2016 mlb

No coincidences · 04-12-16, 12:00 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Brutal loss. I like your Tigers today, not buying into the early Nicasio spring training hype.

Me too, my man.

BigDofBA · 04-12-16, 12:29 PM

I've beat the opener by 20 cents three times this year and lost all three games.

Today I faded that movement and took the Tigers.

This is just like last year so far. The opening number seems to be the most important.

No coincidences · 04-12-16, 12:53 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

I've beat the opener by 20 cents three times this year and lost all three games.

Today I faded that movement and took the Tigers.

This is just like last year so far. The opening number seems to be the most important.

It's literally not even worth considering anymore.

Look at Cincinnati (opened at +195, closed at +165) and Atlanta (opened at +240, closed at +210) yesterday. It means nothing. In fact, if you beat a closing number by that much, it means you probably have a losing ticket.

ace7550 · 04-12-16, 01:01 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

It's literally not even worth considering anymore.

Look at Cincinnati (opened at +195, closed at +165) and Atlanta (opened at +240, closed at +210) yesterday. It means nothing. In fact, if you beat a closing number by that much, it means you probably have a losing ticket.

In that case do you think it's best to hedge your bet when a line moves far enough to warrant it?

BeanTownClown88 · 04-12-16, 01:02 PM

Pick what you think will happen and don't let the public influence it at all.
I can't get on the right side of these damn Tigers games grr

BigDofBA · 04-12-16, 01:03 PM

I was going to play the Marlins yesterday and then the line shifted heavily in the Mets favor so it scared me away.

Miami was up 7-0 after the second inning....

No coincidences · 04-12-16, 04:07 PM

Originally posted by ace7550

In that case do you think it's best to hedge your bet when a line moves far enough to warrant it?

Seems to me it's at least worth considering these days.

No coincidences · 04-12-16, 04:07 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

I was going to play the Marlins yesterday and then the line shifted heavily in the Mets favor so it scared me away.

Miami was up 7-0 after the second inning....

Exactly.

No coincidences · 04-12-16, 04:11 PM

17-12, +6.45U going into the night games

Looking at Braves and Yanks.

No coincidences · 04-12-16, 05:25 PM

NYY +106 (2U to win 2.12)
SF +102 (2U to win 2.04)
ATL +165 (1U to win 1.65)
MIA +121 (1U to win 1.21)

BigDofBA · 04-12-16, 06:04 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

NYY +106 (2U to win 2.12)
SF +102 (2U to win 2.04)
ATL +165 (1U to win 1.65)
MIA +121 (1U to win 1.21)

Looks solid.

Miami seems like a no brainier with the way the Mets are hitting.

BigDofBA · 04-12-16, 08:29 PM

Bases loaded 1 out and Atlanta can't score....

BigDofBA · 04-12-16, 08:39 PM

And then the Braves walk Rendon with two outs to get to Harper who promptly doubles in two runs....

Anyone know why the Braves pulled Chacin at 69 pitches when he had a shutout going.

No coincidences · 04-12-16, 11:53 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

NYY +106 (2U to win 2.12)
SF +102 (2U to win 2.04)
ATL +165 (1U to win 1.65)
MIA +121 (1U to win 1.21)

3-1, +4.37U
20-13, +10.82U thread

No coincidences · 04-12-16, 11:54 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

And then the Braves walk Rendon with two outs to get to Harper who promptly doubles in two runs....

Anyone know why the Braves pulled Chacin at 69 pitches when he had a shutout going.

This Atlanta team is borderline minor league.

mlb · 04-13-16, 08:11 AM

goood call on SF, Col was not a good play on my end.

No coincidences · 04-13-16, 12:10 PM

NYM -114 (2.28U to win 2)

No coincidences · 04-13-16, 12:10 PM

Originally posted by mlb

goood call on SF, Col was not a good play on my end.

Thanks. Hope all is well with you.

KRIT · 04-13-16, 12:29 PM

Gl today, i took the mets as well. Braves have to win at some point, I like them today against Stras.

mlb · 04-13-16, 12:41 PM

everyone on Mets - thought i was on marlins but i never placed it - im passing - bol

Rose' · 04-13-16, 02:02 PM

Coin any idea why Mariners are -150 today????

BayArea888 · 04-13-16, 02:27 PM

Originally posted by Rose'

Coin any idea why Mariners are -150 today????

Good question and good point. I think the Rangers take the sweep here. The M's are cold and I think you fade them until they prove otherwise.

tatddy · 04-13-16, 02:27 PM

Originally posted by Rose'

Coin any idea why Mariners are -150 today????

Set for action. People will see Walker vs a guy who hasn't really pitched in 2.5 years. Also the "avoid the sweep at home" angle. Line has dropped considerably in the past hour.

But anyone backing a team that has lost 5 in a row with that kind of juice is insane. If anything Tex -1.5 +215 is worth a shell.

Rose' · 04-13-16, 02:38 PM

I'm staying away

KRIT · 04-13-16, 05:22 PM

Twins get off the schnide today and get their first win, I love the twinkies today. O's should get first loss of the season today too. First for everything! Gl on the rest of your plays today.

No coincidences · 04-13-16, 06:02 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Twins get off the schnide today and get their first win, I love the twinkies today. O's should get first loss of the season today too. First for everything! Gl on the rest of your plays today.

I like the Twins too, but scared to bet them until they get out of this offensive funk.

HOU -107 (2.14U to win 2)
BOS -118 (2.36U to win 2)

BigDofBA · 04-13-16, 06:52 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Twins get off the schnide today and get their first win, I love the twinkies today. O's should get first loss of the season today too. First for everything! Gl on the rest of your plays today.

I've thought the Twins would get off the Schnide the last three games.

One lesson I've the learned the hard way over the years is to not fade streaks.

BigDofBA · 04-13-16, 07:15 PM

Speaking of streaks....Atlanta is down again and Balty is up again.

Seriously, the books have been very generous with the Orioles so far this year.

That team will regress but their on fire coming out of the gate.

No coincidences · 04-13-16, 07:40 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Speaking of streaks....Atlanta is down again and Balty is up again.

Seriously, the books have been very generous with the Orioles so far this year.

That team will regress but their on fire coming out of the gate.

Huge line drop in Atlanta's favor = loss
Huge line drop in Cincy's favor = loss
Huge line drop in Milwaukee's favor = loss

Seriously, should just focus on fading these and nothing else.

No coincidences · 04-13-16, 07:41 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I like the Twins too, but scared to bet them until they get out of this offensive funk.

HOU -107 (2.14U to win 2)
BOS -118 (2.36U to win 2)

COL -103 (2.06U to win 2)

No coincidences · 04-13-16, 09:05 PM

This Twins team is just, wow.

KRIT · 04-13-16, 09:06 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

This Twins team is just, wow.

Yep.

BigDofBA · 04-13-16, 09:08 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

This Twins team is just, wow.

Bases loaded 1 out you....you have to at least make contact. Horrible

KRIT · 04-13-16, 09:15 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Bases loaded 1 out you....you have to at least make contact. Horrible

Doesn't even compare to what just happened in the Heat game. Heat scored 5 points in the 3rd quarter. They're being outscored 49-17 in the second half. Yeah I'm on Miami and Twins

BigDofBA · 04-13-16, 09:50 PM

Twins have score 4 runs total in the last four games.

Wtf

This team is as bad as the Braves.