John Morrison 2011 MLB

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  • Wallco99
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-01-11
    • 7261

    #1786
    Originally posted by calmeat
    Thanks again guys i can see how it works now i have read that post and actually saw it when you posted it as well, i was getting confused between the the two and forgot that both systems are in this thread.. Funny how i would normally just go along with but now betting against the phils has be questioning things haha. I just dont see Lee losing this one, he is due for a great game and ATL riding a 5 game win streak makes it even harder for me to go against the phils. I can see them losing tomorrow but not tonight.

    Wallco hagball53 and GGPlayer thanks for the help and info.
    Yes, and no one thought the Yankees would lose three in a row to Detroit, and..... This is what following systems does for you, takes all the guessing and "I don't think's..." right out of the equation. I live just outside of Philly, do you think I want to bet against the Phils, NO. But the system tells me to, so I will. Once again, good luck.
    Comment
    • clamchowder
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-26-11
      • 471

      #1787
      Calmeat, personally, I only use the labby system for baseball. Martingale system can and will wipe a BR.

      Comment
      • clamchowder
        SBR Sharp
        • 02-26-11
        • 471

        #1788
        ...........
        Comment
        • GGPLAYER
          SBR MVP
          • 03-26-09
          • 2981

          #1789
          Originally posted by hagball52
          JM MLB System

          2011 Official season series record 2-0 (v1 and v2)
          Unofficial series 1-0

          Next plays
          (5/6/2011) Tampa Bay @ Baltimore R/L (A) (5/7 (B) and 5/8 (C) if necessary)

          Notes: I have not received an email from JM yet but according to his rules this qualifies as an official play. The rpi is just inside the limits.
          TAM (.477) - BAL (.488) a difference of .011. This is one of those plays where he will send it out as official all the way through but if it loses on the (A) bet the rpi will drop below the JM level. He will keep sending it out as official hoping to score the win but if it loses he will disqualify it as a play. He has done this in the past. Play this one at your own risk.
          P.S. I changed the color of the bet recommendation so it wouldn't clash with the red on a loss.
          P.P.S. I will update when JM email comes in.
          I noticed TB has gone from fav to dog but the RL (+1.5) is like -200. Did'nt this happen in one of the other 2 JM plays? Maybe the first one? Not digging the idea of putting up that sort of juice.
          Comment
          • soldier1047
            SBR Sharp
            • 10-26-10
            • 332

            #1790
            Twitter name for Wallco System plays: soldier1047
            Comment
            • soldier1047
              SBR Sharp
              • 10-26-10
              • 332

              #1791
              JM made it official:

              Go to the link below to see our upcoming system bet(s):



              This page shows the bet(s) that you will need to place today. The
              team on top is the team you need to bet for. The team on bottom is
              the team they're playing against. The letter in bracket is the bet
              type you'll need to place.

              For example, if the page shows:

              4/11 - Colorado [A]
              Arizona

              Then this means that on 4/11 you will need to place a bet on the
              Colorado Rockies to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks. The amount you
              should bet is the amount you've set on your Bet A. Remember to bet
              on the +1.5 run line if the team you're betting for is the
              underdog, and on the money line if the team you're betting for is
              the favorite. Basically, if the +1.5 option is available for the
              team you're betting on, then bet on the 1.5 run line. If the +1.5
              run line is not available (it will show as -1.5 instead), then bet
              on the money line. Note that if you bet on the +1.5 run line, then
              you will win the bet even if your team loses the game by 1 run.

              One more thing to keep in mind is that sometimes you may not
              immediately see the game available for betting on the betting site.
              Sometimes the game might be available but the run line isn't shown.
              If this is the case, just wait and check back later during the day.

