3 chase systems

Stifler · 05-15-12, 01:43 PM

Originally posted by WINNERS ONLY

How does SD fade fall into S1 today? I don't see it. Am i missing something? They didn't win or lose 3 in a row recently.

3 game losing streak on the road: 28.04, 29.04, 11.05
Streak broken: 12.05
skipping the next 2 games 13.05, 14.05
starting the chase: 15.05

WINNERS ONLY · 05-15-12, 02:05 PM

Ok thanks i got it now.

tar_baby · 05-15-12, 03:46 PM

Whew...I took the chase all the way to the E bet...thankfully STL won a biggie today!! TOO CLOSE!

TidesRoln · 05-15-12, 05:38 PM

Just a heads up; if both Miami and Atlanta lose today, they face each other tomorrow for each's "C" bet. Hopefully doesn't happen; if so, any criteria to follow?

Lakey · 05-15-12, 05:49 PM

The Miami bet is a Pittsburgh fade and the Atlanta bet is a Cincinnatti fade.

TidesRoln · 05-15-12, 05:58 PM

Originally posted by Lakey

The Miami bet is a Pittsburgh fade and the Atlanta bet is a Cincinnatti fade.

Correct: Pittsburgh fade is a bet on Miami and Cincinnati fade is a bet on Atlanta. So if Miami loses to Pitt today and Atlanta loses to Cincy today. Miami moves to "C" bet and Atlanta moves to "C" bet, and Miami plays at Atlanta tomorrow; so you have two teams on their "C" bet who are playing each other.

Lakey · 05-15-12, 06:05 PM

Are you sure? I thought if we're fading Pittsburgh and Cincinatti, we'll continue to fade them on the "C' and "D" bets. So we'd be betting on the Mets v Cincinnatti and Washington v Pittsburgh.

TidesRoln · 05-15-12, 06:06 PM

Originally posted by Lakey

Are you sure? I thought if we're fading Pittsburgh and Cincinatti, we'll continue to fade them on the "C' and "D" bets. So we'd be betting on the Mets v Cincinnatti and Washington v Pittsburgh.

Ya know what, I think you are correct. My bad on that.

Stifler · 05-16-12, 01:19 AM

Lakey is right. It would have been pit fade / cin fade on the c bets not miami and atlanta to win.

Stifler · 05-16-12, 01:52 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

15.05.2012

S1

(A Bet) SD fade: Washington 1,45 2,22u | B Bet on 21.05.2012

S3

(B Bet) Tor: Toronto 1,769 1,30u |Toronto 2,02 2,255u
(B Bet) Cin fade: Atlanta 1,725 1,38u | Atlanta 1,862 2,76u
(B Bet) Pit fade: Miami 1,565 1,77u | Miami 1,532 5,207u
(B Bet) LAA: LA Angels 1,541 1,85u | LA Angels 1,658 4,33u
(B Bet) Oak fade: LA Angels 1,541 1,85u | LA Angels 1,658 4,33u

records:
S1: W 6 | L 0 (+6 unit)
S2: W 5 | L 0 (+5 unit)
S3: W 50 | L 1 (+15,02 units)

Stifler · 05-16-12, 02:57 AM

16.05.2012

S1

(A Bet) SD fade: LA Dodgers 1,826 1,21u

S2

(A Bet) SF: San Francisco 2,04 0,96u
(A Bet) Ari fade: Colorado 1,840 1,19u

S3

(C Bet) Tor: Toronto 1,769 1,30u |Toronto 2,02 2,255u | Toronto 2,15 3,96u
(A Bet) Det: Detroit 1,541 1,85u
(A Bet) Bos fade: Tampa Bay 1,725 1,38u
(A Bet) TB: Tampa Bay 1,725 1,38u
(A Bet) Balti fade: Kansas City 1,781 1,28u
(A Bet) CHW fade: LA Angels 1,847 1,18u

potential plays: - Cubs, if line < +100
- Stl fade, if line +100 or more

Lakey · 05-16-12, 08:56 AM

Thanks for your work Stifler, keep it up.

