managed to squeeze +110 out of sportsinteraction.
System Integrity?
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do5000SBR Wise Guy
- 06-06-08
- 853
#666Comment -
johncrudSBR MVP
- 04-06-09
- 1322
#667corymen--- if you bet to win 30 bucks for each series, wouldn't your profit be 300 bucks since you won 10 series already.
so i am not sure why your profit is only 160 bucks
have anyone tried the same system for NHL RL? I have calculated each potential loss to be 7-10 units. I am not sure how hard it is to beat teams by 2 points. However, the RL is looking very goood.. something its like 250+ for RL. maybe people would take some time to backtrack the record for it. i started my 5 game chase after 4 games failing to hit RL.
Comment -
plobenSBR Wise Guy
- 01-09-09
- 527
#668Jumped to +115 on Bookmaker...damnComment -
SlaninaSBR MVP
- 01-21-09
- 3827
#669corymen--- if you bet to win 30 bucks for each series, wouldn't your profit be 300 bucks since you won 10 series already.
so i am not sure why your profit is only 160 bucks
have anyone tried the same system for NHL RL? I have calculated each potential loss to be 7-10 units. I am not sure how hard it is to beat teams by 2 points. However, the RL is looking very goood.. something its like 250+ for RL. maybe people would take some time to backtrack the record for it. i started my 5 game chase after 4 games failing to hit RL.Comment -
SlaninaSBR MVP
- 01-21-09
- 3827
#671LT Profits provided a solid link to the game in his thread. Here is the link to watch the game.
Channel 1
Comment -
plobenSBR Wise Guy
- 01-09-09
- 527
#672Video not found...o wellComment -
SlaninaSBR MVP
- 01-21-09
- 3827
#674It appears I jinxed it, because now it's not working for me. But the royals game still is. What the shit...Comment -
do5000SBR Wise Guy
- 06-06-08
- 853
#675great link!
just tried it (after the download) and it works great even here in exotic canada.Comment -
SlaninaSBR MVP
- 01-21-09
- 3827
#676
You must've stolen my feed! It still isn't working for me lol. I had to use my backup source to watch it. It's not in HD like that one is, but I'm watching it once again.
Btw, keep that link in your address bar. There are games on it everyday.Comment -
plobenSBR Wise Guy
- 01-09-09
- 527
#677Dumbass...didnt read about the pluging...lol. Thanks guys I'll give it a shot.Comment -
plobenSBR Wise Guy
- 01-09-09
- 527
#678Sweet nectar!!! WTG LTComment -
do5000SBR Wise Guy
- 06-06-08
- 853
#679NOW we're cookin!
that link kicks assComment -
plobenSBR Wise Guy
- 01-09-09
- 527
#680Nice inning. Cards getting plunked left and rightComment -
pawSBR Sharp
- 05-03-09
- 445
#681Let me ask everyone here something.
Why would you stop at a 6 game chase ???? If you are getting + money most of the time who cares ???
In reality how games could it really go before you win ???? I would be willing to bet its never been past 10 GAMES.
Think about it,you are taking the highest ML play on the board every day.The bookies arent going to be wrong for very long.
I think based on what I am seeing the chase could extend outward to a couple of more games and you would still be safe.
Any inputt on that ??????
Thanks
PAWComment -
plobenSBR Wise Guy
- 01-09-09
- 527
#682Any chase system paw...it all points back to bankroll and ho wmuch you are willing to risk for x units you are chasing.Comment -
SlaninaSBR MVP
- 01-21-09
- 3827
#683Let me ask everyone here something.
Why would you stop at a 6 game chase ???? If you are getting + money most of the time who cares ???
In reality how games could it really go before you win ???? I would be willing to bet its never been past 10 GAMES.
Think about it,you are taking the highest ML play on the board every day.The bookies arent going to be wrong for very long.
I think based on what I am seeing the chase could extend outward to a couple of more games and you would still be safe.
Any inputt on that ??????
Thanks
PAW
I could probably afford doing it for $1. But that would be like 65 bucks in 4-5 months.Comment -
do5000SBR Wise Guy
- 06-06-08
- 853
#684if you had unlimited bankroll and your book had unlimited bet sizes, i agree.
but at some point youre going to hit a wall. even if you were a billionaire, your book would cut you off at some point.
i do agree if you kept your best small enough you could probably go to 7 or 8 bets and win in the end.