              Good luck!
              John Morrison, PhD

              P.S. Check out my revolutionary new service, the "Sports Picks
              Buffet" where I subscribe to over 500 world-famous sports
              handicappers, reveal to you in my private members area ALL of their
              picks every day, and summarize for you the "best bets" of the day
              where most of all handicappers tend to agree on! Go to:
              www.SportsPicksBuffet.com

              PO Box 30175
              Worcester, MA 01603
              Usa

              To unsubscribe or change subscriber options visit:
              Comment
              • stevex
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 05-02-10
                • 5122

                #1792
                Hopefully you guys won't mind, and Hagball has been doing a good job by starting to keep track of JM MLB plays on here, but what I want to do is actually track what exact money amounts I'm betting for each JM bet on this thread. I'm going to implement an aggressive labby money management system with just JM's system starting with a $5,000 bankroll which I amassed from NBA this season. My hope is to turn the $5,000 bankroll into a decent chunk of change by the end of the summer. Starting today I will keep track of each bet and what money amount I'm risking and winning (or losing). So here it goes....

                Starting Bankroll: $5,000
                JM MLB record: 2 - 0

                1. Tampa Bay +1 1/2 -195 Risking 282 TO WIN 145
                Comment
                • soldier1047
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 10-26-10
                  • 332

                  #1793
                  Here is an idea about betting the JM series when given the +1.5 Runline. Just bet as given the +1 Runline. (Credit given to Porterkid69)


                  You can always use the +1 RL formula to reduce juice. It goes like this:


                  You just have to know how much to bet on the ML, then bet all the would be profits from that on the +1.5 line. To figure out how much to bet on the +1.5, just do this.


                  A game you want to bet,
                  Tampa Bay (-205) +1.5 Runline
                  Tampa Bay (+100) Moneyline

                  Take 100/205=.488
                  Add 1 = 1.488
                  Take 100 and divide by 1.488 =$67.20


                  Example:
                  Risk $67.20 at -205 +1.5 Runline to win $32
                  Risk $32 at Moneyline +100 to win $32.
                  If Tampa Bay lose by 1, you break even, just like the +1 line.
                  If they win, you win $64 (instead of $48 if you risk $100 on the +1.5 Runline (-205))



                  This is based on a $100 play, if you want to bet less divide by the number that fits after you get the bet total. (2 = $50 or 4 = $25)
                  GL
                  Comment
                  • soldier1047
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 10-26-10
                    • 332

                    #1794
                    Originally posted by stevex
                    Hopefully you guys won't mind, and Hagball has been doing a good job by starting to keep track of JM MLB plays on here, but what I want to do is actually track what exact money amounts I'm betting for each JM bet on this thread. I'm going to implement an aggressive labby money management system with just JM's system starting with a $5,000 bankroll which I amassed from NBA this season. My hope is to turn the $5,000 bankroll into a decent chunk of change by the end of the summer. Starting today I will keep track of each bet and what money amount I'm risking and winning (or losing). So here it goes....

                    Starting Bankroll: $5,000
                    JM MLB record: 2 - 0

                    Tampa Bay +1 1/2 -195 Risking 282 TO WIN 145
                    I don't mind at all. I love to see the agressive labby in action. Thanks, Stevex!
                    Comment
                    • stevex
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 05-02-10
                      • 5122

                      #1795
                      Not a problem at all man. I came into the MLB season pretty much saying to myself that I was going to follow about 5 - 6 systems and use the labby with each one of them, but I don't know I've always said to myself that if I started the JM MLB system with a decent bankroll that I would see what I could do with it. That's the thing to if you look at his web site, he goes into all this crap about making a million dollars just starting with $500, but lets be real here, that's just a bunch of crap considering the odds we are playing with his system. Last year I started his system with a 1,000 bankroll and it just didn't work chasing so hopefully with a bigger bankroll to start with I can do some damage.
                      Comment
                      • dlunc3
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 10-31-09
                        • 9129

                        #1796
                        Originally posted by stevex
                        Hopefully you guys won't mind, and Hagball has been doing a good job by starting to keep track of JM MLB plays on here, but what I want to do is actually track what exact money amounts I'm betting for each JM bet on this thread. I'm going to implement an aggressive labby money management system with just JM's system starting with a $5,000 bankroll which I amassed from NBA this season. My hope is to turn the $5,000 bankroll into a decent chunk of change by the end of the summer. Starting today I will keep track of each bet and what money amount I'm risking and winning (or losing). So here it goes....

