Neutral's MLB Picks

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  • bald_guy
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-02-12
    • 990

    #281
    Originally posted by neutral
    134-109 [+119.58 units]

    Bal/Ari Under 7.5 [1x]
    Sadly too late for me to put in. (even though I got the message 2 minutes later) Any rate, your unders are nearly always dead on. Good luck and thanks.
    Comment
    • neutral
      SBR MVP
      • 11-29-12
      • 1002

      #282
      Pitt/Stl Under 7 [1.75] [3x]
      Comment
      • neutral
        SBR MVP
        • 11-29-12
        • 1002

        #283
        Mil/Tex under 8.5 [1.90] [3x]
        Comment
        • neutral
          SBR MVP
          • 11-29-12
          • 1002

          #284
          135-111 [+117.83 units]

          Sea/Tex Under 8 [1.90] [5x]

          LAD [1.95] [3x]- Fade the noise, changing managers when playoffs isn't within reach is different from when playoff was plausible.



          NFL
          Took shots on TB +3, KC -1.5 and Minn +3.5
          Comment
          • neutral
            SBR MVP
            • 11-29-12
            • 1002

            #285
            Lean:

            Parlay Det & Under gm2

            Ari 1st 5inns
            Comment
            • ItsMeMrMattE
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-30-10
              • 5294

              #286
              Sea/Tex Under 8 [1.90] [5x]

              i only hit it 4x. but im liking this play alot as well tonight. need it to hit in order to crawl out of a hole i dug this morning.
              Comment
              • neutral
                SBR MVP
                • 11-29-12
                • 1002

                #287
                137-111 [+125.63 units]
                Comment
                • neutral
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-29-12
                  • 1002

                  #288
                  CWS/Minn Under 7 [1.90] [3x]

                  Bonus NFLx Play:

                  Cincy -2.5
                  Comment
                  • neutral
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-29-12
                    • 1002

                    #289
                    Leans:

                    Minn ML - As expect, lots of smart ass disrespecting Albers, yes his Babip is very low but then they forget the second part of the analysis, as long as he continue to maintain his high strike rate [currently stands @ 67% of all his pitches] and not putting runners on base, he is not a play against in his 1st look. I dont mind use of Sabermetrics but it annoys me off when people miss use it to try and sound smart.

                    Tex & the Under: Tex simply not doing their job the plate otherwise is a strong play rather than strong lean but also FH's number @ Texas is also scaring me away from the under because Tex might just explode at the plate & FH pitched against Tex recently & didn't suffer much. I guess a worthwhile strategy could be 2 seperate correlated parlay, Tex & Under and Tex & Over, either way i dont see Seattle winning today.

                    KC ML is worth a pizza money no more, Wade Rubbis/Davis got me off this play, Fister threw some damn right average pitches down the middle of strike zone in his last start, he better not do that today otherwise it is gameover with that KC's BP.

                    Digressing:

                    Price on LAD today shows the nonsense of yesterday, Dodgers really should have been minimum -145 to -150 favorite yesterday instead oddsmaker laid a massive egg

                    Hoping Kuroda and NYY get it done today.
                    Comment
                    • bald_guy
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-02-12
                      • 990

                      #290
                      Originally posted by neutral
                      CWS/Minn Under 7 [1.90] [3x]

                      Bonus NFLx Play:

                      Cincy -2.5
                      Your unders has been rock solid. I was a little surprised on how the score went on the CWS/Minn one. They nearly doubled the line.

                      On the bonus play, how many units do you bet, or recommend betting? Or do you treat this more like a lean with no units?

                      Thanks as always for your hard work capping. My bankroll has been greatly increased following you.
                      Comment
                      • neutral
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-29-12
                        • 1002

                        #291
                        Originally posted by bald_guy
                        Your unders has been rock solid. I was a little surprised on how the score went on the CWS/Minn one. They nearly doubled the line.

                        On the bonus play, how many units do you bet, or recommend betting? Or do you treat this more like a lean with no units?

                        Thanks as always for your hard work capping. My bankroll has been greatly increased following you.
                        NFL pre-season are 1x or 1% play unless stated otherwise. I will put units on them from now on.
                        Comment
                        • neutral
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-29-12
                          • 1002

                          #292
                          137-112 [+122.63 units]

                          Ari ML [2.24 [3%]


                          Mil +1.5 [1.80] [3%]

                          Mil ML [2.43] [3%]


                          NFLx


                          Ind/Nyg Over 40 [2%]
                          Comment
                          • neutral
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-29-12
                            • 1002

                            #293
                            Sea/Tex Under 8 [1.95] [5x]
                            Comment
                            • neutral
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-29-12
                              • 1002

                              #294
                              139-114 [+124.94 units]

                              Boston [1.75] [3%]

                              LAD [1.90] [3%]

                              Tampa [1.75] [3%]

                              NFLx

                              Pitt/Was under 39.5 [3%]
                              Comment
                              • ghost212
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 10-28-11
                                • 142

                                #295
                                What is 3% for you ? Is the same that 3x ? Its 3 units play or what ?
                                Comment
                                • joco
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-24-11
                                  • 3242

                                  #296
                                  3-1 very nice yesterday
                                  Comment
                                  • neutral
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-29-12
                                    • 1002

                                    #297
                                    Originally posted by ghost212
                                    What is 3% for you ? Is the same that 3x ? Its 3 units play or what ?
                                    Correct is 3 units play for me but i sometimes use 3% to remind anyone playing my picks to play 3% of their wagering bankroll rather than say someone who $300 wagering bankroll, uses it on 1 pick & loses. I see so many bad stories bankroll management gone wrong after tailing capper's picks [free & seller's one].


