MLB Player Props

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-07-16, 05:03 PM

Last one for tonight:

OAK/MIL J. Lowrie hits/runs/RBIs o2 +120

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-07-16, 05:46 PM

Sorry, I overlooked this one because I assumed Lamb would sit against the LHP tonight:

TAM/ARI J. Lamb no hits +160
Lamb is just 4 for 34 against lefties this year (16 for 101 career). He's also hitting down in the six hole and at home, which means he may see fewer ABs, especially if Chip Hale pulls him for Rickie Weeks again.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-07-16, 11:25 PM

Got Beltre and Lowrie. Missed on Lamb.

18-9-2 (+13.55u)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-08-16, 11:18 AM

6/8:

TOR/DET I. Kinsler hits/runs/RBIs o2.5 +115

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-08-16, 03:08 PM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

6/8:

TOR/DET I. Kinsler hits/runs/RBIs o2.5 +115

Not a good day for Kinsler or the Tigers

18-10-2 (+12.55u)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-08-16, 05:21 PM

One for the 7 and 8 o'clock games:

BAL A. Jones hits/runs/RBIs o2 +110

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-08-16, 07:49 PM

Found one I like for the late games:

SEA R.Cano hits+runs+RBI over 2½ +140

**TanBanana** · 06-08-16, 08:58 PM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

Found one I like for the late games:

SEA R.Cano hits+runs+RBI over 2½ +140

Tailing... Lost 20 cents on the line. May be a good thing. BOL!

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-08-16, 09:12 PM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

One for the 7 and 8 o'clock games:

BAL A. Jones hits/runs/RBIs o2 +110

Jones had a few chances but could only muster an RBI on a sac fly

18-11-2 (+11.55u)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-08-16, 09:14 PM

Originally posted by TanBanana

Tailing... Lost 20 cents on the line. May be a good thing. BOL!

Good luck to us!

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-09-16, 08:24 AM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

Found one I like for the late games:

SEA R.Cano hits+runs+RBI over 2½ +140

Rough day. Cano was on third in the bottom of the 8th but couldn't get home for the cover.

18-11-2 (+10.55u)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-09-16, 05:32 PM

6/9:

STL/CIN M. Carpenter hits/runs/RBIs o2.5 +130
STL/CIN J. Bruce hits/runs/RBIs o2 +125

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-09-16, 09:09 PM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

6/9:

STL/CIN M. Carpenter hits/runs/RBIs o2.5 +130
STL/CIN J. Bruce hits/runs/RBIs o2 +125

Well this sucks. Carpenter was on third with no outs and got thrown out at home. Then he was pulled due up third in the ninth. Finished with a hit and a run. Bruce only had one RBI. Big time slide here.

18-13-2 (+8.55u)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-10-16, 03:34 PM

6/10:

BOS/MIN M. Betts total bases over J. Mauer +105

**TanBanana** · 06-10-16, 03:38 PM

BOL!

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-10-16, 04:20 PM

Originally posted by TanBanana

BOL!

Thanks. Rough couple of days. Carpenter loss was painful last night as was seeing Cano hit 2 HRs the day after I played him. Hoping to get back on track tonight.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-10-16, 04:21 PM

One more:

OAK/CIN J. Bruce hits/runs/RBIs o2 +140

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-11-16, 12:09 PM

6/11:

KAN/CWS J. Abreu hits/runs/RBIs o2.5 +125
Abreu is 7 for 21 career versus Duffy (1 for 4 this season) with 2 runs scored and 2 RBIs. He is slugging .524 career against Duffy. Abreu is hitting .407 over his last 7 games (1 HR, 4 runs, 5 RBIs) and had 2 hits yesterday. Abreu is a .280 hitter lifetime against lefties (.478 SLG), but has struggled a bit against them this season. Hitters are slugging .489 against Duffy with this ump behind the plate (54 ABs). Forecast is for 10+ mph winds blowing out to left and temps in the low 90s.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-11-16, 12:14 PM

Updated record after 6/10:

18-14-3 (+7.55u)

**doubledime** · 06-11-16, 12:58 PM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

6/11:

KAN/CWS J. Abreu hits/runs/RBIs o2.5 +125
Abreu is 7 for 21 career versus Duffy (1 for 4 this season) with 2 runs scored and 2 RBIs. He is slugging .524 career against Duffy. Abreu is hitting .407 over his last 7 games (1 HR, 4 runs, 5 RBIs) and had 2 hits yesterday. Abreu is a .280 hitter lifetime against lefties (.478 SLG), but has struggled a bit against them this season. Hitters are slugging .489 against Duffy with this ump behind the plate (54 ABs). Forecast is for 10+ mph winds blowing out to left and temps in the low 90s.

Good research and good luck!

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-12-16, 12:55 PM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

6/11:

KAN/CWS J. Abreu hits/runs/RBIs o2.5 +125

Missed here. Abreu had two hits but didn't get any help from his teammates.

