Mlb 2012

[BigBoi]

Yanks tomorrow

[BiffTFinancial]

Kinda likin Balty Biff but know ur on Jays wat u think Dog?

my bad talking you out of O's, buck. i was wrong on that one. still can't believe that Matusz held a team to two runs.

[BiffTFinancial]

Thursday 4.26.2012 final card
3* Red Sox ML (+113) - WINNER
2* Giants/Reds over 8 (-108) - WINNER
2* Angels/Ray under 8' (-110) - WINNER
2* Blue Jays ML (-114) - LOSER

3-1 +5.11u

61-48-3 +23.61u season to date.]

[BiffTFinancial]

Yanks tomorrow

totally agree. that was the first game that i circled when i looked at the card.

[spladle08]

cant wait to see the picks!!! Thanks for posting all these winners!

[BiffTFinancial]

Biff, you probably answered this a thousand times but how much is a 1u bet for you? 100?

actually, i do not play that much a unit. my units are closer to 50 bucks than 100. i do vary my unit size as a percentage of bankroll so as to reduce during a losing streak, increase during positive streak, so units are not always round numbers. if i were playing $100 units, the 14th inning of CWS/A's would've really freaked me out even worse than it did.

[spladle08]

sound bankroll management unlike myself....

[BiffTFinancial]

Friday 4.27.2012
3* Diamondbacks/Marlins under 7' (-110)
2* Yankees ML (+125)

[BiffTFinancial]

cant wait to see the picks!!! Thanks for posting all these winners!

thanks, spladle, i appreciate the kind words.

[BiffTFinancial]

was leaning under in TB/TEX based upon pitchers, but looks as if the forecast calls for a serious wind tunnel effect in Arlington (21 mph from the South). that total is a gigantic NO PLAY from my standpoint because can't justify playing over with Shields and Harrison on the mound.

[Love The Action]

was leaning under in TB/TEX based upon pitchers, but looks as if the forecast calls for a serious wind tunnel effect in Arlington (21 mph from the South). that total is a gigantic NO PLAY from my standpoint because can't justify playing over with Shields and Harrison on the mound.

Why? Its blowing almost straight in from right field. That's not a wind tunnel route based on my research. Is there a new article out or something?

[BiffTFinancial]

Why? Its blowing almost straight in from right field. That's not a wind tunnel route based on my research. Is there a new article out or something?

LTA, this is the article that's always been my reference point for the wind tunnel:

https://www.vegassportsmasters.com/?q=article/getting-best-bas-ackwards-winds-texas-rangers-games

essentially, wind from RF (South) creates wind tunnel effect.

i will note that this article is now almost 4 years old, so it's possible that there is something more recent, but i have not seen anything different in my research. it's also worth noting that the weather thread at CTG also says that there's supposed to be wind tunnel in Arlington tonight, and those informational threads are generally very reliable in my experience.

for what it's worth, wind tunnel was in effect Tuesday vs Yanks, albeit at 10-13 mph rather than 20-22 mph, but that game ended up with only two runs scored. i remember it well, i was on the over.

[Love The Action]

Thanks.....I read a more scientific study last summer which clarified that the wind tunnel effect was not in effect when it's more of a cross wind like today (which is blowing from the right field corner toward third base) as opposed to when the wind is whipping in from the right-center field area directly toward the hitter. I just looked into my laptop to pull it up but can't find it. I will try to link it for you later. I'm going to let my under bet fly. The market will tell us whether the wind tunnel will truly be an issue today. If the over get juiced, I could be in trouble. If the under gets hit, I should be ok. I need to find that article....

Glad I had the time to stop in here. I don't get much time to check out other threads, but when I do yours is always one I seek out. Good luck buddy.

