Dexter's 2011 MLB Plays

[atofsu32111]

Tell me Why we Lose On Lester and Shields and not this under tonight? Its amazing i bet one i lose and avoid this win. What is difference? Both potent lineups. If i would bet tonight Ari woulda came back and won..gfjgoj;nfgjafjgnpik;l

[Dexter]

Yea that throw out really helped. 5 k's for the guy who cam in. Fck me 1K to Nothing. Why did we lose the sheilds lester match up and not this?

you must be thinking of a another thread. i did not have a play on the lester/shields game.

[JBT]

Tell me Why we Lose On Lester and Shields and not this under tonight? Its amazing i bet one i lose and avoid this win. What is difference? Both potent lineups. If i would bet tonight Ari woulda came back and won..gfjgoj;nfgjafjgnpik;l

Beacuse you're thinking too much. Systems are not designed for you to cap the games... system does the capping for you. Not every game will win, but hopefully a percentage big enough will... At least that's the idea.

PS: Thanks Dex for another winning night!

[Love The Action]

[Dexter]

Thursday 9/15:

(8u) over rangers 9.5 (A2)
(1u) a's +100

[JBT]

May I ask why are A2's valued at 8 units, despite that their 2010 record was only 6-8 43% and 2011 record so far is even worse, currently at 2-6? Just wondering so I can make an informed decision whether to tail you on this play... Thanks man!

[Dexter]

May I ask why are A2's valued at 8 units, despite that their 2010 record was only 6-8 43% and 2011 record so far is even worse, currently at 2-6? Just wondering so I can make an informed decision whether to tail you on this play... Thanks man!

its the opposite of an A3 play, so i wanted to cover myself coming into the season in case hitters started to dominate again. pitchers still own the game, and will for the next few years. these will not be 8u plays next year - more like 3u. A3 will be around 10u next year as they have been 70% for 2 years in a row.

[JBT]

Thanks for the explanation, but why do you not adjust the units midseason, if you see it's not working?

[Dexter]

Thanks for the explanation, but why do you not adjust the units midseason, if you see it's not working?

i dont see the logic.....if A3 is 25-10, and finishes 25-15 i would have screwed myself by upping the units from say 5 to 10u when 25-10.

and if A2 is 2-6 and finishes 5-6 i screw myself again by reducing units during a hot streak.

last year A1 was something like 2-8 after 10 games, and then went on a 10 game winning streak. some people came in here telling me i should have ditched the system when it was 2-8.

bottom line - my mentality is to stick with what i believe in when i make a system in the offseason. takes the emotion out of capping and assigning weight to plays during a cold streak.

[Dexter]

(5u) under phillies 8.5 (A4-Hoye) Gm 1

[Bs1194]

Damn. Missed the play...

[Dexter]

Damn. Missed the play...

sorry - im busy at work and almost forgot there was a 2:35 start.

[Bs1194]

No problem. Not your fault. You give the formula, I was just too lazy to figure the play

[Dexter]

i wont be around to post tonight but will be playing any A4's for 3u.

if someone wouldnt mind posting for those following i would appreciate it.....

[Bs1194]

Yea someone please post for dex. Im at work and won't be able to find the games

[Gio21]

i wont be around to post tonight but will be playing any A4's for 3u.

if someone wouldnt mind posting for those following i would appreciate it.....

I cant find what games the ump information

[Dexter]

there were no other A4's tonight

[Bs1194]

Great day. Nice sweep. Wish I made the first play though

[XenoY]

woooooooo go dex =D

[Dexter]

Friday 9/16:

(8u) giants -130 (A1)

[Dexter]

(1u) under cubs 7

[Dexter]

SF up to 145 at some books - i actually thought it may drop, but was fine booking at a 130 price in case this happened. one of my locals has 150 now.

[supr_villn]

absolutely love that call on HOU CHC unders ,, lol ''sneaky''

good luck -> probably lay off on the total personally
but i do hope it hits (4 me) 4 u & 4 every1 on it ..

OUT
SAFE !

[Dexter]

absolutely love that call on HOU CHC unders ,, lol ''sneaky''

good luck -> probably lay off on the total personally
but i do hope it hits (4 me) 4 u & 4 every1 on it ..

OUT
SAFE !

drop dead you terrorist

[miguelj]

l was thinking the same play the under on the cubs game.nice play thanks dexter

[Dexter]

please dont bring in marmol....

[Bs1194]

Wow. What a clutch homer by lee

[Dexter]

that sucked....hopefully a push.

did you get 7.5 bs1194?

[Bs1194]

No. Should've. I got u7 at +100. I'm ok with a push any day though

[Dexter]

(1u) under redsox 7.5

[Dexter]

(2u) rangers -1.5/-130

[Dexter]

how the hell did the redsox game stay under....make up for the cubs under push

[Luv2Play2]

awesome night again !!! thankz ...L2P2

[Dexter]

Saturday 9/17:

(3u) under brewers 8.5 (A4-Miller)
(1u) under whitesox 9

[Dexter]

(3u) over tigers 7.5 (A4-Reynolds)