10+ Runs Home Chase System

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  • dlunc3
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-31-09
    • 9129

    #36
    Originally posted by funnyman
    dunlc, do you call 60 units in the green a rough year?
    2012 was down 76 units
    Comment
    • skyscrapers
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 05-02-11
      • 6168

      #37
      Originally posted by funnyman
      Interesting.But what do the red numbers mean? Can you go through 1 series for clarification? Thanks.
      The red numbers mean the amount lost on 1 chase.

      For example is you look at 2011 ARI the system went 17-1. The 1 chase we lost we ended down 8.87 units.
      We made 17 units for the chases that we won.
      The net profit is 17-8.87 = +8.13 units

      We will have at least 1 play tomorrow so I'll go through the process in detail when all games go final.
      Comment
      • figue
        SBR MVP
        • 07-23-10
        • 2524

        #38
        Comment
        • BuckeyeKaptn
          SBR Sharp
          • 11-16-12
          • 271

          #39
          Cool, start of two chases...Tampa Bay and.........Miami?!!! So far tonight, 3 games to go.
          Comment
          • skyscrapers
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 05-02-11
            • 6168

            #40
            Today will be our first day for plays so I'm going to go through it in detail.
            and how I'm going to format the list of plays.

            So yesterday we had 6 games with a game total of 10 or greater.
            Of those 6 games, 2 were home team wins.
            Those 2 will qualify for this system.
            We will chase TB for 3 straight home games as per the rules on post #1.
            We will do exactly the same for MIA also as per the rules on post #1.


            Chase #1:
            TOR @ TB [ML] 1.60 (A) Apr. 01 Tue. 4:10p PDT
            TOR @ TB (B) Apr. 02 Wed. 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)
            TOR @ TB (C) Apr. 03 Thu. 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)

            Chase #2:
            COL @ MIA [+1.5 RL] 1.66 (A) Apr. 01 Tue. 4:10p PDT
            COL @ MIA (B) Apr. 02 Wed. 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)
            COL @ MIA (C) Apr. 03 Thu. 9:40a PDT (If Necessary)


            The bold blue plays will be the current day's plays.
            The bold black plays are upcoming plays (if necessary) within the chase.
            (A)(B)(C) are the first, second and third legs within the chase respectively.
            [ML] are moneyline wagers
            [RL] is +1.5 runline wagers
            [??] are close line games. I advise to wait until closer to gametime to determine [ML] or [RL] wager.

            **Important**
            Always place bet with 'Action' and NOT 'Listed Pitchers'
            Comment
            • snark
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-12-12
              • 311

              #41
              Oh goody, goody, disaster to follow. I think these idiots lay awake at night dreaming of this stupid stuff to bet, and lose their ass on. I'll be watching for the pure chuckles, but I sure as hell won't be betting. Won't be long before this SOB will be going back in the woodwork. There are so many good cappers around here, and you guys follow this dreamer (just like you did with DarkKnight), and in the end, you'll have the same results.
              Comment
              • calebepley93
                SBR Hustler
                • 02-23-13
                • 98

                #42
                Originally posted by snark
                Oh goody, goody, disaster to follow. I think these idiots lay awake at night dreaming of this stupid stuff to bet, and lose their ass on. I'll be watching for the pure chuckles, but I sure as hell won't be betting. Won't be long before this SOB will be going back in the woodwork. There are so many good cappers around here, and you guys follow this dreamer (just like you did with DarkKnight), and in the end, you'll have the same results.
                Dont get why you have to be so bitter. I've been doing various chase systems for the past year and am in the green by a substantial margin. As long as there's an edge it all comes down to bankroll management. This guy is giving clear parameters unlike Darkknight and backtested results. I wish him the best.
                Comment
                • snark
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 11-12-12
                  • 311

                  #43
                  Have you checked his backtests? Or, will YOU believe anything that I say? Gullible aren't you?
                  Comment
                  • ex50warrior
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-10-09
                    • 3821

                    #44
                    Interesting stuff Sky, best of luck!
                    Comment
                    • TakingVegasMoney
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-20-14
                      • 1014

                      #45
                      Sky, BOL pal. Heres to another profitable baseball season
                      Comment
                      • TakingVegasMoney
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-20-14
                        • 1014

                        #46
                        If we play RL on the first game and it loses.. Is It RL until it hits?
                        Comment
                        • skyscrapers
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 05-02-11
                          • 6168

                          #47
                          Originally posted by TakingVegasMoney
                          If we play RL on the first game and it loses.. Is It RL until it hits?
                          If the team we're betting on is again a dog on the next then yes we play the RL but if they are the fav then we play on the ML.
                          Comment
                          • nap022
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 11-17-12
                            • 134

                            #48
                            Why do people post negative shit like that, Snark? I see that a lot of idiots around this forum and click back and say nothing (not that you are one sky, idk yet). Dude has put a lot of work into this so leave him alone. You haven't had the balls to post ANY of your own plays for critisism.