[BiffTFinancial]

Thanks.....I read a more scientific study last summer which clarified that the wind tunnel effect was not in effect when it's more of a cross wind like today (which is blowing from the right field corner toward third base) as opposed to when the wind is whipping in from the right-center field area directly toward the hitter. I just looked into my laptop to pull it up but can't find it. I will try to link it for you later. I'm going to let my under bet fly. The market will tell us whether the wind tunnel will truly be an issue today. If the over get juiced, I could be in trouble. If the under gets hit, I should be ok. I need to find that article....

Glad I had the time to stop in here. I don't get much time to check out other threads, but when I do yours is always one I seek out. Good luck buddy.

thanks a lot for that, LTA, i appreciate it. yes, if you could dig up the article (at your convenience, of course), i'd love to read it. i have no doubt that there is a lot of myth/word of mouth b.s. to the wind tunnel, so i'm very interested to read a more scientific study.

always check out your thread too. like your Angels/Tribe under today a lot, will be on it with you, though i'll probably play it at 7 rather than that 7' now that the juice is so high. BOL to you today, LTA.

[Love The Action]

thanks a lot for that, LTA, i appreciate it. yes, if you could dig up the article (at your convenience, of course), i'd love to read it. i have no doubt that there is a lot of myth/word of mouth b.s. to the wind tunnel, so i'm very interested to read a more scientific study.

always check out your thread too. like your Angels/Tribe under today a lot, will be on it with you, though i'll probably play it at 7 rather than that 7' now that the juice is so high. BOL to you today, LTA.

Here's the current weather. Still projected to be cross field toward third base as opposed to a force wind blowing in the hitter's face and back out to left-center as part of the "wind-tunnel" effect. I will be interested to see where the price on the total goes today. Good luck.

http://www.wunderground.com/sports/MLB/hometeam/Texas:Rangers.html?st=1335557100&MR=1

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

3* Angels/Tribe under 7 (+100)
2* Astros FF ML (+130)

Friday 4.27.2012 updated card
3* Angels/Tribe under 7 (+100)
3* Diamondbacks/Marlins under 7' (-110)
2* Yankees ML (+125)
2* Astros FF ML (+130)

[BiffTFinancial]

Here's the current weather. Still projected to be cross field toward third base as opposed to a force wind blowing in the hitter's face and back out to left-center as part of the "wind-tunnel" effect. I will be interested to see where the price on the total goes today. Good luck.

http://www.wunderground.com/sports/M...335557100&MR=1

thanks, LTA. very interested to see how this one goes tonight. hope that you hit.

[RoadDog]

Yeaaaaaaa Biff get that Angels/Tribe under in there.

[BigBoi]

As of now my card looks like this:
2.5* Under Clev/LA
2* Yanks
2*Under AZ/MIA
1* MIL
1* Under Oak/BAL
1* Under Texas/TB- Considering a Buyout
May add under in TOR/SEA. Was gonna play under in St Lou but the total dropped from 8 to 7' which I dont like. Thoughts on an LA parlay, with Angels and Dodgers?

[BiffTFinancial]

Yeaaaaaaa Biff get that Angels/Tribe under in there.

my only concern is if we get an over ump, but there are only two over umps who should be up tonight - Holbrook and DeMuth. DeMuth was just in Cleveland, so can't be him. so long as we don't get Holbrook, should be good. fair number of under-leaning umps out there tonight. let's get it.

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

1* Yankees -1 (+171)

Friday 4.27.2012 updated card
3* Angels/Tribe under 7 (+100)
3* Diamondbacks/Marlins under 7' (-110)
2* Yankees ML (+125)
2* Astros FF ML (+130)
1* Yankees -1 (+171)

[TC Woods]

adding

3* Angels/Tribe under 7 (+100)
2* Astros FF ML (+130)

Friday 4.27.2012 updated card
3* Angels/Tribe under 7 (+100)
3* Diamondbacks/Marlins under 7' (-110)
2* Yankees ML (+125)
2* Astros FF ML (+130)

Been following you for some time, appreciate all you do.

That being said, I am a rookie at a lot of this and still learning. In your wager "2* Astros FF ML (+130)"... What does the "FF" signify?

