2010 MLB Plays

Dexter · 04-08-10, 05:54 PM

Fri 4/9:

(1x) twins +110
(2x) brewers -110

EXhoosier10 · 04-08-10, 07:20 PM

Dex, what are you thoughts about SF with ATL flying cross country tonight? Hanson is at 63 pitches through 3... if he can only go 5, they could be hurting in the pen. If they need Wagner tonight, they're left with Saito to close if needed. On top of that SF was hitting the ball well against Hou and willbe coming off a day's rest. Do you not see value at +120?

Dexter · 04-08-10, 07:21 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

Fri 4/9:

(1x) twins +110
(2x) brewers -110

(1x) tigers -140

Dexter · 04-08-10, 07:26 PM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Dex, what are you thoughts about SF with ATL flying cross country tonight? Hanson is at 63 pitches through 3... if he can only go 5, they could be hurting in the pen. If they need Wagner tonight, they're left with Saito to close if needed. On top of that SF was hitting the ball well against Hou and willbe coming off a day's rest. Do you not see value at +120?

love that play - was sitting here flipping a coin between sf and det. i decided on siding with porcello at home.
plus its a day game after a night game for atl.

thats one thing i dont love about my twins play (traveling from west coast), but i have a feeling we may not get many more chances of getting liriano at such a sweet price. he ripped up dominican ball this winter and spring training. having him lined up vs other teams #4 is value...

EXhoosier10 · 04-08-10, 07:50 PM

If you don't mind me asking, what's your lean on the milwaukee game? I have Lohse with a 3.375 ERA and 1.22 WhIP v. Mil since 2004 while Bush isn't anything special (fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/bush-named-milwaukees-4th-starter), especially with his 5+ ERA against StL. Bullpens are fresh since StL only used Brandon Boggs for more than 7 pitches today... Cincinnati isn't far from Milwaukee, and it's a night after day game, so travel issues aren't a concern. If i were to have any lean, it would be towards StL...

And Atl's pen is coming in and will throw 3.2 innings tonight

Dexter · 04-08-10, 09:51 PM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

If you don't mind me asking, what's your lean on the milwaukee game? I have Lohse with a 3.375 ERA and 1.22 WhIP v. Mil since 2004 while Bush isn't anything special (fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/bush-named-milwaukees-4th-starter), especially with his 5+ ERA against StL. Bullpens are fresh since StL only used Brandon Boggs for more than 7 pitches today... Cincinnati isn't far from Milwaukee, and it's a night after day game, so travel issues aren't a concern. If i were to have any lean, it would be towards StL...

And Atl's pen is coming in and will throw 3.2 innings tonight

i dont go back that far (just 08 and 09), and i focus just on how the pitcher has performed in the park hes pitching in.... bush has 13ip and just 3er vs stl at home. sharp movement towards milw was a big part of this play. +104 to -106 at pinnacle.

Dexter · 04-09-10, 01:28 PM

edit - 3 run error....even better

shoebox · 04-09-10, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

(1x) tigers -140

thats some high juice to play

ragiche · 04-09-10, 03:06 PM

4/9

Pirates ML ( HEAVY )

Angels ML ( HEAVY )

White Sox ML ( MEDIUM )

Braves ML ( MEDIUM )

Dexter · 04-09-10, 03:11 PM

Originally posted by shoebox

thats some high juice to play

haha - ive clearly stated 150 is my max chief.

Dexter · 04-09-10, 03:12 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

(1x) tigers -140

hey shoe - i win

shoebox · 04-09-10, 03:16 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

hey shoe - i win

nice consensus cash

Check out LB thread CK sent one of his cronies over for a "challenge" or marketing campaign

Dexter · 04-09-10, 05:38 PM

Sat 4/10:

(1x) mariners -140

EXhoosier10 · 04-09-10, 08:25 PM

Tough loss on the Brewcrew. THought you had it.

Anyways, I'm surprised you're not on the CUbs tomorrow. Zambrano is lights out @ Cincinnati. Harang is average @ home and bad vs. the cubs.

Dexter · 04-10-10, 10:15 AM

die trevor hoffman

Dexter · 04-10-10, 10:33 AM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Tough loss on the Brewcrew. THought you had it.

Anyways, I'm surprised you're not on the CUbs tomorrow. Zambrano is lights out @ Cincinnati. Harang is average @ home and bad vs. the cubs.

i didnt fully cap the card yet - doing it now. mariners stuck out to me last night and i wanted to get down before the line moved anymore.

Dexter · 04-10-10, 10:37 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

Sat 4/10:

(1x) mariners -140

(1x) cubs -110

Dexter · 04-10-10, 02:49 PM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Tough loss on the Brewcrew. THought you had it.

Anyways, I'm surprised you're not on the CUbs tomorrow. Zambrano is lights out @ Cincinnati. Harang is average @ home and bad vs. the cubs.

good eye exhoosier

Dexter · 04-10-10, 02:54 PM

(1x) under redsox 7.5

superjeff24 · 04-10-10, 02:54 PM

I also took the cubbies today. Anyone else on Jays+130 today? I think they're going to put runs on the board today in a slugfest. Thats my opinion though, but until the arms catch up to the bats, Jays are going to be a team that takes full advantage. Also I really like Red Sox to knock Greinke around today. To lose late and only score 2 runs against mediocre Royals pitching, a team like the Red Sox is going to look for revenge bigtime. 1-3 wont cut it in that locker room trust me

EXhoosier10 · 04-10-10, 03:26 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

good eye exhoosier

Glad you could cash.

