iloseagain's' MLB thread

**iloseagain** · 04-18-16, 06:05 PM

^^ not sure bout cubs but marlins yes

**buddha** · 04-18-16, 06:10 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

I definitely have certain teams i avoid, and i try betting on streaks, like when TB was having serious trouble scoring the past 5-6 games (before the last 2), i was betting their unders. Then i saw them score 7 and i instantly bet them the next game and they won. I think looking out for certain things like that can definitely be beneficial.

Team Totals can be such a Profit Center when you follow a team closely. Like you say, "Hot" or "Cold" baseball is such a game of Streaks. I did well with Team Totals last year: TB rays Unders, Mets also, Toronto TT Overs....SEA, CLE Unders as well but I messed with those teams less and got off the NYM train in that redgard sometime in the 2nd half of the season.

Those were among my less High Tier teams for TTUnders.......SEA, CLE, BALT still I looked closely at Unders TT, F5 or game.

The challenge is to not let Bullpen Pitchers cause ya to go insane. And Errors, lately at least. Been crazy Errors messing me up like never before so far this year.

Tampa Bay broke through.....maybe....they still seem weak & pathetic to me which will be a problem if they are actually not that this year...

Toronto has to break through at some point, lust too many talented bats on that team not to but then the Linesmakers will be ready to once again pounce on their TT Overs and make those so pricey 'n dicey.

GL

**iloseagain** · 04-18-16, 06:46 PM

Originally posted by buddha

Team Totals can be such a Profit Center when you follow a team closely. Like you say, "Hot" or "Cold" baseball is such a game of Streaks. I did well with Team Totals last year: TB rays Unders, Mets also, Toronto TT Overs....SEA, CLE Unders as well but I messed with those teams less and got off the NYM train in that redgard sometime in the 2nd half of the season.

Those were among my less High Tier teams for TTUnders.......SEA, CLE, BALT still I looked closely at Unders TT, F5 or game.

The challenge is to not let Bullpen Pitchers cause ya to go insane. And Errors, lately at least. Been crazy Errors messing me up like never before so far this year.

Tampa Bay broke through.....maybe....they still seem weak & pathetic to me which will be a problem if they are actually not that this year...

Toronto has to break through at some point, lust too many talented bats on that team not to but then the Linesmakers will be ready to once again pounce on their TT Overs and make those so pricey 'n dicey.

GL

yea TT's have been pretty good to me. Stl TT have been good. They have scored 4+ in 9 straight games and are constantly o3.5 and o4. Definitely agree with riding streaks.

**iloseagain** · 04-18-16, 06:59 PM

Cws/LAA u8.5 -125**
Bos/Tor o9 -115**
Bos -120*
Bos TT o4.5 -120*
Mets TT o4.5 +110*
Cards TT o3.5 -130**
Marlins -1 -110*
Col +120*
Cubs/Stl u8 EV*

**Fernburn74** · 04-18-16, 07:02 PM

Eh my book just put total chi game to 9 under -120

u still love this ?

**iloseagain** · 04-18-16, 07:28 PM

good thing i bet myself out of this white sox angels game.. actually played the over thanks to FlyinAir.. Apologies if anyone tailed this.

**iloseagain** · 04-18-16, 07:29 PM

Originally posted by Fernburn74

Eh my book just put total chi game to 9 under -120

u still love this ?

no.. im sorry. i should have posted this before. I actually ended up playing the over.

**Fernburn74** · 04-18-16, 07:33 PM

It's ok. I'm on over

**iloseagain** · 04-18-16, 07:35 PM

ill take the L in my thread obviously, but im going to actually win on it.. Should have posted in here.

Originally posted by Fernburn74

It's ok. I'm on over

good

**iloseagain** · 04-18-16, 09:35 PM

LOL gonna go under.. good for my thread.. bad for me

**RollinDo** · 04-18-16, 09:57 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

LOL gonna go under.. good for my thread.. bad for me

I've lost countless Unders of 8.5 by the hook...I usually lock these in too soon when I could have bought the hook to 9 to at least push...well, hoping it still hits in ChiSox game...I thought you bailed on the Cubs-Cards Under, or I would likely have played that one.

