Pitchers Martingale System

MUHerd37 · 07-17-10, 05:46 PM

Originally posted by LeeChampion

i hope the systems works out for you, i never been a fan of chasing bets, but it looks like you have a strong criteria in place, so who knows...best of luck

Yeah, it worked for last year using a chase on 1st inning score yes/no. Just trying to pick the best pitchers who also have a good offense with them (except the fukking Marlins). Hopefully this all works out.

MUHerd37 · 07-17-10, 05:53 PM

3 more plays for tonight:
1: Josh Johnson -235 $11.75 for $5
2: Tim Hudson -190 $9.50 for $5
3: Cliff Lee -141 $7.05 for $5

The damn Marlins line just never came down. I waited a little long to grab the Braves line. It started out around -215 and then came down around -170 or so. Wish I would have grabbed it then. I hope Lackey get's jacked tonight. Really need Cliff Lee to show up this time.

MUHerd37 · 07-17-10, 06:13 PM

Wainwright just got the win 2-0 against the dodgers.

Thread Record:
3-0 +$15

Carpenter 1-0
Sabathia 1-0
Wainwright 1-0

3 still pending tho

MUHerd37 · 07-17-10, 09:15 PM

Well tonight kinda sucked. Marlins got the win both the Rangers and Braves blew their leads.

Thread Record:
4-2 +$3.45

Carpenter 1-0
Sabathia 1-0
Wainwright 1-0
Johnson 1-0
Hudson 0-1
Lee 0-1

mncosoldier · 07-17-10, 09:32 PM

Im doing this same system on the rl

rthoughton · 07-17-10, 11:10 PM

Ain't no who knows... tuff day today, but the history don't lie.
I like where this is heading.
What you gonna do about Price @ Pettitte?

MUHerd37 · 07-18-10, 11:41 AM

Price isn't in the system even though he has been really good. The play for today is Pettite. Just got him at -129. $6.45 for $5.

MUHerd37 · 07-18-10, 04:26 PM

Pettite left the game in the 3rd with a strained groin but the Yankees still got the win.

Thread Record:
5-2 +8.45

Carpenter 1-0
Sabathia 1-0
Wainwright 1-0
Johnson 1-0
Hudson 0-1
Lee 0-1
Pettite 1-0

BRAVES1985 · 07-18-10, 05:25 PM

very interesting

Brian891 · 07-18-10, 05:59 PM

Whats the general feeling on halladay?

MUHerd37 · 07-18-10, 06:19 PM

I like Halladay but I can't use him just because of the Phillies offense sucks. If they pick it up in the 2nd half then he can be added. I should add someone though because Pettite is going to be on the DL. MLB network guy just said that Pettite is supposed to be on the DL for a while. I'm thinking about maybe adding Lester. He would be a good addition because the guy is solid. Also, the Red Sox have scored more runs than anyone in MLB. He lost today so a loss should be out of the way.

Brian891 · 07-18-10, 06:39 PM

Great insight. I think lester would be a great addition. It does seem like halladay doesnt get much support even when phils are rolling. How the hell else do u explain an era like that but a record of only 10-7? I was considering him tonight cuz juice is under 200. What are ur thoughts on tonight MU?

MUHerd37 · 07-18-10, 09:39 PM

I could give you some insight now that the game is over!

Phils just plain suck. They can't score to save their lives. I think it's time to fade them every game actually.

MUHerd37 · 07-19-10, 04:40 PM

The play today is Jimenez. Just got him at -152. $7.60 for $5. Jimenez against the Marlins offense? I like! Line is rising.

rthoughton · 07-19-10, 05:28 PM

Originally posted by Brian891

Great insight. I think lester would be a great addition. It does seem like halladay doesnt get much support even when phils are rolling. How the hell else do u explain an era like that but a record of only 10-7? I was considering him tonight cuz juice is under 200. What are ur thoughts on tonight MU?

