Ok so the big board is all updated and I even threw in a rare 2 way parlay as well
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Damn....the Commish just made all kinds of money off of Imanaga's implosion..wow. Everyone had Imanaga high on their 12 teamersComment -
Ok boys there are some rumblings that Hicks may get swapped for Kyle Harrison-so hopefully you went with LISTED and Hicks. That way if there is some shenanigans with the Giants as they are known to do you can at least get your money back. Keep Hicks on roster tho!Comment -
280-287-16 +35.03 UNITS
Rot.#952 Cubs-1.5 +135 RL Imanaga#1 2 UNITS LOSS -2.0 UNITS
Rot.#953 Snakes+114 ML FF Montgomery (DNS) 1 UNIT WIN +1.14 UNITS
Rot.#953 Snakes/Blunts OVER 9 -120 1 UNIT PUSH
Rot.#953 Snakes (Joc Pederson) OVER 1.5 BASES +102 1 unit WIN +2.04 UNITS
Rot.#960 Tigers-1.5 +130 RL Flaherty#3 3 UNITS LOSS -3.0 UNITS
Rot.#960 Tigers (Flaherty#3) OVER 6.5 K's -105 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
Rot.#971 Braves (Sale#4) OVER 7 K's -115 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#972 Bombers (Rodon#8) OVER 7 K's -105 1 UNIT LOSS -1.05 UNITS
Rot.#971 Braves/Bombers UNDER 4.5 FF -120 1 UNIT LOSS -1.2 UNITS
Rot.#963 Royals+0.5 FF -115 RL Singer#17 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#967 Twinkies/Athletics OVER 8 -110 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
Rot.#968 Athletics+140 Estes (DNS) 2 UNITS WIN +2.8 UNITS
Rot.#968 Athletics/OVER 2 WAY Parlay 1 UNIT FOR +3.58 UNITS WIN +3.58 UNITS
288-291-17 +43.34 UNITS
Last edited by atthehalf; 06-22-24, 06:36 AM.Comment -
The wind is bowing out in the Windy City today-so no go for any type of UNDER and I have updated the big board to reflect this.
Also after performing my rankings I had to roll with Burnes#3 instead of Blanco#10. I blasted away on the Orioles RL because I am cheap and I refuse to pay over -140 for any move and I only paid -140 ONCE this year and of course it LOST when JD Martinez failed me as a bat.
Let me look over a few things I may make some more movesComment -
Ok so here are my top ten streamer rankings for today
Blunts Zack Wheeler#1
Dodgers Tyler Glasnow#2
Orioles Corbin Burnes#3
Sailors Logan Gilbert#4
Buccos Jared Jones#5
Twinkies Bailey Ober#6
Red Sox Nick Pivetta#7
Rays Zack Eflin#8
Fish Jesus Luzardo#9
Astronauts Ronel Blanco#10Comment -
Ok so just one look at the top ten and it should be abundantly clear that I had to replace some of the arms with bats such as Wheeler, Glasnow, Blanco and Pivetta.
Here's how I went about it
Metropolitans (Jose Iglesias) is 6-8 with 1 BOMB; .750 AVG; .750 OBP; 1.375 SLG; 2.125 OPS vs Taillon
Twins (Carlos Correa) is 3-5 with 2 BOMBS; .600 AVG; .667 OBP; 1.800 SLG; 2.467 OPS vs JP Sears
I threw in the Twinkies Team Total OVER 4.5 -111 as well
As I pointed out the Bombers are hitting .310 vs Charlie Morton-what more do you need to know? They got embarrassed on their home field last night. Bombers Team Total OVER 4.5 -115
Red Sox (Rafeal Devers) is 5-11 with a .455 AVG; .500 OBP; .636 SLG; 1.136 OPS vs Montas. I will have a condensed version below-as the big board is on the page before thisComment -
CONDENSED COPY
Rot.#901 Giants-105 ML Hicks#13 3 UNITS
Rot.#921 Rays/Buccos UNDER 4 FF +100 Eflin#8/Jones#5 1 UNIT
Rot.#915 Twinkies (Ober#6) OVER 6.5 K's -104 1 UNIT
Rot.#919 Orioles-1.5 +115 RL Burnes#3 2 UNITS
Rot.#923 Sailors/Fish UNDER 4 FF -120 Gilbert#4/Luzardo#9 1 UNIT
Rot.#917 Jays/Guardians OVER 8.5 -120 Berrios#12/Lively#21 2 UNITS
Rot.#927 Braves/Bombers OVER 9 -118 Morton#24/Stroman#11 2 UNITS
Rot.#928 Bombers Team Total OVER 4.5 -115 1 UNIT
Rot.#915 Twins(Carlos Correa) OVER 1.5 BASES +100 1 UNIT
Rot.#915 Twins Team Total OVER 4.5 -111 1 UNIT
Rot.#925 Red Sox (Rafael Devers) OVER 1.5 BASES -107 1 UNIT
Rot.#903 Metropolitans (Jose Iglesias) OVER 1.5 BASES -104 1 UNIT
Last edited by atthehalf; 06-22-24, 08:35 AM.Comment -
Doesn't look like Jose Iglesias is going to be listed so obviously the odds makers don't want to be raked for this. Only the keen eyes can see the value in this moveComment -
Great work!!!!, Much appreciatedComment -
Thanks!