Stifler · 05-16-12, 09:50 AM

Originally posted by Lakey

Thanks for your work Stifler, keep it up.

u probably found it out yourself, San Diego is another starting chase bet, this time @ home, other one was on the road.

chound · 05-16-12, 11:00 AM

Do you think it would be to our advantage when playing a dog to take the +1.5 RL?

sportscreep1 · 05-16-12, 11:09 AM

Nevermind

Stifler · 05-16-12, 12:42 PM

Originally posted by chound

Do you think it would be to our advantage when playing a dog to take the +1.5 RL?

definately no disadvantage, but im going to play ml according to the system.

Stifler · 05-16-12, 02:29 PM

16.05.2012

S1

(A Bet) SD fade: LA Dodgers 1,826 1,21u

S2

(A Bet) SF: San Francisco 2,04 0,96u
(A Bet) Ari fade: Colorado 1,840 1,19u

S3

(C Bet) Tor: Toronto 1,769 1,30u |Toronto 2,02 2,255u | Toronto 2,15 3,96u
(A Bet) Det: Detroit 1,541 1,85u
(A Bet) Bos fade: Tampa Bay 1,725 1,38u
(A Bet) TB: Tampa Bay 1,725 1,38u
(A Bet) Balti fade: Kansas City 1,781 1,28u
(A Bet) CHW fade: LA Angels 1,847 1,18u
(A Bet) Cubs: Chic. Cubs 1,662 1,51u

...added S3 Cubs

Lakey · 05-16-12, 05:55 PM

Originally posted by Stifler

u probably found it out yourself, San Diego is another starting chase bet, this time @ home, other one was on the road.

Yep, thanks anyway mate.

Stifler · 05-17-12, 04:51 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

16.05.2012

S1

(A Bet) SD fade: LA Dodgers 1,826 1,21u

S2

(A Bet) SF: San Francisco 2,04 0,96u
(A Bet) Ari fade: Colorado 1,840 1,19u

S3

(C Bet) Tor: Toronto 1,769 1,30u |Toronto 2,02 2,255u | Toronto 2,15 3,96u
(A Bet) Det: Detroit 1,541 1,85u
(A Bet) Bos fade: Tampa Bay 1,725 1,38u
(A Bet) TB: Tampa Bay 1,725 1,38u
(A Bet) Balti fade: Kansas City 1,781 1,28u
(A Bet) CHW fade: LA Angels 1,847 1,18u
(A Bet) Cubs: Chic. Cubs 1,662 1,51u

records:
S1: W 6 | L 0 (+6 unit)
S2: W 6 | L 0 (+6 unit)
S3: W 54 | L 1 (+19,02 units)

pending:

S2 (B Bet) SD fade: B Bet on 21.05.2012

Stifler · 05-17-12, 05:16 AM

17.05.2012

S1

(B Bet) SD fade: LA Dodgers 1,826 1,21u | LA Dodgers 2,10 2,01u

S2

(B Bet) SF: San Francisco 2,04 0,96u| San Francisco 1,87 2,255u

S3
(B Bet) Det: Detroit 1,541 1,85u | Detroit 1,427 6,675u (im personally playing the -1 RL here, but the right play is on the ml)
(B Bet) Balti fade: Kansas City 1,781 1,28u | Kansas City 1,847 2,692u
(B Bet) Cubs: Chic. Cubs 1,662 1,51u | Chic. Cubs 2,64 1,53u

missed SD S3 yesterday....would have been a play since the line moved to < +100. I will probably add this game to the record when i recap everything @ the end of the season. For the records here i wont count it of course.

wolvereen · 05-17-12, 06:33 PM

Gonna pay heavily with JV going tomorrow.

TidesRoln · 05-17-12, 06:45 PM

Originally posted by wolvereen

Gonna pay heavily with JV going tomorrow.

True Dat, consensus line at VI is -240. Aint trustin this Volstad kid vs Halladay tonight either; thinkin fade Cubs and come back with "C" bet on Cubs/Samardjiza -145 vs W Sox/Humber.

