10/20
on the stros +116 (1u)
posted on tweeter forgot to hit submit on here
on the stros +116 (1u)
posted on tweeter forgot to hit submit on here
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Comment -
Braves live +240 (0.5u)Comment -
GL!! Only betting the AL series, but rooting for Atlanta. I think they blew it yesterday. The crowd was dead and they were going up 3-0. Bottom line don't trust Jackson/Will Smith late for them. They better get a bigger lead or they're done. LA just has too many sticksComment -
Here we are again! Hope they can hang on tonight! The prices on the Braves have been egregious all series IMO. The dodgers lineup is indeed loaded. But this Braves team is very resilient. And the trio of Morton, Fried, Anderson have been very under the radar good for a good while
now. And this Braves lineup just hasn’t gotten respect in the market. Bullpen is scary but minter and Matzek have been very solid and those two along with smith might be enough to get through to the series!
I was heavy on the Astros preseason to win the AL west and to make playoffs and over their win total! For some reason I never played the Astros to win the World Series (which makes no sense). But good luck man! I’m hoping Braves/Astros World Series as I have some Braves futures. Anyways great price on the +975! Get one more win and you have a very nice ticket heading into the final chapter!Comment -
stros +116 (1u)✅ +1.16u
Braves live +240 (0.5u)✅ +1.2u
2-0 day +2.36u✅
MLB Playoff record: 11-12 +0.635u✅
Props record: -0.2u❌Comment -
Back to my island
Astros -110 (1u)
astros -1.5 (+172) (0.5u)Comment -
Back to my island
Astros -110 (1u)✅ +1u
astros -1.5 (+172) (0.5u)✅ +0.86u
MLB Playoff record: 13-12 +2.495u✅
Props record: -0.2u❌Comment -
World Series Game 1:
notes:
1) Astros have crushed lefties (braves left handed heavy Fried, Matzek, Smith, Smyly, Smith, and Anderson although right trends more towards a left handed arm)
2) Morton big game pitcher and will know the Astros lineup well. Morton curveball reliant where the Astros struggle.
3) Framber Valdez tremendous last time out and Braves no familiarity with him at all. should play well the first couple times through the lineup
4) Umpire Chris Conroy has a very high strikeout percentage. Take a long look at the K props tonight for both Morton and Valdez.
5) DFS/Prop Angle. Maldanado 7 for 13 career off morton!
6) Soler back in the lineup could boost an already very well rounded lineup for Atlanta.
World Series Bets:
Over 5.5 Games in Series -210 (to win 4u)
Over 6.5 Games +200 (risk 0.5u)
MVP Bets:
Yordan Alvarez 10/1 (0.4u)
Freddie Freeman 11/1 (0.4u)
Ozzie Albies 19/1 (0.4u)
Gurriel 25/1 (0.2u)
Framber Valdez 25/1 (0.2u)
Morton 25/1 (0.2u)
Soler 40/1 (0.2u)
D'Arnaud 75/1 (0.1u)
Ian Anderson 80/1 (0.1u)
Game 1:
First 5 under 4.5 -120 (1u)
Under 8.5 -108 (1u)
Astros -119 (1u)
Props:
Valdez Over 4ks (-115) (1u)Comment -
Game 2:
First 5 under 5 (-126) (1u)
Fried under 4.5 ks (-120) (1u)
Will look to get in live on the over if i can get some good starting pitching out of the startersComment -
Game 1:
First 5 under 4.5 -120 (1u)❌ -1.2u
Under 8.5 -108 (1u)+1u✅
Astros -119 (1u) -1.19u❌
Props:
Valdez Over 4ks (-115) (1u)❌ -1.15u
