MLB - Situation Plays - SDQL

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  • JMon
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-11-09
    • 9800

    #1891
    Originally posted by emceeaye
    Me either but it might help to narrow down the best picks, right? How bout small amount on a parlay of 3-5?
    Who would you go with?

    Mets under, dodgers su, Detroit su,white Sox SU?

    Or

    Toronto under, mets under, Dodgers SU, tigers SU, tigers under....
    Going to pass on the parlay.. they are just not wise in the long run, as to why they are offered. Just my normal 5% flat bet of my roll, gl guys
    Comment
    • emceeaye
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 08-20-13
      • 704

      #1892
      Originally posted by JMon
      Going to pass on the parlay.. they are just not wise in the long run, as to why they are offered. Just my normal 5% flat bet of my roll, gl guys
      OK, nice wise move. I scratched Detroit and Mia from the card

      I need dodgers and braves to come through

      GL
      Comment
      • JMon
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-11-09
        • 9800

        #1893
        I'm still rolling with both det and Mia..root me in, didn't want to do buy back
        Comment
        • emceeaye
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 08-20-13
          • 704

          #1894
          Originally posted by JMon
          I'm still rolling with both det and Mia..root me in, didn't want to do buy back
          GL let's get ours!!
          Comment
          • Alex Vaile
            SBR MVP
            • 04-19-14
            • 3724

            #1895
            Originally posted by JMon
            nice hyahya...eliminates Mia
            Nice winner
            Comment
            • Alex Vaile
              SBR MVP
              • 04-19-14
              • 3724

              #1896
              Boston curse coming Through late!!
              Comment
              • b1slickguy
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-24-11
                • 11959

                #1897
                Originally posted by Alex Vaile
                Boston curse coming Through late!!

                BOS botched a rundown between 3rd and home in the 8th to allow HOU to tie the game.
                The rest is history. The curse lives on.
                Good luck.
                Comment
                • Alex Vaile
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-19-14
                  • 3724

                  #1898
                  I need the Dodgers to win to hit a 5 teamer

                  Bet $20.00 to Win $365.91
                  Bet ID: 445082040
                  Pending
                  Parlay (5 Teams)
                  Fri, Aug 15, 2014 4:38 PMHouston Astros D KEUCHEL 5 @ Boston Red Sox C BUCHHOLZ 3
                  Fri, Aug 15, 2014 7:15 PM
                  Houston Astros (MoneyLine)
                  +134
                  Pitchers: Listed
                  Milwaukee Brewers J NELSON 0 @ Los Angeles Dodgers Z GREINKE 1
                  Fri, Aug 15, 2014 10:15 PM
                  Los Angeles Dodgers (MoneyLine)
                  -172
                  Pitchers: Listed
                  New York Yankees B MCCARTHY 0 @ Tampa Bay Rays A COBB 5
                  Fri, Aug 15, 2014 7:15 PM
                  Tampa Bay Rays (MoneyLine)
                  -131
                  Pitchers: Listed
                  Oakland Athletics J HAMMEL 2 @ Atlanta Braves A WOOD 7
                  Fri, Aug 15, 2014 7:40 PM
                  Atlanta Braves (MoneyLine)
                  -124
                  Pitchers: Listed
                  Pittsburgh Pirates C MORTON 4 @ Washington Nationals T ROARK 5
                  Fri, Aug 15, 2014 7:10 PM
                  Washington Nationals (MoneyLine)
                  -157
                  Pitchers: Listed
                  Comment
                  • Alex Vaile
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-19-14
                    • 3724

                    #1899
                    Wow I hate relievers man. 5 runs in the inning after cruising all game. F that. So much for parlay. And like I said yesterday these guys are just terrible.
                    Comment
                    • posey
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-23-14
                      • 1112

                      #1900
                      WP > 50 and -7 < streak < -3 and 9 > month > 6 and 150 > line > 100 and 1 < o:streak < 5
                      Comment
                      • posey
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-23-14
                        • 1112

                        #1901
                        team = Rockies and H and season > 2010 and pu margin < -3 and SG > 1
                        Comment
                        • JMon
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 12-11-09
                          • 9800