Stifler · 05-18-12, 02:34 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

17.05.2012

S1

(B Bet) SD fade: LA Dodgers 1,826 1,21u | LA Dodgers 2,10 2,01u

S2

(B Bet) SF: San Francisco 2,04 0,96u| San Francisco 1,87 2,255u

S3
(B Bet) Det: Detroit 1,541 1,85u | Detroit 1,427 6,675u
(B Bet) Balti fade: Kansas City 1,781 1,28u | Kansas City 1,847 2,692u
(B Bet) Cubs: Chic. Cubs 1,662 1,51u | Chic. Cubs 2,64 1,53u

records:
S1: W 7 | L 0 (+7 unit)
S2: W 7 | L 0 (+7 unit)
S3: W 54 | L 1 (+19,02 units)

pending:

S2 (B Bet) SD fade: B Bet on 21.05.2012

Stifler · 05-18-12, 03:07 AM

18.05.2012

S3

(C Bet) Det: Detroit 1,541 1,85u | Detroit 1,427 6,675u | Detroit 1,417 22,84u (again im playing the -1 RL here, still alot risk amount, but im significant lower, cause i also played the -1 RL on the B bet)
(C Bet) Balti fade: Kansas City 1,781 1,28u | Kansas City 1,847 2,692u | Washington 1,87 5,715u
(C Bet) Cubs: Chic. Cubs 1,662 1,51u | Chic. Cubs 2,64 1,53u | Chic.Cubs 1,763 5,295u
(A Bet) NYY: NY Yankees 1,775 1,29u

potential plays: Texas, if +100 | LAA, if +100 (most likely wont happen, as the lines have to move big in both cases)

Stifler · 05-19-12, 04:30 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

18.05.2012

S3

(C Bet) Det: Detroit 1,541 1,85u | Detroit 1,427 6,675u | Detroit 1,417 22,84u
(C Bet) Balti fade: Kansas City 1,781 1,28u | Kansas City 1,847 2,692u | Washington 1,87 5,715u
(C Bet) Cubs: Chic. Cubs 1,662 1,51u | Chic. Cubs 2,64 1,53u | Chic.Cubs 1,763 5,295u
(A Bet) NYY: NY Yankees 1,775 1,29u

records:
S1: W 7 | L 0 (+7 unit)
S2: W 7 | L 0 (+7 unit)
S3: W 56 | L 1 (+21,02 units)

pending:

S2 (B Bet) SD fade: B Bet on 21.05.2012

Stifler · 05-19-12, 04:44 AM

TidesRoln · 05-19-12, 10:04 AM

On board the "D" train today.

boroguy14 · 05-19-12, 10:11 AM

Hey Tides......your avatar is hilarious!!

TidesRoln · 05-19-12, 10:45 AM

Originally posted by boroguy14

Hey Tides......your avatar is hilarious!!

That is a dude who was at the Phoenix "NeckCar" race last year. Gotta love NASCAR Fan.

mcwmiamisc · 05-19-12, 10:56 AM

Hope both of your D games win today, if not then you are back to even for the year.

mcwmiamisc · 05-19-12, 11:19 AM

Basically 30-35 wins = 1 loss?

comala57 · 05-19-12, 11:36 AM

Originally posted by mcwmiamisc

Basically 30-35 wins = 1 loss?

Hence the three game chase system. If it loses you bet them the next game, it that game loses then you bet the next game.
1st game: 1unit=loss
2nd game 2 unit= loss
3rd game 4 unit=1 unit profit and the 1st two games are voided.

mcwmiamisc · 05-19-12, 11:47 AM

Yes but if it is a -150 to win 100 then after losing all the way to game D it can lose 30 units like today if CHC and or WASH lose

Stifler · 05-19-12, 12:44 PM

pretty different from series to series. There are past losing series with -17 to -44 units. It always depends on the lines u are getting.

Of course in a 4 game chase u will lose big units if u lose a series. But otherwiseu wont have that many losses overall.

mcwmiamisc · 05-19-12, 01:04 PM

Is this best for $100 wagers hoping to win 10k for a season? With a loss through game D losing only 3k?

Any larger like a $500 wager would be a killer to lose over 10k with one series loss