Keep up the good work

[BiffTFinancial]

As of now my card looks like this:
2.5* Under Clev/LA
2* Yanks
2*Under AZ/MIA
1* MIL
1* Under Oak/BAL
1* Under Texas/TB- Considering a Buyout
May add under in TOR/SEA. Was gonna play under in St Lou but the total dropped from 8 to 7' which I dont like. Thoughts on an LA parlay, with Angels and Dodgers?

i like it. FYI, on under in Toronto, roof should be closed, so that's good news for the under. if the Jays can only score 2 runs off of Matusz, gotta think any under with them has potential right now. i think that Weaver is going to eat the Tribe up, big part of my reasoning for the under. hard not to like LAA/LAD parlay, pays +163 at 5D. i was looking for someone to partner with Dodgers, don't want to fade Tribe even though i should. thought of PHI/LAD, but that only pays +116.

[BiffTFinancial]

Been following you for some time, appreciate all you do.

That being said, I am a rookie at a lot of this and still learning. In your wager "2* Astros FF ML (+130)"... What does the "FF" signify?

Keep up the good work

thanks, i appreciate that. FF = first five innings. i'm on the first five innings ML, which is roughly same price at full game ML (that was +131 when i booked), but removes Cincy's significant bullpen advantage from the equation. BOL to you tonight.

[Les_Nuts]

Philly -1, LAD is mine. Think Halliday will bounce back after he lost his last game, just gotta hope Philly can put 3 or 4 up. GL biff

[BiffTFinancial]

FYI, i edited the price on Yanks -1 above. i originally did the math too quickly since i had to enter it manually (5D didn't offer the easy Yanks -1 where they do the work for you). correct price is +171 not +168, not that it matters a ton.

[TC Woods]

thanks, i appreciate that. FF = first five innings. i'm on the first five innings ML, which is roughly same price at full game ML (that was +131 when i booked), but removes Cincy's significant bullpen advantage from the equation. BOL to you tonight.

That was to obvious... thanks for the help

[BiffTFinancial]

Philly -1, LAD is mine. Think Halliday will bounce back after he lost his last game, just gotta hope Philly can put 3 or 4 up. GL biff

i like that idea. gets the odds up to almost +140 without any additional risk of a loss. may have to consider that. BOL to you today.

[BiffTFinancial]

That was to obvious... thanks for the help

no problem, pal. i still have plenty to learn myself.

[Madison]

Hey Biff,

Not sure why no chatter about Tor/Sea. Looks to be good value at under 8 with Romero and Beavan. What am I missing? Thanks and BOL.

[BiffTFinancial]

Hey Biff,

Not sure why no chatter about Tor/Sea. Looks to be good value at under 8 with Romero and Beavan. What am I missing? Thanks and BOL.

i don't think that you're missing anything. i like the under there. also like the M's at the nice price. personally, i just wanted to keep my card to 4 plays tonight, but there's definite value in the SEA/TOR under. i may consider adding it later if i have some time to look at it more closely, work is starting to take over the rest of my day. BOL if you play it.

[Madison]

Thx. On it. Just haven't gotten this whole umpiring thing down.

[BiffTFinancial]

Thx. On it. Just haven't gotten this whole umpiring thing down.

well, Holbrook and DeMuth are both possible umps there, which is a concern. however, there are a number of under-leaning umps out there tonight. DeMuth cannot work LAA/CLE or KC/MIN because his crew was just in Cleveland. Holbrook cannot work MIL/STL or HOU/CIN because his crew was just in Milwaukee.

[BiffTFinancial]

Sports Insights @SportsInsights Reply Retweeted Favorite · Open
MLB Miami Marlins - Jose Reyes, Rest, Doubtful - was not in the starting lineup Friday (4/27) vs. Arizona

a bit of good news for the under.

[Madison]

FWIW ... Masterson has walked 10 in 8.2 in his last 2 starts. Looked unhittable in his 1st start and then has given up 21H over his last 13.2 inn over 3 starts.