                                    Very simply put, if you can find capper hitting > 55% spread winners in ATS sports [Basketball,Football] or Cappers with + units in ML sports [Hockey, Baseball, Soccer], with good bankroll management, it is impossible not to make profit.

                                    Hope that explains it well.

                                    Originally posted by joco
                                    3-1 very nice yesterday
                                    Thanks
                                    Comment
                                    • neutral
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-29-12
                                      • 1002

                                      #298
                                      141-115 [+126.94 units]

                                      Nyy -1 [1.80] [3%]

                                      Bal ML [1.90] [3%]


                                      Nyy ML gm 2 [1.8] [3%]


                                      ATL -1 [1.75] [3%]
                                      Comment
                                      • bald_guy
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-02-12
                                        • 990

                                        #299
                                        Originally posted by neutral
                                        141-115 [+126.94 units]

                                        Nyy -1 [1.80] [3%]
                                        Was this for the first NYY game or the 2nd? Thanks.
                                        Comment
                                        • neutral
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-29-12
                                          • 1002

                                          #300
                                          Originally posted by bald_guy
                                          Was this for the first NYY game or the 2nd? Thanks.
                                          My bad it was game 1.
                                          Comment
                                          • ghost212
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 10-28-11
                                            • 142

                                            #301
                                            Originally posted by neutral
                                            Correct is 3 units play for me but i sometimes use 3% to remind anyone playing my picks to play 3% of their wagering bankroll rather than say someone who $300 wagering bankroll, uses it on 1 pick & loses. I see so many bad stories bankroll management gone wrong after tailing capper's picks [free & seller's one].


                                            Very simply put, if you can find capper hitting > 55% spread winners in ATS sports [Basketball,Football] or Cappers with + units in ML sports [Hockey, Baseball, Soccer], with good bankroll management, it is impossible not to make profit.

                                            Hope that explains it well.



                                            Thanks
                                            Yep, thx for that, second question: you bet to win 3u or you bet just 3u on the match?
                                            Comment
                                            • BigBoi
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-01-11
                                              • 1084

                                              #302
                                              What you like tonight?
                                              Comment
                                              • neutral
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-29-12
                                                • 1002

                                                #303
                                                Originally posted by ghost212
                                                Yep, thx for that, second question: you bet to win 3u or you bet just 3u on the match?
                                                Wager 3 units, i don't feel the need to keep lay the vig when i have healthy winning percentage especially in ML sports. In football & basketball yes, i lay the vig ["it is to win 3 units"]
                                                Comment
                                                • neutral
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-29-12
                                                  • 1002

                                                  #304
                                                  Originally posted by BigBoi
                                                  What you like tonight?
                                                  Scroll up the page to the earlier play for [night plays just added].
                                                  Comment
                                                  • neutral
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-29-12
                                                    • 1002

                                                    #305
                                                    Leans:

                                                    SF on the RL & ML [I hate this play because of Vogelsong, w/o him i would be unloading here on SF]

                                                    Ari/Cin Under 7.5 [Need more analysis on recent work of Corbin so i will stand back from this play]

                                                    Parlay Det -1.5 with Over 9

                                                    Col ML
                                                    Comment
                                                    • neutral
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-29-12
                                                      • 1002

                                                      #306
                                                      143-117 [+125.74 units]

                                                      Bos -1.5 [2.05] [3x]
                                                      Comment
                                                      • neutral
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-29-12
                                                        • 1002

                                                        #307
                                                        Cubs [1.95] [3x]
                                                        Comment
                                                        • neutral
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-29-12
                                                          • 1002

                                                          #308
                                                          144-118 [+125.89 units]

                                                          Pitt/SF under 7 [1.80] [5x]

                                                          Anyone tailing need to play it quickly before this line dips under 7, BOL to everyone.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • neutral
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-29-12
                                                            • 1002

                                                            #309
                                                            I apologise to everyone who tailed the play yesterday, losing big plays sucks, i have done even more research before today's play. Get back in the good books

                                                            144-119 [+120.89 units]

                                                            Minn/Clev Under 8.5 [2.00] [3x] Price has since moved after i played it to 1.91 across the board

                                                            Nyy/TB under 7 [2.00] [3x] Price has since moved after i played it to 1.91 across the board
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jessetk313
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-12-11
                                                              • 1298

                                                              #310
                                                              On both neutral lets get it!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • bald_guy
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-02-12
                                                                • 990

                                                                #311
                                                                The 5 unit loss is in the past, the near 6 units win is our future. And I think it's going to be bright.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • neutral
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-29-12
                                                                  • 1002

                                                                  #312
                                                                  145-120 [+120.89 units]

                                                                  SF [+2.35] [3%]

                                                                  NFLx

                                                                  Pitt 1.65 [3%]
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jessetk313
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-12-11
                                                                    • 1298

                                                                    #313
                                                                    Sounds good looking forward to seeing what your on today neutral.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bald_guy
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 11-02-12
                                                                      • 990

                                                                      #314
                                                                      Originally posted by jessetk313
                                                                      Sounds good looking forward to seeing what your on today neutral.
                                                                      X 2
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • neutral
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-29-12
                                                                        • 1002

                                                                        #315
                                                                        Strong Lean:

                                                                        Was/KC Under 8.5
                                                                        Nyy/TB Over 7
                                                                        Minn/Clev Over 8.5
                                                                        TB ML
                                                                        LAA/Sea Over 8
                                                                        Comment
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