In his 8 losses and 3 no decisions, Roy Halladay as an ERA below 4... (before last night it was 7L, 3ND and a 3.86.)
If that don't scream 'no support' I don't know what does.

MUHerd37 · 07-19-10, 09:35 PM

Rockie lose. Fukkin bullshit. Lost on a 2 run walk off with 2 outs in the 9th. You gotta be kidding me. Donnie Murphy got his first hr of the year. This is total bullshit. Rockies took the damn lead 3 times and gave it back every time. This should have been an easy win with Jimenez going against the Marlins shitty offense.

Thread Record:
5-3 +$0.85

Carpenter 1-0
Sabathia 1-0
Wainwright 1-0
Johnson 1-0
Hudson 0-1
Lee 0-1
Pettite 1-0
Jimenez 0-1

rthoughton · 07-20-10, 01:00 PM

Where's Hughes?! He's on today, -265 vs the undecided LAA. Buchholz is back tomorrow. CArpenter's line is comin' down. Good luck.

MUHerd37 · 07-20-10, 05:16 PM

There are 2 plays today:
Carpenter @ -172. $8.60 for $5
Hughes @ -240. $12 for $5. I know that's absolutely huge juice. I wasn't sure I wanted to play it. However, you have to play the system. If you just pick and choose when you want to play somebody it isn't really a system anymore.

mizzoujohn · 07-20-10, 05:28 PM

wondering how far you will chase... 3, 4?
John

MUHerd37 · 07-20-10, 05:36 PM

Originally posted by mizzoujohn

wondering how far you will chase... 3, 4? John

Not totally sure. It can depend on the odds of the game really. Also, depends on how much your bankroll is and how much you are willing to put on a game.

MUHerd37 · 07-20-10, 10:30 PM

Anyone take the Angels -7.5???? What an ass whooping the Yankees got tonight! Hughes has to be watched now. The Yankees said that they are going to be careful with his arm and how much he pitches. Well if the Yankees are worried about this guy, I'm gonna be worried about they guy. Yankees looked like total shit. They came out swinging against O'Sullivan putting up 2 runs in the 1st. I was think great, they are gonna roll this guy. Then Hughes kept getting hit and O'Sullivan completely shut the Yankees down. After the 1st inning O'Sullivan didn't even give up a hit for like 6 innings or so. Carpenter rolled tonight. Guy is tight as hell. System is in a dead spot right now. Started off 3-0 but faltering just a bit. Just remember that when someone who just lost gets a win, we get the loss plus some extra. Hudson worries me a little as Thursday he takes on Clayton Richard. That's a tough game right there. Richard has given up a total of 16 runs in his last 3 starts though. Won 2 of those.

Thread Record:
6-4 -$6.15

Carpenter 2-0
Sabathia 1-0
Wainwright 1-0
Johnson 1-0
Hudson 0-1
Lee 0-1
Pettite 1-0
Jimenez 0-1
Hughes 0-1

MUHerd37 · 07-21-10, 01:55 PM

1 play in the afternoon today. Buchholz -107. $5.35 for $5. Thought about not playing him today since it's his first game back but his price is low.

MUHerd37 · 07-22-10, 11:00 AM

Multiple plays today. First off is Josh Johnson. Got him at -210. $10.50 for $5

MUHerd37 · 07-22-10, 11:47 AM

Buchholz lost yesterday but I hadn't updated it yet. He was rusty as hell. His next start will be @ the Angels. Not what I was wanting to hear.

Thread Record:
6-5 -$11.50

Carpenter 2-0
Sabathia 1-0
Wainwright 1-0
Johnson 1-0
Hudson 0-1
Lee 0-1
Pettite 1-0
Jimenez 0-1
Hughes 0-1
Buchholz 0-1

MUHerd37 · 07-22-10, 12:01 PM

2nd Play of the Day is Hudson. Got him at -165. $8.25 for $5.

