G's baseball thread and record

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  • G's pks
    Restricted User
    • 01-01-09
    • 22251

    #456
    Originally posted by brandon martinez
    Yeah I do, I totaly blew it this weekend on toronto. I didn't play the runline on Saturday and skipped the 3rd bet on Sunday lost 20% of my bankroll and like another 8 on Seattle. But still up on the year thank God. Texas is a jm official play today so I 2 systems picked it. Jm and yours G so I really like them to win tonight.
    Odd I just checked my mail no JM picks in there yet... But if it is a Jm that might explain the line movement on Texas...

    You guys have to remember...when following a system skipping in and out of games...you really are not following a system you are once in a while just agreeing with a systems picks... I have been just betting and following my system and once in a while when i see an edge list a play i like... But glad to hear you are up on the year... I really like Sf tonight also...no bet yet... G.
    Comment
    • GGPLAYER
      SBR MVP
      • 03-26-09
      • 2981

      #457
      Originally posted by G's pks
      I see now that Boston is over -300! Going to be hard to play at those odds... Wow... Also glad I put my Texas bet in last night win or lose.....see odds have moved -140 and more...
      I like Boston but refuse to bet on a team over -300. I got on Tex at -150....hope they win!

      I also took Mil at home over Wash.....just saw Brandon's thread today.
      Comment
      • G's pks
        Restricted User
        • 01-01-09
        • 22251

        #458
        Originally posted by GGPLAYER
        I like Boston but refuse to bet on a team over -300. I got on Tex at -150....hope they win!

        I also took Mil at home over Wash.....just saw Brandon's thread today.
        ... I also like Milwaukee..but my system spotted some problems...mainly Milwaukee's crappy pitching staff...and Washington being on a 2 game win streak and the brewers coming off a loss...but I like the brewers too...

        Well guys back later...glad to hear your thoughts... G. I have no problem with anyone throwing their picks out for thoughts... Back later... GL...

        I might take Boston or SF as crazy as it sounds...but small... If i do will be posted before game/games G.
        Comment
        • G's pks
          Restricted User
          • 01-01-09
          • 22251

          #459
          Originally posted by G's pks
          7/27

          Update lets look for a clean sweep tonight!


          System chase picks

          Boston Won game #1

          Texas pending

          ....
          Update now you guys can see why the system chose the Red Sox and Rangers... and not the Rockies or Brewer who are both losing...
          Comment
          • G's pks
            Restricted User
            • 01-01-09
            • 22251

            #460
            Originally Posted by G's pks
            7/27

            Update lets look for a clean sweep tonight! And there it is!


            System chase picks

            Boston Won game #1

            Texas Won game #1
            Comment
            • G's pks
              Restricted User
              • 01-01-09
              • 22251

              #461
              Originally posted by G's pks
              7/27

              texas -128 .30 to win .23 (30 to win 23)
              Won..

              System wins both...but as usual I add just the one I bet to my record...Texas...


              G's recordkeeping
              Baseball 16-3-2 picks (Counting system series baseball picks (40-5-2)
              Total 48- 6-1 NHL, NBA, MLB
              System #1 plays based on 3/4 game series 6-1
              System #2(18-1) games within series (18-9)

              System #2 +11.73


              Comment
              • brandon m
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 07-06-09
                • 604

                #462
                Nice picks again as usual G looking forward to the next set!
                Comment
                • G's pks
                  Restricted User
                  • 01-01-09
                  • 22251

                  #463
                  Originally posted by brandon martinez
                  Nice picks again as usual G looking forward to the next set!
                  Thanks obviously the system hit a bump over the weekend with its first series loss... But came back strong at 2-0 tonight....

                  I really studied the stats at the second level of filtering and Boston was an easy one... Texas also came up very strong so I just posted the strongest picks...

                  No new system picks now till new series start on Thursday/Friday...

                  Might play a few games in between... GL with your picks...

                  Also wanted to mention... it was brought up that detroit was 6-0 this season against the rangers and I said do not worry about it... All those tiger wins were in Detroit... make sure you are comparing teams based on where they play... Trends are great and all that but understand just what they are telling you and apply to where the games are played...

                  Another glaring stat was Galarraga... make sure you look at pitchers home/away stats..another key stat in this case, as well as Detroit being a poor road team (Galarraga era over 5 on road). Also if you watched the game last night against the White Sox... You could almost see a follow up bad performance coming...



