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  • CashMoney
    SBR MVP
    • 01-07-08
    • 1982

    #526
    Like the Rockies and Rangers but the Phils and Red Sox I think are a tossup. GL
    Comment
    • thegenix
      SBR Sharp
      • 11-14-08
      • 339

      #527
      Do you guys know a site where you can see xFIP stats for a pitcher?
      Comment
      • EXhoosier10
        SBR MVP
        • 07-06-09
        • 3122

        #528
        Originally posted by thegenix
        Do you guys know a site where you can see xFIP stats for a pitcher?
        Hardball times has it.

        http://www.hardballtimes.com/thtstat...&league_filter[0]=2&orderBy=xFip&direction=ASC&page=1
        Comment
        • thegenix
          SBR Sharp
          • 11-14-08
          • 339

          #529
          Thanks EX.
          Comment
          • thegenix
            SBR Sharp
            • 11-14-08
            • 339

            #530
            I'm on all the plays today. Plus the Yanks and Tribe. GL all!
            Comment
            • IcE
              SBR MVP
              • 07-18-09
              • 1089

              #531
              GL panek
              Comment
              • Panekkkk
                SBR MVP
                • 03-12-09
                • 2430

                #532
                Damn I really wanted to load up on Boston FF and FF over 5 as well!!! Woulda been a big score! Hopefully Boston maintains the lead. I had a feeling they would CRUSH Berken today.
                Comment
                • G's pks
                  Restricted User
                  • 01-01-09
                  • 22251

                  #533
                  I felt the same way Berken is a joke! No action for me but Boston stood out as an easy first five with berken on the mound...
                  Comment
                  • G's pks
                    Restricted User
                    • 01-01-09
                    • 22251

                    #534
                    Panekk glad to see you are still winning and nice to pop in and see some nice stats sites being posted...

                    One I dug up the other day...I like because it is useful for players coming up from minors..
                    Justin Lehr career pitching statistics for Major League, Minor League, and postseason baseball

                    ..
                    Comment
                    • Panekkkk
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-12-09
                      • 2430

                      #535
                      Nice G's! I really love baseball-reference.com ... With each game preview they give historical lineup vs. pitcher stats. Past performance really do help predict future performance IMO. It's not everything but it's a good piece to add to capping!
                      Comment
                      • Panekkkk
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-12-09
                        • 2430

                        #536
                        Boston with Victor Martinez are scary ****ing good now.
                        Comment
                        • IcE
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-18-09
                          • 1089

                          #537
                          Originally posted by G's pks
                          I felt the same way Berken is a joke! No action for me but Boston stood out as an easy first five with berken on the mound...
                          7-0 BOS and only the 3rd great start for them
                          Comment
                          • Panekkkk
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-12-09
                            • 2430

                            #538
                            Glad I held off St. Louis, Houston had some crazy good numbers against Carpenter. So good that it looked like a typo!
                            Comment
                            • Panekkkk
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-12-09
                              • 2430

                              #539
                              Well Philly is once again spitting out disappointment... 3-1 lead, 2 out and Hamels gives up a single to Zito, then a two-run double, then a brutal fielding error scores another run from 2nd. The under and the Phillies win were well on pace. Now not looking so good...

                              They seem to lose every time I bet on them!!

                              Missed out on the Yanks win as well!

                              Tomorrow's another day!
                              Comment
                              • VegasPlayer
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-27-09
                                • 3676

                                #540
                                Philly was looking sweet, but ..... At least the Yanks came through. Rangers will make it another good day.
                                Comment
                                • thegenix
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 11-14-08
                                  • 339

                                  #541
                                  Would have been a great day for me if the WNBA didn't screw me. Oh well still an up day. Glad to see you had a decent day too Panekkkk.
                                  Comment
                                  • rake922
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-23-07
                                    • 11692

                                    #542
                                    Panekkkk what book(s) are you betting with
                                    Comment
                                    • Panekkkk
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-12-09
                                      • 2430

                                      #543
                                      Originally posted by Panekkkk
                                      Final

                                      Phillies -162

                                      Phillies Total under 8.5 -133
                                      Rockies -133
                                      Rangers -165
                                      Boston -163

                                      Parlay: Rangers X Rockies X Phillies 1 unit to win 3.5

                                      SU
                                      YTD: 55-20 +25.05 Units

                                      PARLAYS
                                      YTD: 4-10 +11.31 Units

                                      UNDERS
                                      YTD: 2-1 +0.67 units

                                      Not too confident in today's card but we'll see what happens.
                                      Well, good day on the sides going 3 for 1. Overall down a unit with Philly costing me once again! A little reevaluation and we'll see what tomorrow brings
                                      Comment
                                      • IcE
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-18-09
                                        • 1089

                                        #544
                                        pretty good nite. its a shame about the dam phillys. keep up the nice work pank

                                        Originally posted by Panekkkk
                                        Well, good day on the sides going 3 for 1. Overall down a unit with Philly costing me once again! A little reevaluation and we'll see what tomorrow brings
                                        good nite. its a shame about the dam phills. keep up the nice work
                                        Comment
                                        • Xpertcapper
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 04-14-09
                                          • 621

                                          #545
                                          Originally posted by Panekkkk
                                          Well, good day on the sides going 3 for 1. Overall down a unit with Philly costing me once again! A little reevaluation and we'll see what tomorrow brings
                                          Take SF off of your auto fade and you would be better off
                                          Comment
                                          • Panekkkk
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-12-09
                                            • 2430

