* Rays/Orioles under 9 (-108)
2* Pirates -1 (-128)
2* Royals/Mariners under 7 (-121)

kicking myself for not playing M's under this morning at -105. want to play Verlander/Tribe over 7 but not crazy about the proposition of paying 20c+ juice on three different plays.

BOL to all today.

Rick22 · 07-26-12, 05:15 PM

Best of luck tonite Biff - I'm pretty much waiting for football, but I like your Pirate play and I like the Nats TT over 3' - Yovani has pitched better lately, but the pen is total garbage.

BiffTFinancial · 07-26-12, 05:56 PM

cash Rays/O's under. almost got fkd by bullpen shenanigans (first two guys in 9th got on before DP).

serious thunderstorms in Cleveland have me liking the over even more, but passing.

BiffTFinancial · 07-26-12, 05:58 PM

Originally posted by Rick22

Best of luck tonite Biff - I'm pretty much waiting for football, but I like your Pirate play and I like the Nats TT over 3' - Yovani has pitched better lately, but the pen is total garbage.

what's up, Rick? good to see you, pal. yeah, i like Pirates a lot tonight, and backing a Pittsburgh team does not come naturally to me. Rats rake against lefties and Keuchel's a prime candidate to get lit up by them in my book. BOL tonight, man. haven't capped Nats/Brewers yet, haven't had time, but gonna check it out now.... if the roof is open at Miller, that TT over might really have some potential.

Rick22 · 07-26-12, 06:17 PM

Rained earlier here 50 mile west, but it's nice now - but who knows - sometimes they close the roof in anticipation.

BiffTFinancial · 07-26-12, 06:32 PM

Originally posted by Rick22

Rained earlier here 50 mile west, but it's nice now - but who knows - sometimes they close the roof in anticipation.

thanks, Rick. tweeted Bernie Brewer and they haven't responded yet, but just got the word over at CTG that roof should be open. i have Nats at just over 4 runs without park factor or ump factor. Tim Welke behind the plate, and he's been weird this year but traditionally an over guy. depending upon how to adjust for roof (admittedly not easy to do), you could easily argue for an adjustment that puts this in the 4.75-5 range. ball really carries with roof open and Nats will get 27 outs, that we know (tend to like road teams over, home teams under). will probably play it, trying to decide if i want to go 1* or 2* given how much chalk i'm already eating.

BiffTFinancial · 07-26-12, 06:43 PM

adding

1* Parlay: Pirates ML + Nationals team total over 3.5 (+190)

Thursday 7.26.2012 updated card
2* Rays/Orioles under 9 (-108) - WINNER
2* Pirates -1 (-128)
2* Royals/Mariners under 7 (-121)
1* Parlay: Pirates ML + Nationals TT over 3' (+190)

Rick22 · 07-26-12, 07:39 PM

That was quick !

BiffTFinancial · 07-26-12, 07:41 PM

Originally posted by Rick22

That was quick !

Great call, my friend.

Rick22 · 07-26-12, 07:41 PM

Wish I had played the parley.

BiffTFinancial · 07-26-12, 07:42 PM

Originally posted by Rick22

Wish I had played the parley.

Need those Rats to hold this 5-0 lead.