                          #1902
                          Originally posted by b1slickguy
                          BOS botched a rundown between 3rd and home in the 8th to allow HOU to tie the game.
                          The rest is history. The curse lives on.
                          Good luck.
                          unreal, lol
                          Comment
                          • emceeaye
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 08-20-13
                            • 704

                            #1903
                            Originally posted by Alex Vaile
                            Wow I hate relievers man. 5 runs in the inning after cruising all game. F that. So much for parlay. And like I said yesterday these guys are just terrible.
                            good Dodger relievers other than Jansen are hard to come by. Need better setup guys than League and Wright.
                            Comment
                            • Alex Vaile
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-19-14
                              • 3724

                              #1904
                              1 and 4 yesterday for -3.86 units
                              81 and 68 overall
                              +7.45 units
                              Comment
                              • JMon
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-11-09
                                • 9800

                                #1905
                                Play CHW

                                Fade a winning team of a big loss.

                                SDQL:

                                55>=WP>=50 and p:margin<=-5 and A and 2006<=season and 155>line>=-200

                                Play a AL home dog off a game where they put up 10-13 runs, a solid 66% dog spot and going 18-6 on Saturdays

                                SDQL:

                                9< p:runs < 14 and H and conference=AL and 105<=line<=155 and SG<4 and month!=9 and day!=Wednesday
                                Comment
                                • JMon
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-11-09
                                  • 9800

                                  #1906
                                  Originally posted by Alex Vaile
                                  1 and 4 yesterday for -3.86 units
                                  81 and 68 overall
                                  +7.45 units
                                  I think a lot of us took it on the chin yesterday...bounce back day for sure.
                                  Comment
                                  • emceeaye
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 08-20-13
                                    • 704

                                    #1907
                                    Nats, Braves, and Indiants supported by this query

                                    SG = 2 and H and p:margin < 10 and p:W and -4 < pp:margin < 4 and -4 < ppp:margin < 5 and month != 9 and (day = Wednesday or day = Tuesday or day = Saturday) and p:hits > 4 and pp:hits > 4 and ppp:hits < 13 and (p:hits - op:hits) > -3 and game number > 28 and 70 < s:SPT < 115 and 69 < os:SPT < 114 and starter rest < 25 and (pp:hits - ppo:hits) < 7 and (opp:hits - oppo:hits) < 10 and (WP - o:WP) > -14.9 and .8 < oA(doubles, N=10) < 2.6 and (s:SRA + ss:SRA) < 13 and oA(hits + walks, N=10) > 9 and tA(hits + walks, N=10) > 9.8
                                    Comment
                                    • Alex Vaile
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-19-14
                                      • 3724

                                      #1908
                                      First 4 posted plays: (Bases)

                                      Under 7 - 110 Arizona vs Miami (roof also)
                                      Under 9 - 105 Houston vs Red Sox
                                      Under 7.5 -105 Royals vs Twins
                                      Under 6 -125 Brewers vs Dodgers (bastards)

                                      season > 2008 and H and 10 > month > 5 and SG < 4 and 5 > streak > -5 and 1 > tA(HR) > .7 and s:SRA < 6 and p:hits < 11 and 16 > op:hits > 4 and sss:SRA < 4 and rest = 0 and p:home runs < 2 and os:SSO < 11 and oss:SSO < 10 and os:SHA < 11 and 2 < oss:SHA < 11 and p:IT < 6 and p:LOB < 21 and s:SPT < 122 and ss:SPT < 119 and team != Rockies and team != Athletics and o:team != Blue Jays and (p:errors + pp:errors + ppp:errors + pppp:errors + ppppp:errors + pppppp:errors) < 10 and (op:errors + opp:errors + oppp:errors + opppp:errors + oppppp:errors + opppppp:errors) < 8 and (p:temperature < 91 or p:temperature = Indoors)
                                      Comment
                                      • Alex Vaile
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-19-14
                                        • 3724

                                        #1909
                                        Originally posted by JMon
                                        I think a lot of us took it on the chin yesterday...bounce back day for sure.
                                        Yes indeed. I had a great day until Dodgers. I actually hit 4 first half over bets in NFL and Raiders pulled of SU win at last second to salvage the day. That parlay stung though. Heres to a better day!
                                        Comment
                                        • Alex Vaile
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-19-14
                                          • 3724

