Reverend's 2010 MLB

**TopDog** · 04-20-10, 05:36 PM

Awesome to say the least.

Thanks Rev

**doublej95** · 04-20-10, 05:41 PM

Thanks Rev for responding to my question. I also that the the Brewers was the weakest system play out of the one's starting today. I will be playing all of the except the Brewers. Thanks for the time you put into the system and this thread.

**khaden** · 04-20-10, 06:56 PM

Let's run the table tonight rev! Excellent work.

**mizzoujohn** · 04-20-10, 07:13 PM

I know it's early, but I guess Colorado wasn't too risky of a pick @ Washington.

**canepole** · 04-20-10, 08:23 PM

rev do you ever place bets on a series of games like best of three? thanks for all your hard work onthis thread

**Schmidty29** · 04-20-10, 08:34 PM

lets hope the rays can pull this out

**Schmidty29** · 04-20-10, 09:37 PM

wow what a shitty night in MLB

**Barroco** · 04-20-10, 09:39 PM

Reverend, NICE played the Twins $$$$$

**reverend** · 04-20-10, 09:58 PM

Originally posted by reverend

Tuesday April 20:

Series System:

A Bet: Twins (ML) 2.25 Units to Win 1.5 Units

Situational System

A Bet: Marlins (ML) 1.65 Units to Win 1.5 Units

A Bet: Tampa Bay (ML) 1.65 Units to Win 1.5 Units

A Bet: Yankees (ML) 2.43 Units to Win 1.5 Units

A Bet: Brewers (ML) 1.8 Units to Win 1.5 Units

B Bet: Colorado (ML) 5 Units to win 3.78 Units (1.5 Unit Profit)

FAV System

A Bet: Twins (-1 RL) 1.1 Units to Win 1 Unit

I will be away for the rest of the night but as we stand right now, we are 4-2
(+5.5 Units) on the day with the Yankees game pending. We will have B bets tomorrow on the Marlins and Rays.

**mizzoujohn** · 04-20-10, 10:31 PM

Rays against Buhrle? ugh.
John

**khaden** · 04-20-10, 10:34 PM

This could get a little interesting the next few days.

**Grosshhit** · 04-20-10, 11:58 PM

ya then followed by Peavy, but Rays are hot, and they know these games are important especially in their division. They gotta win 1.

**dolphan34** · 04-21-10, 12:13 AM

Thanks Rev. Always checking this thread.

**tompa87** · 04-21-10, 01:08 AM

5-2 my friend, I´d call that a great night!

Big thank you´s from Sweden!

**BillAccpetor** · 04-21-10, 01:25 AM

Looking forward for the Ray's next play...

**ahhlenn** · 04-21-10, 01:26 AM

nice calls today rev! keep it going!

**dyeguy** · 04-21-10, 01:27 AM

Originally posted by Schmidty29

wow what a shitty night in MLB

Only if you played the wrong teams. Was a good nice for those of us playing these systems.

**Daniel** · 04-21-10, 01:49 AM

Hey Rev,

another big thanks from Sweden! I'm just curious, did you write your filters somewhere in this thread? I've been following the thread from the beginning, but I want to understand your thinking, not just tail your great bets (though I do have the greatest confidence in you).

**TNT28** · 04-21-10, 01:58 AM

Still had a good night with $665.97 in winnings but I faded the NYY bet cuz I felt there was good value with OAK and the pitchers tonight for both teams. Only lost $100 and if it wasn't the NYY then I would prolly let it go but I don't see much risk in chasing at least one of their next 2 games. Just the decision of which one. Pretty good pitchers for both teams these next 2 games. Maybe wiser to wait until C.C. is on the mound in game 3. Or should I let it go? Suggestions?

**mizzoujohn** · 04-21-10, 02:08 AM

I skipped today's NYY bet (like you, I thought Oakland had the pitching advantage today). I'm starting tomorrow, will chase NYY until they win. They have 2 at Oak and then head to LAA. I'm going -1rl, ml, ml, ml.

John

**kc714** · 04-21-10, 08:42 AM

I have a question on the Situational System:

If the A bet wins, then what do you do? Is that series over? Read the original post a couple times and could not pin that down.

**SkivChef** · 04-21-10, 09:03 AM

yes it's over

**kc714** · 04-21-10, 09:25 AM

So does he place new A bets or wait until new series are up?

**DMB40** · 04-21-10, 09:30 AM

rev what you think about these plays:

SF +116
PHI -152 Doc on the hill

**fjordo** · 04-21-10, 09:35 AM

Originally posted by dyeguy

Only if you played the wrong teams. Was a good nice for those of us playing these systems.

I agree. Solid night. I'm on these plays as well, as well as some of my own based on the same no sweep theory, but this is Rev's thread so I'll let him make the posted plays. Good work everyone, lets keep up the good work.

Side question here. On average, how many sweeps are there in a season, weather it be a good or bad team being swept?

