Grumpy MLB 2010 plays

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  • SolidDala
    SBR MVP
    • 12-14-09
    • 1696

    #841
    Damn Romero suck against BOS! Only avg 4IP though but with a 8.76 ERA, been a bullpen some starts perhaps? See great value so far, will dig a little deeper!
    Comment
    • SolidDala
      SBR MVP
      • 12-14-09
      • 1696

      #842
      No need to dig that deep in this one Romero gives up 8.76 ERA, Matsuzaka 3.45 ERA and are 6-1 with 9 starts.. Its pretty simple really I think BOS win this games more then 47% and even 60% imo... therefor a +EV bet and a must bet for me... Its looked and booked, this line should get worse.. RED SOX +117! Thanks for sharing... made me research rather quick for this one
      Comment
      • SolidDala
        SBR MVP
        • 12-14-09
        • 1696

        #843
        Actually this bet almost feels like xmas and with the red sox comes another red



        Comment
        • WiseGrumpy
          SBR MVP
          • 04-30-10
          • 3654

          #844
          I will take her for Xmas.
          can't wait for the first pitch. This day will be huge!!
          Comment
          • btd
            SBR Sharp
            • 08-18-08
            • 455

            #845
            WG , keep doing what you think is best , and right for you, I respect you for that
            Comment
            • WiseGrumpy
              SBR MVP
              • 04-30-10
              • 3654

              #846
              Originally posted by btd
              WG , keep doing what you think is best , and right for you, I respect you for that
              Comment
              • SolidDala
                SBR MVP
                • 12-14-09
                • 1696

                #847
                Must say its kinda strange that jays ace whom is pitching gold, allowing around 2 runs a game, but when facing NYY and BOS he falls apart.. Gonna be interesting to see, hoping to see same scenario to what happend to JJ when he allowed 5 runs as the best pitcher so far with Latos
                Comment
                • SolidDala
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-14-09
                  • 1696

                  #848
                  Bet # 2 today is TOR/TB UNDER 8.5 -105 Will settle with this 2. Leaned two more but ended up in no-plays: OAK, FLA/WAS UNDER 7.. BOL tonight
                  Comment
                  • kingdom
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 07-25-10
                    • 10099

                    #849
                    hey grumps. i guess to clarify and assert value, what percent of your bankroll is 1 unit for you? i was equating 1 unit as 1% when i calculated totals.
                    Comment
                    • paco
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 05-07-09
                      • 62873

                      #850
                      Originally posted by SolidDala
                      Bet # 2 today is TOR/TB UNDER 8.5 -105 Will settle with this 2. Leaned two more but ended up in no-plays: OAK, FLA/WAS UNDER 7.. BOL tonight
                      Toronto is not playing TB.
                      Comment
                      • SolidDala
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-14-09
                        • 1696

                        #851
                        Originally posted by paco
                        Toronto is not playing TB.
                        meant tigers
                        Comment
                        • WiseGrumpy
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-30-10
                          • 3654

                          #852
                          BRUTUL. I can't believe the Astros lost in the 9th, again. And lost by two to destroy my RL.
                          I hope I hit the last two for a positive day.
                          And we hit our HUGE MONSTER.
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #853
                            Nice call on BOS, WG. I was worried about that one for you, but they pulled through.
                            Comment
                            • Bo$$ Bet$
                              Restricted User
                              • 07-08-10
                              • 3062

                              #854
                              Nice call on the monster bosox grumps unfortunately I was on the other side but hit big on the Angels rL thanks to PAC
                              Comment
                              • SolidDala
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-14-09
                                • 1696

                                #855
                                2-0 and a minisweep for me Man oh man DET almost ended the night with no profits for me, 5 in the ninth, have they moved on mentally to next season
                                Comment
                                • WiseGrumpy
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-30-10
                                  • 3654

                                  #856
                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                  Nice call on BOS, WG. I was worried about that one for you, but they pulled through.
                                  Thnx mate it was big.

                                  Originally posted by Bo$$ Bet$
                                  Nice call on the monster bosox grumps unfortunately I was on the other side but hit big on the Angels rL thanks to PAC
                                  Nice mate and thnx.

                                  Originally posted by SolidDala
                                  2-0 and a minisweep for me Man oh man DET almost ended the night with no profits for me, 5 in the ninth, have they moved on mentally to next season
                                  Very nice mate.

