Surprised you are not taking Tex-Mex again today.Kind of a high price.Figured on clay h would be a slight dog to Kavcic not almost +200..
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Not after that match yesterday. He was lucky to win and he's getting pounded today. He's still had a pretty bad year. Yesterday was a good situational play because he had good #s against Lojda - but again I think a better nerve would have nipped him yesterday. Kavcic is a pretty good player in his own right @ this level at least.
Challenger parlay hits. Hajek loses in what looks like a great match, 3rd set breaker to Mayer so worth the ride. Let's get Nestor-Myrnyi to crash the Bryans party now.Comment -
Man, sucks to not have access to the Kendrick line for the 2nd match today.He is on a roll.Watched the first match and his serve is on fire on grass.Comment -
Nice pick on Tursunov.Comment -
Myrnyi-Nestor win the doubles title over the Bryans. Cash that sucka.Comment -
Books are smart man. They know @ Grand Slams you get tons of Joe Public bettors who see names and back them more of less only because they have heard of them. They may have lost a little bit on people who follow doubles and bet on the Nestor team, but I'm quite certain they probably made a profit on the # of people who blindly bet the Bryans.
Doubles really is a pretty decent money maker if you follow it enough and have the patience to bet it. Slams especially are usually a good time to bet doubles. The rest of the year, you have to keep up with the teams and the partner switching, etc. - but it can be profitable just like anything.Comment -
d'oh....for some reason i thought they were playing tomorrow. would've made a bet on mirnyi/nestor as well.Comment -
Sunday - June 10th
ATP French Open: Nadal-Djokovic Under 38 [+100]Comment -
you think nadal will take it in 3 sets?Comment -
Quite possible. Even in four sets, I think it is possible for the under to hit. If you look at the nature of some of their meetings - the sets don't always stay close once the first break of serve comes. At even odds, I like it a lot better than trying the over. I was hoping for better prop selections overall, but nothing great at 5Dimes.Comment -
Well Rafa has done a nice job of blowing the under. Even after dropping the 3rd, all he needed to do was win the 4th in anything besides a tie breaker and it would still push at worst on 38. Too bad he's shitting the bed. Going to be ridiculous if Djokovic pulls off another 0-2 comeback.Comment -
Crap...7am wake up call to resume..Supposed to rain monday as well..Good luck French Organizers..I wish they would start these cham matches earlier than 3pm Local..Comment -
It's really poor organization. Read the weather report and adjust accordingly. You can say whatever about making money, etc. - but they make money off these matches from sponsors regardless. Crowd isn't going to make a difference, if anything you're going to have less on a Monday finish anyhow + these French fukks suck anywho - the turnout for the semi between Nadal-Ferrer was disgraceful.Comment -
They are working on upgrades which will include a retractable roof on Center Court + lights on several courts. Not sure why the F this is going to take so long other than France sucks. 2017 inauguration date. The Wimbledon project for their roof took three years. This one is five plus in France because I'm pretty sure it was approved last year or the year before.Comment -
They've always been the holdouts for whatever the F reason. As soon as Wimbledon decided to do it, they should have done it @ Roland Garros. At the very least these idiots should have had lights on these courts a decade or two ago. Weather is one thing. Darkness shouldn't be a reason for suspending a match during a Grand Slam ever.Comment -
Rediculous with the lights. I have lights at my community courts lol!Comment -
The Aussie Open is the best slam imo. Organization, facilities, almost everything about it blows away all other slams. This last Australian Open was the best slam I've seen in years for viewers and the players. They have the best stadiums in all of tennis.Comment -
EP, DOO DOO Brown on the over vs Kolb...Brown is all serve and no return and its 21.5...Watched his first round match in Halle last year and the court is dam fast.Should be some easy aces for him in this match!!
Like Hasse as well.Youzhny might be shell shocked from the Beatdown still from Ferrer.
