2014 MLB thread with friends

**upscope** · 05-13-14, 06:12 PM

Originally posted by fitguy67

echun,

in a thread about major American sports (baseball, hockey, basketall, "foot"ball) quoting American odds in the posts...you can count on what ravensfan said as the way it IS, unless otherwise stated...

thus 2 units at -157 will be -3.14 / +2
and 2 units at +157 will be -2 / +3.14

this is the way it is....UNLESS otherwise stated (eg. for "chase system threads...it's very common to have everything "to win"...)
another exception would be a thread with lots of Europeans betting American sports...they may have gotten used to the American odds format...but still may have retained their habit to bet everything "to risk"...which is the norm for the Soccer/Rugby/Tennis betting they're used to...

but this thread is definitely American-style (ie. dogs to risk/faves to win) exactly as in the numerical example above

Agreed!!

Flo +140
L.A -150

If betting LA....$150 to win $100
If betting Flo...$100 to win $140

**No coincidences** · 05-13-14, 06:25 PM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

Coiner, what do you think about your Tigers tonight?

Seems like a good price on Smyly vs. Ubaldo who usually struggles against Detroit?

Sorry I didn't see this in time, Paul. Yes, the Tigers have hit Ubaldo well in the past. Not sure about this one, though. Smyly on the road as a starter might be a different beast. Too much uncertainty for me, which I think is reflected in the line.

**echun32** · 05-13-14, 06:31 PM

Originally posted by fitguy67

echun,

in a thread about major American sports (baseball, hockey, basketall, "foot"ball) quoting American odds in the posts...you can count on what ravensfan said as the way it IS, unless otherwise stated...

thus 2 units at -157 will be -3.14 / +2
and 2 units at +157 will be -2 / +3.14

this is the way it is....UNLESS otherwise stated (eg. for "chase system threads...it's very common to have everything "to win"...)
another exception would be a thread with lots of Europeans betting American sports...they may have gotten used to the American odds format...but still may have retained their habit to bet everything "to risk"...which is the norm for the Soccer/Rugby/Tennis betting they're used to...

but this thread is definitely American-style (ie. dogs to risk/faves to win) exactly as in the numerical example above

Fitguy! thank you for the insight! makes perfect sense! will adopt that system

**italianbandit** · 05-13-14, 06:32 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Thanks, IB. Where you been?

9 month old that doesn't like to sleep.

**bababooey13** · 05-13-14, 07:39 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

FWIW, Brock's on the Pacers ML and the A's ML.

Sounds about right -- laying -185 on Pomeranz.

salud

**Pauulzcappin** · 05-13-14, 08:32 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Sorry I didn't see this in time, Paul. Yes, the Tigers have hit Ubaldo well in the past. Not sure about this one, though. Smyly on the road as a starter might be a different beast. Too much uncertainty for me, which I think is reflected in the line.

Books knew a lineup with Cabrera and Victor Martinez would get blanked. Man, I'm sucking bad at baseball since I came back.

**Pauulzcappin** · 05-13-14, 09:07 PM

about time i get a break

Miguel Cabrera homered to deep center, Rajai Davis and Torii Hunter scoredDET 3 - BAL 1Víctor Martínez homered to deep rightDET 4 - BAL 1

**No coincidences** · 05-13-14, 09:13 PM

Originally posted by italianbandit

9 month old that doesn't like to sleep.

Ah. Been there, done that -- thrice.

**No coincidences** · 05-13-14, 09:42 PM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

about time i get a break

Miguel Cabrera homered to deep center, Rajai Davis and Torii Hunter scoredDET 3 - BAL 1Víctor Martínez homered to deep rightDET 4 - BAL 1

Congrats. Tigers just continue to tear shit up.

**mikmik** · 05-13-14, 09:48 PM

penetrating twins

**No coincidences** · 05-13-14, 09:52 PM

Originally posted by mikmik

penetrating twins

Yeah, what a meltdown.

**italianbandit** · 05-13-14, 10:46 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Ah. Been there, done that -- thrice.

This is my second. Cash ATL FF.

**TankHankerous** · 05-13-14, 11:53 PM

Well Done my friend!

**DALLASROB** · 05-14-14, 12:11 AM

6-0

**italianbandit** · 05-14-14, 12:13 AM

Originally posted by italianbandit

I agree-- Atlanta is a good buy today at +100 or better. I hope you and the family are doing well. I also like them FF.

Cash it.

**italianbandit** · 05-14-14, 12:14 AM

Nice night. I guess I'm good luck.

**Cappinpicks** · 05-14-14, 12:20 AM

1u=20$?

**No coincidences** · 05-14-14, 12:50 AM

f\*\*k yeah. That piece of shit Rodney blowing the M's game was the icing on the cake. Love it.

