MLB Player Props

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-17-16, 03:16 PM

6/17:

ARI/PHI F. Galvis no hits +145
Galvis has just 5 hits in 14 games this June (.094 average). This season he is batting .177 against lefties. Galvis is a career .204 hitter against ground ball pitchers, and Robbie Ray throws a lot of sinkers. In his last outing, Ray allowed just 3 hits in 7.2 innings. The Phillies are at home, and Galvis is batting sixth tonight, so hopefully his plate appearances are limited.

TOR/BAL J. Donaldson total bases over M. Machado +110
There's not much to analyze here on a head-to-head basis due to limited ABs against tonight's pitchers. Instead, this is just riding the hot hand. Both of these players have 34 total bases in June, but 33 of Donaldson's have come during his current 9-game hit streak. Hoping that continues tonight.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-17-16, 08:55 PM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

6/17:

ARI/PHI F. Galvis no hits +145

TOR/BAL J. Donaldson total bases over M. Machado +110

Galvis play lost with a hit in the 6th, but Donaldson's 7 bases are enough to beat Machado.

20-20-3 (+3.95u)

**doubledime** · 06-17-16, 09:42 PM

I'll always take a plus night!

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-18-16, 11:45 AM

6/18:

ARI/PHI P. Goldschmidt hits/runs/RBIs o1.5 +130
Goldy's line for these is usually 2 or 2.5. He went 3 for 5 last night with a homer and a couple of runs scored. In 15 games in June he has had 2 or more hits/runs/RBIs 10 times. For the month he's hitting .345 (20 hits) with 10 runs scored and 10 RBIs. I realize Eickhoff is a much better pitcher than Adam Morgan, but there's too much value here for me to pass up.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-18-16, 01:16 PM

Because of time constraints this is the only one I'll be able to do for the afternoon games. Might be able to look at night games later.

**boss_of_um** · 06-18-16, 03:45 PM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

6/18:

ARI/PHI P. Goldschmidt hits/runs/RBIs o1.5 +130
Goldy's line for these is usually 2 or 2.5. He went 3 for 5 last night with a homer and a couple of runs scored. In 15 games in June he has had 2 or more hits/runs/RBIs 10 times. For the month he's hitting .345 (20 hits) with 10 runs scored and 10 RBIs. I realize Eickhoff is a much better pitcher than Adam Morgan, but there's too much value here for me to pass up.

Tailed and cashed with ya!

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-18-16, 05:54 PM

Originally posted by boss_of_um

Tailed and cashed with ya!

Glad to hear it. Fifth inning 2-run homer got it done for us!

21-20-3 (+5.25u)

Still waiting on a couple of lines and lineups, but it's looking like that's the only play today.

**boss_of_um** · 06-18-16, 06:24 PM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

Glad to hear it. Fifth inning 2-run homer got it done for us!

21-20-3 (+5.25u)

Still waiting on a couple of lines and lineups, but it's looking like that's the only play today.

This is the thought process that has allowed me to tail some winners. When you post, they are not chase plays.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-19-16, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by boss_of_um

This is the thought process that has allowed me to tail some winners. When you post, they are not chase plays.

I appreciate the compliment. Lots of games everyday. No need to chase.

Ive looked through everything up through the 2 o'clock games and don't see anything yet. Will look through the later games if I can, but might be hard with Father's Day.

**boss_of_um** · 06-19-16, 12:26 PM

I took 3 myself today:
Ortiz Over 2.5 run/rbi/runs +100
Hosmer Over 2.5 as well +130
Trout Over

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-19-16, 12:37 PM

Originally posted by boss_of_um

I took 3 myself today:
Ortiz Over 2.5 run/rbi/runs +100
Hosmer Over 2.5 as well +130
Trout Over

Hope they sweep for you. Went back and forth on Hosmer yesterday. Wish I had played it, obviously. I haven't looked ahead to the 4 o'clock and later games yet, but I'll check out Trout.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-19-16, 03:18 PM

6/19:

PIT/CHC J. Baez no hits +160
Baez has gone hitless in 13 of his 32 starts this season (40%) and has hit safely in just 5 of his 12 starts this month. He is hitting just .216 against righties and has only a .196 average in June. Baez has just a .194 average at Wrigley and doesn't hit well in night games (.200). Importantly, Baez is hitting 8th tonight, so maybe we see him get pitched around in an AB or two. Some concern that he's facing a pitcher making just his third MLB start, but I like the value.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-20-16, 12:08 AM

Not even close with Baez, but at least it ended early so I could watch game 7.

21-21-3 (+4.25u)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-20-16, 10:55 AM

Probably won't be posting picks regularly for this week and maybe next. Will try to keep an eye out as best I can. Good luck out there folks!

**BIG** · 06-21-16, 02:52 PM

I will keep checking for ya lol...meanwhile I have been doing pretty solid taking a few I like here and there...Like 1 tonight so far...

Hou---*C.Correa hits+runs+RBI over 2½ +140

**BIG** · 06-21-16, 08:33 PM

Originally posted by BIG

I will keep checking for ya lol...meanwhile I have been doing pretty solid taking a few I like here and there...Like 1 tonight so far...

