Reverend's 2010 MLB

**rgbraves** · 05-03-10, 01:11 PM

Where can you get -1 rl, all i can get are -1.5

**JVP3122** · 05-03-10, 01:13 PM

You have to calculate it. Go to the first page of this thread, you'll find it there.

Essentially, the Yankees ML is -320, and the -1.5 RL is -150. Let's say you wager $320 to win $100 on the ML. Then you would wager $100 to win $66.67 on the RL. Then, if the Yanks win, but only by 1 run, you would win your ML wager, but lose your RL wager, and you'd be at a push. If the Yanks win by more than 1 run, you win both and you're looking at $166.67 won. The line is reduced to -252 in this case.

**rgbraves** · 05-03-10, 01:15 PM

Where can i wager on the -1 rl

**doublej95** · 05-03-10, 01:18 PM

Originally posted by rgbraves

Where can i wager on the -1 rl

You have to make it your self, see the post abouve yours on how to make a -1RL

**denn333** · 05-03-10, 01:18 PM

Stick with the red sox.

**rgbraves** · 05-03-10, 01:21 PM

Thanks

**doubledime** · 05-03-10, 01:44 PM

Thanks Rev BOL to all

**kelvinlym** · 05-03-10, 01:54 PM

Pinnacle allows -1RL. But it's not available for US punters.

**lovetobet** · 05-03-10, 02:03 PM

Hang in there Rev. I have gotten pounded like everyone else, especially because I jumped on last week just in time to get crushed by the Astros and then this weekend sucked and I didn't have the winnings built up that those who followed from the beginning had.

I'm down but not out and I'm changing some things up and going to manage my money even tighter (I was already playing the correct way but these early big hits are making me adjust). I'm doing things a little different than the "pure" system but this is Rev's thread so I won't post all the changes I made so as not to confuse anyone but I will throw out 1 opinion for those looking to reduce some of your risk.

I think it can be a bit much when we are on a Situational/Series system bet that is also the Favorite system bet. So I am choosing to play favorites that are not part of our other systems bet. I just take the biggest favorite of the day that we are not on (most cases the 2 or 3rd favorite of the day). With this approach it spreads the risk a little thinner and you might have less chance of winning but the chalk is always lower, so if you chase it's a more conservative chase.

Not telling anyone to change what they are doing or follow me instead of Rev, just wanted to throw out an idea to those whose banks have taken a beating and are looking to reduce their risk a little.

Thanks to G, B2W and others who have posted ideas along the way to reduce risk and increase reward, they have helped me much and I appreciate the positiveness and collaboration on this thread.

Now lets get back to winning money.
I'm still behind you Rev, keep up the good work

**BernardMadoff** · 05-03-10, 03:34 PM

Not saying follow my lead, but for the Yankess series, I will bet to win $500 for series. I will bet to win $500 with Sabathia on the mound, if it loses, I will bet in second game to get back what I loss plus $500 with Burnett on the mound, they arnt getting swept by the Orioles, but do follow this unless you have the bankroll to do so.

**arizona40** · 05-03-10, 03:34 PM

Hi there from a rookie in this forum. I have been following this thread from the beginning and I must say I have learned plenty from all of you on here. From not knowing much about the betting lingo to quickly understanding.

The chase system seems very lucrative only and I mean only if 2 things would occur.

1/ It seems as if money management is the key to success. You could be the best capper in the world but if you are not smart with your money the dreaded "C" bet loss could hurt you very much.

2/ Handicap series to the max....don't go by gut feeling or your emotion, stick with the system to the end!!!

I have admired the work REV has put into in this thread and been very impressed with the amount of insight everyone has. There does not seem to be many so-called "haters" in here which led me to follow on a daily basis.

I know that the past week has been rough on all those who had "C" bet losses and from what I understand because of the length of the season and the amount of plays that will be made I can truly see that in the long run everyone on here will make a profit by the end of the MLB season.

Good luck to all who have been tailing REV's analysis and picks. Although I an a so-called newbie to this thread I can see that his expertise will shine through.

Cheers!!

**arizona40** · 05-03-10, 03:42 PM

I do have 1 question for Rev!!!!

