MLB - Situation Plays - SDQL

[JMon]

Play Clev un

SDQL by bases

tA(BPRA) < 1.35 and (SG = 2 or SG = 3) and SGS = 3 and -8 < (ou streak + ou streak) < 6 and op:HR < 4 and 12 > s:SHA > 2 and s:SSO < 8 and s:SHRA = 0 and 123 > s:SPT > 83 and ss:SHRA < 2 and 2 < ss:SHA < 11 and 8 > os:SRA > 0 and ((site = home and conference = NL and o:conference = NL) or (site = home and conference = AL and o:conference = AL) or (site = away and conference = AL and o:conference = AL)) and os:SHRA < 3 and os:SHA > 4 and os:SWA < 4 and s:SWA < 5 and os:SPT < 118 and oss:SHRA != 2 and s:SIP > 4.5 and os:SSO < 10 and p:BPRA < 6 and op:BPRA < 5 and oA(hits,N=10) < 10.9 and team=Indians

[emceeaye]

As su again today

Jmon query I think:

playoffs==0 and conference==NL and o:conference==AL and (site=='away' and -105 < line) and line > 154

[mdunlap3]

hyahya - how do you interpret that man?

[hyahya]

hyahya - how do you interpret that man?

First number is the query ROI, second number is the sample amount followed by the play itself. I run queries every morning and figured I'd post the info here given how helpful the guys on the thread have been.

[emceeaye]

Braves su

Courtesy of Jmon I believe.

Braves RL and SU

-171 < line < 140 and - 12 < p:margin < -1 and -10 < pp:margin < -2 and op:runs > 7 and H and SGS < 4 and total < 11 and p:HR < 2 and op:HR < 4 and pp:runs < 6 and 2 < opp:runs < 12 and streak > -8 and site streak < 7

Check out SG=3 and month=8

Nice!

[JMon]

Courtesy of Jmon I believe.

Braves RL and SU

-171 < line < 140 and - 12 < p:margin < -1 and -10 < pp:margin < -2 and op:runs > 7 and H and SGS < 4 and total < 11 and p:HR < 2 and op:HR < 4 and pp:runs < 6 and 2 < opp:runs < 12 and streak > -8 and site streak < 7

Check out SG=3 and month=8

Nice!

[emceeaye]

I really want to blow the whole wad on this one, but I will control myself

Cheers!!

[labones00]

-141 _)( 456 +--) $450-- <254> opp-hit 56@#

[emceeaye]

Red Sox su

Another courtesy of Jmon:

Red Sox SU

A and -7 < site streak < -4 and SG > 2 and 4 > tS(runs, N=14) - oS(runs, N=14) > -26 and p:margin < 5 and 6 < p:hits < 13 and 3 < pp:hits < 10 and os:SRA < 6 and os:SHA < 8 and os:SHRA < 2 and os:SIP > 4 and o:starter rest < 7

Nice one!

[JMon]

I really want to blow the whole wad on this one, but I will control myself

Cheers!!

Ya, I like them too, but you know as well as I do...money management is key with SDQL!

[JMon]

Another courtesy of Jmon:

Red Sox SU

A and -7 < site streak < -4 and SG > 2 and 4 > tS(runs, N=14) - oS(runs, N=14) > -26 and p:margin < 5 and 6 < p:hits < 13 and 3 < pp:hits < 10 and os:SRA < 6 and os:SHA < 8 and os:SHRA < 2 and os:SIP > 4 and o:starter rest < 7

Nice one!

Nice one! I don't recall that being one of my creations. I like to give credit where credit is due.

I did see this one, but crossed it off for some conflicting reason and I don't want to go through all my queries.. for what it's worth.

[JMon]

-141 _)( 456 +--) $450-- <254> opp-hit 56@#

labones...what is this?????

[JMon]

Play Southsiders

Been riding them in this spot all year and might as well try again. I'll still be up substantially if it loses. They are 5-0 in this dog role this year.

SDQL

H and -3 < streak < 2 and SG < 4 and 165 > line >= 115 and month < 10 and day != Thursday and total > 8 and SG != 2 and team=White Sox

[JMon]

Nice one! I don't recall that being one of my creations. I like to give credit where credit is due.