                            I'm on MIA myself today, will be interested to see how you do.
                            GL sky.
                            Comment
                            • skyscrapers
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 05-02-11
                              • 6168

                              #49
                              Originally posted by ex50warrior
                              Interesting stuff Sky, best of luck!
                              Hey Warrior, figure I'll be better off coming up something myself than to just follow Docs
                              Comment
                              • funnyman
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 05-06-10
                                • 606

                                #50
                                Get lost, Snark. Your kind is not welcome here.
                                Comment
                                • nap022
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 11-17-12
                                  • 134

                                  #51
                                  "- For games with close to even lines I would advise to wait till very close to gametime before placing bets."

                                  Sky, why this?
                                  Comment
                                  • skyscrapers
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 05-02-11
                                    • 6168

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by nap022
                                    "- For games with close to even lines I would advise to wait till very close to gametime before placing bets."

                                    Sky, why this?
                                    Because for some games the lines for both teams is so close to even we are unable to determine if the team will be a ML or RL play yet. That's why we wait until closer to game time to see where the line settles at the end or near the end.

                                    Looks like MIA today will become a RL play but I'm going to wait it out to see what happens.
                                    TB on the other hand is the clear favorite so ML on them.
                                    Comment
                                    • TakingVegasMoney
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-20-14
                                      • 1014

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by skyscrapers
                                      Because for some games the lines for both teams is so close to even we are unable to determine if the team will be a ML or RL play yet. That's why we wait until closer to game time to see where the line settles at the end or near the end.

                                      Looks like MIA today will become a RL play but I'm going to wait it out to see what happens.
                                      TB on the other hand is the clear favorite so ML on them.
                                      Will you update RL OR ML before game time? I'm really interested to see how this plays out. Awesome job so far and Thabks for taking time to answer all my ?s
                                      Comment
                                      • skyscrapers
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 05-02-11
                                        • 6168

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by TakingVegasMoney
                                        Will you update RL OR ML before game time? I'm really interested to see how this plays out. Awesome job so far and Thabks for taking time to answer all my ?s
                                        I'll try to edit the original post before gametime if I have a chance otherwise just follow the favorite/dog rule.
                                        Comment
                                        • snark
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 11-12-12
                                          • 311

                                          #55
                                          Here ya go boys, if you guys like skyscrapers chase, you'll love this one. It's a 3 game chase back tested all the way back to 2009, 1644 wins, and 2 losses. First, determine if the pitcher is Black, White, Oriental, or from the Caribbean. If he is White or Oriental, and it's Monday Wednesday or Sunday, we still have a play. If he is Black or Caribbean, and it is Tuesday or Friday, move on to the next step. Obviously, disregard the game if it is played on Saturday. Next the weather, the game time temp must be between 71-82 degrees, or 94-107 degrees, and the game must be played outside. Now we must check the wind. If it's a day game (before 6 PM local time), the wind must be from the North or East. If it is a night game, the wind must be from the West. No game will fit the criteria it the wind is from the South, NE, SE, NW, or SW. Also we must have a wind 8 mph or more. Little gusts don't count. If not, disregard the game. Now check the moon phase. In order for the game to pass another filter, we must have a new or full moon. Last but not least, check yesterdays scores. First we must have played the same opponent yesterday. No day offs here. Our team must have lost yesterday, scoring 3, 4 or 7 runs; or won yesterday's game scoring 2 or 5 runs. In addition, in either case, our team must have gotten 6, 10 or 11 hits, LOB 8 or fewer base runners, and committed 1 error. And our pitcher if Black or White must have given up 1 home run in his last start; or if he is Oriental or from the Caribbean zero home runs in his last start.
                                          There you have it 1644 wins and only 2 (TWO), count em 2 losses, in the last 5 years. Give it a try, you'll like it. Guaranteed to win, just like skyscraper and DarkKnight's winning chases, and back tested also.
                                          Comment
                                          • skyscrapers
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-02-11
                                            • 6168

                                            #56
                                            MIA is going to be a +1.5 RL
                                            Comment
                                            • snark
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 11-12-12
                                              • 311