You have mentioned on her numerous times about putting series through your filters. How do you determine what filters are used to see whether a series is worth picking! This is one of the things I would love to learn on my own.

Maybe it would be beneficial for me to take the time to analyze the stats myself and develop my own filters.

Any help would be much appreciated and GL this week....time to rebound IMO

**balls2wall** · 05-03-10, 03:47 PM

Originally posted by arizona40

Hi there from a rookie in this forum. I have been following this thread from the beginning and I must say I have learned plenty from all of you on here. From not knowing much about the betting lingo to quickly understanding.

The chase system seems very lucrative only and I mean only if 2 things would occur.

1/ It seems as if money management is the key to success. You could be the best capper in the world but if you are not smart with your money the dreaded "C" bet loss could hurt you very much.

2/ Handicap series to the max....don't go by gut feeling or your emotion, stick with the system to the end!!!

I have admired the work REV has put into in this thread and been very impressed with the amount of insight everyone has. There does not seem to be many so-called "haters" in here which led me to follow on a daily basis.

I know that the past week has been rough on all those who had "C" bet losses and from what I understand because of the length of the season and the amount of plays that will be made I can truly see that in the long run everyone on here will make a profit by the end of the MLB season.

Good luck to all who have been tailing REV's analysis and picks. Although I an a so-called newbie to this thread I can see that his expertise will shine through.

Cheers!!

welcome zona

glad to have you aboard

there was a rough patch this week obviously, but as you can see by revs record it is up a ton on the year so far

hope it does well for you

**dlunc3** · 05-03-10, 03:55 PM

Originally posted by BernardMadoff

Not saying follow my lead, but for the Yankess series, I will bet to win $500 for series. I will bet to win $500 with Sabathia on the mound, if it loses, I will bet in second game to get back what I loss plus $500 with Burnett on the mound, they arnt getting swept by the Orioles, but do follow this unless you have the bankroll to do so.

I was debating doing the same thing.. are you betting the ML on this series? do you mind me asking what your approx bankroll is with you deciding to bet to win $500 on this series?

**BernardMadoff** · 05-03-10, 04:04 PM

Originally posted by dlunc3

I was debating doing the same thing.. are you betting the ML on this series? do you mind me asking what your approx bankroll is with you deciding to bet to win $500 on this series?

I might scale it down to win $300 for the series, with Sabathia, Burnett, and Pettite on the mound with a combined 9-1 record, I just dont see them getting swept.

**BernardMadoff** · 05-03-10, 04:09 PM

Im gonna do $400 on the -1.5 runline for the series.

**jolmscheid** · 05-03-10, 04:24 PM

Thanks for the update on the Money management for your picks Rev...will look forward to what you come up with...and maybe even just going to a 2 game chase?? I don't know....look forward to hearing what you have!

**arizona40** · 05-03-10, 04:28 PM

Originally posted by balls2wall

welcome zona

glad to have you aboard

there was a rough patch this week obviously, but as you can see by revs record it is up a ton on the year so far

hope it does well for you

welcome zona

glad to have you aboard

there was a rough patch this week obviously, but as you can see by revs record it is up a ton on the year so far

hope it does well for you
__________________

Thanks, although I have no intention of investing as of yet I am looking forward to learning more and more from those who take this more seriously. Once I get more of a grasp on things and develop my filters I will be more confident in placing bets.

**youngerthree** · 05-03-10, 04:38 PM

Keep it up Rev! Look forward to the money management aspect!

**goldseeker** · 05-03-10, 04:51 PM

Good luck tonight

**balls2wall** · 05-03-10, 05:42 PM

Quick question

LOL, ok I had two questions while I was out washing my car, but a few too many beers and dead brain cells and I can't remember the second question

what is the probablility that BAL will win 6 games in a row??

3 of which are against one of the best teams in the league

I don't know and need to finish washing my car. However, I can tell you the odds are pretty damn low. I need to finish up the car and a couple of beers so I don't have time to figure it out. I do have already have a table with the probabilities of how many wins and losses a team with a certain winning % will have. A 28% winning team should go on a MAX of a 4 game winning streak. I have seen it go over these numbers, but it is usually pretty close.