                                  Had a pretty strong day hitting two MONSTERS.
                                  Comment
                                  • WiseGrumpy
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-30-10
                                    • 3654

                                    #857
                                    Summary:
                                    Plays: 3-3
                                    MONSTER: 2-0
                                    Units: +15.98
                                    Streak (Winning\Losing days): W1

                                    Total:
                                    Plays: 190-174-15
                                    Parlays: 11-21
                                    MONSTER: 3-1
                                    Units: -15.43
                                    Comment
                                    • WiseGrumpy
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-30-10
                                      • 3654

                                      #858
                                      8 units to win 10.08 units

                                      8/11/10 12:35pm MLB Baseball 952 Cincinnati Reds +126* vs St Louis Cardinals (Wainwright - R must Start B Arroyo - R must Start)

                                      Comment
                                      • WiseGrumpy
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-30-10
                                        • 3654

                                        #859
                                        BET #5

                                        22 units to win 13.64 units

                                        8/11/10 3:35pm MLB Baseball 970 Los Angeles Angels -159* vs Kansas City Royals (Z Greinke - R must Start Jer Weaver - R must Start)

                                        3 units to win 4.2 units

                                        8/11/10 3:35pm MLB Baseball 970 Los Angeles Angels -1½ +140* vs Kansas City Royals (Z Greinke - R must Start Jer Weaver - R must Start)

                                        Comment
                                        • WiseGrumpy
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-30-10
                                          • 3654

                                          #860
                                          10 units to win 10 units

                                          8/11/10 7:05pm MLB Baseball 975 Boston Red Sox/Toronto Blue Jays Under 8 +100* (C Buchholz - R must Start S Marcum - R must Start)

                                          Comment
                                          • WiseGrumpy
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-30-10
                                            • 3654

                                            #861
                                            10.64 units to win 8 units

                                            8/11/10 7:05pm MLB Baseball 958 Philadelphia Phillies -133* vs Los Angeles Dodgers (Billingsley - R must Start R Oswalt - R must Start)

                                            2 units to win 3.2 units

                                            8/11/10 7:05pm MLB Baseball 958 Philadelphia Phillies -1½ +160* vs Los Angeles Dodgers (Billingsley - R must Start R Oswalt - R must Start)

                                            Comment
                                            • WiseGrumpy
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-30-10
                                              • 3654

                                              #862
                                              One of these will probably be a MONSTER bet I will update later.
                                              Comment
                                              • 19th Hole
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-22-09
                                                • 18952

                                                #863
                                                Wise Grumpy,
                                                Good Luck today!!
                                                Comment
                                                • WiseGrumpy
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-30-10
                                                  • 3654

                                                  #864
                                                  Originally posted by 19th Hole
                                                  Wise Grumpy,
                                                  Good Luck today!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • WiseGrumpy
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-30-10
                                                    • 3654

                                                    #865
                                                    6 units to win 7.38 units

                                                    8/11/10 2:05pm MLB Baseball 954 Houston Astros +123* vs Atlanta Braves (T Hanson - R must Start W Rodriguez - L must Start)

                                                    2.9 units to win 2 units

                                                    8/11/10 2:05pm MLB Baseball 954 Houston Astros +1½ -145* vs Atlanta Braves (T Hanson - R must Start W Rodriguez - L must Start)

                                                    Comment
                                                    • vyomguy
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-08-09
                                                      • 5794

                                                      #866
                                                      I like reds too...good luck.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • I.L.S
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 05-09-10
                                                        • 400

                                                        #867
                                                        Originally posted by wisegrumpy
                                                        11.13 units to win 7 units

                                                        8/11/10 3:35pm mlb baseball 970 los angeles angels -159* vs kansas city royals (z greinke - r must start jer weaver - r must start)

                                                        3 units to win 4.2 units

                                                        8/11/10 3:35pm mlb baseball 970 los angeles angels -1½ +140* vs kansas city royals (z greinke - r must start jer weaver - r must start)

                                                        love it! Angels seems strong for today , good luck grumpy & im happy i was wrong about red sox yesterday
                                                        Comment
                                                        • WiseGrumpy
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-30-10
                                                          • 3654

                                                          #868
                                                          5 units to win 5.1 units

                                                          8/11/10 7:10pm MLB Baseball 959 Colorado Rockies +102* vs New York Mets (J Francis - L must Start J Niese - L must Start)

                                                          Comment
                                                          • WiseGrumpy
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-30-10
                                                            • 3654

                                                            #869
                                                            We have a MONSTER today - LAA.

                                                            Originally posted by I.L.S
                                                            love it! Angels seems strong for today , good luck grumpy & im happy i was wrong about red sox yesterday
                                                            Thnx mate!!!

                                                            Originally posted by vyomguy
                                                            I like reds too...good luck.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • WiseGrumpy
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-30-10
                                                              • 3654

                                                              #870
                                                              Reds +126:


                                                              Cardinals are 1-5 in Wainwrights last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
                                                              Cardinals are 0-8 in Wainwrights last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

                                                              Reds are 4-0 in Arroyos last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
                                                              Reds are 4-0 in Arroyos last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
                                                              Reds are 4-1 in Arroyos last 5 home starts vs. Cardinals.

                                                              Home team is 4-0 in Carlsons last 4 Wednesday games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.

                                                              Wainwright is 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA in two road starts against the Reds this season.

                                                              Arroyo He's 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA in his last three home starts against the Cardinals.

                                                              Let's add to that the fact the Cards didn't sweep the Reds since 2005.
                                                              The Reds played well yesterday until the 6th then the Cards exploded. This match-up is HUGE for both teams and the Reds can't let the Cards sweep them, simply can't. With the great price, it's a great bet.