                  GL with your picks... G.
                  Comment
                  • GGPLAYER
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-26-09
                    • 2981

                    #464
                    Series I like this weekend and keep in mind this is just based off what I know and see from teams recently. Phi @ AZ. Philly is hot and owns the best road record in MLB. See them winning one at least with Moyer, Hamels and Happ. SF at home against Pit. SF is a different team at home and Pit is 17-36 on the road. But I don't like the juice tonight.[/quote]

                    I wish I would listen to my gut more often. I always do this....give all the reason's why I like a team and never bet them. Thanks for the Tex pick. I would have never taken that one without your system producing it. Mil was a joke. But it was more of a situational play for me. Wash until last night had only won 3 games in a row twice the entire year so far. Plus they were 10-35 on the road. Odds are still with me there and I will continue to chase that one.
                    Comment
                    • G's pks
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-01-09
                      • 22251

                      #465
                      Thanks glad the system went 2-0 last night. Yes I mentioned the Brewers failed my radar because of their bad pitching and they responded with bad pitching... So not really a surprise... And yes I agree with you the Brewers should win a game within the series and yes as I mentioned also the Giants were a nice pick and even though I said they were worthy of being a system pick... them being below .500 in their last 10, I could not post it as a system pick...would have been an unofficial pick.

                      GG I like the way you are starting to mention the difference between teams at home and away...very good point about Pittsburgh...that is exactly how the system finds its winners... Look at team stats on the road when they are on the road. Sometimes I start with basic stats and right away you can see a winner coming up...such as Boston beating the A's last night... then checking with the system a big yes came back...

                      Notice those "hot" teams you mentioned... LAA, Col, both lost... this is a system of patience.... if you are following just this system you are up... If you are making other plays the system cannot be blamed... For those winning with the system...notice how small my bets are and the total unit amount still keeps climbing slowly but surely.

                      GG just try and use a system as far as your chases on the losing teams you have picked... Otherwise losses can happen quickly... Most people just do not have the patience for a system like mine which once they win you end up with a day or more off from the system... And just betting a few games a week.

                      But I just wanted to show the so called experts from this forum that yes there are chase systems that work.... And at the end of the year... Mine will be in the green..

                      GL with your plays today.... system will be off till new series starts... being up close to 12 units allows me to maybe play a game or two before new series start on Thursday/Friday will see ... But the time off between series after the wins sure helps with burn out....
                      GL G.
                      Comment
                      • brandon m
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 07-06-09
                        • 604

                        #466
                        Yeah G your right I been doing your system and jm's but mixing in my own picks and not doing so hot overall but still slightly up on the year.
                        Comment
                        • G's pks
                          Restricted User
                          • 01-01-09
                          • 22251

                          #467
                          Originally posted by GGPLAYER
                          Thanks for the Tex pick. I would have never taken that one without your system producing it. Mil was a joke. But it was more of a situational play for me. Wash until last night had only won 3 games in a row twice the entire year so far. Plus they were 10-35 on the road. Odds are still with me there and I will continue to chase that one.

                          Hopefully you passed on the Brewers last night... They continue to pitch very poorly... As I said the system would not give a green light on this series due to Wash.not being a bad hitting team average wise, and the Brewers pitching staff being so bad... If you are chasing I would think the Brew crew is due for a win in series today...but do not let this be a damaging series to your bankroll...follow a set of rules with your chases...this was not a good chase pick... The brewers were not above .500 in their last ten, the nats BA wise are in the top half of the league the brewers pitching is almost as bad as the Nats... A no play...if you just bet because it is a four game series...even though I expect them to win a game at least not a good decision.

                          Well hopefully you are staying small...
                          Comment
                          • G's pks
                            Restricted User
                            • 01-01-09
                            • 22251

                            #468
                            Originally posted by brandon martinez
                            Yeah G your right I been doing your system and jm's but mixing in my own picks and not doing so hot overall but still slightly up on the year.
                            Took yesterday off.... System is done till at least Thursday as both picks won in Game #1 on Monday...

                            I see a couple new posters getting burned badly this week...as usual the same causes.... betting to many games, then repeating the same mistakes the next day with no money management...next they will probably come up with the all in post...... Oh well... lets just keep winning in this thread.... GL today guys..
                            Comment
                            • GGPLAYER
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-26-09
                              • 2981

                              #469
                              Originally posted by G's pks
                              Hopefully you passed on the Brewers last night... They continue to pitch very poorly... As I said the system would not give a green light on this series due to Wash.not being a bad hitting team average wise, and the Brewers pitching staff being so bad... If you are chasing I would think the Brew crew is due for a win in series today...but do not let this be a damaging series to your bankroll...follow a set of rules with your chases...this was not a good chase pick... The brewers were not above .500 in their last ten, the nats BA wise are in the top half of the league the brewers pitching is almost as bad as the Nats... A no play...if you just bet because it is a four game series...even though I expect them to win a game at least not a good decision.