                                          #1910
                                          Originally posted by emceeaye
                                          good Dodger relievers other than Jansen are hard to come by. Need better setup guys than League and Wright.
                                          Wright should not be pitching anymore! League got 1 out then they should have brought in a leftie for Overbay. The managers need to be more involved and accountable I think.
                                          Comment
                                          • Alex Vaile
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-19-14
                                            • 3724

                                            #1911
                                            Fifth and Sixth plays: ( Dr.M )

                                            Play Houston + 153
                                            Houston RL -130
                                            team=Astros and p:W and D and po:SRA<po:BPRA and season=2014


                                            8 and 0 in this spot this season.
                                            Last edited by Alex Vaile; 08-16-14, 12:10 PM.
                                            Comment
                                            • emceeaye
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 08-20-13
                                              • 704

                                              #1912
                                              Originally posted by Alex Vaile
                                              Wright should not be pitching anymore! League got 1 out then they should have brought in a leftie for Overbay. The managers need to be more involved and accountable I think.
                                              I agree, plues overbay doing extremely unusually well lately, but by the time overbay came up Dodgers already down 5-3 or 4-3 anyway.
                                              Last edited by emceeaye; 08-16-14, 11:38 AM.
                                              Comment
                                              • emceeaye
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 08-20-13
                                                • 704

                                                #1913
                                                Originally posted by Alex Vaile
                                                Fifth and Sixth plays: ( Dr.M )

                                                Play Houston + 153
                                                Houston RL -130
                                                team=Astros and p:W and D and po:SRA<po:BPRA and season=2014
                                                8 and 0 in this spot this season.
                                                Thanks Alex
                                                Do you have the full query by any chance?
                                                Last edited by emceeaye; 08-16-14, 11:39 AM.
                                                Comment
                                                • hyahya
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 03-08-14
                                                  • 165

                                                  #1914
                                                  Here are the results of all the queries I ran for today. Top two numbers are the ROI and the number of samples of the query followed by the active play:

                                                  27 170
                                                  chisox


                                                  30 210
                                                  pirates


                                                  21 380
                                                  pirates


                                                  33 410
                                                  under brew
                                                  under phils
                                                  under astros


                                                  33 570
                                                  braves
                                                  chisox


                                                  30 490
                                                  royals


                                                  31 500
                                                  under brew
                                                  under dbacks
                                                  under royals
                                                  under astrros


                                                  29 400
                                                  under chisox
                                                  under rangers


                                                  21 900
                                                  under pirates
                                                  under royals


                                                  43 120
                                                  chisox


                                                  29 225
                                                  yanks


                                                  34 180
                                                  rockies


                                                  30 260
                                                  under dbacks


                                                  36 100
                                                  under yanks


                                                  28 400
                                                  braves
                                                  indians
                                                  nats


                                                  32 340
                                                  A's


                                                  17 350
                                                  bosox


                                                  55 100
                                                  padres


                                                  41 210
                                                  padres


                                                  29 600
                                                  chisox
                                                  bosox


                                                  33 350
                                                  braves


                                                  46 140
                                                  astros


                                                  53 1100
                                                  indians


                                                  8.4 1400
                                                  dbacks
                                                  cubs
                                                  pirates
                                                  rangers
                                                  yanks
                                                  reds
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Alex Vaile
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-19-14
                                                    • 3724

                                                    #1915
                                                    Originally posted by emceeaye
                                                    I agree, plues overbay doing extremely unusually well lately, but by the time overbay came up Dodgers already down 5-3 or 4-3 anyway.
                                                    No it was tied 2 to 2 with bases loaded and 2 outs when Overbay came up.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Alex Vaile
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-19-14
                                                      • 3724

                                                      #1916
                                                      Originally posted by emceeaye
                                                      Thanks Alex
                                                      Do you have the full query by any chance?
                                                      I adjusted it in earlier post. For some reason it wont post accurately.
                                                      Yes sorry I thought it pasted.
                                                      team=Astros and p:W and D and po:SRA<po:BPRA and season=2014
                                                      Last edited by Alex Vaile; 08-16-14, 12:09 PM.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Alex Vaile
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-19-14
                                                        • 3724

