MLB - Situation Plays - SDQL

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  • emceeaye
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-20-13
    • 704

    #2591
    Originally posted by JMon
    A person almost feels lost not having to cap MLB . I miss it already
    Definitely...I think that somehow, the daily regularity of it was comforting, and getting to do informed volume betting on a daily basis is gratifying...
    Comment
    • JMon
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-11-09
      • 9800

      #2592
      Originally posted by mdunlap3
      Really gonna miss this thread here also..I learned so much from guys like vaile,nash,bases,jmon,etc...all the information you guys have provided me really is invaluable to me. Thank you. Really hope you all are down for some hoops this year tho eh?


      NBA for sure, like last year. So many contributers in that thread.
      Comment
      • JMon
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-11-09
        • 9800

        #2593
        Originally posted by emceeaye
        Definitely...I think that somehow, the daily regularity of it was comforting, and getting to do informed volume betting on a daily basis is gratifying...
        for sure...all gambler's have one thing in common and it's the need for action
        Comment
        • nash13
          SBR MVP
          • 01-21-14
          • 1122

          #2594
          the good thing about mlb was, that the queries were very specific. in nfl or nba, it is much harder to figure out patterns. mlb seem to be the best sport to track sdql.
          Comment
          • JMon
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-11-09
            • 9800

            #2595
            Originally posted by nash13
            the good thing about mlb was, that the queries were very specific. in nfl or nba, it is much harder to figure out patterns. mlb seem to be the best sport to track sdql.
            It is, by far. MLB is trendy to say the least.
            Comment
            • emceeaye
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 08-20-13
              • 704

              #2596
              Originally posted by JMon
              It is, by far. MLB is trendy to say the least.
              I agree, and the fact that there are so many games a season makes the sample sizes for the queries large enough to effectively evaluate the directionality of results within a season and therefore make more informed decisions about whether to accept or reject what a query is telling you to do.
              Comment
              • emceeaye
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 08-20-13
                • 704

                #2597
                Dodgers/Cards under

                Bases query I think:

                total <= 7 and playoffs=0 and conference = NL and (p:runs + po:runs) <= 2 and 2011 <= season and o:team != Rockies and o:team != Brewers and o:team != Cubs and o:team != Pirates and o:team != Marlins and team != Mets and team != Brewers and team != Marlins
                Comment
                • JMon
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-11-09
                  • 9800

                  #2598
                  Play




                  SDQL

                  H and line>=-120 and line<=115 and Sum(hits@team and season)/Sum(at bats@team and season)<=.265 and t:conference=AL and 9 * oS(o:earned runs - starter earned runs) / oS(9 - starter innings pitched)<=3.75 and sA(SWHIP @starter and season, N=5)<=1.00
                  Comment
                  • mdunlap3
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-18-13
                    • 1847

                    #2599
                    Nashy - Be sure to send me that PM if you ever get your rankings system up....anyone happen to catch Dr. M's super sick NFL over/under query that hasn't lost since 1994 ...un real
                    Comment
                    • JMon
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 12-11-09
                      • 9800

                      #2600
                      Originally posted by mdunlap3
                      Nashy - Be sure to send me that PM if you ever get your rankings system up....anyone happen to catch Dr. M's super sick NFL over/under query that hasn't lost since 1994 ...un real
                      what's it pointing too? If you don't mind why don't you post Dr. M's queries and track them in the NFL thread. Thought Alex was going to do it, but he may be too busy.
                      Comment
                      • emceeaye
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 08-20-13
                        • 704

                        #2601
                        Originally posted by mdunlap3
                        Nashy - Be sure to send me that PM if you ever get your rankings system up....anyone happen to catch Dr. M's super sick NFL over/under query that hasn't lost since 1994 ...un real
                        I couldn't find it on the website where it is normally.
                        Comment
                        • Alex Vaile
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-19-14
                          • 3724

                          #2602
                          Originally posted by JMon
                          what's it pointing too? If you don't mind why don't you post Dr. M's queries and track them in the NFL thread. Thought Alex was going to do it, but he may be too busy.
                          Hey guys. Sorry I've been busy got some sh t going on. Dr M. Been on fire in NFL. He had over last nite and over in atl and miami games on Sunday. He also had the over in last week's Thursday game. I'll try to get back into posting in the NFL thread. Good luck
                          Comment
                          • Alex Vaile
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-19-14
                            • 3724

                            #2603
                            The Atl over and Miami over were part of his system that is perfect now 29 and 0 since 1994.
                            Comment
                            • emceeaye
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 08-20-13
                              • 704