Just trying to integrate the worlds of fantasy league and traditional MLB side and totals moves, It's hard as hell. Everyone who makes traditional MLB betting moves will eventually end up with a .500 record. It's the UNITS that one looks for to get ahead in this formatComment -
288-291-17 +43.34 UNITS
Rot.#901 Giants-105 ML Hicks#13 3 UNITS LOSS -3.15 UNITS
Rot.#921 Rays/Buccos UNDER 4 FF +100 Eflin#8/Jones#5 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
Rot.#915 Twinkies (Ober#6) OVER 6.5 K's -104 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#919 Orioles-1.5 +115 RL Burnes#3 2 UNITS LOSS -2.0 UNITS
Rot.#923 Sailors/Fish UNDER 4 FF -120 Gilbert#4/Luzardo#9 1 UNIT LOSS -1.2 UNITS
Rot.#917 Jays/Guardians OVER 8.5 -120 Berrios#12/Lively#21 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
Rot.#927 Braves/Bombers OVER 9 -118 Morton#24/Stroman#11 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
Rot.#928 Bombers Team Total OVER 4.5 -115 1 UNIT WIN+1.0 UNITS
Rot.#915 Twins(Carlos Correa) OVER 1.5 BASES +100 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#915 Twins Team Total OVER 4.5 -111 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#925 Red Sox (Rafael Devers) OVER 1.5 BASES -107 1 UNIT LOSS -1.07 UNITS
Rot.#903 Metropolitans (Jose Iglesias) OVER 1.5 BASES -104 1 UNIT LOSS -1.04 UNITS
294-297-17 +41.88 units
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294-297-17 +41.88 UNITS
Fried#6 vs Bombers 56 AB; 13 K; 6 BB; .393 AVG; .452 OBP; .536 SLG; .987 OPS
Cortes#10 vs Braves 18 AB; 9 K; 7 BB; .222 AVG; .440 OBP; .278 SLG; .718 OPS
Giancarlo Stanton vs Fried 3-7; 1 BOMB; .429 AVG; .500 OBP; .857 SLG; 1.375 OPS
Rot.#972 Bombers-107 Cortes#10 2 UNITS
Rot.#972 Bombers (Stanton) OVER 1.5 BASES NO LINE 1 UNIT
Johnathan Cannon#14 NO DATA vs Tigers
Olson#8 vs Pale Hose 30 AB; 6 K; 1 BB; .133 AVG; .161 OBP; .167 SLG; .328 OPS
Rot.#961 Pale Hose/Tigers UNDER 4.5 FF -103 Cannon#14/Olson#8 1 UNIT
Kikuchi#12 vs Guardians 39 AB; 9 K; 2 BB; .154 AVG; .195 OBP; .333 SLG; .528 OPS
McKenzie#22 vs Jays 29 AB; 7 K; 2 BB; .172 AVG; .226 OBP; .207 SLG; .435 OPS
Rot.#963 Jays-103 Kikuchi#12 3 UNITS
Suarez#23 (DNS) vs Astronauts NO DATA
Valdez#17 vs Orioles 61 AB; 12K; 2 BB; .328 AVG; .349 OBP; .574 SLG; .913 OPS
Rot.#965 Orioles+105 Suarez#23 2 UNITS
Webb#3 vs Cardinals 59 AB; 18 K; 4 BB; .237 AVG; .286 OBP; .329 SLG; .625 OPS
Gray#2 vs Giants 52 AB; 13 K; 11 BB; .192 AVG; .333 OBP; .404 SLG; .737 OPS
Rot.#953 Giants/Cardinals UNDER 4 FF -125 1 UNIT Webb#3/Gray#2
Myers#21 vs Fathers NO DATA
King#7 vs Brews 35 AB; 13 K; 4 BB; .171 AVG; .256 OBP; .229 SLG; .485 OPS
Rot.#959 Brews+112 Myers#21 3 UNITS CRUMBS POD
Severino#20 vs Cubs 27 AB; 8 K; 3 BB; .111 AVG; .206 OBP; .111 SLG; .311 OPS
Assad(DRAFT) vs Metropolitans 29 AB; 4 K; 2 BB; .172 AVG; .219 OBP; .172 SLG; .391 OPS
Rot.#955 Metropolitans/Cubs UNDER 4.5 -122 FF Severino#20/Assad (DRAFT) 1 UNIT
Rot.#955 Metropolitans-104 Severino#20 2 UNITS
No need for research for this-you keep on making this move until you get burned; and then start it up again after you get burned; sort of like Spencer Strider when healthy
Rot.#974 Buccos (Skenes) OVER 7.5 K's -104 1 UNIT