MUHerd37 · 07-22-10, 12:36 PM

I totally botched the Hudson bet. He is just the 3rd guy to pitch for the 2nd time in this. The others were Carpenter and Johnson who had both won their first start. Therefore their bets were to just win $5. However, Hudson lost his first start so his bet was supposed to be to win $19.50 and not $5. I'm really pissed especially now that the Braves are up 2-0. I will just keep in mind on his next start that he is still down. I was just too used to putting a play in for $5 that I didn't even think about it.

MUHerd37 · 07-22-10, 01:00 PM

Now we have Wainwright. Got him at -160. $8.00 for $5.
Sabathia and Lee are also going later tonight. Seems like have the guys are going today. My Hudson fukk up hurts. Braves up 3-0.

MUHerd37 · 07-22-10, 02:06 PM

Marlins win in the bottom of the 9th!!! Nice! Braves up 4-0.

Thread Record:
7-5 -$6.50

Carpenter 2-0
Sabathia 1-0
Wainwright 1-0
Johnson 2-0
Hudson 0-1
Lee 0-1
Pettite 1-0
Jimenez 0-1
Hughes 0-1
Buchholz 0-1

MUHerd37 · 07-22-10, 03:12 PM

Braves won 8-0. Can't believe i fukked up the bet!

Thread Record:
8-5 -$1.50

Carpenter 2-0
Sabathia 1-0
Wainwright 1-0
Johnson 2-0
Hudson 1-1
Lee 0-1
Pettite 1-0
Jimenez 0-1
Hughes 0-1
Buchholz 0-1

Should be up $13 but I botched Hudson. Need to make up the $14.50. May bet just a little more on the other guys to try and make it up.

MUHerd37 · 07-22-10, 05:05 PM

Cardinals got only 1 hit in 11 innings. Hamels was great but the Cards sucked really bad.

Thread Record:
8-6 -$9.50

Carpenter 2-0
Sabathia 1-0
Wainwright 1-1
Johnson 2-0
Hudson 1-1
Lee 0-1
Pettite 1-0
Jimenez 0-1
Hughes 0-1
Buchholz 0-1

MUHerd37 · 07-22-10, 05:26 PM

2 more plays for tonight:
Cliff Lee. Lost the last bet which was $7.05. Got him at -176. $30.01 for $17.05
Sabathia. Got him at -270. That is huge juice but I gotta play the system. $13.50 for $5

MUHerd37 · 07-23-10, 01:17 AM

Lee and Sabathia both won. 4-1 on the day. Just wish I hadn't botched the Hudson play.

Thread Record:
10-6 +$12.55

Carpenter 2-0
Sabathia 2-0
Wainwright 1-1
Johnson 2-0
Hudson 1-1 (Need to make up $14.50 from screw up)
Lee 1-1
Pettite 1-0
Jimenez 0-1
Hughes 0-1
Buchholz 0-1

terrortwylight · 07-23-10, 06:26 AM

hey MU, what do you think about halladay going up against cook today? phils are @ home.. wondering what your take on this is??

by the way, great thread, thank you very much for providing us with your insight.

MUHerd37 · 07-23-10, 01:09 PM

I like Halladay but the Phils are still struggling with the bats. Cole Hamels held the Cardinals to only 1 hit yesterday but they still had to go to extra innings to win. Their offense is pitiful. My brother-in-law is a huge Phillies fan and he says that Cook always does good against the Phils. I'm gonna look more into that.

MUHerd37 · 07-23-10, 01:28 PM

The stats are all in the Phils favor really. Cook and Halladaay have both pitched against the other team once this year. Neither got a decision. Career wise Cook has faced the Phils 9 times and is 1-5 with and ERA of 5.70. Halladay has faced the Rockies twice in his career and is 1-0 with an ERA of 1.17. The Phils OBP against Cook is great. It's actually fantastic. The problem is you just can't trust the Phils offense. They are hitting for shit. Halladay got his ass kicked last time out which was against the Cubs. I can't see that happening again tho. It's a real hard game to bet for me. I'll just stay away from it I think.