MLB Season $$$$$$$ Tracker Thread

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  • Xpertcapper
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 04-14-09
    • 621

    #1
    MLB Season $$$$$$$ Tracker Thread
    Leans for July 28 include Florida, San Diego and the NY Mets. Official plays out later.

    Most of my plays are listed individually within 30 min of gametime.
  • Xpertcapper
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 04-14-09
    • 621

    #2
    San Diego (K. Correia) @ Cincinati (B. Arroyo)

    Play: San Diego ML +126 ($100.00 to win $126.00)
    Comment
    • obamaismyuncle
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-31-08
      • 17801

      #3
      Originally posted by Xpertcapper
      San Diego (K. Correia) @ Cincinati (B. Arroyo)

      Play: San Diego ML +126 ($100.00 to win $126.00)
      Strongly disagree, but BOL
      Comment
      • obamaismyuncle
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-31-08
        • 17801

        #4
        I'm on Florida as well, but didn't you post earlier that you were heavy on the Braves?
        Comment
        • Xpertcapper
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 04-14-09
          • 621

          #5
          Atlanta (J. Jurrjens) @ Florida (R. Nolasco)

          Play: Florida ML +106 ($100.00 to win $106.00)
          Comment
          • Xpertcapper
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 04-14-09
            • 621

            #6
            Originally posted by obamaismyuncle
            I'm on Florida as well, but didn't you post earlier that you were heavy on the Braves?
            This is my first post today.
            Comment
            • Xpertcapper
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 04-14-09
              • 621

              #7
              Colorado (J. Marquis) @ NY Mets (M. Pelfrey)

              Play: NY Mets ML +118 (100.00 to win $118.00)
              Comment
              • Xpertcapper
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 04-14-09
                • 621

                #8
                I will post as my plays come up. I usually post within 30 minutes of gametime.
                Comment
                • Xpertcapper
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 04-14-09
                  • 621

                  #9
                  Originally posted by obamaismyuncle
                  Strongly disagree, but BOL
                  Your on the square/public side of that play but GL
                  Comment
                  • Xpertcapper
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 04-14-09
                    • 621

                    #10
                    Minnesota is a lean for the 5:05 start. I will post within the next 15 minutes if its a official play
                    Comment
                    • Xpertcapper
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 04-14-09
                      • 621

                      #11
                      SAN FRANCISCO -- The San Francisco Giants got the offensive first baseman they've been seeking. The Cleveland Indians received a pitcher they consider a future big league starter.


                      Garko

                      The Giants acquired first baseman Ryan Garko from the Indians on Monday, filling a big need in the infield and adding a key right-handed bat.
                      Garko was a late lineup scratch for the Indians before they opened a road series against the Los Angeles Angels, and he just needed to fly about an hour up the Pacific Coast to join his new club. He was batting .285 with 11 home runs and 39 RBIs in 78 games for Cleveland, including .343 this month to raise his average 25 points.
                      The Giants, who fell out of the wild-card lead with a 3-7 road trip, gave up Class-A left-hander Scott Barnes in the deal. Barnes, considered a Top-20 prospect in San Francisco's organization, was 12-3 with a 2.85 ERA and 99 strikeouts in 18 starts and 98.0 innings.
                      The deal was first reported by ESPN The Magazine's Buster Olney.
                      The 28-year-old Garko is expected to be in uniform for the Giants on Tuesday -- and general manager Brian Sabean hopes to keep him around beyond this season. Garko, who played at Stanford and is in his fifth major league season and third full campaign, will be eligible for arbitration for the first time.
                      Garko will get most of the at-bats and playing time at first base, with Travis Ishikawa assuming a more limited role.
                      "Professional hitter, really punishes left-handed pitching," Sabean said. "It complements what we're trying to do to develop Ishikawa. The timing was right. He can drive in a run. He can hit a three-run homer. ... The pitcher we gave up is probably going to pitch in the big leagues. I think it was good for both clubs."
                      The sides began talking several weeks ago, Sabean said.
                      The Indians see Barnes as a starter one day. He will initially report to the club's Class A affiliate in Kinston, N.C.
                      Comment
                      • Xpertcapper
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 04-14-09
                        • 621

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Xpertcapper
                        Atlanta (J. Jurrjens) @ Florida (R. Nolasco)

                        Play: Florida ML +106 ($100.00 to win $106.00)


                        ytd:
                        1-0, +$106.00
                        Comment
                        • Xpertcapper
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 04-14-09
                          • 621