                                            #546
                                            X they're not on autofade. If you go back a few days you'll see that I've bet them to win before and will likely bet on them tomorrow.
                                            Comment
                                            • IcE
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-18-09
                                              • 1089

                                              #547
                                              Originally posted by Xpertcapper
                                              Take SF off of your auto fade and you would be better off
                                              kid has no positive bone in his body.
                                              Comment
                                              • VegasPlayer
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 07-27-09
                                                • 3676

                                                #548
                                                I put Boston in the parlay by mistake!!! Hoo-Rah...
                                                Comment
                                                • thegenix
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 11-14-08
                                                  • 339

                                                  #549
                                                  VP sometimes luck is on our side! Congrats on the win!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • VegasPlayer
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 07-27-09
                                                    • 3676

                                                    #550
                                                    Thanks! Great weekend. Excellent info on these forums.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Panekkkk
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-12-09
                                                      • 2430

                                                      #551
                                                      Not a whole lot brewing today. No system plays for today. I do like the Cubbies though (maybe FF over, or Cubs FF, or Cubs ML), Pirates are looking pretty nice as well (maybe a FF over), already laid a bet on Cain but Hampton surprisingly has amazing numbers vs. all Giants batters. I still think the Giants keep the train rolling. I like Cain more than I do Lincecum this year.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Panekkkk
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-12-09
                                                        • 2430

                                                        #552
                                                        August 4, 2009

                                                        Only two plays for today.

                                                        Marlins -162
                                                        Braves -150

                                                        Parlay: Marlins X Braves X Rangers 1 unit to win 3.92

                                                        Non system plays I like: Twins/Indians Over 8 -152, Rangers ML, Rays/Red Sox Over 7 -169

                                                        SU
                                                        YTD: 55-20 +25.05 Units

                                                        PARLAYS
                                                        YTD: 4-10 +11.31 Units

                                                        UNDERS
                                                        YTD: 2-1 +0.67 units

                                                        Still working on a parlay and looking at some other games.

                                                        Comment
                                                        • CashMoney
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-07-08
                                                          • 1982

                                                          #553
                                                          Love the Marlins today but the Braves scare me. Vasquez has been great this year but the damn offense has been erratic to say the least. GL.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • keel44
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-01-09
                                                            • 3363

                                                            #554
                                                            I have read all the posts on this thread. It seems you have a great system. I applaud, but it seems you second guess your system picks often. I have seen you left a few plays out just because you don't like them. I wonder if you are done tweaking and adding plays later? Is this a cut and dry system, or does it require some prognosticating on your part? Do you foresee this system consistently winning for the rest of the year and the next? Great results so far!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Panekkkk
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-12-09
                                                              • 2430

                                                              #555
                                                              Cash, I'm not too big on the Braves but if anyone is going to get it done it's Vazquez. Stauffer has thrown very well for the Padres so the under might be worth a look but at 7 it's way too low. I can see the Braves squeeking by 3-2 or even 4-2 I hope.

                                                              keel, in the early going I never second-guessed the picks and played them all. Lately, they have not been producing as well (although you can see the straight up record is still steadily producing positive units). This system picks moderate to heavy favorites (lines -120 to -180ish) and many of the plays lately have been on the road because the big ticket teams have been on the road (Yanks, Red Sox, Dodgers, Phillies - and these teams have not lived up to expectation lately; oddsmakers may be deliberately over-favouring teams or are simply having difficult time accurately predicting the current state of things). It seems that linemakers are having a tough time adjusting for the sudden drop in production from generally solid teams (Phils, Red Sox on the road before grabbing Martinez, and Mariners completely shitting themselves lately). Adding to that, some of the bottom rung teams are starting to pick up the slack (Nationals, Padres, A's) and so on. Once some of the bigger teams return home I think things will settle and I expect winnings to continue. Right now seems a little turbulent but losses are usually small compared to what's gained from one winning day. I'll ride out the storm for now and see what happens in the next week or so. I held off yesterday but would have gone 2-1 with the Dbacks and Cubs winning and the Pirates losing from straight system selections.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • CashMoney
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-07-08
                                                                • 1982

                                                                #556
                                                                Yeah I was thinking the same thing about the Braves but decided to take the Twinkies instead. Was also thinking about taking the Halo's but decided to hold off.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Panekkkk
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-12-09
                                                                  • 2430

                                                                  #557
                                                                  Took the Twinkies in a small parlay and hit the over 8 pretty heavy. Both teams have been slugging over .450 and have excellent numbers vs. their opposing pitchers. The only thing that might keep it under is if Baker decides to throw a gem. Cleveland have been hot though and can produce runs so I'm pretty confident this will sail over.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • CashMoney
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-07-08
                                                                    • 1982

                                                                    #558
                                                                    Originally posted by Panekkkk
                                                                    Took the Twinkies in a small parlay and hit the over 8 pretty heavy. Both teams have been slugging over .450 and have excellent numbers vs. their opposing pitchers. The only thing that might keep it under is if Baker decides to throw a gem. Cleveland have been hot though and can produce runs so I'm pretty confident this will sail over.
                                                                    GL
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • themajormt
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 07-30-08
                                                                      • 3964

                                                                      #559
                                                                      Good luck today Boys... Panek I had some messed up shit happen this weekend, my story is in PT if you want to see where I have been. I hope you guys have been doing well!

                                                                      I am going to Syracuse for the Dave Matthews concert and going to chill out for a few days... Hope you guys kill it!

                                                                      Should be back this weekend and hopefully we can all continue to make some money...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • IcE
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 07-18-09
                                                                        • 1089

                                                                        #560
                                                                        GL today panek
                                                                        Comment
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