                              #2604
                              Originally posted by Alex Vaile
                              The Atl over and Miami over were part of his system that is perfect now 29 and 0 since 1994.
                              Dr. M' query pointing to jaguars/steelers over this Sunday:

                              week<=5 and H and line>1 and p:dps<0 and pp:dps<0 and p:line>5 and p:INT + pp:INT>=2 and season>=1994
                              Comment
                              • nash13
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-21-14
                                • 1122

                                #2605
                                i finished my research on the rating of sdql. if anyone is interested shoot me a pm.
                                Comment
                                • bobby29
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 07-09-09
                                  • 71

                                  #2606
                                  Guys who is Dr. M? Is he on this site?
                                  thanks
                                  Comment
                                  • JMon
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 12-11-09
                                    • 9800

                                    #2607
                                    Originally posted by JMon
                                    Play




                                    SDQL

                                    H and line>=-120 and line<=115 and Sum(hits@team and season)/Sum(at bats@team and season)<=.265 and t:conference=AL and 9 * oS(o:earned runs - starter earned runs) / oS(9 - starter innings pitched)<=3.75 and sA(SWHIP @starter and season, N=5)<=1.00
                                    WOW, what a win fellas
                                    Comment
                                    • emceeaye
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 08-20-13
                                      • 704

                                      #2608
                                      I
                                      Originally posted by JMon
                                      WOW, what a win fellas
                                      Nail-biter for sure but glad it came through for us! That's the power of SDQL for you.
                                      Comment
                                      • Alex Vaile
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-19-14
                                        • 3724

                                        #2609
                                        Originally posted by JMon
                                        WOW, what a win fellas
                                        Beauty. Thanks for posting!
                                        Comment
                                        • Alex Vaile
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-19-14
                                          • 3724

                                          #2610
                                          Rams Eagles over for Dr.M 21 and.0 system

                                          team=Eagles and p and points <23 and date >= 20051201
                                          Comment
                                          • KeepItCummin
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 01-20-14
                                            • 158

                                            #2611
                                            Hey there Alex, new to this thread. Just want to say thanks for posting dr m, not sure who that is n prob should keep my mouth shut bout it. How often do u get dr.m plays? N his system is 21-0 this season so far? And is it just nfl picks that he does? Thanks again!
                                            Comment
                                            • JMon
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 12-11-09
                                              • 9800

                                              #2612
                                              Originally posted by Alex Vaile
                                              Rams Eagles over for Dr.M 21 and.0 system

                                              team=Eagles and p and points <23 and date >= 20051201
                                              hey alex post this over in the NFL thread bud
                                              Comment
                                              • Alex Vaile
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-19-14
                                                • 3724

                                                #2613
                                                Originally posted by JMon
                                                hey alex post this over in the NFL thread bud
                                                Ok cool I did.
                                                Comment
                                                • Alex Vaile
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-19-14
                                                  • 3724

                                                  #2614
                                                  Originally posted by KeepItCummin
                                                  Hey there Alex, new to this thread. Just want to say thanks for posting dr m, not sure who that is n prob should keep my mouth shut bout it. How often do u get dr.m plays? N his system is 21-0 this season so far? And is it just nfl picks that he does? Thanks again!
                                                  He is an SDQL master and puts out his plays for free sometimes. He is apart of the people that run the sdql database. He did baseball all season but now it's just football. But he's been hot
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Alex Vaile
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-19-14
                                                    • 3724

                                                    #2615
                                                    Anyone have any queries for tonite?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JMon
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-11-09
                                                      • 9800

                                                      #2616
                                                      Originally posted by Alex Vaile
                                                      Anyone have any queries for tonite?
                                                      none for tonight, but I am working on one for tomorrow.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • KeepItCummin
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 01-20-14
                                                        • 158

                                                        #2617
                                                        Thanks Alex, I have been reading the sdql manual n was trying to educate myself so I won't ask dumb repetitive questions.. Thanks for the info.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JMon
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 12-11-09
                                                          • 9800

                                                          #2618
                                                          Originally posted by Alex Vaile
                                                          He is an SDQL master and puts out his plays for free sometimes. He is apart of the people that run the sdql database. He did baseball all season but now it's just football. But he's been hot
                                                          Been around SDQL for years now...Dr. M is Ed Meyers. Him and his bother Joe both have doctorates in physics (I believe) and both developed SDQL, more so on the Joe side (who runs and updates the SD database). KS database is ran and updated by ED et al. and recently has a their own server now...hence recent hiccups. Note one can purchase their own DB as a price, but keep in mind it would need updated daily. Much a job given all the parameters. So yes, one should give props to those two for developing and providing a free service.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JMon
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 12-11-09
                                                            • 9800