**RollinDo** · 04-18-16, 09:59 PM

Hockey home teams are killing me in playoffs...well, at least 3 times.

Blackhawks yesterday, Ducks twice in a row.
At least TB is reliable at home...I may have a bet on TB +1 or +1.5 tomorrow in Detroit...they got a pass on Sunday, but match up well vs Wings.

**iloseagain** · 04-18-16, 10:34 PM

Cws/LAA u8.5 -125**
Bos/Tor o9 -115**
Bos -120*
Bos TT o4.5 -120*
Mets TT o4.5 +110*
Cards TT o3.5 -130**
Marlins -1 -110*
Col +120*
Cubs/Stl u8 EV*

Ended up not so terrible after that red sox disaster. Lost juice.

**iloseagain** · 04-18-16, 10:36 PM

Originally posted by RollinDo

I've lost countless Unders of 8.5 by the hook...I usually lock these in too soon when I could have bought the hook to 9 to at least push...well, hoping it still hits in ChiSox game...I thought you bailed on the Cubs-Cards Under, or I would likely have played that one.

why did you think i bailed? I posted it.. That was a HUGE public play on over.. I should have laid off Stl TT as they are due for some bad games. Might have to fade them for a few games.

Originally posted by RollinDo

Hockey home teams are killing me in playoffs...well, at least 3 times.

Blackhawks yesterday, Ducks twice in a row.
At least TB is reliable at home...I may have a bet on TB +1 or +1.5 tomorrow in Detroit...they got a pass on Sunday, but match up well vs Wings.

Ducks absolutely killed me last night man.. I had like 15+ units in parlays i would have won if they won. And only risking 3 units. Fukkin awful.. I took sharks tonight, just fading my buddy. He took kings obviously

**Puffdog** · 04-19-16, 01:23 AM

bump

**iloseagain** · 04-19-16, 01:29 AM

Originally posted by Puffdog

bump

lol u gettin closer brah!

**iloseagain** · 04-19-16, 01:31 AM

4/18
Cws/LAA u8.5 -125**
Bos/Tor o9 -115**
Bos -120*
Bos TT o4.5 -120*
Mets TT o4.5 +110*
Cards TT o3.5 -130**
Marlins -1 -110*
Col +120*
Cubs/Stl u8 EV*

5-4 -1.3x on the day

Overall 91-84 +10.96x units

**iloseagain** · 04-19-16, 01:55 AM

Big card tomorrow.. lets see if i can manage to only play 6-8 games max. Here we go.

Leans
Phi -115 (Velasquez at -115? Guy threw a freaking gem last time out. Verrett was decent too.. Hes not very good though. I imagine if philly is going to win one in this series, it will be tomorrow.. Prob not touching this game though. Maybe under?)
Mia +130 (Feel like everyone will be on Nats tomorrow after losing today. Conley is legit. Wash went thru a hot streak and now they seem to be cooling off again. I think Miami may be able to steal one tomorrow. Not a strong play, but may be worth a small play. Like under 7.5 too here. Might like under more than Mia.)

