CappinTerps MLB Thread 2012

CappinTerp · 06-30-12, 05:37 PM

Originally posted by RyDogg

Dodgers opened at +116, can get it at +144 now

I am thinking about the over.!!

EXhoosier10 · 06-30-12, 07:12 PM

Nice call on Cleveland today, Terp. Every time I come in here, it looks like you're pointing out another play that looks too good to be true, and cashing. I already do take your plays pretty seriously, but these contrarian plays of yours are going to become auto-plays for me going forward.

CappinTerp · 06-30-12, 07:27 PM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Nice call on Cleveland today, Terp. Every time I come in here, it looks like you're pointing out another play that looks too good to be true, and cashing. I already do take your plays pretty seriously, but these contrarian plays of yours are going to become auto-plays for me going forward.

Glad to hear that .!! I learned the contrarian view when I was trading Bonds on Wall Street. Another thing I learned was that cheep things are not cheep and expensive things are not expensive they are like that for a reason.! That is why I do not believe value.!! Just trying to pass on knowledge to help others.

RyDogg · 07-01-12, 01:11 AM

Nice call on Cle, good thing I didn't take the Dodgers and you didn't take the over

CappinTerp · 07-01-12, 08:18 AM

Went 2-1 on Sat. for +3.15 units.

MLB:92-96
YTD:+5.79

CappinTerp · 07-01-12, 08:30 AM

det/tb - under 8.5 -120 2 units.......................gl

2daBank · 07-01-12, 08:33 AM

like that as well...gl today CT

CappinTerp · 07-01-12, 09:11 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

like that as well...gl today CT

Best of luck buddy.!

MK2004 · 07-01-12, 09:16 AM

Terp, what do you think about the Dodgers and Arizona today?

CappinTerp · 07-01-12, 09:18 AM

Originally posted by MK2004

Terp, what do you think about the Dodgers and Arizona today?

No opinion on either game......gl

CappinTerp · 07-01-12, 09:35 AM

Houston +105 2 units..............................gl

MK2004 · 07-01-12, 11:47 AM

CappinTerp, Play Detroit +110 3 units.

2daBank · 07-01-12, 12:08 PM

Originally posted by MK2004

Terp, what do you think about the Dodgers and Arizona today?

i think you laying a lot of juice to need kershaw to pitch a complete gm shutout and possibly hit a hr.. that said lad has to score sometime but win or lose i just dont think laying juice on them is real wise....bol

CappinTerp · 07-01-12, 05:52 PM

one and one for the day for 0.00 units.!

MLB:93-97
YTD:+5.79

MK2004 · 07-01-12, 05:55 PM

Terp what do you think about Texas 10/Under?

CappinTerp · 07-02-12, 05:52 PM

mia. +145 3 units........................gl

CappinTerp · 07-02-12, 05:54 PM

minn. +151 2 units
hou. +170 1 unit...................................g l

CappinTerp · 07-03-12, 07:41 AM

Another tough loss with the Marlins, GREINKE who had a home ERA of 1.08 in 42 innings at home gave up 5 ER in 6 innings to MIA.but 3 errors and the pen failed us. So 1-2 on the day for -0.98 units. It was about 1 year ago I was down -40 units and finished up the season up +101 units with nothing higher than two 6 unit bets. Keep the faith guys but as always feel free to tail,fade or do nothing.............Good luck to all.
MLB:94-99
YTD:+4.81

CappinTerp · 07-03-12, 08:39 AM

Taking a long hard look at the over in the CWS/TX game. At game time it's going to be hot and humid with a heat index around 95. Of all the stadiums in MLB the ball carries the best at U.S. Cellular Field in these conditions. Sale is a very good pitcher but has a low ratio of ground outs/fly outs of 0.97. Oswalt has only pitched 12 innings this year could see an early exit for both and their teams going to pen early.Not sure if I want to go over 9 @ +$ or wait to see an 8.5 a lay a little juice.

CappinTerp · 07-03-12, 08:51 AM

REVERSE: SF +118 and OVER 7 -125(same) 2 units.........................gl

CappinTerp · 07-03-12, 09:25 AM

mia/mil - over 9 -115 1 unit.......................gl

befus · 07-03-12, 04:47 PM

Following the reverse.......as always. GL Terp. I looked at the Tx over, but couldn't pull the trigger, may be sorry I didn't.