                        Starting Bankroll: $5,000
                        JM MLB record: 2 - 0

                        Tampa Bay +1 1/2 -195 Risking 282 TO WIN 145
                        Stevex, what will your base line be? 25 25 25 25? Will you continue to run this for the whole season? I am great at sticking to only system plays, but I suck at money management. Would love to follow you if you keep this up. I base my units on a 10k roll, so would probably just bet double since you are using a 5k roll correct?
                        Comment
                        • stevex
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 05-02-10
                          • 5122

                          #1797
                          Jm mlb

                          Originally posted by dlunc3
                          Stevex, what will your base line be? 25 25 25 25? Will you continue to run this for the whole season? I am great at sticking to only system plays, but I suck at money management. Would love to follow you if you keep this up. I base my units on a 10k roll, so would probably just bet double since you are using a 5k roll correct?
                          That's correct, if you have a 10k roll then your base line would be a little more than mine and I will be running this the entire season, but only for V1 plays since those are the ones he actually keeps track of on his web site. V2 and V3 I'm going to leave alone this summer since I'm not really interested in more action, but rather just following V1. My overall goal is to not make "a million dollars" as that tool JM says you can do on his web site, but hopefully end the summer with a good amount.
                          Comment
                          • jpeterb
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 05-06-11
                            • 26

                            #1798
                            I'm glad you'll be posting amounts. I was wondering what to do when the line 25 25 25 25 was down to just 25 25 and there are multiple bets going, a JM and another for example. And thanks all who contributed to this thread.
                            Comment
                            • jpeterb
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 05-06-11
                              • 26

                              #1799
                              thanks

                              I'm glad you'll be posting amounts. I was wondering what to do when the line 25 25 25 25 was down to just 25 25 and there are multiple bets going, a JM and another for example. And thanks all who contributed to this thread.
                              Comment
                              • stevex
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 05-02-10
                                • 5122

                                #1800
                                jpeter just break down what you RISK into 2 seperate bets.
                                Comment
                                • GGPLAYER
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-26-09
                                  • 2981

                                  #1801
                                  Originally posted by soldier1047
                                  Here is an idea about betting the JM series when given the +1.5 Runline. Just bet as given the +1 Runline. (Credit given to Porterkid69)


                                  You can always use the +1 RL formula to reduce juice. It goes like this:


                                  You just have to know how much to bet on the ML, then bet all the would be profits from that on the +1.5 line. To figure out how much to bet on the +1.5, just do this.


                                  A game you want to bet,
                                  Tampa Bay (-205) +1.5 Runline
                                  Tampa Bay (+100) Moneyline

                                  Take 100/205=.488
                                  Add 1 = 1.488
                                  Take 100 and divide by 1.488 =$67.20


                                  Example:
                                  Risk $67.20 at -205 +1.5 Runline to win $32
                                  Risk $32 at Moneyline +100 to win $32.
                                  If Tampa Bay lose by 1, you break even, just like the +1 line.
                                  If they win, you win $64 (instead of $48 if you risk $100 on the +1.5 Runline (-205))



                                  This is based on a $100 play, if you want to bet less divide by the number that fits after you get the bet total. (2 = $50 or 4 = $25)
                                  GL

                                  I do this a lot with high favs too. Just rememer it's really most effective for A game. If you have to play a B, C, etc. if you get that push you still will have a loss on the series.
                                  Comment
                                  • Wallco99
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-01-11
                                    • 7261

                                    #1802
                                    Wallco MLB PLU$$$ - Plays for 5/6/11
                                    2011 System to date: 41-1
                                    System profit/loss: +44.77 units (finished series)
                                    Since my first post: +24.5 units (26-1) (fin. series)
                                    Current open series: 0



                                    Atlanta (M/L) @ Philadelphia (A) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
                                    Detroit (M/L) @ Toronto (A) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)