Plays
Cubs/Cards u7.5 -115*** (Really like this one. Havent had a 3* in a few days. Cardinals went 9 straight games with 4+ runs and then scored 0 today. They are going to go ice cold for the next few games, i can feel it. Garcia is pitching as well as anyone right now, and coming off a GEM. Hammel is also pitching very well himself. Cubs scored 5 today, but their bats have been on and off. 1 game good, 1 game bad. Tomorrow are on a 'bad' day. I think this is a very very strong play here.)
Pit -1 -115** (Liriano pitching well. Pit hitting pretty well. SD has a very bad offense and I think Liriano makes them look silly tomorrow. Pitchers park and Liriano should be able to hold SD to 1 or 2. Also its always better playing the -1 on the road.)
Cle -160* (Seattle only has 2 games in their last 9 with 4+ runs. Carrasco coming off a really good game and Miley not pitching well. Lots of juice, but i think this is a good spot for cleve to get a win. He has some nasty stuff and like always, the Ms cant hit.)
NYY/Oak o8 -110* (Im basically banking on the yanks getting to 6 here.. Maybe I should play the TT instead. Nah, ill just play the over. Surkamp is bad. Pineda isnt very good. Hitters park. Sign me up. Yanks havent been hitting well of late, but coming back home in their tiny park, i think they get it going tomorrow against a bad pitcher.)
Rays -105* (Sox dont hit lefties well, Happ just shut them down. Smyly has been pitching decent. High strikeout ratio. Kelly is not good. Rays bats got going the last few games. I think Rays steal the first game in Boston.)
Min -1 EV*** (Min has been on fire lately. Swept Angels and then were winning today before rain stopped the game. Peralta SUCKS. Simple as that. Betting on the hot team against one of the coldest pitchers in the MLB at the moment.)

6 plays for now. I like all of these.

1 parlay: 2x to win 14.1x
Cubs u7.5/PitML/CleML/MinML

**iloseagain** · 04-19-16, 02:07 AM

1 more.. Might not be a popular pick, but just trust it.

Bos/TB u8.5 -115*

**ship2volk** · 04-19-16, 10:51 AM

Mets/Phi over 7 -130* push
Was +150**

Ytd 16-19-1 -5.59u

**iloseagain** · 04-19-16, 11:29 AM

Cle/Sea u7.5 -120**

**iloseagain** · 04-19-16, 11:31 AM

Min up to -190 and -1.5 +110
i got -150 and -1.5 +150

good number

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-19-16, 11:36 AM

190 where?

**ship2volk** · 04-19-16, 11:48 AM

Mil/Min over 8.5 even*

Ytd 16-19-1 -5.59u

**iloseagain** · 04-19-16, 11:51 AM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

190 where?

The book i use..

back to -175 i just checked

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-19-16, 11:52 AM

Wow -150 ish everywhere

was gonna shit if I got sea 40 cents cheaper

**BayArea888** · 04-19-16, 11:53 AM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Cle up to -190 and -1.5 +110
i got -150 and -1.5 +150

good number

Those are definitely good numbers. My book has RL at +120, not as good as yours but it'll do. Wade Miley is practically an auto fade for me.

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-19-16, 11:59 AM

Dude why even bet? Just arb the shit outta that book

you could of got Indians -150 and sea +180

**iloseagain** · 04-19-16, 12:03 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

Dude why even bet? Just arb the shit outta that book

you could of got Indians -150 and sea +180

Its -180/+160 now.. It was -190/+170 not +180.. Not worth it for that little

**funnyb25** · 04-19-16, 12:05 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

Dude why even bet? Just arb the shit outta that book

you could of got Indians -150 and sea +180

Haha 300 to win 200 on indians
200 to win 360 on mariners

Like betting with free plays

**iloseagain** · 04-19-16, 12:07 PM

Originally posted by funnyb25

Haha 300 to win 200 on indians
200 to win 360 on mariners

Like betting with free plays

Sure if i bet that much money then it would work, but i dont.. And again, was never +180

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-19-16, 12:07 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Its -180/+160 now.. It was -190/+170 not +180.. Not worth it for that little

It's free money!

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-19-16, 12:07 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Sure if i bet that much money then it would work, but i dont

oh I gotcha , gl buddy although I'm on Seattle

**iloseagain** · 04-19-16, 12:12 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

oh I gotcha , gl buddy although I'm on Seattle

Shit I'm an idiot.. Min was -190.. My bad.

**funnyb25** · 04-19-16, 12:12 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Sure if i bet that much money then it would work, but i dont.. And again, was never +180

Good discipline..only bet what you can afford to lose and never put yourself in a position to harm yourself or your family. Best words of advice i ever received before getting into this some 15 years ago..damn im getting old..lol