18-15-3 (+6.55u)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-12-16, 12:56 PM

6/12:

NYM/MIL A. Hill no hits +160
There's not a lot to go on from a head-to-head perspective, but Hill has just 3 hits in his last 38 plate appearances over the past two weeks. (He's 0 for 3 against Matz.) This season Hill has no hits in 19 of 52 games started (36.5%) and 24 of 58 games overall (41%). So +160 is a pretty fair price here. Hill is hitting in the 6th spot, which should limit his plate appearances some in this one as well.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-12-16, 01:58 PM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

6/12:

NYM/MIL A. Hill no hits +160

Damn. Can't buy one right now. I have one more for today. Fade away!

18-16-3 (+5.55u)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-12-16, 01:59 PM

MIA/ARI P. Goldschmidt hits/runs/RBIs o2.5 +130

It looks like the real Goldy is back. In 10 games in June he has 12 hits, 5 RBIs, and 5 runs scored. In the first five games of this honest and he has 9 hits, 4 runs, and 4 RBIs. Despite his struggles this season, Goldy is hitting .321 against lefties this year. Hitting behind him in the lineup today is Wellington Castillo, who is batting .345 against lefties this season, so he should have some protection in the lineup. (On that note, the Marlins walk Goldy right at his career walk rate on a percentage basis.)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-12-16, 03:53 PM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

MIA/ARI P. Goldschmidt hits/runs/RBIs o2.5 +130

1 hit and 2 runs scored by the 2nd. Feels good to get one and get it early.

19-16-3 (+6.85u)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-13-16, 04:53 PM

6/13:

CLE/KAN E. Hosmer hits/runs/RBIs o1.5 +125
Not a ton of history between Hosmer and Carrasco, but Hosmer is 6 of 19 (.316) with 3 RBIs and a run scored against the Indians' righty. But beyond the head-to-head stats, Hosmer has been hot as of late. In his last 15 games Hosmer has 19 hits (.352 avg), 11 RBIs, and 7 runs scored. This season he is .359 against righties and has gone over this number in 32 of his 62 games this season, giving this play very nice value. Lorenzo Cain is hitting behind Hosmer tonight, which is nice because Cain has a .364 average against Carrasco in 22 ABs.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-13-16, 05:53 PM

M. Upton, Jr. no hits +145
Upton has just 1 hit in 15 ABs against Chen. In June, Upton is hitting just .146, and he is .175 against lefties this season. For his career, Upton is hitting just .205 at Petco. Tonight Upton is hitting in the 7-spot in the lineup, which should limit his plate appearances some. This season Upton has gone hitless in 27 of his 62 games played (42.8%), making this a pretty good value.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-13-16, 10:13 PM

0-2 today

19-18-3 (+4.85u)

**BIG** · 06-15-16, 08:57 PM

Where ya been man?

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-16-16, 08:08 AM

Originally posted by BIG

Where ya been man?

Took a few days off from these because of the bad slide. Will jump back in once I see something worth playing. Trying to also include my thoughts as well so folks can evaluate the plays themselves, especially since a lot of these are short notice.

**doubledime** · 06-16-16, 08:40 AM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

Took a few days off from these because of the bad slide. Will jump back in once I see something worth playing. Trying to also include my thoughts as well so folks can evaluate the plays themselves, especially since a lot of these are short notice.

Welcome back!

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-16-16, 10:51 AM

6/16:

SEA/TAM K. Seager no hits +160
This is the first time Seager is facing the Rays' young lefty, so there's no head-to-head data to support this one. However, Seager has just 8 hits in his last 43 ABs (.186) dating back to early June. He hs just 1 hit in 8 ABs in this series and went 0-5 in last night's extra innings game. This season Seager is hitting just .195 against lefties and has a career .247 average against lefties. In games played at Tropicana, Seager has just a .207 average in 87 ABs. Seager has failed to get a hit in 23 of his 64 games this season (36%) and is batting in the 6-spot today for Seattle. There is some concern in that this is just Snell's second major league start. But in his first start he held the Yankees to just 2 hits in five innings. The kid is from Seattle, so he should be motivated to put on a good performance against his hometown team.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-16-16, 03:32 PM

Seager hits a 2-out homer in the top of the 9th to blow this one.

19-19-3 (+3.85u)

**BIG** · 06-16-16, 03:40 PM

5 plate appearances didn't help...he has been hitting so bad was hoping for pinch hitter lol...we can't buy a break at the moment

**HeeluvaGuy** · 06-16-16, 04:09 PM

Originally posted by BIG

5 plate appearances didn't help...he has been hitting so bad was hoping for pinch hitter lol...we can't buy a break at the moment

Yep. It sucks. Potential pate appearances is one of the first things I look at with these player props. This is a pretty bad spell right now. I don't have anything else for tonight. Hoping it turns around this weekend.