Monday 7.16.2012
2* Tribe ML (+118)
2* Mariners Ml (+101)
2* Tribe ML (+118)
2* Mariners Ml (+101)
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adding
2* Brewers ML (-108)
Monday 7.16.2012 updated card
2* Tribe ML (+118)
2* Mariners ML (+101)
2* Brewers ML (-108)Comment -
was just looking at sea as well. only bothersome thing to me is vargas splits are much worse vs lefties the last few years, not sure that outweighs fact kc isnt good vs lefties?
ton of big time over guys floating around so after taking a day off from over @ coors i jumped on 10.5 early as think ceiling is high there with way bucs swinging the bats..
on same note i did a nyy/ov parlay, who cares that even tho i was kinda right on most the nyy/laa series i made all the right bets on wrong days (fuk me, lol)
dbags/cincy is very interesting to me, redlegs after a cards series (especially one they swept) tend to let down at times, dbags coming off the always embarrassing almost never seen feat of being swept by the scrubbies, if it wasnt a lefty going for zona i would really like them, still lean that way but cincy loves them some lefties...imo Arroyo been pitching over his head as of late and is in a good spot to get touched up, not to mention cincy used their pen quite a bit in 1st 2 gms of cards series...maybe over better option, why it have to be a lefty pitching for zona?
i saw what you put as best guess for my lean in thread bout cards yesterday, you were close, ff was def where i would have been but it would have been under...think that may very well apply today as well, Lynn has had a ton of rest and id expect him to be fresh and ready, i havnt really seen fiers but a cat at ctg gave pretty good thoughts on him in the daily thread this morning and doesnt hurt cards have few issues atm, again they struggling to plate runners (or even move them over for that matter), as i mentioned fri, i looked at return of puma as not the good thing a lot of ppl thought it was as it gives a moron like Matheny a lot to think about and i stand by statement that stl best option for starting everyday at 1st is Craig...Comment -
on a unrelated to sports note, although i enjoyed 1st breaking bad show of season it kinda pissed me off not once was there any meth around or even mentioned! personally i would have opened with huge piles of that blue shit (lol), Walt is a bad mf'er tho, luv that guy...Comment -
i basically decided to pass on totals today because of not knowing umps (except in Miami) and i won't be around for ump assignments because golfing tonight. my two big total leans are Coors over and Trop under (respective ranges of 11.65-11.9 and 6.9-7.25 for those). however, i know from CTG that big over guys like McC, Holbrook and Reynolds are potentially up tonight, which is great, but B Miller, Bellino and Cuzzi also up. if one of them is at Coors, my projection for that game falls to around 10.7-11 which is not enough margin for me to play it; same if McC, Holbrook or Reynolds end up at Trop. neutral or over ump at Coors would be solid, same with neutral or under at Trop.
Dbacks and Reds is interesting series, i hear you on not liking that Reds face a lefty in a spot where you want to fade them. also worth noting that Dbacks produce far less against righties themselves, so while i agree that Arroyo should regress, not sure that it begins tonight.
my other leans are Tigers and Phils, but may just stick with these 3 and try to snap out of this funk.
excellent call last week on Puma's return not being all roses for Cards lineup. that said, how much did you love seeing him come all the way around to score on Yadi's double? felt like i was rooting for a race horse on that one. "c'mon, boy. go, go, go!" also great that Puma got on to begin with because his wheels so petrified Votto that he couldn't pick up the slow roller.Comment -
it would be great if they did an homage to Scarface with Jesse putting his face into a huge pill of blue on a long formal table. i guess that, right now, there is no blue around period, at least not where Walt and Jesse could get to it, but i hear you on it being completely absent. they've done some hairbrained crazy shit, but an old uhaul with a giant magnet tilted against the cop station at a 60 degree angle is a great image that's up there with any of them (another favorite of mine was the image of the methhead shoveling in his front yard last season - "Tucker!").
really miss Gustavo Fring, but he obviously had to go. great actor in that he conveys so much with body language by his absence of movement (Marlo from The Wire being a notable example of similar style). not easy to come off as incredibly scary and evil while barely moving.Comment -
adding
2* Angels/Tigers over 10 (-101)
goff pushed back to tomorrow night so got to see ump assignments after all, like Holbrook in Detroit with Santana and Porcello.