Anybody care to test how many times a 7 game chase lost?Comment -
pawSBR Sharp
- 05-03-09
- 445
#685Let me share a realtive STAT with everyone on this thread. Over a 2 years period 2007,2008 MLB season the highest Money line favorite from day to day and inculding days were there 2 teams that had the highest ML that is only 1 time went to 5 games in which the favorite lost in a row that was July 16-21st on 2007 and 4 times that year also and 3 times twice further then that the highest ML teams always wins within 1-2 games and covers the -1.5 RL Quite often as everyone knows already.
In 2008 season the Highest ML line team went to a 4 game lose only one time and two 3 game loses twice and thats it total......................
Point is on the highest ML line played everyday at the -1.5 line I cant see it going past 8- 10 games total.
How could it really fail past that ????? I think a 10 game chase would be more then suffient long-term based on what I HAVE SEEN.
I went back 2 years on SBR using the opening lines.................
Hope this helps................
PAWComment -
plobenSBR Wise Guy
- 01-09-09
- 527
#686I thought stats were run and there was a 6 game chase last year in June>?Comment -
SlaninaSBR MVP
- 01-21-09
- 3827
#687First, let me preface this with a disclaimer as to EXACT accuracy.
I've gone thru 2008 from May 1st thru Aug. 31st. I used opening lines and rounded to the dollar. In 2 instances the game that included "largest favorite" for that day was postponed due to weather, so I used the 2nd largest fav.
Results were 121 plays
1 6-game chase
1 5-game chase
6 4-game chases
7 3-game chases
**- the rest were either 1 or 2 game chases.
Aug. 31st ended up +65.6 units
Some interesting facts. During entire mo. of Aug. you had to lay odds on the run line....in one case -155 (yikes). In the month of May only 9 plays were at (-) money with the largest lay being -115 twice. Aug. had NO chases longer than 2 games.
Inherent with chases, is the fact you'll need to lay a big number to get back previous losses. The largest amount needed was for the single 6 game chase in July. If you were using $10 units, a lay of $327 was required......figure your own value if you chose different units.
It's apparent that this method will work, but of course, ALL chases will work if you have the bankroll. I guess it's up to individual preferences to determine if the reward is worth the risk.
This was a pain in the butt to compile, however it may answer some questions. As always, good luck with you action.Comment -
SlaninaSBR MVP
- 01-21-09
- 3827
#688Let me share a realtive STAT with everyone on this thread. Over a 2 years period 2007,2008 MLB season the highest Money line favorite from day to day and inculding days were there 2 teams that had the highest ML that is only 1 time went to 5 games in which the favorite lost in a row that was July 16-21st on 2007 and 4 times that year also and 3 times twice further then that the highest ML teams always wins within 1-2 games and covers the -1.5 RL Quite often as everyone knows already.
In 2008 season the Highest ML line team went to a 4 game lose only one time and two 3 game loses twice and thats it total......................
Point is on the highest ML line played everyday at the -1.5 line I cant see it going past 8- 10 games total.
How could it really fail past that ????? I think a 10 game chase would be more then suffient long-term based on what I HAVE SEEN.
I went back 2 years on SBR using the opening lines.................
Hope this helps................
PAWComment -
SlaninaSBR MVP
- 01-21-09
- 3827
#689Let me ask everyone here something.
Why would you stop at a 6 game chase ???? If you are getting + money most of the time who cares ???
In reality how games could it really go before you win ???? I would be willing to bet its never been past 10 GAMES.
Think about it,you are taking the highest ML play on the board every day.The bookies arent going to be wrong for very long.
I think based on what I am seeing the chase could extend outward to a couple of more games and you would still be safe.
Any inputt on that ??????
Thanks
PAWComment -
do5000SBR Wise Guy
- 06-06-08
- 853
#690it was argued earlier that a 6 game ML chase has never lost.
probably true, but your bankroll would need to be massive as you probably couldnt get odds better than -160 and in some cases you'd be paying -300.Comment -
pawSBR Sharp
- 05-03-09
- 445
#691I DONT Disagree a Money line chase would be thru the Roof in regards to what you had to lay.I can tell you this thu if you look for the highest Money line game daily and track it and once it has lost 2 or you could go 3 loses in a row its going to hit on THE NEXT Game or at the latest the 2nd game.
That favorite Money line system could be a large winner if played with Strict displine.
Getting back the Run-line chase I think someoneshould look at the top 2 or 3 Highest money line games daily I would think the chase would work just as well,I do realize that was spoken about earlier in this thread.
Sbr has all the lines for the last 2 years on everything.
I think somebody could find some very intresting Stats..........................