                          #13
                          Originally posted by xpertcapper
                          san diego (k. Correia) @ cincinati (b. Arroyo)

                          play: San diego ml +126 ($100.00 to win $126.00)


                          ytd:
                          2-0, +$232.00
                          Comment
                          • Panekkkk
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-12-09
                            • 2430

                            #14
                            Nice job today X, I lost a lot of units on the Rockies ... 7 hits 3 bb ... 0 runs
                            Comment
                            • Xpertcapper
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 04-14-09
                              • 621

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Xpertcapper
                              Colorado (J. Marquis) @ NY Mets (M. Pelfrey)

                              Play: NY Mets ML +118 (100.00 to win $118.00)


                              ytd:
                              3-0, +350.00
                              Comment
                              • Xpertcapper
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 04-14-09
                                • 621

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Panekkkk
                                Nice job today X, I lost a lot of units on the Rockies ... 7 hits 3 bb ... 0 runs
                                Same story as yesterday for the Rockies...men on base and cant get them in.
                                Comment
                                • Xpertcapper
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 04-14-09
                                  • 621

                                  #17
                                  I will have my LEANS for tomorrow at the conclusion of tonights games. A nice 3-0 start to the thread.
                                  Comment
                                  • Xpertcapper
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 04-14-09
                                    • 621

                                    #18
                                    Just so everyone knows i dont mess with units I wager to win $100.00 on the favs and I risk $100.00 on the Doggie's. If you like the play and want to wager more by all means do so. If you want to wager less more power to ya! BOL with all your plays and as i previously stated i will have tomorrows LEANS at the conclusion of tonights action.
                                    Comment
                                    • G's pks
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 01-01-09
                                      • 22251

                                      #19
                                      Did you have a thread earlier in year?
                                      Comment
                                      • Xpertcapper
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 04-14-09
                                        • 621

                                        #20
                                        Back tomorrow with leans and plays.


                                        ytd:
                                        3-0, +$350.00
                                        Comment
                                        • Xpertcapper
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 04-14-09
                                          • 621

                                          #21
                                          Any plays i may have today will be posted 10-30 minutes before game time.

                                          ytd:
                                          3-0, +$350.00
                                          Comment
                                          • Xpertcapper
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 04-14-09
                                            • 621

                                            #22
                                            Cleveland is a LEAN for me today in the early action. It will be posted later if it becomes a official play. Other leans include Balt, Colorado, Texas, St. Louis

                                            ytd:
                                            3-0, +$350.00
                                            Comment
                                            • Panekkkk
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-12-09
                                              • 2430

                                              #23
                                              Don't take Cleveland. Word is they just traded Cliff Lee and Ben Francisco (who was hitting very well for them recently). Angels are 14-4 this season against lefties after coming off a win their previous game.
                                              Comment
                                              • Xpertcapper
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 04-14-09
                                                • 621

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Panekkkk
                                                Don't take Cleveland. Word is they just traded Cliff Lee and Ben Francisco (who was hitting very well for them recently). Angels are 14-4 this season against lefties after coming off a win their previous game.
                                                In all due respect Panekkk i dont take trends in consideration at all in my selecting of plays. Play trends and you might hit 50% of your plays if your lucky in my opinion. Of course the starting lineups have something to do with all capping but im not sure what trading Cliff Lee has anything to do with the play. It was only a lean and as of now its not a play for me. I underdstand who the starters are in this matchup and thats all that matters to me. GL
                                                Comment
                                                • Xpertcapper
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 04-14-09
                                                  • 621

                                                  #25
                                                  (My Opening Thoughts)
                                                  Let me share with everyone who reads this thread a important fact about sports wagering and this is my strong opinion and you might dissagree. The problem with alot of normal everyday people who wager on games want action all the time. I've seen people post on this thread almost everyday saying, "hurry up and post, do you have any plays? I want to play a early game." Typically people want action on a game at every different start time so they can be entertained with a wager. They place wagers just to have action without making smart plays.

                                                  More than 99% of all sports bettors could be categorized as square whether they choose to admit it or not. This is because most people use sports betting as a leisure activity and are blind to the realities of gambling. Square bettors wager on sports just to have action. In an effort to kill boredom or capture the adrenaline rush they get when a team they bet on covers the spread after nailing a buzzer beating basket. This behavior is often exacerbated under the influence of alcohol or peer pressure by fellow square bettors. This impetus to bet usually leads to a string of bad habits which ultimately ends with the bettor losing more then they win.