**Betting Guru** · 04-21-10, 10:03 AM

I feel real good about ur plays today Rev

**G's pks** · 04-21-10, 10:29 AM

Originally posted by Daniel

Hey Rev,

another big thanks from Sweden! I'm just curious, did you write your filters somewhere in this thread? I've been following the thread from the beginning, but I want to understand your thinking, not just tail your great bets (though I do have the greatest confidence in you).

Daniel.. I am pretty sure Rev does his system something like mine. The first round of filtering is done by using stats...they change depending on momentum and other such things as injuries and previous match ups. The second round of filtering is where you use your capping skill... you have to decide which teams not only have a chance of winning a game in the series but also several variables come in such as pitching match ups. several other statistics and who is hot who is not...

Would be very hard to give you an exact group of filters....capping is a big part of it. That is why the Rev and I usually have a high percent of our picks the same in our threads but also different selections too...

Capping is a big part... would not be a good idea for you to try to guess the selections based on your capping. The picks are hitting at a high clip the last thing you want to do is confuse anyone. That is why it is hard to share threads, systems and filters we all look at them differently... GL...

**BetCash30** · 04-21-10, 10:30 AM

Originally posted by reverend

I will be away for the rest of the night but as we stand right now, we are 4-2
(+5.5 Units) on the day with the Yankees game pending. We will have B bets tomorrow on the Marlins and Rays.

Those games you are talking about reverend,are they for today or tomorow?
Was just wondering since you said you were taking the night off.

**reverend** · 04-21-10, 10:49 AM

Originally posted by reverend

Tuesday April 20:

Series System:

A Bet: Twins (ML) 2.25 Units to Win 1.5 Units

Situational System

A Bet: Marlins (ML) 1.65 Units to Win 1.5 Units

A Bet: Tampa Bay (ML) 1.65 Units to Win 1.5 Units

A Bet: Yankees (ML) 2.43 Units to Win 1.5 Units

A Bet: Brewers (ML) 1.8 Units to Win 1.5 Units

B Bet: Colorado (ML) 5 Units to win 3.78 Units (1.5 Unit Profit)

FAV System

A Bet: Twins (-1 RL) 1.1 Units to Win 1 Unit

Tuesday April 20:

5-0 (+7 Units)

Pending Chases: 2

**reverend** · 04-21-10, 10:55 AM

Originally posted by canepole

rev do you ever place bets on a series of games like best of three? thanks for all your hard work onthis thread

i dont bet on the series winner. there is so much that goes into a game, that i prefer to try and pick just 1 winner in a series.

**reverend** · 04-21-10, 11:00 AM

Originally posted by TNT28

Still had a good night with $665.97 in winnings but I faded the NYY bet cuz I felt there was good value with OAK and the pitchers tonight for both teams. Only lost $100 and if it wasn't the NYY then I would prolly let it go but I don't see much risk in chasing at least one of their next 2 games. Just the decision of which one. Pretty good pitchers for both teams these next 2 games. Maybe wiser to wait until C.C. is on the mound in game 3. Or should I let it go? Suggestions?

solid night last night tnt! i dont really have an opinion on the next 2 games, although i do think the A's will get a win. i would probably wait for CC to be on the mound

**reverend** · 04-21-10, 11:01 AM

Originally posted by kc714

I have a question on the Situational System:

If the A bet wins, then what do you do? Is that series over? Read the original post a couple times and could not pin that down.

situational system is similar to the series system. both series end after a win. the series system will always start on the first game of a new series, whereas the situational system doesnt have to. sorry for the confusion

**reverend** · 04-21-10, 11:03 AM

Originally posted by DMB40

rev what you think about these plays:

SF +116
PHI -152 Doc on the hill

doc is throwing the ball great right now. i would lean to the phils in that game.

about sf, the padres are really confusing me right now. they are a bad team, but they are winning games. i would stay away from the sf pitcher tonight. if they win, it will be because of their bats.

**reverend** · 04-21-10, 11:05 AM

Originally posted by G's pks

Daniel.. I am pretty sure Rev does his system something like mine. The first round of filtering is done by using stats...they change depending on momentum and other such things as injuries and previous match ups. The second round of filtering is where you use your capping skill... you have to decide which teams not only have a chance of winning a game in the series but also several variables come in such as pitching match ups. several other statistics and who is hot who is not...

Would be very hard to give you an exact group of filters....capping is a big part of it. That is why the Rev and I usually have a high percent of our picks the same in our threads but also different selections too...

Capping is a big part... would not be a good idea for you to try to guess the selections based on your capping. The picks are hitting at a high clip the last thing you want to do is confuse anyone. That is why it is hard to share threads, systems and filters we all look at them differently... GL...

G said it best. alot of what i do is just pure capping. i have a system in place that filters out games, but in the end, it is me evaluating games and match-ups

**reverend** · 04-21-10, 11:14 AM

Wednesday April 21:

Situational System:

B Bet: Tampa Bay (ML) 3.15 Units to Win 3.15 Units (1.5 Unit Profit)

B Bet: Florida (ML) 4.66 Units to Win 3.15 Units (1.5 Unit Profit)

FAV System:

A Bet: Seattle (ML) 1.92 Units to Win 1 Unit