Hou---*C.Correa hits+runs+RBI over 2½ +140

Cashed this one with a solo in the 5th...Sprinkled a little more on it right before gametime and it was down to +125.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-22-16, 06:26 AM

Nice job on the play last night. For today I would look at Alltuve, Rizzo, and Kinsler as possible over plays. I would want +120 or better for over 2.5 on those, but I wouldn't be surprised if the lines are lower. Looks like there could be a decent no hit play in the Reds/Rangers game also, depending on who they put out lines for.

I doubt I'll have time today to research these any more. If I do, I'll post them as "official" plays later. If not, they are just informational for anyone interested. I hope to be able to get back doing these regularly by the weekend, but it may not be until next week.

Good luck today gents.

**BIG** · 06-22-16, 07:10 AM

Thanks for checking in, I will take a look at those....I try not to look into things until lines post because I get pissed when they don't put up a player I'm liking lol.

**BIG** · 06-22-16, 10:24 AM

Early...only liking Rizzo but still see no lines so nothing official yet for me. Only seeing lines on K.Bryant

Late I will be looking at V.Martinez, Choo, C.Davis and Hamels depending on what kind of prop they attach them 2.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-22-16, 11:33 AM

Sorry. Not gonna be able to do any additional looking for the afternoon games. No plays from me right now.

**BIG** · 06-22-16, 11:55 AM

Here is all I'm playing in the Early games. Only going half unit but may make them full unit closet to game time. Waiting on the weather to see if they think they will get this game in...

STL Y.Molina hits+runs+RBI*
CHI J.Heyward hits+runs+RBI

Taking Heyward @ -135 this looks solid Heyward batting out 2 hole hitters behind him. Molina batting 7th not much behind him unless they ge back to the top for run purposes. If heyward can get on and Rizzo drive him in I can cash em both.

Also taking Rizzo over 2.5 hits+runs+RBI @ +135

**BIG** · 06-22-16, 04:14 PM

Really liked choo tonight but don't have the prop on him. So far only playing this one for a full unit.

MIN B.Dozier hits+runs+RBI over 2 @ -105

**BIG** · 06-22-16, 04:42 PM

Adding DET V.Martinez hits+runs+RBI over 2½*+130**Full unit.

Cozart is the hit/no hit guy in the game u talked about.

No good on Early plays Wacha simply pitched a good game and I didn't get to see why yet but Rizzo was taking out after 2 At bats.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-22-16, 05:19 PM

I passed for the night games. Just no time. But V-Mart looks solid. GL!

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-24-16, 08:11 AM

Might not have time to look at these more, but three potential overs I like (depending on price) are:

Miggy Cabrera
Lorenzo Cain
Adrian Beltre

**BIG** · 06-24-16, 11:06 AM

Been to busy to look as well. Had Lamb last night was only prop he hit a dinger so that worked out

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-25-16, 05:49 PM

Slowly dipping my toe back in. Each of these is for .5u:

LAD/PIT J. Harrison no hits +160

PHI/SFG B. Posey hits/runs/RBIs o2.5 +130

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-26-16, 08:34 AM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

Slowly dipping my toe back in. Each of these is for .5u:

LAD/PIT J. Harrison no hits +160

PHI/SFG B. Posey hits/runs/RBIs o2.5 +130

2-0 yesterday

23-21-3 (+5.70u)

**BIG** · 06-26-16, 08:42 AM

Nice to see you back. Nice 2 big winners. I woke up to see Pitt with 6 runs like oh shot and was still no hits. And then to see SF with only 2 but posey covers lol. Best of Luck today I will be looking.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-26-16, 09:26 AM

Originally posted by BIG

Nice to see you back. Nice 2 big winners. I woke up to see Pitt with 6 runs like oh shot and was still no hits. And then to see SF with only 2 but posey covers lol. Best of Luck today I will be looking.

The Harrison play is a good example of the importance of batting order and home/away status. Pitt didn't bat in the 9th, so Harrison only had 3 plate appearances. He was due up first in the 9th.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-26-16, 11:20 AM

6/26 (sticking with .5u plays for now; don't have time to write these up):

MIN/NYY J. Ellsbury total bases over J. Mauer +105

CHC/MIA G. Stanton total bases over K. Bryant +100

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-26-16, 03:57 PM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

6/26 (sticking with .5u plays for now; don't have time to write these up):

MIN/NYY J. Ellsbury total bases over J. Mauer +105

CHC/MIA G. Stanton total bases over K. Bryant +100

Got Stanton, pushed with Ellsbury

24-21-4 (+6.2u)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-26-16, 06:12 PM

LAD/PIT J. Harrison no hits +120

Just .5 units again

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-27-16, 09:55 AM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

LAD/PIT J. Harrison no hits +120

Just .5 units again

Harrison went 1 for 4.

24-22-4 (+5.7u)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-27-16, 04:08 PM

6/27 (still .5u plays):

HOU/LAA J. Altuve hits/runs/RBIs o2.5 +120

OAK/SFG B. Posey hits/runs/RBIs o2 +130