Detroit (3-11, 1-6) at Minnesota (5-8, 3-5)
Pretty scary to see Minn -8.5 against any teams given their illustrious record in these past years. Part of the reason for such a favorite is to do with the fact that Detroit are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall; 8 of these ATS were covered with nearly double digits cushion on average to go with it.
key important factor that will put Detroit is a bad spot:
-a b2b game, about 3 hours team flight from a cold day Houston to a sub minus Minnesota's winter
-Minnesota have day off; will get some fresh leg
-J.J. Barea, shooting guard Martell Webster and center Brad Miller all took part in practice; J.J. Bareais to be activated, this will add depth to the back court with Rubio/Luke Ridnour. So handling the speed of the PG's explosive attack in the lane or can they stop live dribble in the glass area, it will be a major problem for the Pistons. They cant really use Tayshaun Prince for the defensive purpose as he is more effective guarding forward positions.
Detroit has the worst rebounds in the league 37.4, yesterday's match up against the Rockets which I had discussed in the thread yesterday, and the Rockets came out and dominated the glass as expected. Again Timberwolves's frontline unit: Kevin Love/Milicic and a physical post presence of Nikola Pekovic, is not far off from the Houston's frontline as had projected.
It's true for Minnesota:
Offensive Rebound Rate rank 10th vs Detroit at 12th
Defensive Efficiency rank 9th vs Detroit at 29th
Offensive Efficiency rank 17th vs Detroit at 29th
Again this will be most likely another double digits lost for Detroit.
Take Minnesota -8 (3 unit) a push 93-85 -the guy miss two free-threw -one ring out, damn
Indiana at Sacramento
Sacramento to push the ball and go upper tempo at home, remember Keith Smart, that's right, he coached Golden State last year, need i say more..
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games on the road
Take Over 187.5 Points (2 unit) the pacer score only 8 points in the last qrt