2014 MLB thread with friends

**No coincidences** · 05-12-14, 11:55 PM

5-2, +6.36U tonight
105-103, +8.7U thread

Still a great night, but man.

f\*\*k you, Reed. Loser.

**mikmik** · 05-13-14, 12:06 AM

Chalk monday lol

**No coincidences** · 05-13-14, 12:13 AM

Originally posted by mikmik

Chalk monday lol

Only two dogs won: Cubs and Mets.

M's, Dodgers, Nats, A's, Rangers, Tigers all big public plays. All but Washington and Oakland (fluke) cashed both ML and -1.5 -- unless Brian Wilson has anything to say about LA, and apparently, he does.

**No coincidences** · 05-13-14, 12:23 AM

Some really tasty looking games for Tuesday.

Going to dig deep into the possibility of playing the Twinks, Braves, Rays, Pads and possibly Fish.

**Allure** · 05-13-14, 01:49 AM

Atlanta is an obvious play for Tuesday.

**RavensFan2k3** · 05-13-14, 07:02 AM

Originally posted by Allure

Atlanta is an obvious play for Tuesday.

Are they?

**No coincidences** · 05-13-14, 08:49 AM

ATL +105 (2U to win 2.1)
TB -105 (2.1U to win 2)
HOU +110 (1U to win 1.1)

**No coincidences** · 05-13-14, 09:29 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

MIN -102 (2.04U to win 2)
ATL +105 (2U to win 2.1)
TB -105 (2.1U to win 2)
HOU +110 (1U to win 1.1)

Still might add a unit or two to the Twins if I can get a + number at any point.

Adding a unit to Tampa -107.

**RavensFan2k3** · 05-13-14, 09:30 AM

Why is ATL an obvious play today? I honestly thought they get swept

**No coincidences** · 05-13-14, 09:37 AM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

Why is ATL an obvious play today? I honestly thought they get swept

I wouldn't say it's an "obvious" play necessarily. Just think it's a good spot to back the Bravos. Minor fared well in his first start vs. SF, and I'm not convinced Vogelsong's recent strong numbers are legit. He's been roughed up twice vs. ATL at home in his other two career appearances against them if I'm not mistaken.

**Bullywully** · 05-13-14, 09:42 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I wouldn't say it's an "obvious" play necessarily. Just think it's a good spot to back the Bravos. Minor fared well in his first start vs. SF, and I'm not convinced Vogelsong's recent strong numbers are legit. He's been roughed up twice vs. ATL at home in his other two career appearances against them if I'm not mistaken.

I would never bet against this Giants team at this moment, not even with Vogelsong. The braves have scoring problems, not only recently. They rely on pitching, and that's exactly what's lacking at the moment. If they get behind, it's very tough for them to make a come-back. Giants have both good pitching and offence. I'd go with them as long as they show this great baseball.

**italianbandit** · 05-13-14, 11:14 AM

I agree-- Atlanta is a good buy today at +100 or better. I hope you and the family are doing well. I also like them FF.

**italianbandit** · 05-13-14, 11:15 AM

Good start so far No Coin-- keep rollin.

**Bullywully** · 05-13-14, 11:18 AM

No i would recommend a play on the giants

**italianbandit** · 05-13-14, 11:40 AM

Bully, the Giants may win today--but that's irrelevant. More importantly, based on your reasoning (team A is playing better than team B) I think you'll be happier posting in a thread that suits your style of betting. Continuously posting here will just frustrate you and over time it may affect your sex life. I've seen it before it's ugly.

No Coin is a value/ underdog player meaning he is looking for sides that aren't likely to win but the price--hence the odds--he's getting are worth the play in the long run--according to his calculations. That means he is often looking to buy teams with poorer records or rather not playing well.

Anyway good luck.

**Big Bear** · 05-13-14, 11:52 AM

Originally posted by italianbandit

Bully, the Giants may win today--but that's irrelevant. More importantly, based on your reasoning (team A is playing better than team B) I think you'll be happier posting in a thread that suits your style of betting. Continuously posting here will just frustrate you and over time it may affect your sex life. I've seen it before it's ugly.

No Coin is a value/ underdog player meaning he is looking for sides that aren't likely to win but the price--hence the odds--he's getting are worth the play in the long run--according to his calculations. That means he is often looking to buy teams with poorer records or rather not playing well.

Anyway good luck.

exactly.

**Big Bear** · 05-13-14, 11:54 AM

Coiner you got a good price on Mr. Price he opened at -115 at my book.

**echun32** · 05-13-14, 12:35 PM

Hello all! whats the analysis on the rays and twins picks?