                                                        #1917
                                                        And po:BPRA and season=2014.
                                                        It wont let me post it for some reason
                                                        team=Astros and p:W and D and po:SRA<po:BPRA and season=2014
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Alex Vaile
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-19-14
                                                          • 3724

                                                          #1918
                                                          po:SRA<po:BPRA and season=2014
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Alex Vaile
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-19-14
                                                            • 3724

                                                            #1919
                                                            Weird sorry its not letting me post the query
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Alex Vaile
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-19-14
                                                              • 3724

                                                              #1920
                                                              team=Astros and p:W and D and po:SRA<po:BPRA and season=2014
                                                              Comment
                                                              • emceeaye
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 08-20-13
                                                                • 704

                                                                #1921
                                                                Originally posted by Alex Vaile
                                                                No it was tied 2 to 2 with bases loaded and 2 outs when Overbay came up.
                                                                OK, right....but they had already allowed two runs and its probably just luck that the other pinch hitter Weeks didn't score on whichwevervof those crappy relievers was in at the time.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Alex Vaile
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-19-14
                                                                  • 3724

                                                                  #1922
                                                                  This one points to Pads, Houston, and Dbacks with a 19% ROI. (Bases)


                                                                  AD and (SG = 1 or SG = 3) and playoffs = 0 and streak > -4 and -8 < o:streak < 6 and -7 < p:margin < 10 and -10 < op:margin < 9 and p:runs < 13 and op:runs != 0 and p:hits > 1 and 3 < op:hits < 15 and op:doubles < 6 and p:triples < 3 and op:triples < 2 and p:SO > 3 and 2 < op:SO < 17 and 3 < p:ground balls < 21 and 2 < op:ground balls < 24 and p:fly balls < 16 and 2 < op:fly balls < 16 and op:BPRA < 9 and 1.5 < p:SIP < 8.1 and 1.9 < op:SIP < 8.5 and 33 < p:SPT < 116 and 48 < op:SPT < 111 and op:SHF < 34 and 27 < p:batters faced < 46 and 28 < op:batters faced < 57 and p:at bats + p:walks < 48 and op:at bats + op:walks < 46 and 0 < p:TLOB < 12 and 0 < op:TLOB < 13 and (14 > site streak > 5 or -1 > site streak > -12) and (1 < o:site streak < 10 or -11 < o:site streak < -5) and (conference = AL or o:conference = NL) and op:RMAX < 8 and op:inning runs op:R1 < 5 and op:inning runs op:R2 < 4 and op:inning runs op:R3 < 3 and p:errors < 3 and op:errors < 4 and os:SHA < 12 and os:SRA < 7 and 0 < os:SWA < 5 and s:SPT > 83 and starter rest < 12 and s:SIP > 4.9
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Alex Vaile
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-19-14
                                                                    • 3724

                                                                    #1923
                                                                    Originally posted by emceeaye
                                                                    OK, right....but they had already allowed two runs and its probably just luck that the other pinch hitter Weeks didn't score on whichwevervof those crappy relievers was in at the time.
                                                                    I think we're saying the same thing. F those guys. Here's to a great day!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JMon
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-11-09
                                                                      • 9800

                                                                      #1924
                                                                      Originally posted by emceeaye
                                                                      Thanks Alex
                                                                      Do you have the full query by any chance?

                                                                      Alex prob just needs some spaces in his query to post it, but one can just hit "reply with quote" on his post and can view the full query. Just a little trick
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • emceeaye
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 08-20-13
                                                                        • 704

                                                                        #1925
                                                                        Originally posted by Alex Vaile
                                                                        I think we're saying the same thing. F those guys. Here's to a great day!
                                                                        Yeah. Hey, let's kick ass today! I like it when people post queries on here because I'm finding that when you see multiple queries point to same result, it seems to hit more often. So far the ones with at least two diff queries to support it (excluding those with at least one contradictory query) include:
                                                                        indians su
                                                                        Dodgers under
                                                                        Royals under
                                                                        White Sox SU
                                                                        Pirates SU

                                                                        And I'm looking for any valid reason to eliminate from the ever growing list of possible picks today.
                                                                        Comment
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