                                                  Instead of doing their homework the amateur seeks and unfortunately takes the advice of sports pundits and friends with a bias. Using the “what have you done for me lately” system of handicapping the square bettor will easily lay the points on a double digit favorite with a two game winning streak without further research. Consistently overrating their alma-mater and having faith in short term trends quickly drains the square’s wallet. The square bettor will place their wagers when it is convenient, failing to use strategy while disregarding line movement. Hurried betting minutes before game-time is the norm. Finding the closest or easiest to navigate sportsbook is more important to the square bettor then taking time to locate the book with the best line or price.


                                                  The squares idea of money management is setting aside a small chunk of cash and betting random amounts depending how they feel about each game. Inevitably they have a winning weekend. Feeling particularly confident with the help of a few beers they give away yesterdays profit after making a losing bet on a sure thing. Conversely the gambler who had a bad Sunday betting on the NFL feels the need to chase their losses. Betting on Monday Night Football becomes mandatory because it is the last opportunity to at least breakeven before next weekends games.

                                                  Another pitfall and favorite choice for square bettors are parlays. Parlays are a high risk illusion with a payoff to appealing to resist. Unaware that the odds of winning a three game parlay are not much bettor then 1 in 10 square bettors eagerly lay down their money for a chance at a big pay day.
                                                  Article by: ATS Consultants, INC.

                                                  (My Closing Statement)
                                                  Moral of the story is dont wager just to have action on a game. As you saw i had no early action plays today. If you dont have any early action plays then big deal, win your wagers later in the day or evening and just watch the early games for fun. You will win more wagers in he long run.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Xpertcapper
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 04-14-09
                                                    • 621

                                                    #26
                                                    My strongest lean for tonights action so far is Baltimore vs. Kansas City.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • G's pks
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 01-01-09
                                                      • 22251

                                                      #27
                                                      I agree with you on the parlays xpertcapper... stick around this time and post for a few months would like to see how you do long term... GL G.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Xpertcapper
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 04-14-09
                                                        • 621

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by G's pks
                                                        I agree with you on the parlays xpertcapper... stick around this time and post for a few months would like to see how you do long term... GL G.
                                                        I plan on it "G". Just because i dont post doesnt mean im not wagering but i WILL be posting on this thread daily until the conclusion of the world series I can promise that. BOL
                                                        Comment
                                                        • G's pks
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 01-01-09
                                                          • 22251

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Xpertcapper
                                                          I plan on it "G". Just because i dont post doesnt mean im not wagering but i WILL be posting on this thread daily until the conclusion of the world series I can promise that. BOL

                                                          Good my system does not work in playoffs... this site needs a few more winners around... Tired of all the degenerate losers GL G.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • IcE
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-18-09
                                                            • 1089

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by G's pks
                                                            Good my system does not work in playoffs... this site needs a few more winners around... Tired of all the degenerate losers GL G.
                                                            Sorry im new to capping. Give me a few years ight. You diss me on several threads now.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Xpertcapper
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 04-14-09
                                                              • 621

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by IcE
                                                              Sorry im new to capping. Give me a few years ight. You diss me on several threads now.
                                                              I didnt see G mention any names but anyways we will all survive this long season together
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Xpertcapper
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 04-14-09
                                                                • 621

                                                                #32
                                                                lol...the line for the Red Sox game tomorrow is posted at Boston Ml -315...
                                                                Now thats funny!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Xpertcapper
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 04-14-09
                                                                  • 621

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Update: (if anyone cares..lol)

                                                                  My STRONG LEAN for the early 4pm pst start time matchups is Baltimore. WEAK LEANS are Colorado, San Diego and Tampa bay.

                                                                  My early plays will be posted 10-30 minutes b4 start of early games.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • G's pks
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 01-01-09
                                                                    • 22251

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by IcE
                                                                    Sorry im new to capping. Give me a few years ight. You diss me on several threads now.

                                                                    Oh no... I was not talking about you at all... I mean the ones who are losing everyday in here screaming! It just gets annoying when they keep losing and losing and they just cannot pick a winner... Not you...maybe you in a year or two?

                                                                    Hey xpertcapper I like the Orioles pick GL may play it...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • IcE
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 07-18-09
                                                                      • 1089

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by G's pks
                                                                      Oh no... I was not talking about you at all... I mean the ones who are losing everyday in here screaming! It just gets annoying when they keep losing and losing and they just cannot pick a winner... Not you...maybe you in a year or two?
                                                                      Yea i never complain about losing. I know im new and it will take some time. Thats why i said in a year or two i will start to gain.
                                                                      Comment
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