                                    ** Do not place any wagers on teams unless the word “Official” appears next to the game. All lines and standings are based on final lines on ScoresandOdds.com. Some of the unofficial plays may change to the other team by game time. Official plays will not change. Keep checking for updated posts until all games are marked “official”.
                                    Comment
                                    • soldier1047
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 10-26-10
                                      • 332

                                      #1803
                                      Originally posted by GGPLAYER
                                      I do this a lot with high favs too. Just rememer it's really most effective for A game. If you have to play a B, C, etc. if you get that push you still will have a loss on the series.
                                      Thanks. I will keep that in mind.
                                      Comment
                                      • hagball52
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-22-10
                                        • 3053

                                        #1804
                                        Got the official JM email on today's bet a few hours ago.
                                        Comment
                                        • mikey360
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 08-06-08
                                          • 388

                                          #1805
                                          Originally posted by stevex
                                          Hopefully you guys won't mind, and Hagball has been doing a good job by starting to keep track of JM MLB plays on here, but what I want to do is actually track what exact money amounts I'm betting for each JM bet on this thread. I'm going to implement an aggressive labby money management system with just JM's system starting with a $5,000 bankroll which I amassed from NBA this season. My hope is to turn the $5,000 bankroll into a decent chunk of change by the end of the summer. Starting today I will keep track of each bet and what money amount I'm risking and winning (or losing). So here it goes....

                                          Starting Bankroll: $5,000
                                          JM MLB record: 2 - 0

                                          1. Tampa Bay +1 1/2 -195 Risking 282 TO WIN 145

                                          Hi Stevex, i'd be interested in seeing how things go with a labby line, any chance you could show us your labby line along with the bets you make, so we can see what stage of the line your at, i'm always interested in seeing how people manage labby lines as there are many variations people can use.

                                          Cheers

                                          Mike
                                          Comment
                                          • 1gamer
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 02-09-11
                                            • 723

                                            #1806
                                            Atlanta CASH IT!
                                            Comment
                                            • stevex
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 05-02-10
                                              • 5122

                                              #1807
                                              Can safely say another W in the win column for JM MLB. Should've taken Tampa on the ML but a good win and nice start for the system, 3 - 0....

                                              Tampa Bay +1 1/2 (-195) 282 TO WIN 145, WIN

                                              Current Bankroll: $5,145
                                              JM MLB Record: 3 - 0

                                              Amount won/lost: +$145.00
                                              Comment
                                              • 1gamer
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 02-09-11
                                                • 723

                                                #1808
                                                TB CASH IT!
                                                Comment
                                                • teecee
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 09-18-09
                                                  • 6298

                                                  #1809
                                                  gotta like a system (wallco's) that consistently churns out +money wins. got atlanta @ +140 this evening. passed on detroit b/c i didn't like the line. hopefully they be a nice dog at some point this weekend and i'll jump aboard. thanks, wallco.

                                                  on another note. i'm playing at the greek, and they had philly -1.5 @ +145, while the braves -1.5 was @ +135. thought that kinda told the story about what they expected tonight. did anyone notice that? i really wanted to hit that reverse r/l on the braves, but i held off. too bad for me.

                                                  i'm up 22% using this system (admittedly, i'm playing too high a % of my roll, and hit 2 reverse r/l's). this kicks ass.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • black666
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 01-02-09
                                                    • 86

                                                    #1810
                                                    Originally posted by stevex
                                                    Can safely say another W in the win column for JM MLB. Should've taken Tampa on the ML but a good win and nice start for the system, 3 - 0....

                                                    Tampa Bay +1 1/2 (-195) 282 TO WIN 145, WIN

                                                    Current Bankroll: $5,145
                                                    JM MLB Record: 3 - 0

                                                    Amount won/lost: +$145.00
                                                    stevex, thanks for doing this. I'm curious to see how it turns out. But I'm confused about your betsize .. what is your unit size and how does you labby line look like (since you bet 282 to win 145).
                                                    Comment
                                                    • hagball52
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-22-10
                                                      • 3053