                                                              LAA -159:


                                                              Royals are 1-5 in Greinkes last 6 starts vs. Angels.
                                                              Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 Wednesday games with Joyce behind home plate.
                                                              Home team is 4-1 in Joyces last 5 Wednesday games behind home plate vs. Kansas City.
                                                              Home team is 4-1 in Joyces last 5 games behind home plate vs. Kansas City.
                                                              Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 Wednesday games with Joyce behind home plate.
                                                              Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 games with Joyce behind home plate.

                                                              Greinke is 2-6 with a 3.38 ERA in 11 road outings.

                                                              The Angels are a team I bet a lot on early this year and most of all on Weaver. Since then the Angels started struggling but Weaver is still their ace. Against a weak KC side that from one of the best hitting teams became one of the worst, and with a very struggling Greinke I expect another win from the Angels.

                                                              * MONSTER play.

                                                              Jays Vs RedSox UNDER 8 +100:


                                                              Under is 4-1 in Buchholzs last 5 starts vs. Blue Jays.
                                                              Under is 4-0-2 in Gibsons last 6 Wednesday games behind home plate.
                                                              Under is 4-0 in Gibsons last 4 Wednesday games behind home plate vs. Boston
                                                              Under is 17-4-5 in Gibsons last 26 games behind home plate.

                                                              This is one of the strongest UNDER ump's in the MLB. To add to that the fact two of the best pitchers will play and the price and we have a very strong bet.
                                                              Buchholz has been amazing all season long, and has gave up 3 or less runs in his last ten starts if we take out one bad outing against the A's.
                                                              Macrum didn't pitch too well in his last outing but is very solid and very good at home.

                                                              Phillies -133:


                                                              Two of the best pitchers in the league meet today, when Oswalt is looking for his first win for the Phillies. He NEVER lost in this park. The Dodgers will have Billingsley which has been amazing lately but the run support he is getting is pathetic. The Dodgers are hitting bad lately and yesterday hit for all those games they didn't when they scored a season high 15 runs. After that outburst I expect them to cool down, big time.

                                                              The Phillies won 13 of 15 at home scoring at least six runs eight times in that stretch.

                                                              The Dodgers didn't win four in a row since June 6-9.

                                                              I expect the Phillies to keep scoring and Roy to keep his streak in this park.

                                                              Astros +123:


                                                              I have bet a lot on the Astros lately and thnx to the prices we get on them they became a money maker. Yesterday we got killed at the 9th, but with Wandy on the mound and injuries on the Braves side, this is a must bet again.

                                                              Home team is 4-0 in Muchlinskis last 4 games behind home plate vs. Houston.
                                                              Astros are 7-0 in Rodriguezs last 7 Wednesday starts.

                                                              Heyward and Jones will probably be out.

                                                              Hanson has pitched well, but the Braves lost all his 5 outings since the All-Star because of terrible run support.

                                                              Rodriguez is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in three home starts against Atlanta. He has allowed a total of one earned run in his last three outings while striking out 23 in 21 1/3 innings.

                                                              The Astros are hitting pretty well and have a great pitcher on the mound. We should win.

                                                              Rockies +102:


                                                              This pick might seem odd since the Rockies are terrible on the road and hardly ever score against the Mets on the road, but there is an interesting trend that I can't ignore and I will go with the dog:

                                                              Jeff Francis has alternated wins and lost for the past 8 games. Today should be a win. With that everytime he gives up a lot of runs, he plays well the next game.
                                                              Nisese gives up at least 3 runs after he gives up 1 runs, today should be 3 runs or more.

                                                              With that home favs of -101-120 are 1-4 against tonights ump.
                                                              All that are strong and the price is right.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • southpaw74
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 12-21-09
                                                                • 7104

                                                                #871
                                                                Wish I could trust the reds
                                                                Comment
                                                                • btd
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 08-18-08
                                                                  • 455

                                                                  #872
                                                                  WG thanx for the picks,pics, and analysis, I like Bucholz tonite, I think the Sox are heading for a nice streak
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • bigsmitty
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-12-10
                                                                    • 3026

                                                                    #873
                                                                    Thanks for the info and opininons Sir Grumps-good luck today. Cheerio
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • dale0630
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 02-07-10
                                                                      • 199

                                                                      #874
                                                                      thanks for the plays Grumpy...and GL to all...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • WiseGrumpy
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 04-30-10
                                                                        • 3654

                                                                        #875
                                                                        Originally posted by southpaw74
                                                                        Wish I could trust the reds
                                                                        They should def do it tonight.

                                                                        Originally posted by btd
                                                                        WG thanx for the picks,pics, and analysis, I like Bucholz tonite, I think the Sox are heading for a nice streak
                                                                        Yesterday was the RedSox sure win, I like them today again with one of the best pitchers this season but not enough to but on.

                                                                        Originally posted by bigsmitty
                                                                        Thanks for the info and opininons Sir Grumps-good luck today. Cheerio


                                                                        Originally posted by dale0630
                                                                        thanks for the plays Grumpy...and GL to all...
                                                                        Comment
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