I already have a wager down on the RL. Bout to put another down ML or -1. I am doing the opposite of what I was questioning yesterday (playing a team in 2 systems), but the Yanks are not gonna get swept by the Orioles this series PERIOD

If they get swept I may decide I don't need to be doing this and call it quits

BOL all

**TNT28** · 05-03-10, 05:45 PM

I had already jumped on the Yankees last night before I even saw any of the plays. They will most likely sweep Baltimore right under the rug

Already put in to win $200 on the -1RL and just may put in some more here on the -1.5. Takin the Rockies tonight too but not in a chase.

**NastyStuff** · 05-03-10, 05:57 PM

Hi everyone!

I have been "lurking" on this site for several weeks and I must say that it is very impressive.

As a novice sports gambler I am still getting my feet wet with the Rev's systems...but it's hard to argue with success as the saying goes and this looks pretty good to me.

Boston was a disaster on the weekend ....tonight I am going for the Yankees on a "revenge" bet against Baltimore and I am wondering about Arizona to take Houston...

Anyway, just thought that I'd stop "lurking" and come out and introduce myself.

Thanks Rev for all that you do and to all the other contributors that I am learning from.

**Brian891** · 05-03-10, 06:05 PM

I am in the same boat as a lurker nasty. Best of luck to u. This system will work. The juice will be higher and winnings smaller as season goes on, but i think we are all going to make some good loot.

**balls2wall** · 05-03-10, 06:11 PM

just got on STL ML too, those are my two (3) plays for the early week

BOL all

**NastyStuff** · 05-03-10, 06:18 PM

Originally posted by Brian891

I am in the same boat as a lurker nasty. Best of luck to u. This system will work. The juice will be higher and winnings smaller as season goes on, but i think we are all going to make some good loot.

Thanks Brian and best of luck to you too!

**balls2wall** · 05-03-10, 06:20 PM

Welcome Nasty and Brian

have seen several "novices" joining in the past couple of pages

Just the right time IMO. Just after a rough patch. I am a believer in cycles, so I think the thread is due for a bounce back.

Anyone who is really a novice, please really consider taking a very conservative approach. Look at the C bet and total wagered in a series and think about what
you would say "I have no problem losing this amount on."

Even wagering small amounts it can build up quickly one way or the other.

good luck guys

I think you will be happy with the results at the end of the year if you play it conservatively

**balls2wall** · 05-03-10, 06:21 PM

Originally posted by TNT28

I had already jumped on the Yankees last night before I even saw any of the plays. They will most likely sweep Baltimore right under the rug

Already put in to win $200 on the -1RL and just may put in some more here on the -1.5. Takin the Rockies tonight too but not in a chase.

let's do it TNT

got on the ML for a unit in another series with NYY (2 total)

**NastyStuff** · 05-03-10, 06:25 PM

Thanks for your insight and good wishes B 2 Wall

Yes you are most certainly right on being conservative...I have to ask myself on C bets...do I want to risk that much...or maybe a smaller portion and try to preserve my bankroll....that is always the number one consideration in managing risk....preservation of capital.

**Jordan23** · 05-03-10, 06:34 PM

I hope we have an amazing year! I also hope we will all be back next year for another strong run.

**arizona40** · 05-03-10, 07:40 PM

Yankee's looking good half way! Lets have a good start to the week guys!!!

**TNT28** · 05-03-10, 08:48 PM

And that's a $1200 cash on the Yankees to start the week off right!

**G's pks** · 05-03-10, 08:52 PM

1-0 in my system with yanks win...Red Sox pending for a perfect night.. glad you hit on this one too rev...

**JVP3122** · 05-03-10, 09:03 PM

Originally posted by G's pks

1-0 in my system with yanks win...Red Sox pending for a perfect night.. glad you hit on this one too rev...

Nice hit on the Sox, too, as long as they can keep this 10-run lead. The thing that gets me about the Sox is they can come out swinging and take a 14-4 lead on the Angels, they can sweep in Toronto, and then they get swept by the Orioles. I'm not playing any series they're in until they can show me some consistency.

**docvinny** · 05-03-10, 09:06 PM

good call on the Yanks tonite