2daBank · 07-03-12, 05:18 PM

Originally posted by CappinTerp

REVERSE: SF +118 and OVER 7 -125(same) 2 units.........................gl

nice..really like sf myself..pissed i didnt wait as i thought plenty of value @ +118 but seems some nats money coming in hard now.. gl CT

CappinTerp · 07-03-12, 05:24 PM

CWS/TX - OVER 8.5 -115 3 UNITS

PARLAY:CUBS,CARDS,REDS,TWINS,RAYS and ATHLETICS 1 UNIT..........Should pay about 73-1................Good luck guys.!

EC4THREE10 · 07-03-12, 05:27 PM

Cubs? :-/

CappinTerp · 07-03-12, 05:34 PM

Originally posted by EC4THREE10

Cubs? :-/

Cubs have won 6 of their last 7 and looks too easy to bet the Braves.

CappinTerp · 07-03-12, 05:36 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

nice..really like sf myself..pissed i didnt wait as i thought plenty of value @ +118 but seems some nats money coming in hard now.. gl CT

One thing about baseball(for myself) I don't mind that much when the line moves against me..........good luck buddy.!!

2daBank · 07-03-12, 05:38 PM

Originally posted by CappinTerp

One thing about baseball(for myself) I don't mind that much when the line moves against me..........good luck buddy.!!

oh yea, far as line moves as indicators of which side i have no interest..what i mind is not getting best number (im greedy!)

CappinTerp · 07-04-12, 05:51 AM

3-1 for the day and up 1.00 units. Keep in mind guys if that delay in WASH. never stopped(game stopped) we would have lost 4 units on that reverse instead of 2 units. At U.S. Cellular there was 4 HR's in that weather.

MLB:97-100
YTD:+5.81 ..........................Keep in mind there is a 11:00 AM start in Wash. today.

CappinTerp · 07-04-12, 08:00 AM

nyy/tb - over 8 -115 2 units
balt/sea - over 8 -120 2 units................................... ...........gl

EXhoosier10 · 07-04-12, 09:12 AM

Originally posted by CappinTerp

3-1 for the day and up 1.00 units. Keep in mind guys if that delay in WASH. never stopped(game stopped) we would have lost 4 units on that reverse instead of 2 units. At U.S. Cellular there was 4 HR's in that weather.

MLB:97-100
YTD:+5.81 ..........................Keep in mind there is a 11:00 AM start in Wash. today.

I honestly don't know how much the weather was even needed at that game, Terp. I was at the game and Oswalt was up in the zone all night and Sox hitters were crushing the ball every time they made contact. Alexei hit one off the top of the wall for a 2b and there were maybe another 3 or 4 balls that were left on the track.

Good call on the over.

CappinTerp · 07-04-12, 09:20 AM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

I honestly don't know how much the weather was even needed at that game, Terp. I was at the game and Oswalt was up in the zone all night and Sox hitters were crushing the ball every time they made contact. Alexei hit one off the top of the wall for a 2b and there were maybe another 3 or 4 balls that were left on the track.

Good call on the over.

Hope you had a good time,I have not been to a MLB game for a few years but Ilove going to the ball park keeping score..................have a good 4th.

CappinTerp · 07-05-12, 07:48 AM

Well 0-2 yesterday for -4.70 units.....maybe time to fade.??

MLB:97-102
YTD:+1.11 UNITS

CappinTerp · 07-05-12, 10:59 AM

DET/MINN - OVER 9.5 +100 2 UNITS. Surprised that total not 9.! Porcello has given up just 3ER in last 3 outings spanning 20 innings to a 1.35 ERA. Diamond has pitched well and has a day time ERA of just 1.70. For myself can't understand why I have Been betting so many Overs.?? I normally bet Under s about 80 % of the time..............we will see...good luck to all.

2daBank · 07-05-12, 11:21 AM

Originally posted by CappinTerp

DET/MINN - OVER 9.5 +100 2 UNITS. Surprised that total not 9.! Porcello has given up just 3ER in last 3 outings spanning 20 innings to a 1.35 ERA. Diamond has pitched well and has a day time ERA of just 1.70. For myself can't understand why I have Been betting so many Overs.?? I normally bet Under s about 80 % of the time..............we will see...good luck to all.

wow bro, you are def on the contrarian angle here...everything points to under to me, so maybe just playing the opposite is the way to go (been a little cold last few days, lol)...been trying to decide between playing under or the twinks as i think decent value on them in this gm....gl today