                                              #57
                                              Goody fuk for you
                                              Comment
                                              • funnyman
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 05-06-10
                                                • 606

                                                #58
                                                Snark,
                                                Don't go away mad;just go away.
                                                Comment
                                                • Plaza23
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 12-29-13
                                                  • 7392

                                                  #59
                                                  Miami won. So chase 1 is a winner.
                                                  Looks like Tampa's going to lose tho.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • skyscrapers
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 05-02-11
                                                    • 6168

                                                    #60
                                                    COMPLETED CHASES (Apr. 01 Tue):

                                                    Chase #2:
                                                    COL @ MIA [+1.5 RL] 1.66 (A) - WON

                                                    Record: (1-0) +1u

                                                    --------------------------------------------------------------
                                                    ACTIVE CHASES:

                                                    Chase #1:
                                                    TOR @ TB [ML] 1.60 (A) Apr. 01 Tue - LOSS (-1.67u)
                                                    TOR @ TB [ML] 1.68 (B) Apr. 02 Wed 4:10p PDT
                                                    TOR @ TB (C) Apr. 03 Thu 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)

                                                    --------------------------------------------------------------
                                                    NEW CHASES (Apr. 02 Wed):
                                                    None
                                                    Comment
                                                    • aznknightt
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 09-22-09
                                                      • 347

                                                      #61
                                                      Hey Skyscraper, do you have a breakdown of how many games won in Bet A, how many in Bet B, and C for each year?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • skyscrapers
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 05-02-11
                                                        • 6168

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by aznknightt
                                                        Hey Skyscraper, do you have a breakdown of how many games won in Bet A, how many in Bet B, and C for each year?
                                                        No I didn't keep track of that. Honestly I don't think it's too relevant.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • aznknightt
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 09-22-09
                                                          • 347

                                                          #63
                                                          You should backtest 2009. I did 4 random teams and all 4 had one series lost... Bad year?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • snark
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 11-12-12
                                                            • 311

                                                            #64
                                                            This idiot hasn't backtested but for 2 1/2 years, and thinks that he has found the answer to being a winner. All of these sheep will learn by July, if it even takes that long, to go broke. Dumbass & his band of wannabes. Just wait until these guys are laying 12 units to win 1 unit on the "C" bet, they'll be shitting bricks. And sky doesn't think that the number of "A" & "B" bets are relevant, what a stupid fuker. I think that must be DarkKnight's brother, and the lack of brains must run in the family.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TakingVegasMoney
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-20-14
                                                              • 1014

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by skyscrapers
                                                              COMPLETED CHASES (Apr. 01 Tue):

                                                              Chase #2:
                                                              COL @ MIA [+1.5 RL] 1.66 (A) - WON

                                                              Record: (1-0) +1u

                                                              --------------------------------------------------------------
                                                              ACTIVE CHASES:

                                                              Chase #1:
                                                              TOR @ TB [ML] 1.60 (A) Apr. 01 Tue - LOSS (-1.67u)
                                                              TOR @ TB [ML] (B) Apr. 02 Wed 4:10p PDT
                                                              TOR @ TB (C) Apr. 03 Thu 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)

                                                              --------------------------------------------------------------
                                                              NEW CHASES (Apr. 02 Wed):
                                                              None
                                                              So tonight's ML play should be 3.38 units to win 2? Just trying to get my head completely around this?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • snark
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 11-12-12
                                                                • 311

                                                                #66
                                                                You are always trying to win 1 (ONE) unit per chase.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TakingVegasMoney
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-20-14
                                                                  • 1014

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by snark
                                                                  You are always trying to win 1 (ONE) unit per chase.
                                                                  Yeah so you would technically double your wager on a B bet.. Then triple on the C if it got to it..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • skyscrapers
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 05-02-11
                                                                    • 6168

                                                                    #68
                                                                    We would be wagering to win 2.67u tonight. (1.67u we lost yesterday plus 1 unit.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TakingVegasMoney
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-20-14
                                                                      • 1014

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by skyscrapers
                                                                      We would be wagering to win 2.67u tonight. (1.67u we lost yesterday plus 1 unit.
                                                                      Okay got it. Thanks
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • skyscrapers
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 05-02-11
                                                                        • 6168

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by aznknightt
                                                                        You should backtest 2009. I did 4 random teams and all 4 had one series lost... Bad year?
                                                                        I would say that's pretty average. The 3 season backtest show every season had 18 teams with at least 1 series lost.
                                                                        Comment
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