I did see this one, but crossed it off for some conflicting reason and I don't want to go through all my queries.. for what it's worth.

Here it is, I remembered note spaces in query for posting

AF and pp:LOB=14 and 7< p:LOB<18 and -3< p: margin and line>=-220 and 10> month> 4 and 6< total< 12

[emceeaye]

Here it is, I remembered note spaces in query for posting



AF and pp:LOB=14 and 7< p:LOB<18 and -3< p: margin and line>=-220 and 10> month> 4 and 6< total< 12

Oh wow, yes, thanks! I'm not on this game anymore.

[b1slickguy]

A and total>7 and p:SII>=4 and p:hits>12 and WP<50 and season=2014 and pp:SII<4

Added the last filter to remove back to back occurrences...improve ROI.
Good luck.

[JMon]

A and total>7 and p:SII>=4 and p:hits>12 and WP<50 and season=2014 and pp:SII<4

Added the last filter to remove back to back occurrences...improve ROI.
Good luck.

I'm rolling with you slicker...don't fukk me LOL

[Alex Vaile]

A and total>7 and p:SII>=4 and p:hits>12 and WP<50 and season=2014 and pp:SII<4

Added the last filter to remove back to back occurrences...improve ROI.
Good luck.

Thanks for posting! Looks great!

[Alex Vaile]

Courtesy of Jmon I believe.

Braves RL and SU

-171 < line < 140 and - 12 < p:margin < -1 and -10 < pp:margin < -2 and op:runs > 7 and H and SGS < 4 and total < 11 and p:HR < 2 and op:HR < 4 and pp:runs < 6 and 2 < opp:runs < 12 and streak > -8 and site streak < 7

Check out SG=3 and month=8

Nice!

Looking great Jmon thanks!

[b1slickguy]

I'm rolling with you slicker...don't fukk me LOL

Hope not. LOL
Thanks to all thread contributors for all the mining and harvesting of MLB units.
Let's finish the season strong.

[JMon]

I hear ya slicker, been a good thread.

[Enjoi]

Is that a play on the vancouver whitecaps jmon?

[JMon]

Is that a play on the vancouver whitecaps jmon?

lol, no sir its not

[Enjoi]

lol, no sir its not

Who are these Southsiders you refer to?

[Alex Vaile]

Results of an SDQL I consider to be predicting value bets on Blue Jays and Padres.

SU: 1262-1480 (-0.23, 46.0%) avg line: -108.7 / -103.9 on / against: -$36,848 / +$22,615 ROI: -10.8% / +6.8%

Date Link Day Site Team Starter Opp Starter Final SUm W/L OUm O/U Hits Errors BL Line Total Innings
Aug 20, 2014 Wed home Brewers Jimmy Nelson - R Blue Jays RA Dickey - R -140 8.0
Aug 20, 2014 Wed home Dodgers Roberto Hernandez - R Padres Eric Stults - L -145 7.5

Probably have a few run line picks in a few hours.

Awesome plays today staf ur welcome here anytime! Thanks for posting!

[staf]

Awesome plays today staf ur welcome here anytime! Thanks for posting!

4-0 +4.62 yesterday. Toronto RL qualified, Cleveland ML didn't.
Great start, but I have a 54% winning expectation for MLB.
I'm going to do something similar to hyahya and list the prediction with the number of result and ROI at SDB.

Three picks today.

1482-1262 54% +$22,860 ROI +6.9%
Cubs

765-625 55% +$13,145 ROI +7.2% Waiting for SDB to put RL odds in for these, but I don't see them moving out of range (pass if opponents RL odds are +177 or better).
Arizona +1.5
Cincinnati +1.5

[emceeaye]

Bases query on Dodgers/Padres under

Here it is, but I wonder what you think of the fact that it's lost the last 3 and 4 of 5, Jmon?