What do you get when 12 arms are used the previous day? Well you get runs in abundance because no one has anything that hasn't been seen before or studied
Rot.#975 Red Sox/Red Leggins OVER 9.5 +100 2 UNITS
Last edited by atthehalf; 06-23-24, 04:20 PM.Comment -
OK so not many will agree with my streamer pick of the day-now that everyone in the discord has gotten ahold of Johnathan Cannon he is the popular move. However the Brews have lost the first 3 games vs the Fathers in this series and one look at the Fathers home record (21-21) and the Brews road record (22-21) is telling. The Fathers have overachieved in this series. Michael King is one of those guys where I love his ability and I trust him. Tobias Myers has had 3 straight strong outings; and although I still question is he actually has the stuff to stay for a prolonged period at the table of dominance; I am willing to roll with him as his use rate is very low at 14% and as always I am looking for value with a guy who can go 5 frames and give me a 3-1 K/W ratio.
No wind issues at Wrigley today-feel free to fire away on an under with two studs who have good stuff. I had to draft Assad as today was to be Winckowski's turn-but he got used a bit yesterday. It's not material as he won't go long today either and Severino should get the W.Comment -
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Wait a minute. The Red Sox used 7 arms yesterday and the Red Leggins used 5. What was I thinking. Added move
Rot.#975 Red Sox/Red Leggins OVER 9.5 +100 2 UNITSComment -
Only other update-I grabbed some MORE Kikuchi so make it a 3 UNIT banger boys. Other than that I am set to hit the baseball field with my son nowComment -
Giancarlo Stanton (Bombers) was a scratch today and isn't playing-make sure that you get your money back from your sportbook or bookie boysComment -
Damn...that's some bad luck today with the rain delay for the Jays/Guardians-meaning that since BOTH starters didn't go 5 frames I got blasted TWICE! Then the Giancarlo situation... geeeez!Comment -
294-297-17 +41.88 UNITS
Rot.#972 Bombers-107 Cortes#10 2 UNITS LOSS -2.14 UNITS
Rot.#961 Pale Hose/Tigers UNDER 4.5 FF -103 LOSS -1.03 UNITS
Rot.#963 Jays-103 Kikuchi#12 2 UNITS LOSS -2.06 UNITS
Rot.#965 Orioles+105 Suarez#23 2 UNITS LOSS -2.0 UNITS
Rot.#953 Giants/Cardinals UNDER 4 FF -125 1 UNIT PUSH
Rot.#959 Brews+112 Myers#21 3 UNITS CRUMBS POD WIN +3.36 UNITS
Rot.#955 Metropolitans/Cubs UNDER 4.5 -122 FF 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#955 Metropolitans-104 Severino#20 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
Rot.#974 Buccos (Skenes) OVER 7.5 K's -104 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#975 Red Sox/Red Leggins OVER 9.5 +100 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
RECORD UPDATE
299-301-18 +43.01 UNITS
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Man I got hosed yesterday with that rain delay...anyway on to today.
Y'all now how much I dislike Lance Lynn-however this is one of the teams that he faces today where he has good success and extremely low use as a DNS pitcher.
The polar opposite can be said for Aaron Nola who has bad numbers vs the Tigers of all teams...