PAWComment -
SlaninaSBR MVP
- 01-21-09
- 3827
#692I DONT Disagree a Money line chase would be thru the Roof in regards to what you had to lay.I can tell you this thu if you look for the highest Money line game daily and track it and once it has lost 2 or you could go 3 loses in a row its going to hit on THE NEXT Game or at the latest the 2nd game.
That favorite Money line system could be a large winner if played with Strict displine.
Getting back the Run-line chase I think someoneshould look at the top 2 or 3 Highest money line games daily I would think the chase would work just as well,I do realize that was spoken about earlier in this thread.
Sbr has all the lines for the last 2 years on everything.
I think somebody could find some very intresting Stats..........................
PAW
Quite easy to keep track of considering the games for the system require the largest Moneyline favorite each day.Comment -
plobenSBR Wise Guy
- 01-09-09
- 527
#693Cards win it! May has been good. 4-3Comment -
SlaninaSBR MVP
- 01-21-09
- 3827
#694Good game guys! I'm going to crunch some numbers and see if we can maximize our profits while not risking more. Considering more than half of the wins come from game #1 or #2.Comment -
plobenSBR Wise Guy
- 01-09-09
- 527
#695Maybe start to chase like $20 on game 1, then $15, then $10Comment -
do5000SBR Wise Guy
- 06-06-08
- 853
#696i've tried to mix the idea of the ML and RL combination bets to get a rl -1 (push on a 1 run win).
one of my books offers -1 rl, so that makes it easier.
i'm sticking with betting RL -1 on the A bets. little more safety and a little less payout.
i'm also trying a way to figure out how much you can extend your chase per unit won.
ie after a certain number of wins, do you have enough to chase 7 games if necessary?
im guessing if i won 20 times i could safely go to 7 or 8 games on the same bankroll.Comment -
SlaninaSBR MVP
- 01-21-09
- 3827
#697
I was thinking around 13 and 13 on first two. Then 10 on the 3rd game. Then drop to 7, 5, and even. Trying to balance it out so the amount wagered is pretty close to the same as if you were betting for a 10 profit straight through. Obviously, you won't win much on games 4,5,6. But by far the majority of chases end before it even gets to game 4. So overall you would definitely increase your profit using this strategy. Just need to devise a pattern to get the figures to match up.Comment -
SlaninaSBR MVP
- 01-21-09
- 3827
#698i've tried to mix the idea of the ML and RL combination bets to get a rl -1 (push on a 1 run win).
one of my books offers -1 rl, so that makes it easier.
i'm sticking with betting RL -1 on the A bets. little more safety and a little less payout.
i'm also trying a way to figure out how much you can extend your chase per unit won.
ie after a certain number of wins, do you have enough to chase 7 games if necessary?
im guessing if i won 20 times i could safely go to 7 or 8 games on the same bankroll.Comment -
coreygmanSBR Sharp
- 01-18-09
- 325
#699corymen--- if you bet to win 30 bucks for each series, wouldn't your profit be 300 bucks since you won 10 series already.
so i am not sure why your profit is only 160 bucks
have anyone tried the same system for NHL RL? I have calculated each potential loss to be 7-10 units. I am not sure how hard it is to beat teams by 2 points. However, the RL is looking very goood.. something its like 250+ for RL. maybe people would take some time to backtrack the record for it. i started my 5 game chase after 4 games failing to hit RL.
True, but when I posted my profit I was in a chase, and down some money at the time.
and after we had our 6 game chase i changed the way I bet a bit, I start with 30, then after the 1st game chase I move it down to $15 until we win again, so I don't have to go into the $1,000's
Get what I am saying? After the win today I am now up $251.00Comment -
do5000SBR Wise Guy
- 06-06-08
- 853
#700i'm not using the same system as everybody else, so my units change from bet to bet.
i am still chasing, but chasing a win, not a specific amount.
i have a base amount ($2 or $3 or $5 to start) and bet that. lets say $2.
if i win (whatever the profit), i take it and bet the same amount on the next game.
if i lose game A, i bet the B game so my profit is A bet + 25%. if i win, i start over with $2.
if i lose, i bet the C game to win my B bet +25%.
so for me, units are wins, not any specific profit amount.
the way i do it (very small stakes) allows me to manage my bankroll in a way i feel comfortable.
no matter what the odds are for game A, my loss will be the same. the profits will never be big, but they will be more frequent and consistent.
obviously im going to win a fraction of what everybody else will at the end (especially cause for A bets im using RL -1).
to be honest, i want to see if doing this, in a very conservative way, i can still beat my stock broker.
if i can make 50% (tax free) in 6 months of baseball, the nasdaq can suck it.Comment
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