H and SG = 3 and day != Saturday and p:HR < 3 and op:HR < 2 and 2 < p:hits < 10 and 4 < op:hits < 13 and pp:HR < 4 and opp:HR < 3 and 2 < pp:hits < 13 and 4 < opp:hits < 17 and -3 < ou streak < 4 and -6.5 < pu margin < 3.5 and pp:SG != 2 and 4 > ppp:SG > 1 and opp:SG < 4 and 3 < ppp:hits < 19 and 1 < oppp:hits < 16 and p:runs + op:runs < 11 and tA(HR, N=10) < 1.9 and oA(HR, N=10) < 1.6 and 1 < os:SRA < 7 and os:SHA > 2 and os:SHRA < 2 and 35 > os:SHF > 16 and os:SPT < 110

[Alex Vaile]

3 -1-1 yesterday on unders for +2 units
90 and 74 overall
+ 9.95 units

[Alex Vaile]

3 under plays: ( Bases )

Under 8 -130 Astros vs Yanks
Under 6.5 -115 Tigers vs Rays
Under 5.5 - 110 Padres vs Dodgers gonna wait and see if it goes to 6.


season > 2008 and H and 10 > month > 5 and SG < 4 and 5 > streak > -5 and 1 > tA(HR) > .7 and s:SRA < 6 and p:hits < 11 and 16 > op:hits > 4 and sss:SRA < 4 and rest = 0 and p:home runs < 2 and os:SSO < 11 and oss:SSO < 10 and os:SHA < 11 and 2 < oss:SHA < 11 and p:IT < 6 and p:LOB < 21 and s:SPT < 122 and ss:SPT < 119 and team != Rockies and team != Athletics and o:team != Blue Jays and (p:errors + pp:errors + ppp:errors + pppp:errors + ppppp:errors + pppppp:errors) < 10 and (op:errors + opp:errors + oppp:errors + opppp:errors + oppppp:errors + opppppp:errors) < 8 and (p:temperature < 91 or p:temperature = Indoors)

[emceeaye]

winner again!!
its active again today with three picks including Nats, Cardinals and brewers straight up

tA(W, N=10)>A(W, N=10)+.15 and tS(W, N=4)>S(W, N=4) and season>2012 and month=8 and o:site streak<=-4

This went 2-1 yesterday...I'll take it

Its active again today on Nats su

[Alex Vaile]

Here it is, but I wonder what you think of the fact that it's lost the last 3 and 4 of 5, Jmon?

H and SG = 3 and day != Saturday and p:HR < 3 and op:HR < 2 and 2 < p:hits < 10 and 4 < op:hits < 13 and pp:HR < 4 and opp:HR < 3 and 2 < pp:hits < 13 and 4 < opp:hits < 17 and -3 < ou streak < 4 and -6.5 < pu margin < 3.5 and pp:SG != 2 and 4 > ppp:SG > 1 and opp:SG < 4 and 3 < ppp:hits < 19 and 1 < oppp:hits < 16 and p:runs + op:runs < 11 and tA(HR, N=10) < 1.9 and oA(HR, N=10) < 1.6 and 1 < os:SRA < 7 and os:SHA > 2 and os:SHRA < 2 and 35 > os:SHF > 16 and os:SPT < 110

The Bases under query I play everyday supports this under as well

[BeanTownClown88]

Yanks/Stros total down to 7.5, I usually get burned here but this looks like the best play for me to take today.
I'd jump on the Price bandwagon but he's been talking about how phased he is by pitching against the Rays and the bull pen is god awful.

BOL! Thanks for posting query

[staf]

1482-1262 54% +$22,860 ROI +6.9%
Chicago Cubs

765-625 55% +$13,145 ROI +7.2% Waiting for SDB to put RL odds in for these, but I don't see them moving out of range (pass if opponents RL odds are +177 or better).
Arizona Diamondbacks+1.5
Cincinnati Reds+1.5

adding

868-793 52.3% +$17,330 ROI +9.1%
San Diego Padres

[Alex Vaile]

adding

868-793 52.3% +$17,330 ROI +9.1%
San Diego Padres

Staf are Cubs and Pads RL plays or ML? Thanks

[staf]

Staf are Cubs and Pads RL plays or ML? Thanks

They're both ML.
I'll list RL plays as -1.5 or +1.5, everything else will be ML.
The query predicting the Cubs has a 6.9% ROI on the ML but only 4.6% on the RL.
Padres is 9.1% ML and 3.3% RL.