**Big Bear** · 05-13-14, 12:45 PM

Originally posted by echun32

Hello all! whats the analysis on the rays and twins picks?

the price was 10 cents off

**Lincoln Scofield** · 05-13-14, 12:59 PM

On scores and odds I'm now seeing Red Sox -127/+107. Just jumped 20 cents randomly and it says betting closed next to it. Someone hurt? Pitching change?

Edit: Rotowire now has Peavy throwing.

**Big Bear** · 05-13-14, 01:17 PM

Looks like Mejia might actually work out for the Mets in the bullpen.

**bucketteam3** · 05-13-14, 03:22 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

MIN -102 (2.04U to win 2)
ATL +105 (2U to win 2.1)
TB -105 (2.1U to win 2)
HOU +110 (1U to win 1.1)

Still might add a unit or two to the Twins if I can get a + number at any point.

Like the Rays play

**whtsox13** · 05-13-14, 03:25 PM

Originally posted by Lincoln Scofield

On scores and odds I'm now seeing Red Sox -127/+107. Just jumped 20 cents randomly and it says betting closed next to it. Someone hurt? Pitching change?

Edit: Rotowire now has Peavy throwing.

Thanks for the headsup. Where was Yisman?

**No coincidences** · 05-13-14, 03:33 PM

My Twins bet was cancelled because I always bet listed pitchers.

Might re-hit them, though. Need to crunch some numbers.

**No coincidences** · 05-13-14, 03:34 PM

Originally posted by italianbandit

Good start so far No Coin-- keep rollin.

Thanks, IB. Where you been?

**No coincidences** · 05-13-14, 03:39 PM

TOR -117 (2.34U to win 2)

**Big Bear** · 05-13-14, 03:47 PM

Originally posted by bucketteam3

Like the Rays play

just curious why ?

**RavensFan2k3** · 05-13-14, 04:08 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

TOR -117 (2.34U to win 2)

Where did you get that line from?

**No coincidences** · 05-13-14, 04:32 PM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

Where did you get that line from?

5Dimes.

My plays are typically at either 5Dimes, Bovada, SIA or BOL. Occasionally a CRIS book, but not often.

One final add:

ARI +127 (1U to win 1.27)

Just passing on Minnesota now, though I do still lean Twins.

**No coincidences** · 05-13-14, 04:40 PM

FWIW, Brock's on the Pacers ML and the A's ML.

Sounds about right -- laying -185 on Pomeranz.

**Pauulzcappin** · 05-13-14, 04:45 PM

Coiner, what do you think about your Tigers tonight?

Seems like a good price on Smyly vs. Ubaldo who usually struggles against Detroit?

**echun32** · 05-13-14, 05:01 PM

Newbie here and excuse me if I'm asking a question in the wrong thread but..... does everyone in here risk their unit amount or aim to win their unit amount when betting baseball favorites?

ie.. REDS -114 1unit=$150
risk 150 to win 131.58
or
risk 171 to win 150

Thanks ahead of time!

EC

**RavensFan2k3** · 05-13-14, 05:24 PM

Originally posted by echun32

Newbie here and excuse me if I'm asking a question in the wrong thread but..... does everyone in here risk their unit amount or aim to win their unit amount when betting baseball favorites?

ie.. REDS -114 1unit=$150
risk 150 to win 131.58
or
risk 171 to win 150

Thanks ahead of time!

EC

Depends on the person...alot of people bet to win their unit amount on favorites and bet their unit amount on underdogs

**PAULYPOKER** · 05-13-14, 05:32 PM

Do not expect Price to break out of slump anytime soon,

Especially in Seattle

against the hot hand of IWAKUMA.......

also might take Miami ML.............

**fitguy67** · 05-13-14, 06:07 PM

Originally posted by echun32

Newbie here and excuse me if I'm asking a question in the wrong thread but..... does everyone in here risk their unit amount or aim to win their unit amount when betting baseball favorites?

ie.. REDS -114 1unit=$150
risk 150 to win 131.58
or
risk 171 to win 150

Thanks ahead of time!

EC

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

Depends on the person...alot of people bet to win their unit amount on favorites and bet their unit amount on underdogs

echun,

in a thread about major American sports (baseball, hockey, basketall, "foot"ball) quoting American odds in the posts...you can count on what ravensfan said as the way it IS, unless otherwise stated...

thus 2 units at -157 will be -3.14 / +2
and 2 units at +157 will be -2 / +3.14

this is the way it is....UNLESS otherwise stated (eg. for "chase system threads...it's very common to have everything "to win"...)
another exception would be a thread with lots of Europeans betting American sports...they may have gotten used to the American odds format...but still may have retained their habit to bet everything "to risk"...which is the norm for the Soccer/Rugby/Tennis betting they're used to...

but this thread is definitely American-style (ie. dogs to risk/faves to win) exactly as in the numerical example above