Woo vs Rays NO DATA
Bradley vs Sailors 25 AB; 3 K; 1; .320 AVG; .346 OBP; .760 SLG; 1.106 OPS BB;
Rot.#911 Sailors-110 Woo 1 UNIT
Nola vs Tigers 30 AB; 9K; 2 BB; .300 AVG; .344 OBP; .500 SLG; .844 OPS
Mize vs Blunts 25 AB; 7 K; 0 BB; .200 AVG; .200 OBP; .200 SLG; .400 OPS
Rot.#918 Tigers+135 ML FF Mize 1 UNIT
Rot.#918 Tigers +156 ML Mize (FULL GAME) 1 UNIT
Rot.#902 Tigers (Mark Canha) OVER 1.5 BASES +114 1 UNIT
Falter vs Red Leggins 61 AB; 7 K; 4 BB; .361 AVG; .400 OBP; .656 SLG; 1.056 OPS
Spiers vs Buccos 25 AB; 5 K; 1 BB; .280 AVG; .308 OBP; .480 SLG; .788 OPS
Rot.#902 Red Leggings-1.5 +180 RL Spiers 1 UNIT
Rot.#902 Red Leggins Team Total OVER 5 +100 1 UNIT
Rot.#902 Red Leggins (Spencer Steer) 1.5 BASES -110 1 UNIT
Bassitt vs Red Sox 58 AB; 18 K; 3 BB; .207 AVG; .246 OBP; .379 SLG; .625 OPS
Houck vs Jays 60 AB; 15 K; 4 BB; .267 AVG; .312 OBP; .417 SLH G; .729 OPS
Rot.#913 Jays/Red Sox UNDER 4.5 FF -120 Bassitt/Houck 1 UNIT
Schwellenbach vs Cardinals NO DATA
Lynn vs Braves 111 AB; 39 K; .17 AVG; .240 OBP; .261 SLG; .561 OPS
Rot.#904 Cardinals+102 Lynn 2 UNITS
Paxton vs Pale Hose 47 AB; 21 K; .0 BB; 170 AVG; ..170 OBP; 234 SLG; .404 OPS
Crochet vs Dodgers 12AB; 6 K; 1 BB; .167 AVG; .231 OBP; .250 SLG; .481 OPS
Rot.#919 Dodgers/Pale Hose UNDER 4.5 -125 FF 1 UNIT
NO BRAINER
Rot.#922 Royals (Ragans) OVER 7.5 K's +100 1 UNIT
Corbin vs Fathers 74 AB; 6 K; 6 BB; .351 AVG; .400 OBP; .514 SLG; .914 OPS
Waldron vs Nats ONLY 10 AB
Rot.#906 Fathers Team Total OVER 4.5 -130 1 UNIT
Lorenzen vs Brews 30 AB; 10 K; 3 BB; .067 AVG; .152 OBP; .133 SLG; .285 OPS
Peralta vs Wanderers 36 AB; 16 K; 4 BB; .250 AVG; .325 OBP; .333 SLG; .658 OPS
Rot.#924 Brews (Peralta) OVER 7 K's +120 1 UNIT
Rot.#924 Wanderers/Brews UNDER 4 -110 FF 1 UNIT
Last edited by atthehalf; 06-24-24, 03:04 PM.Comment -
There are some rumblings about the Jays may elect to shelve Bassitt for today and go bullpen. So be sure to go LISTED for that move so you can get your money back if he isn't named the starter when the smoke clearsComment -
My top ten streamer rankings for today
Royals Ragans#1
Blunts Nola#2
Red Sox Houck#3
Cubs Steele#4
Pale Hose Crochet#5
Brews Peralta#6
Rays Bradley#7
Fathers Waldron#8
Jays Bassitt#9
Guardians Bibee#10
The Giants have lost 5 straight so I am staying far away from fading them today with Steele who is a certifiable stud.
I'm not the biggest fan of Povich#15 today; but he might steal a win after the Orioles had such a bad road trip-they may be swinging for the fences-which will work to the detriment of Bibee#10.
Crochet is a good spot--however the Pale Hose bullpen is atrocious so I elected to combine him with Paxton#14 for a solid chance at a FF under as Paxton has great numbers vs the Pale Hose as well. the Dodgers hitting lineup is so good that they may blow my under out on accident.
Ragans, Nola, Houck, Steele, and Crochet are all aces and you should avoid fading those at all costs.
Peralta is a stud-if you've got him you're rolling with him. A good option would be to go with chasing their K's and let the chips fall where they may.
Nola draws the worst lineup to face as the Tigers do in fact have his number. Yet he still has one of the highest use rates today and Mize with pretty much the same number of at bats vs the opposing team has superior numbers making for a classic risk risk outweighing the gain for Nola and bettors could care less. If I can get Mize to go 5 frames with a 3-1 K/W ratio this will pay good dividends. I am sure the Commish will be posting a picture of himself wearing a Tigers t-shirt on the discord around 3 PM today from his law office
Taj Bradley is ranked higher than Woo for one reason today. His high 4 seamer is terrific and the Sailors don't respond well to the high cheese. I see the Rays bullpen being the culprit and giving it up late as they had high use vs the Buccos yesterday with 4 arms being put to use to try and stave off Skenes dominance. So Woo it is-plus the Rays have never seen what Woo has to offer. His ERA is that low for a reason. he got blown up by the Guardians in his last outing giving up a 6.75 ERA start. Prior to his implosion his road record was 3-0 on streak and only 3 earned in those with 14 K's; 0BB; 1 BOMB; 9 hits; 18 innings and lasted 6 frames in those-which is what I am looking for.