                                                            #2619
                                                            Play




                                                            SDQL ( like to point out a playoff game within this situation, by using playoffs=1)

                                                            (s:SPT + ss:SPT) > 222 and s:SPT > 96 and ss:SPT < 132 and 58 < sss:SPT < 123 and s:SHA < 8 and s:SRA < 6 and ss:SRA < 7 and sss:SRA < 6 and ss:SHA > 3 and 7 > s:SWA > 0 and ss:SWA < 6 and sss:SWA < 4 and starter rest < 9 and s:starter rest < 8 and s:SSO > 3 and 12 > ss:SSO > 2 and total < 11 and p:hits < 16 and 19 > pp:hits > 3 and 1 < ppp:hits < 22 and streak < 6 and ou streak > -5 and game number > 30 and 8 > os:SRA > 0 and 14 > o:starter rest > 4 and 23 > os:starter rest > 3 and 24.5 > (s:SIP + ss:SIP + sss:SIP) > 16 and (os:SIP + oss:SIP + osss:SIP) > 11.35 and o:streak < 5 and oA(hits, N=10) < 11 and tA(doubles, N=10) < 2.9 and tA(BPRA, N=10) < 2.5 and oA(BPRA, N=10) > .4

                                                            And another playoff specific situation. Very good on the fade last year going 1-7, yet Mad Max went 1-1...so note that.

                                                            SDQL

                                                            (s:SRA + ss:SRA) = 3 and A and playoffs = 1 and season>2009 and os:SRA!=0

                                                            I should have posted this earlier but didn't think the line would fall this much. Some value still left...imo..

                                                            play at your own risk... I will track my playoffs..... currently at 1-0 +1.00
                                                            Comment
                                                            • nash13
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-21-14
                                                              • 1122

                                                              #2620
                                                              Can anyone query this?
                                                              Look at last 10 games of MLB teams, add up the total runs that each team has gone Over (add 1) and Under (subtract 1) the game book line total, and play OVER on games where the total of both teams totals are 40 runs over the book lines, and each team is at least at +10 over the book lines.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • emceeaye
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 08-20-13
                                                                • 704

                                                                #2621
                                                                Originally posted by nash13
                                                                Can anyone query this?
                                                                Look at last 10 games of MLB teams, add up the total runs that each team has gone Over (add 1) and Under (subtract 1) the game book line total, and play OVER on games where the total of both teams totals are 40 runs over the book lines, and each team is at least at +10 over the book lines.
                                                                Can you explain this a bit more clearly?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • nash13
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-21-14
                                                                  • 1122

                                                                  #2622
                                                                  Originally posted by emceeaye
                                                                  Can you explain this a bit more clearly?
                                                                  Let's take a random game from this season:
                                                                  Jul 01 Yankees@Twins
                                                                  We have to look at the 10 games prior to that one for each team and sum up the runs it has gone over or under m comparison to the total line of each game

                                                                  First we take the Yankees.

                                                                  season = 2013 and team = Yankees

                                                                  Jun 30 Yankkes@Orioles 2-4 --> 6 runs <--> 8.5 total line (Ou margin:-2.5)
                                                                  Jun 29 Ou margin: 5
                                                                  Jun 28 -1.5
                                                                  Jun 27 -6.5
                                                                  Jun 26 4
                                                                  Jun 25 -0.5
                                                                  Jun 23 -5
                                                                  Jun 22 4
                                                                  Jun 21 -1
                                                                  Jun 20 3
                                                                  Sum iof that 10 games before: 1.5
                                                                  Same must be calculated for the opponent.
                                                                  If each team has a sum of 10 or greater AND both together are greater than 40. we take over.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • nash13
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-21-14
                                                                    • 1122

                                                                    #2623
                                                                    may that be the right one? tS(ou margin,N=10) > 10 and otS(ou margin,N=10) > 10 and (tS(ou margin,N=10) + otS(ou margin,N=10)) >40
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Alex Vaile
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-19-14
                                                                      • 3724

                                                                      #2624
                                                                      Originally posted by KeepItCummin
                                                                      Thanks Alex, I have been reading the sdql manual n was trying to educate myself so I won't ask dumb repetitive questions.. Thanks for the info.
                                                                      No problem bud. Anything to help. I'm not the most skilled in SDQL really. For me baseball seems easiest to pick up but time will tell. JMon is this thread master here.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Alex Vaile
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 04-19-14
                                                                        • 3724

                                                                        #2625
                                                                        Originally posted by JMon
                                                                        none for tonight, but I am working on one for tomorrow.
                                                                        Cool I'm on it with u. Good luck
                                                                        Comment
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