Game 2:
First 5 under 5 (-126) (1u) -1.26❌
Fried under 4.5 ks (-120) (1u) -1.2❌
MLB Playoff record: 14-15 -0.155u❌
Props record: -2.55u❌Comment -
Astros pen 11 innings 2 runs so far. I think thats the difference. Houston in 6 maybe 7Comment -
Yep Agree here. Braves bullpen taxed the first game and Morton out hurts them tremendously. Think the Braves find a way to get another game somehow but they are definitely behind the 8 ball now. Game 3 very important for the Braves. If they win it they still have a chance but they drop it I can’t see them winning.Comment -
Game 3
braves -117 (1u)Comment -
Game 5:
stros -125 (1.5u)Comment -
game 3 braves -117 (1u)✅ +1u
Game 5:
stros -125 (1.5u)✅ +1.5u
MLB Playoff record: 16-15 +2.345u✅
Props record: -2.55u❌Comment -
Game 6:
cashed a really big ticket on over 5.5 games for the series. And have another ticket on it going 7 games! So if the Braves fail tonight I have that to back me up and ease some of the pain. I’m a lifelong Braves fan so clearly will be rooting for the Braves. But just bc I am a fan I still try to approach betting stances from a unbiased perspective. If you don’t believe me I played the Astros in game 5 for 1.5u. It’s hard betting against your team in a World Series but sometimes you have to be willing to do that to be successful in this game. Tonight, I think my team gets it done and I think you get a really nice price on Max Fried who has been just outstanding for a while now.
Game 6:
Braves +120 (1u)
props:
Fried over 4.5 ks +110 (0.5u)
Fried over 15.5 outs recorded +120 (0.5u)
Maldanado under 0.5 total bases -120 (1u)
pederson under 0.5 total bases +110 (1u)Comment -
Add
garcia over 3.5 ks (-160) (DKings) (0.5u)Comment -
Last Add
McCormick under 0.5 total bases +105 (1u)Comment -
Game 6:
Braves +120 (1u)✅ +1.2u
props:
Fried over 4.5 ks +110 (0.5u)✅ +0.55u
Fried over 15.5 outs recorded +120 (0.5u)✅ +0.6u
Maldanado under 0.5 total bases -120 (1u)❌ -1.2u
pederson under 0.5 total bases +110 (1u)✅ +1.1u
garcia over 3.5 ks (-160) (DKings) (0.5u)❌ -0.8u
MLB Playoff record: 17-15 +3.545u✅
Props record: -2.30u❌
series bets
World Series Bets:
Over 5.5 Games in Series -210 (to win 4u)✅ +4u
Over 6.5 Games +200 (risk 0.5u)❌ -0.5u
MVP Bets:
Yordan Alvarez 10/1 (0.4u)❌
Freddie Freeman 11/1 (0.4u)❌
Ozzie Albies 19/1 (0.4u)❌
Gurriel 25/1 (0.2u)❌
Framber Valdez 25/1 (0.2u)❌
Morton 25/1 (0.2u)❌
Soler 40/1 (0.2u)✅✅✅✅✅ +8u
D'Arnaud 75/1 (0.1u)❌
Ian Anderson 80/1 (0.1u)❌
Results
+3.5u✅✅ on series length bets
+6u✅✅ (overall) on MVP wagers!
MLB Playoff record: 17-15 +3.545u✅
World series series bets: 1-1 +3.5u✅
mvp bets: +6u✅✅✅
Props: -2.30u❌
2021 playoffs: +10.745u✅✅✅✅✅✅
FINAL SEASON TALLY:
MLB Season 203-185 +5.658u✅
Props season record 4-1 +2.771u✅
season props/win totals:10-7 +17.14u✅✅✅✅
MLB Playoff record: 17-15 +3.545u✅
World series series bets: 1-1 +3.5u✅
mvp bets: +6u✅✅✅
Props: -2.30u❌
Grand total: +36.341u✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅
an absolute monster season overall! Still can’t believe how it ended! Amazing hope some of you made money along the way! Been a fun ride. We will be back at it come spring!! CHOP ON
Last edited by Mr0ctober; 11-03-21, 09:11 AM.Comment