Houston Fade & Chase

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  • jrs362
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-11-11
    • 288

    #36
    YTD:
    Wagers Win Loss Cancelled Pending Win % Units Lost Units Won Profit/Loss
    34 24 9 0 1 70.59% 24.51 48.51 24.00
    Today, Detroit for the 4 game sweep:
    5/8/2014 7:28 Money Line 2.05 1.00 Pending Baseball - 908 Detroit Tigers -205 for Game
    Comment
    • jrs362
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-11-11
      • 288

      #37
      5/9/2014 7:34 Money Line 4.97 3.05 Pending Baseball - 964 Baltimore Orioles -163 for Game
      Comment
      • effortless
        SBR Rookie
        • 03-03-14
        • 22

        #38
        I like ur idea jrs362 so I will tail you everyday. Btw thank you for the win tonight. Keep it up.
        Comment
        • jrs362
          SBR Sharp
          • 09-11-11
          • 288

          #39
          Baltimore got us back in the win column.

          Not in front of my spreadsheet but today's play is Baltimore - 1.65 units to win 1.

          effortless, make sure if you're tailing you're keeping your unit size small. This strategy has the chance of busting pretty easily if you're not careful.
          Comment
          • jrs362
            SBR Sharp
            • 09-11-11
            • 288

            #40
            Win on 5/10.

            Today's play:

            Baltimore 1.6 units to win 1 unit.

            Will update YTD stats tonight when I'm back in front of my spreadsheet.
            Comment
            • JR007
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-21-10
              • 5279

              #41
              looking at this game myself....Tillman not two good but getting plenty of run support ...29 runs last four outings
              Comment
              • jrs362
                SBR Sharp
                • 09-11-11
                • 288

                #42
                YTD after today's loss:
                Wagers Win Loss Cancelled Pending Win % Units Lost Units Won Profit/Loss
                37 26 11 0 0 70.27% 28.16 52.56 24.40
                Comment
                • jrs362
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 09-11-11
                  • 288

                  #43
                  Today's play is Texas.

                  Risk 3.41 units to win 2.60 units
                  Comment
                  • Andrey Thompson
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 05-12-14
                    • 2

                    #44
                    I got TeX but they scare me against their in state brothers.
                    Comment
                    • jrs362
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 09-11-11
                      • 288

                      #45
                      YTD:
                      Wagers Win Loss Cancelled Pending Win % Units Lost Units Won Profit/Loss
                      39 27 11 0 1 69.23% 28.16 55.16 27.00


                      Tonight's Play:
                      5/13/2014 7:30 Money Line 1.15 1.00 Pending Baseball - 969 Texas Rangers -115 for Game
                      Comment
                      • jrs362
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 09-11-11
                        • 288

                        #46
                        5/14/2014 7:30 Money Line 2.32 2.15 Pending Baseball - 923 Texas Rangers -108 for Game
                        Comment
                        • jrs362
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 09-11-11
                          • 288

                          #47
                          Relying on the White Sox to solve McHugh tonight.

                          5/16/2014 18:00 Money Line 4.61 4.47 Pending Baseball - 923 Chicago White Sox -103 for Game
                          YTD:
                          Wagers Win Loss Cancelled Pending Win % Units Lost Units Won Profit/Loss
                          41 27 13 0 1 65.85% 31.63 55.16 23.53
                          Comment
                          • jrs362
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 09-11-11
                            • 288

                            #48
                            White Sox were quiet for the first half of the game but put enough on the board the last few innings to bring a win.

                            I was able to grab Chicago as a dog this morning, but deservedly so. Noesi hasn't won a ballgame in over a year and Cosart has been pretty good of late for Houston. Let's hope the tide turns and I get a gift. It's not too often you get to play a dog against Houston.

                            Today:
                            5/17/2014 8:59 Money Line 1.00 1.10 Pending Baseball - 965 Chicago White Sox +110 for Game
                            YTD:
                            Wagers Win Loss Cancelled Pending Win % Units Lost Units Won Profit/Loss
                            42 28 13 0 1 66.67% 31.63 59.63 28.00
                            Comment
                            • jrs362
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 09-11-11
                              • 288

                              #49
                              Tried to get a little extra but a bad first inning did in the White Sox. I'm going to cut the extra .1 units and the next play will be to win 2 units (1u lost + 1u).

                              I'll be out of town tomorrow so the play is going in early:

                              5/17/2014 22:06 Money Line 2.16 2.00 Pending Baseball - 917 Chicago White Sox -108 for Game
                              Comment
                              • jrs362
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 09-11-11
                                • 288

                                #50
                                Time for a Houston loss.

                                5/19/2014 6:56 Money Line 8.44 4.16 Pending Baseball - 960 Los Angeles Angels -203 for Game
                                Comment
                                • jrs362
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 09-11-11
                                  • 288

                                  #51
                                  Things are getting mighty hairy.