Monday 7.16.2012 updated card
2* Angels/Tigers over 10 (-101)
2* Tribe ML (+118)
2* Mariners ML (+101)
2* Brewers ML (-108)
BOL to all tonight.Comment -
Good luck Biff on Tribe and Tigers Over 10 and TT O 4.5. Like Brewers and Mariners but took the over in both those gamesComment -
like Phils in late games, may add later.Comment -
Watching Tribe game and they are showing Wegner at home plate.
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it makes no sense. Miller hasn't normally worked with this crew, i don't think (he was always with Hoye first couple of months). right before All-Star Break, he had the plate with Carapazza, Iassogna and Bucknor. tonight's Tribe crew appears to be Wegner, D Scott, Iassogna and Bucknor. the good news, if there is any, is that Wegner was over ump last year but has skewed under bigtime so far this season (so much so that he's currently on my avoid list). BOL, man, hope that it works out.Comment -
i just noticed they offering me +121 to fade kip "garbage ass" wells? and i get a lefty against pads offense in sd where their bats go to sleep...not sure which "sharp" drove this line, and honestly dont care that hou has only 9 road wins, all i care bout is i get + money against kip wells, id take my nephews T-ball team vs kip wells at + money....Comment -
Nice card Biff.
I think this is a good spot for Eovaldi and the Dodgers, +104. (I edited the line to +104, which is what I meant, Bovada has it. )Comment -
Yeah lean Stros there but passing. Like Phil's better.
i just noticed they offering me +121 to fade kip "garbage ass" wells? and i get a lefty against pads offense in sd where their bats go to sleep...not sure which "sharp" drove this line, and honestly dont care that hou has only 9 road wins, all i care bout is i get + money against kip wells, id take my nephews T-ball team vs kip wells at + money....Comment -
Monday 7.16.2012 final card
2* Angels/Tigers over 10 (-101) - WINNER
2* Tribe ML (+118) - WINNER
2* Mariners ML (+101) - WINNER
2* Brewers ML (-108) - LOSER
3-1 +4.22u
was an Axford blown save away from the 4-0 sweep. that guy can go eat a bag o dicks. err, that is, he can go eat another bag o dicks. late leans were solid, should've played em but no shame in keeping the card small to get back in the right direction.
246-225-13 +34.31u season to dateComment -
way to get things turned around brother...cant say that im upset cards came back and won seeing how we really needed a w (no money on them tho, just u ff, told ya lynn be good after time off)..
running late and havnt did a damn thing on this card. hope to be home somewhat early seeing how it gonna be another 100 fukkin degree day (cept now the humidity high like normal here
)
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Tuesday 7.17.2012
2* Yankees RL (-115)
2* Cardinals ML (-111)
2* Rockies ML (-118)Comment -
other leans considering
Mets
Marlins
Dbacks
Twins
A's
Angels/Tigers over 10
White Sox/Red Sox over 10
Astros/Padres under 7Comment -
Biff I am with you on Yankees & Cardinals but am playing TT o5.5 for Yankees and TT o4.5 for Cardinals. Your RL & ML look solid as well.
I also played Red Sox TT o5.5 vs White Sox.
On leans I also have an eye on Tigers TT o5. And the A's TT o3.5 and ML are very tempting with mystery man Oswalt on mound.
And I am leaning toward Cubs FF +100 vs Marlins but we both recall that betting the Cubs is generally painful.Comment -
adding
2* Angels/Tigers over 10 (-117)
2* Astros/Padres under 7 (-115)
Tuesday 7.17.2012
2* Yankees RL (-115)
2* Angels/Tigers over 10 (-117)
2* Cardinals ML (-111)
2* Rockies ML (-118)
2* Astros/Padres under 7 (-115)
look at all those minus numbers, what a fkn square. BOL to all tonight.Comment -
Hahahahahahahah "fukn square" hahahahaha
Best of luck to you, sir. You're the best, big brah!Comment -
thanks, Bank. i ended my slump with the most reliable method possible: reducing unit size and a large pepp & sausage pie from Marotta's in Cleveland Heights. worked like a charm except for that asshat Axford.way to get things turned around brother...cant say that im upset cards came back and won seeing how we really needed a w (no money on them tho, just u ff, told ya lynn be good after time off)..
running late and havnt did a damn thing on this card. hope to be home somewhat early seeing how it gonna be another 100 fukkin degree day (cept now the humidity high like normal here)
wishing that i had time to get your thoughts on Cards before booking them, but i'm golfing right after work (it's also close to 100 and as humid as Oprah's armpits here) and model likes em pretty well tonight. throw in the notion of fading Wolf and the demoralizing loss for the Brewers last night and i'm in. BOL to you tonight, pal.Comment