Dexter · 04-10-10, 07:50 PM

Originally posted by superjeff24

I also took the cubbies today. Anyone else on Jays+130 today? I think they're going to put runs on the board today in a slugfest. Thats my opinion though, but until the arms catch up to the bats, Jays are going to be a team that takes full advantage. Also I really like Red Sox to knock Greinke around today. To lose late and only score 2 runs against mediocre Royals pitching, a team like the Red Sox is going to look for revenge bigtime. 1-3 wont cut it in that locker room trust me

lets keep the redsox score at 2-1 and we'll both be happy.

Good Beat Alert

- Mariners today. as gamblers we always tend to whine and complain about the bad beats - well today i had a good one. sea scored 3 runs in the top of the 9th off a pretty tough closer in francisco.

as for tomorrows card, i think i will play my first run lines of the year. last year i got burnt waaaay too many times with my team winning by 1 run and not covering the 1.5 run line.

nothing heavy - going to play a few aces tomorrow and see what happens. last year i played 2-3 run lines per day - this year i plan on doing maybe that many per week (so long as i dont start out with a bad run on those games winning by 1 run.)

suicidekings · 04-10-10, 08:21 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

lets keep the redsox score at 2-1 and we'll both be happy.

Good Beat Alert

- Mariners today. as gamblers we always tend to whine and complain about the bad beats - well today i had a good one. sea scored 3 runs in the top of the 9th off a pretty tough closer in francisco.

as for tomorrows card, i think i will play my first run lines of the year. last year i got burnt waaaay too many times with my team winning by 1 run and not covering the 1.5 run line.

nothing heavy - going to play a few aces tomorrow and see what happens. last year i played 2-3 run lines per day - this year i plan on doing maybe that many per week (so long as i dont start out with a bad run on those games winning by 1 run.)

I've had very good success with playing a combination of ML (x3), RL -1 (x2), & RL -2 (x1) instead of the -1.5/-2.5, allowing you to push rather than lose if you get that one run (or two run) win. When overall, about 1/3 of games end by a margin of one run, those pushes make a big difference in your bottom line.

Dexter · 04-10-10, 08:24 PM

Sunday 4/11:

(2x) giants -1.5 (+100) - lincecum has given up 2 er in 16ip last 2 home games vs the braves (both wins). lincecum looked dominant in his first start this year after a rough spring. all systems a go on the giants ace. kawakami lost last year in sf giving up 3er in 5ip.

Dexter · 04-10-10, 08:26 PM

Originally posted by suicidekings

I've had very good success with playing a combination of ML (x3), RL -1 (x2), & RL -2 (x1) instead of the -1.5/-2.5, allowing you to push rather than lose if you get that one run (or two run) win. When overall, about 1/3 of games end by a margin of one run, those pushes make a big difference in your bottom line.

if a line were -1.5 (+100) on a home team. what would the price be on -1?

suicidekings · 04-10-10, 08:44 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

if a line were -1.5 (+100) on a home team. what would the price be on -1?

About -165, with the ML at around -230

Dexter · 04-10-10, 09:02 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

Sunday 4/11:

(2x) giants -1.5 (+100) - lincecum has given up 2 er in 16ip last 2 home games vs the braves (both wins). lincecum looked dominant in his first start this year after a rough spring. all systems a go on the giants ace. kawakami lost last year in sf giving up 3er in 5ip.

(2x) phillies -1.5 (-120) - the astros hitters have never seen roy halladay (good luck). oswalt has faced the phillies twice at home since 2008 going 1-1 with a 5.83 era.

Dexter · 04-11-10, 10:49 AM

(1x) mets -1.5 (-120)

Dexter · 04-11-10, 07:29 PM

ok - the run line experiment is over.

- complete sucker bets. only when im forced to on A1 bets.

Dexter · 04-11-10, 08:20 PM

lincecum racking up the k's, but i havent seen him get over 92mph in 2 starts now...

Dexter · 04-11-10, 09:05 PM

Monday 4/12:

(1x) marlins -150
(1x) rangers +100
(1x) bluejays +110

Dexter · 04-11-10, 09:39 PM

Week 1: 12-10 (-1.9 units)

ragiche · 04-12-10, 11:27 AM

4/12

Tigers RL [ +115] ( LARGE )

Rays RL [+115] ( LARGE )

Brewers ML ( MEDIUM )

Twins ML ( MEDIUM )

Dexter · 04-12-10, 07:18 PM

welcome to the AL Peavy...

Dexter · 04-13-10, 07:37 AM

Tue 4/13:

(2x) a's -130 - brett anderson has carried over his hot end of 2009 here into the new season. in 2 career starts at sea he has given up just 2 er in 12ip. sharps played oakland on the open from 117 to 132 at Pinnacle.

(1x) over yankees 10
(1x) rockies -140