                                  5/20/2014 7:10 Money Line 21.80 12.60 Pending Baseball - 924 Los Angeles Angels -173 for Game
                                  Comment
                                  • ItsMeMrMattE
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 08-30-10
                                    • 5294

                                    #52
                                    ya i dont think they get 4 in a row. not paying that price to find out tho. LAA RL for me.
                                    Comment
                                    • jrs362
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 09-11-11
                                      • 288

                                      #53
                                      Stayed alive. Back to square one.

                                      Wagers Win Loss Cancelled Pending Win % Units Lost Units Won Profit/Loss
                                      46 29 16 0 1 63.04% 43.24 72.24 29.00

                                      5/21/2014 7:39 Money Line 2.05 1.00 Pending Baseball - 974 Los Angeles Angels -205 for Game
                                      Comment
                                      • jrs362
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 09-11-11
                                        • 288

                                        #54
                                        5/22/2014 16:49 Money Line 1.53 1.00 Pending Baseball - 926 Seattle Mariners -153 for Game

                                        Wagers Win Loss Cancelled Pending Win % Units Lost Units Won Profit/Loss
                                        47 30 16 0 1 63.83% 43.24 73.24 30.00
                                        Comment
                                        • jrs362
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 09-11-11
                                          • 288

                                          #55
                                          YTD:
                                          Wagers Win Loss Cancelled Pending Win % Units Lost Units Won Profit/Loss
                                          48 31 16 0 1 64.58% 43.24 74.24 31.00

                                          Tonight's play:
                                          5/23/2014 7:27 Money Line 2.60 1.00 Pending Baseball - 978 Seattle Mariners -260 for Game
                                          Comment
                                          • ItsMeMrMattE
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-30-10
                                            • 5294

                                            #56
                                            HOU ML and the under 6.5
                                            Comment
                                            • isukatchess1
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 05-10-14
                                              • 346

                                              #57
                                              I think he should switch to red sox fade and chase...better value.
                                              Comment
                                              • JM17
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-19-13
                                                • 836

                                                #58
                                                Brilliant strategy
                                                Comment
                                                • jrs362
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 09-11-11
                                                  • 288

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by isukatchess1
                                                  I think he should switch to red sox fade and chase...better value.
                                                  This would probably work well, but I'm a Sox fan and just can't bring myself to bet against them. If I have the time I may go back and run this season's lines to see where I'd be.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jrs362
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 09-11-11
                                                    • 288

                                                    #60
                                                    YTD:
                                                    Wagers Win Loss Cancelled Pending Win % Units Lost Units Won Profit/Loss
                                                    49 32 16 0 1 65.31% 43.24 75.24 32.00

                                                    Tonight's play:
                                                    5/24/2014 10:59 Money Line 1.31 1.00 Pending Baseball - 928 Seattle Mariners -131 for Game
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jrs362
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 09-11-11
                                                      • 288

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by jrs362
                                                      This would probably work well, but I'm a Sox fan and just can't bring myself to bet against them. If I have the time I may go back and run this season's lines to see where I'd be.
                                                      I went back and looked at the closing lines from my book. If I just did a straight Red Sox fade without the chase, I'd be up 12.4 units for the season with 10.28 of that coming during the recent 9 game losing streak. Probably not a good choice. I didn't check with the chase, but they haven't won more than 2 games in a row all season which would put me at least +28 units for the season.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • isukatchess1
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 05-10-14
                                                        • 346

                                                        #62
                                                        Wow...its probably too late to do this now...you would think red sox would recover from this but their lineup and pitching staff looks pretty pedestrian now and I wonder how they won last season...I guess losing jacoby makes a tremendous difference in their lineup.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jrs362
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 09-11-11
                                                          • 288

                                                          #63
                                                          Today:
                                                          5/25/2014 8:49 Money Line 3.47 2.31 Pending Baseball - 978 Seattle Mariners -150 for Game
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JM17
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 09-19-13
                                                            • 836

                                                            #64
                                                            well the 2 wins in a row by the astros isn't cool. double chase in a row.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jrs362
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 09-11-11
                                                              • 288

                                                              #65
                                                              5/26/2014 17:22 Money Line 9.59 5.78 Pending Baseball - 924 Kansas City Royals -166 for Game
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JM17
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 09-19-13
                                                                • 836

                                                                #66
                                                                are you kidding me? martingale is trash. how many times will houston keep winning in a row. the problem with martingale is a lot of people have a finite amount of funds available to bet. As someone mentioned, there is much better value involved if you don't fade the astros and instead pick them.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • stuck621
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 09-08-09
                                                                  • 861

                                                                  #67
                                                                  this system needs a new overhaul......houston isn't that bad this year
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • isukatchess1
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 05-10-14
                                                                    • 346

                                                                    #68
                                                                    I liked the royals initially...but that line went up so rediculous....had to take astros.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JM17
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 09-19-13
                                                                      • 836

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by isukatchess1
                                                                      I liked the royals initially...but that line went up so rediculous....had to take astros.
                                                                      So you like the royals today?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ItsMeMrMattE
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 08-30-10
                                                                        • 5294

                                                                        #70
                                                                        HOU gets it today
                                                                        Comment
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