I am going to look for a bat to replace Bibee today-the Orioles are backed into a corner and I don't want to be on the short end of that. Gimme a secondComment -
Ok the choice was tough
Tigers (Mark Canha) vs Nola 5-10 1 BB; 1 BOMB; .500 AVG; .500 OBP; 1.100 SLG; 1.683 OPS OVER 1.5 BASES +114
Red Leggins (Spencer Steer) vs Falter 5-8 1 BOMB; .625 AVG; .700 OBP; 1.000 SLG; 1.700 OPS OVER 1.5 BASES -110
I couldn't decide so I went for BOTHComment -
Happy Monday all the big board is completely except for the Jays/Red Sox tiltComment -
Looking ahead to tomorrow I already know what I am making moves on so why not publish it
6/25/24 Tuesday
Castillo vs Rays 64 AB; 19 K; 5 BB; .250 AVG; .304 OBP; .453 SLG; .757 OPS
Littell vs Sailors 26 AB; 2 K; 1 BB; .154 AVG; .195 OBP; .154 SLG; .339 OPS
Rot.#962 Rays ML FF 1 UNIT
Keller vs Red Leggins 95 AB; 25 K; 12 BB; .200 AVG; .290 OBP; .253 SLG; .542 OPS
Greene vs Buccos 76 AB; 26 K; 7 BB; .211 AVG; .277 OBP; .329 SLG; .606 OPS
Rot.#951 Buccos/Red Leggins UNDER FF 1 UNIT
Gausman vs Red sox 104 AB; 26 K; 10 BB; .298 AVG; .360 OBP; .481 SLG; .840 OPS
Bello vs Jays 78 AB; 18K; 6 BB; .359 AVG; .405 OBP; .526 SLG; .930 OPS
Vladimir Guerrro vs Bello 7-17; 2 BOMBS; 3 K; 1 BB; .412 AVG; .444 OBP; .882 SLG; 1.322 OPS
Rot.#963 Jays/Red Sox OVER 9 -115 3 UNITS
Rot.#963 Jays( Guererro) OVER 1.5 BASES 1 UNIT
Gibson vs Braves 112 AB; 26 K; 11 BB; .348 AVG; .407 OBP; .679 SLG; 1.085 OPS
Rot.#953 Braves Team Total OVER 2 UNITS
Chirinos vs Royals 28 AB; 3 K; 2 BB; .250 AVG; .300 OBP; .607 SLG; .907 OPS
Lugo vs Fish 31 AB; 11 K; 2 BB; 0.65 AVG; .121 OBP; .065 SLG; .186 OPS
Rot.#974 Royals (Lugo) OVER K's 1 UNIT
Rot.#974 Royals-1.5 -107 RL Lugo 1 UNIT
Heaney vs Brews 41 AB; 11 K; 2 BB; .366 AVG; .386 OBP; .659 SLG; 1.045 OPS
Wilson vs Wanderers 20 AB; 4 K; 2 BB; .300 AVG; .364 OBP; .400 SLG; .764 OPS
Rot.#977 Wanderers/Brews OVER 8.5 -115 2 UNITS
Spence vs Halos NO DATA
Anderson vs Athletics 30 AB; 9 K; 4 BB; .133 AVG; .235 OBP; .167 SLG; .402 OPS
Rot.#965 Athletics/Halos UNDER FF 1 UNIT
Gore vs Fathers 22 AB; 9 K; 5 BB; .136 AVG; .296 OBP; .136 SLG; .433 OPS
Darvish COMING BACK FROM IL
Rot,#955 Nats FF ML Gore 1 UNIT
Hendricks vs Giants 82 AB, 18 K; 4 BB; .122 AVG; .163 OBP; .195 SLG; .358 OPS
Giants BULLPEN GAME
Rot.#957 Cubs-118 ML 2 UNITS
Last edited by atthehalf; 06-24-24, 09:18 PM.Comment -
I will perform my streamer rankings for tomorrow in a few hoursComment -
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Oh Lord word on the street is that manager Scott Servais is juggling the Sailors batting lineup today. What does this mean in terms of run production for Woo? Stay the course boys. If it's a losing proposition just eat it and move onComment