                              Well hopefully you are staying small...
                              No I passed on Mil but did play Atl and LAD
                              Comment
                              • G's pks
                                Restricted User
                                • 01-01-09
                                • 22251

                                #470
                                Originally posted by GGPLAYER
                                No I passed on Mil but did play Atl and LAD

                                I am sure Atlanta was a very tough loss for you.... LAD another thing... but glad to hear you passed on the Brewers...of course now that they have a chance to win....the chalk is heavy today.
                                Comment
                                • brandon m
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 07-06-09
                                  • 604

                                  #471
                                  I passed on the brewers chase yesterday and hit up the angels heavy last night my only play for the day and that shit was a nailbiter. I'm debating whether or not to hit up the brewers tonight so much chalk though, what you think G?
                                  Comment
                                  • IcE
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-18-09
                                    • 1089

                                    #472
                                    Originally posted by G's pks

                                    I see a couple new posters getting burned badly this week...as usual the same causes.... betting to many games, then repeating the same mistakes the next day with no money management...next they will probably come up with the all in post...... Oh well... lets just keep winning in this thread.... GL today guys..
                                    quilty

                                    i lost 4% of my roll this week. i posted to get help everyone just burned me.
                                    Comment
                                    • GGPLAYER
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-26-09
                                      • 2981

                                      #473
                                      Originally posted by brandon martinez
                                      I passed on the brewers chase yesterday and hit up the angels heavy last night my only play for the day and that shit was a nailbiter. I'm debating whether or not to hit up the brewers tonight so much chalk though, what you think G?
                                      I'll tell what GG thinks......Mil blows!! Parra is not good and the chalk is too high again. Books must be loving Wash winning and people jumping on their opponents right now. I think tonight your basically looking at a score fest and I don't want to pin my hopes on Mil getting 8-10 runs.
                                      Comment
                                      • Xpertcapper
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 04-14-09
                                        • 621

                                        #474
                                        GL today bro
                                        Comment
                                        • G's pks
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 01-01-09
                                          • 22251

                                          #475
                                          Originally posted by brandon martinez
                                          I passed on the brewers chase yesterday and hit up the angels heavy last night my only play for the day and that shit was a nailbiter. I'm debating whether or not to hit up the brewers tonight so much chalk though, what you think G?

                                          I think the Brewers win tonight...
                                          Comment
                                          • Xpertcapper
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 04-14-09
                                            • 621

                                            #476
                                            Originally posted by G's pks
                                            I think the Brewers win tonight...
                                            You would think the Brew Crew wouldnt get swept by the Nationals but they have been playing good ball lately.
                                            Comment
                                            • G's pks
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 01-01-09
                                              • 22251

                                              #477
                                              Originally posted by IcE
                                              quilty

                                              i lost 4% of my roll this week. i posted to get help everyone just burned me.

                                              Not sure who you followed this week...up to now I am 2-0 on the week so it was not me! But sorry to hear you are losing... 4% is not that bad though... I think I saw you over in MHM thread...if you stick with him you will be fine...we all go through slumps..except the touts who just lie and turn their losses into wins somehow....

                                              GL tonight...
                                              Comment
                                              • G's pks
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 01-01-09
                                                • 22251

                                                #478
                                                Originally posted by Xpertcapper
                                                You would think the Brew Crew wouldnt get swept by the Nationals but they have been playing good ball lately.

                                                Remember this is a four game series...so you never know this is game #3... but what do you think? I am thinking Brewers here xpertcapper...
                                                Comment
                                                • G's pks
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 01-01-09
                                                  • 22251

                                                  #479
                                                  Originally posted by GGPLAYER
                                                  I'll tell what GG thinks......Mil blows!! Parra is not good and the chalk is too high again. Books must be loving Wash winning and people jumping on their opponents right now. I think tonight your basically looking at a score fest and I don't want to pin my hopes on Mil getting 8-10 runs.
                                                  Mil is hard to figure out...pitching been poor...but it might be time for a win against a team with an even worse pitching staff...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Xpertcapper
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 04-14-09
                                                    • 621