**No coincidences** · 05-14-14, 12:51 AM

Originally posted by italianbandit

Nice night. I guess I'm good luck.

Don't be a stranger my man. Miss you, 2DaBank and ExHoosier around here.

**No coincidences** · 05-14-14, 12:54 AM

Originally posted by Cappinpicks

1u=20$?

Yeah, $20. If I ever cut down on volume, I'll up it. That's the plan. But I do this just for fun, and I'm an action junkie, so it's hard. A hobby that's turned into an addiction. Bet with disposable income only, and it's been nice to bring a little extra dough into the family equation over the last 20 or so months, as I'm up about 220 units during that period of time. Not a ton of money at $20 a pop, but that money has come in handy given it's a pretty low risk factor at that per-unit rate.

**No coincidences** · 05-14-14, 12:59 AM

5-0, +9.47U tonight
110-103, +18.17U thread

Hope some of you got the Twins early before the pitching change dropped it from my play list.

**Pauulzcappin** · 05-14-14, 01:11 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

5-0, +9.47U tonight
110-103, +18.17U thread

Hope some of you got the Twins early before the pitching change dropped it from my play list.

good job, friend. excellent night.

**1Time!** · 05-14-14, 01:21 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

5-0, +9.47U tonight
110-103, +18.17U thread

Hope some of you got the Twins early before the pitching change dropped it from my play list.

Sensational day NC! Congrats!

Any thoughts on the early games tomorrow? (Being over in Australia those games are like 3am type times)
Am looking at the Royals myself

**No coincidences** · 05-14-14, 01:28 AM

Thanks, fellas. Nice to go on a little run. Been treading water almost all season to this point.

**No coincidences** · 05-14-14, 01:31 AM

Wednesday's card doesn't look nearly as juicy as today's at first glance.

I do like Cleveland.

**DALLASROB** · 05-14-14, 02:59 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Wednesday's card doesn't look nearly as juicy as today's at first glance.
I do like Cleveland.

TOR already down to -112 from -125

**No coincidences** · 05-14-14, 10:15 AM

I am stunned and confused by the DET/BAL line today.

-121 for the Tigers? Really?

**whtsox13** · 05-14-14, 10:19 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I am stunned and confused by the DET/BAL line today.

-121 for the Tigers? Really?

From -142 to -121 in forty minutes on 5Dimes. I do like backing JV in day games.

**riffraff24** · 05-14-14, 10:27 AM

Tigers only have 5 at bats vs Gausman. 1 K and no hits. Inexperience vs him can cause problems. On the other hand the Zoolander is no stranger to the O's with them seeing him in 180 at bats. O's for me for this among other reasons

**BiffTFinancial** · 05-14-14, 10:27 AM

Hunter and Aviles sitting while O's essentially playing full lineup

Tigers
1. Rajai Davis (R) LF
2. Ian Kinsler (R) 2B
3. Miguel Cabrera (R) 1B
4. Victor Martinez (S) DH
5. J.D. Martinez (R) RF
6. Austin Jackson (R) CF
7. Don Kelly (L) 3B
8. Bryan Holaday (R) C
9. Danny Worth (R) SS

Orioles

1. Nick Markakis (L) RF
2. Manny Machado (R) 3B
3. Adam Jones (R) CF
4. Chris Davis (L) 1B
5. Nelson Cruz (R) DH
6. J.J. Hardy (R) SS
7. Steve Clevenger (L) C
8. Jonathan Schoop (R) 2B
9. David Lough (L) LF

Gametime Forecast: 64°F • Overcast • 7% PoP

**Pauulzcappin** · 05-14-14, 10:28 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I am stunned and confused by the DET/BAL line today.

-121 for the Tigers? Really?

I hate betting any baseball games where the line has moved this much. That said, Verlander at -120 looks really good.

Kinda thinking of fading AJ Burnett in the early game, his regression started already.

**BiffTFinancial** · 05-14-14, 10:29 AM

Originally posted by whtsox13

From -142 to -121 in forty minutes on 5Dimes. I do like backing JV in day games.

Per our pal Jeff Grant, Verlander daytime win % .727 first among active SPs in daytime win % (min 100 starts).

like under if anything in this game.

**No coincidences** · 05-14-14, 10:41 AM

I know the O's are the play based on the line and movement, but I think you'd be crazy to back them at the current price.

**PapaDBets** · 05-14-14, 10:42 AM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

I hate betting any baseball games where the line has moved this much. That said, Verlander at -120 looks really good.

Kinda thinking of fading AJ Burnett in the early game, his regression started already.

Garrett Richards regression should be coming soon too...

**Pauulzcappin** · 05-14-14, 10:49 AM

Originally posted by PapaDBets

Garrett Richards regression should be coming soon too...

His FIP, xFIP are were it should be. His BABIP should adjust but Burnett's ERA is about a point or a point or a half of where it should be.