New Baseball Power Rating System

[CashMoney]

FormulaWiz,

I know you don't play the software until the 15th of the month but it's been on fire. 1 unit flat play on each play

Best Bets since 5/1 5-2 +1.78
PT Plays since 5/2 25-10 +13.55
Overall 30-12 +15.33

Best Bets yesterday 2-0
PT plays yesterday 7-2

3 Best Bet plays today and 8 PT plays today. I may have to stop handicapping games and just play the software if this keeps up

[Formulawiz]

FormulaWiz,

I know you don't play the software until the 15th of the month but it's been on fire. 1 unit flat play on each play

Best Bets since 5/1 5-2 +1.78
PT Plays since 5/2 25-10 +13.55
Overall 30-12 +15.33

Best Bets yesterday 2-0
PT plays yesterday 7-2

3 Best Bet plays today and 8 PT plays today. I may have to stop handicapping games and just play the software if this keeps up

Cashmoney, thanks for your input. I have been monitoring it but I usually stick to my guns by starting 5/15. Anyway does anyone have any PT W/L records

[ProfessorGoatduk]

Peter/Formula - Do you guys have a record of your plays? You guys seem to be doing pretty good.

[Formulawiz]

BAL looks like a play in 2nd game with Millwood.
keep an eye on act line.

CHC looks like its dropping out as a play.

[70kgman]

I didn't read all the posts in this thread...but has it been suggested yet to possibly use this chart for O/U wagers as well?

[70kgman]

and a question...You are supposed to wager on teams who's "pitching power" is 20 points or less than the opponent pitcher, and who's "team power" is 100 points or less for that pitching match-up? Is this correct? Then why is Ben Sheets -4.1, -6.9 and predicted runs = 1. Sheets is terrible and has a era over 7, and that sheet predicts him and his bullpen combined will give up 1 total run? Am I missing something?

[Formulawiz]

and a question...You are supposed to wager on teams who's "pitching power" is 20 points or less than the opponent pitcher, and who's "team power" is 100 points or less for that pitching match-up? Is this correct? Then why is Ben Sheets -4.1, -6.9 and predicted runs = 1. Sheets is terrible and has a era over 7, and that sheet predicts him and his bullpen combined will give up 1 total run? Am I missing something?

I dont believe we are using this system. What I look at is the pitching power of one pitcher vs another but it does not constitute a play. We are tracking here is the ML system and the TPR system. As far as totals this is taken from the software.

[facasto]

Since May 01
Best Bet 9-8

[Formulawiz]

Since May 01
Best Bet 9-8

What is 9-8

[Formulawiz]

ML system went 0-2 yesterday.
BB went 1-1

plays later on.

[Formulawiz]

Based on early lines the following are the ML plays for today
CUBS, COL, CWS, BAL, TEX
GL

[dsklein85]

Hey formula could you correct me if im wrong about geting the correct plays off the software?

BB is under option 1 from main.
PT is under option 9 from main, then option 7. you use the 30 days, +.500 vs -.500, the team with greater than 65% winning.
Add some filters to drop a play such as ML over 175, winning/losing streaks, pitcher not having 20 IP, etc.

is this about right or am i on another planet?

[Formulawiz]

Hey formula could you correct me if im wrong about geting the correct plays off the software?

BB is under option 1 from main.
PT is under option 9 from main, then option 7. you use the 30 days, +.500 vs -.500, the team with greater than 65% winning.
Add some filters to drop a play such as ML over 175, winning/losing streaks, pitcher not having 20 IP, etc.

is this about right or am i on another planet?

BB plays are under option 1
PT is under option 9.
use 30 days for both
PT plays, you only play on teams over .500, while the team is under .500. If both teams are over or under .500 its not a plays. I believe thats the filter we put in place last year.
The other filters as you mention still apply.

[Formulawiz]

Has anyone looked at the softwares option 1, Proj ML Vs. actual line using a .25 cent overlay. Ex: Pro ML for CIN -165, Act ML +125. Therefore CIN would be a play. In this case CIN would be a win.
Can someone using the software follow the plays ML plays

[dsklein85]

im new to this system so still trying to get a full understanding of it otherwise i would help ya out. just to make sure i knew what i was doing today...did you have 0 BB plays and the PT plays went 3-2?

[Formulawiz]

im new to this system so still trying to get a full understanding of it otherwise i would help ya out. just to make sure i knew what i was doing today...did you have 0 BB plays and the PT plays went 3-2?

BB had PHI as a play but due to high line dropped out. PT went 6-3 but I believe 2 winners dropped out due to high lines.

[Formulawiz]

ML system went 1-3 yesterday

Todays plays CIN, CUBS, COL, LAD, NYY, LAA

Make sure to check lines later

[dsklein85]

hmm i must have eliminated some plays for filter reasons that you didnt. it doesnt look like today has much action. 0 BB, 1 potential PT but it drops out due to a lack of IP. you seeing same?

[Formulawiz]

hmm i must have eliminated some plays for filter reasons that you didnt. it doesnt look like today has much action. 0 BB, 1 potential PT but it drops out due to a lack of IP. you seeing same?

I have no PT plays todays. 2 pitchers have less then 20 innings.

[peterpan19]

chc and mil today
GL

[Formulawiz]

ML system went 4-2 yesterday

Todays plays:
PHI, LAD, SF, SEA, BOS, LAA

[Formulawiz]

ML went 4-2. Thats 2 days in a row at 4-2

Todays plays.
PHI both games, SF?, LAA, OAK, CLE? Watch the lines closesly for SF and CLE.

[pelos879]

What is the basis for this system? I am just hopping in so I feel like I am out of the loop here.

[Formulawiz]

What is the basis for this system? I am just hopping in so I feel like I am out of the loop here.

Start reading the first few posts in this thread which explais what we are trying to do. As far as the system you need to go to sportrends website and read their philosophy.

[Formulawiz]

ML went 0-2 yesterday. 2 games dropped out and thats why its so important to look at lines 15 to 20 minutes prior to start of game.

ML games later

[obamaismyuncle]

NYY with CC seem like a great bet today

[Formulawiz]

ML Plays today based on early lines.
FLA, NYY. Make sure to check lines prior to game.

[Formulawiz]

MLB system went 1-1 yesterday

Todays plays are BAL, BOS, LAA??

[Joe Dogs]

LAA.........Lost 2

[Formulawiz]

LAA.........Lost 2

Understood, but so did OAK. Therefore it is a play. The same scenerio with a winning streak.

[Formulawiz]

Terrific day yesterday. The ML system went 6-0.
You should have played on the following teams. LAD, BAL, TOR, BOS, NYY, LAA.
Thats why it is important to check ML prior to start of game before you make a play.
The plays I put up in the morning are based on early ML's and things can change.

Anyway, ML plays later.

[Formulawiz]

ML plays today
STL, LAD, MIN, BAL, BOS, LAA, TOR

[Ansermil]

Thanks!
Good luck.

[Formulawiz]

For those of you using the software BB system you need to be careful. WAS was not a play yesterday. You had to enter the first game score for the day before and then look at yesterdays game and WAS did drop out. LAA also dropped out because of OAK pitching change.

[Formulawiz]

ML system went 3-3 yesterday.
Todays plays later
Peter will be back next week with TPR plays.