                                                    #480
                                                    I am to G but it sure is high juice at -193 currently. Public is all over the Brewers at a rate of 85% currently.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • G's pks
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 01-01-09
                                                      • 22251

                                                      #481
                                                      Originally posted by Xpertcapper
                                                      I am to G but it sure is high juice at -193 currently. Public is all over the Brewers at a rate of 85% currently.
                                                      I am getting -203... Rl -1.5 +100... not sure yet...seeing everyone is interested in this may play brewers...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • IcE
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-18-09
                                                        • 1089

                                                        #482
                                                        Originally posted by G's pks
                                                        Not sure who you followed this week...up to now I am 2-0 on the week so it was not me! But sorry to hear you are losing... 4% is not that bad though... I think I saw you over in MHM thread...if you stick with him you will be fine...we all go through slumps..except the touts who just lie and turn their losses into wins somehow....

                                                        GL tonight...
                                                        yea i followed MHM this week. He like disappeared lol. Prolly just pissed over the last two days. I wanted to tail your system but not sure how it works. Is it a chase system? Not a fan of those.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • G's pks
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 01-01-09
                                                          • 22251

                                                          #483
                                                          Originally posted by IcE
                                                          yea i followed MHM this week. He like disappeared lol. Prolly just pissed over the last two days. I wanted to tail your system but not sure how it works. Is it a chase system? Not a fan of those.
                                                          Go to page 13 read post #429 G.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • obamaismyuncle
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-31-08
                                                            • 17801

                                                            #484
                                                            Originally posted by IcE
                                                            Quote:
                                                            Originally Posted by G's pks
                                                            Not sure who you followed this week...up to now I am 2-0 on the week so it was not me! But sorry to hear you are losing... 4% is not that bad though... I think I saw you over in MHM thread...if you stick with him you will be fine...we all go through slumps..except the touts who just lie and turn their losses into wins somehow....

                                                            GL tonight...

                                                            yea i followed MHM this week. He like disappeared lol. Prolly just pissed over the last two days. I wanted to tail your system but not sure how it works. Is it a chase system? Not a fan of those.
                                                            What happend over the last 2 days? BOL to you tonight!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • G's pks
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 01-01-09
                                                              • 22251

                                                              #485
                                                              Originally posted by IcE
                                                              yea i followed MHM this week. He like disappeared lol. Prolly just pissed over the last two days. I wanted to tail your system but not sure how it works. Is it a chase system? Not a fan of those.
                                                              He is hitting 60% betting every single day.. You just stepped in at the wrong time.... Also for daily picks panekk and obamasuncle have been doing very good... I do not post picks every single day... Thinking of playing something tonight small... Maybe Orioles or Brewers...maybe nothing I always post all my picks in this thread before games though... If you do not see the bet with unit amount...I did not play it...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • IcE
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-18-09
                                                                • 1089

                                                                #486
                                                                i'm ganna take your advice G and play 1 or 2 games a day now until i start to win. I tryed to pick certain wins but Toronto isn't doing so well. Tho i betted on Toronto i wanted Sea to keep up with that no hitter.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • IcE
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-18-09
                                                                  • 1089

                                                                  #487
                                                                  Originally posted by obamaismyuncle
                                                                  What happend over the last 2 days? BOL to you tonight!
                                                                  i think MHM went -60 units or some over the last two nites.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • G's pks
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 01-01-09
                                                                    • 22251

                                                                    #488
                                                                    Originally posted by IcE
                                                                    i think MHM went -60 units or some over the last two nites.
                                                                    Did not realize it was that bad...just saw a few games he had.. I know he likes to add on...but wow! Sorry to hear that...hopefully he comes back strong.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • IcE
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 07-18-09
                                                                      • 1089

                                                                      #489
                                                                      Originally posted by G's pks
                                                                      Did not realize it was that bad...just saw a few games he had.. I know he likes to add on...but wow! Sorry to hear that...hopefully he comes back strong.
                                                                      yea i picked a very bad time to tail him. But im sure he will be back and running strong.

                                                                      FYI: Im on the Balt game when the delay ends. Hoping for that to be my season turnaround.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • obamaismyuncle
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 12-31-08
                                                                        • 17801

                                                                        #490
                                                                        Originally posted by IcE
                                                                        Quote:
                                                                        Originally Posted by obamaismyuncle
                                                                        What happend over the last 2 days? BOL to you tonight!

                                                                        i think MHM went -60 units or some over the last two nites.
                                                                        Wow hopefully he gets it back together, he's probably on the forum under a new name
                                                                        Comment
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