                                                      #1811
                                                      Originally posted by GGPLAYER
                                                      I noticed TB has gone from fav to dog but the RL (+1.5) is like -200. Did'nt this happen in one of the other 2 JM plays? Maybe the first one? Not digging the idea of putting up that sort of juice.
                                                      Sorry GG didn't see your post till this morning. Yeah you're right. I bet it moneyline. This year I'm playing the Morrison bets differently because of that high juice issue. Last year there was a series bet on the Chi. Cubs vs the Pirates. On all three bets CHC was over a -200 fav. It went to a (C) bet and if you were betting it properly you would have had $2,500 out just to win a stinking $100. No thanks none of that for me this year.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Wallco99
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 01-01-11
                                                        • 7261

                                                        #1812
                                                        Wallco MLB PLU$$$
                                                        2011 System to date: 42-1
                                                        System profit/loss: +46.12 units (finished series)
                                                        Since my first post: +25.85 units (27-1) (fin. series)
                                                        Current open series: 1 (-1.00 units)

                                                        (5/6/11) Detroit (M/L) (A) – Loss
                                                        (5/6/11) Atlanta (M/L) (A) – Win

                                                        (A) 23-21
                                                        (B) 9-11
                                                        (C) 6-5
                                                        (D) 4-1


                                                        Games for (5/7/11):
                                                        Detroit @ Toronto (M/L) (B) (4:05 pm EDT)


                                                        ** Do not place any wagers on teams unless the word “Official” appears next to the game. All lines and standings are based on final lines on ScoresandOdds.com. Some of the unofficial plays may change to the other team by game time. Official plays will not change. Keep checking for updated posts until all games are marked “official”.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • hagball52
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-22-10
                                                          • 3053

                                                          #1813
                                                          JM MLB System

                                                          2011 Official season series record 3-0 (v1 and v2)
                                                          Unofficial series 1-0

                                                          (5/6/2011) Tampa Bay @
                                                          Baltimore R/L (A) Win

                                                          Next Plays

                                                          (5/9/2011) NY Mets @
                                                          Colorado
                                                          (5/9/2011) Chicago White Sox @ LA Angels

                                                          Notes: Congrats to all who played the bet last night. "no telling what sickening fortunes you must have amassed by now". That was taken right from one of JM's letters. I played it moneyline so it was nice to get the win on (A). The next upcoming plays will probably not qualify for official bets but we won't worry about that until Monday. GL all have a great weekend.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • gofightingirish
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 08-22-10
                                                            • 272

                                                            #1814
                                                            detroit m/l official yet? good luck to everybody today
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Maxi_EV
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 05-11-10
                                                              • 535

                                                              #1815
                                                              Originally posted by gofightingirish
                                                              detroit m/l official yet? good luck to everybody today
                                                              do you see *OFFICIAL* ?!?!?!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dewkee21
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 03-31-11
                                                                • 61

                                                                #1816
                                                                Why must people act like such A-holes online?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • gofightingirish
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 08-22-10
                                                                  • 272

                                                                  #1817
                                                                  Originally posted by Dewkee21
                                                                  Why must people act like such A-holes online?
                                                                  your name is perfect.....only problem it should say shit head instead of just shit
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Dewkee21
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 03-31-11
                                                                    • 61

                                                                    #1818
                                                                    I wonder if its just a weekend thing....Since school is out and all...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • clamchowder
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 02-26-11
                                                                      • 471

                                                                      #1819
                                                                      Originally posted by gofightingirish
                                                                      your name is perfect.....only problem it should say shit head instead of just shit
                                                                      Obviously, you didn't read the rules below Wallco's plays. People keep asking this repetitive question everyday.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • gator46
                                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                                        • 09-25-09
                                                                        • 58

                                                                        #1820
                                                                        I agree with clam...this question gets asked everyday. Maxi_ev has been on a long time so he also sees this everyday...and it starts to wear on the regulars. Some of the responsibility is on the questioner...why ask the obvious question. If they have read previous post and the rules listed on each post by wallco, then it is obvious that it will be made official when the lines are confirmed. Unfortunately there is not a set time for that but hey, that is part of the system. Not blaming anybody, just trying to provide insight to the response that was given.
                                                                        Comment
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