Dapper Dan Picks - MLB '17

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  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #141
    Trust Harvey? Hoping to get ump with tight kzone and play over, both teams seen other guy recently, think at least one of them gets tagged for some runs!
    Comment
    • Smutbucket
      SBR MVP
      • 03-14-08
      • 3996

      #142
      Smart call with the over bank

      more to come later

      6/3/17
      Marlins (-126) Risking 1.26 units to win 1 units
      Padres (-102) Risking 1.02 units to win 1 units
      Comment
      • Smutbucket
        SBR MVP
        • 03-14-08
        • 3996

        #143
        Adding
        Texas (+156) Risking 1 unit to win 1.56 units
        Orioles (+108) Risking 1 unit to win 1.08 units
        Twins (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
        Comment
        • Smutbucket
          SBR MVP
          • 03-14-08
          • 3996

          #144


          6/4
          Oakland (-114) Risking 1.14 units to win 1 units
          Phillies (+108) Risking 1 unit to win 1.08 units
          Atl/Cin FF Under 5.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
          Comment
          • Smutbucket
            SBR MVP
            • 03-14-08
            • 3996

            #145
            6/4 : 1-2 -1.26 units

            6/5
            Cardinals -1 RL (-106) Risking 1.06 units to win 1 units
            Blue Jays (-103) Risking 1.03 units to win 1 units
            Nationals FF (+120) Risking 1 unit to win 1.2 units
            Atl/Phil Over 10 (+110) Risking 1 unit to win 1.1 units
            Comment
            • Smutbucket
              SBR MVP
              • 03-14-08
              • 3996

              #146
              6/5: 2-2 +0.21 units

              6/6
              Giants (+114) Risking 1 unit to win 1.14 units
              Red Sox (+114) Risking 1 unit to win 1.14 units
              Reds (+120) Risking 1 unit to win 1.2 units
              Cubs -1 RL (-131) Risking 1.31 units to win 1 units
              Atlanta (-103) Risking 1.03 units to win 1 units
              Cleveland (-102) Risking 1.02 units to win 1 units
              Comment
              • Smutbucket
                SBR MVP
                • 03-14-08
                • 3996

                #147
                6/7

                Rockies (+105) Risking 1 unit to win 1.05 units
                Oakland (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 units
                Comment
                • 2daBank
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 88966

                  #148
                  With you on rox. Kinda lean opposite in oak but I been wrong about jays all series, honestly thought they would win this series. Clearly wrong, lol. Daytime in oak usually lot better for hitters so I do think their offense gets going today, that said liriano always on the brink of a meltdown, all that added up to the over for me instead of a side.. gl buddy
                  Comment
                  • Smutbucket
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-14-08
                    • 3996

                    #149
                    Adding
                    Rangers -1 (-109) Risking 1.09 units to win 1 units
                    Mia/CHC over 9 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
                    Giants (+110) Risking 1 unit to win 1.1 units
                    Comment
                    • Smutbucket
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-14-08
                      • 3996

                      #150
                      6/8
                      Detroit -1 RL (-128) Risking 1.28 units to win 1 units
                      Brewers (+112) Risking 1 unit to win 1.12 units
                      Stl/Reds FF Under 5 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #151
                        Like the tigers play.

                        Curious why you backing a lifelong minor leaguer at +112 in milw?
                        Comment
                        • Smutbucket
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-14-08
                          • 3996

                          #152
                          Thread YTD: 73-86 -15.72 units
                          Comment
                          • Smutbucket
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-14-08
                            • 3996

                            #153
                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                            Like the tigers play.

                            Curious why you backing a lifelong minor leaguer at +112 in milw?
                            First think the line is a bit suspect. Giants on a long road trip. (11-23) and they are (2-9) in their past 11, including losing two in milwakee only surmounting to 5 runs in last two games. Milwakkee is starting to hit and trending upwards. Dont see them losing this last game at home and splitting to the giants. Cueto's game charts show significant changes from last seasons approach and his stats are showing issues. Giving up a huge 16.4% HR/FB rate in a HR park against a HR hitting team. Groundballs also down 10% to 40%.

                            Im trying to focus more on situational angles (teams trending upwards and teams downwards) than years past in handicapping. Honestly they have been going quite well its just my square action brain can't resist picking certain games which I KNOW i shouldnt but did anyways. perfect example like Texas last night, or clevand the night before....really focusing this last month on these situational angles and slight differences in pitchers that have been profitable for me this season just not all the other hoopla and traps that Im constantly falling in to.
                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #154
                              Don't disagree with anything, solid points. I didn't have much interest in back sf, just don't think I could stomach my money on that guy starting for mil. Lol., gl buddy
                              Comment
                              • Smutbucket
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-14-08
                                • 3996

                                #155
                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                Don't disagree with anything, solid points. I didn't have much interest in back sf, just don't think I could stomach my money on that guy starting for mil. Lol., gl buddy
                                Thanks bud. I feel like Ive faded so many of these minor leagues when they come up for a game and have lost a ton of units on them over the years. I feel like a lack of scouting reports, and the adrenaline/rush to take more risks for the pitcher work to his advantage his first couple outings but most of them undoubtedly fail and regress after just a few games....
                                Comment
                                • Smutbucket
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-14-08
                                  • 3996

                                  #156
                                  Adding:

                                  Yankees (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
                                  Baltimore (+145) Risking 1 unit to win 1.45 units
                                  Comment
                                  • Smutbucket
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-14-08
                                    • 3996

                                    #157
                                    Adding:
                                    2 team parlay: Astros + Cubs (+131) risking 1 unit to win 1.31 units
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #158
                                      Tough break in milw. I mean would have been tough break for sf backers to lose as well considering closer blew a 2 run lead in 9th. Still no way brewers shouldn't have finished the job in bottom of 9th w winning run on 3rd less than 2 outs. That drives me so crazy when teams fail to get that guy home!!
                                      Comment
                                      • Smutbucket
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-14-08
                                        • 3996

                                        #159
                                        Every time I go to make a two team parlay of the two heavy favorites I say to myself....you know it'd probably be better If I just took both dogs straight up on the ML ...but I can never bring myself to do it....

                                        6/9
                                        Marlins (+117) Risking 1 unit to win 1.17 units
                                        Nats/Texas Over 9 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
                                        Blue Jays (-127) Risking 1.27 units to win 1 units
                                        Bal/NYY Over 9 (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 units
                                        Comment
                                        • Smutbucket
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-14-08
                                          • 3996

                                          #160
                                          6/10
                                          Reds +1.5 (+100) Risking 1 unit to win 1 unit
                                          Reds (+215) Risking .5 unit to win 1.08 units
                                          Brewers (+139) Risking 1 unit to win 1.39 units
                                          Tigers +1.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
                                          Angels (+182) Risking 1 unit to win 1.82 units
                                          Marlins (-112) Risking 1.12 units to win 1 units
                                          Comment
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