Ladies..Like Spears in London..Came thorugh Qualies but a good dog price I think.Comment -
Oh yeah, you going to give us the breakdown on Futures from now on? You are good at that stuff!!Comment -
AEGON Championships [Queens Club]
Andy Murray is the top seed and defending Champion. He has won this two of the last three years. Tsonga comes in as the #2 [Finalist in 2011], Tipsarevic #3 and Simon #4. In the ten year history of this event, the #1 or #2 seed has won the title seven times. Lleyton Hewitt is 32-6 at this event in his career. In the last two tourneys, qualifiers are 4-4 in 1st round matches. Wildcards are 3-5 in 1st round matches - one of the wins being WC v. WC. Seeds have lost three matches in the 1st round in that span. This tournament generally has one surprise semifinalist.
Murray Quarter
Murray has a bye and then gets Mahut or Garcia-Lopez. F.Lopez is the seed in the bottom portion of this bracket. Don't sleep on the Flodonis here. He's got some grass prowess, making the Wimbledon QFs last year. Modest success at this tournament, but a pretty navigatable draw. Kevin Anderson is really the only other recognizable player in this draw and his grass court #s are so-so. Even with the back questions, Murray has to be looked at as the favorite to get to the semis. Lopez should meet him in the quarters assuming his give a shit level is decent. The other plays in this portion of the draw are a who's who of people I wouldn't spend a penny on.
Simon Quarter
Simon sits #4, Andy Roddick comes in #7. This quarter has some intrigue. Gulbis, Malisse & Nalbandian are all floating around here. Simon is decent, but not great on this surface. Roddick would be an interesting watch @ Queens Club, but his season has been shit. This has been a surface that would normally favor Roddick - but the confidence cannot be high. His draw isn't difficult. So if ever there was a chance for him to wake up, perhaps this is it. Still, that seems a dartboard shot at best. Nalbandian is in the same boat. This a good surface for him, but his game is lost right now. The guy to watch IMO is Malisse. He's been solid on grass [43-23] and always seems to come to play on the surface. It could come down to Malisse v. Simon in the 3rd round to decide who wins this quarter. The Bogomolov Fade Train takes an interesting first round stop against Klizan - the Challenger Clay King of 2012. Klizan has just one match of grass court experience, so it will be an interesting one to see. Bogomolov probably will be a dumbtard favorite price-wise. A potential surprise could be Bemelmans. Big serve and he played in Nottingham last week.
Tipsarevic Quarter
Cilic looms on the bottom portion of this quarter. Tipsarevic has some **** issues getting into England, but I think is good to go. He's been a Wimbledon bust, but runs hot at the Grass build-ups with a Finals run in Eastbourne last year and s-Hertogenbosch in 2010. His Queens Club record though is not great. He also could face Tursunov in Round 2. Tursunov running well @ Nottingham this week before losing in the Final. Cilic is decent on grass, but I think a candidate for an upset at some point in his 1st match or two. Most intriguing 1st round match easily is Karlovic v. Hewitt. Both have seen better days, but both have good grass pedigrees. I'd give Hewitt the edge as he looked decent @ the French Open, but just did not have the fitness to go four-five sets. A best of 3 should better suit him and Dr.Ivo has been out of the office for most of 2012. Baghdatis & Lu also float around in this bracket. Lu has been better at Wimbledon than these smaller tourneys. Baggy has a game suited to a faster grass court. Don't be surprised if he knocks out Cilic and makes the QFs.
Tsonga Quarter
Benneteau is the other seed in this bracket. The big question for me is can Tsonga put the Djokovic choke behind him? Honestly even with the mental questions, there is no reason Tsonga shouldn't be in the semis this week. His draw is simple with a wildcard first-up and just nothing dangerous. Benneteau showed great resilience to come back from injury to play @ the French Open. Benny has been okay on grass, so is his body holds up, he could win a couple. Querrey and Istomin float. Their serves alone make them dangerous. Querrey v. O.Rochus should be a good 1st rounder.
1st Round Upset Watch
Kunitsyn over Lu
Klizan over Bogomolov, Jr.
Bolelli over Gulbis
Semifinalists: Murray, Malisse, Tipsarevic, Tsonga
Championship: Murray over Tipsarevic
Futures Options
Tipsarevic +700
Tsonga +240
Malisse +7500
I think taking both Tipsarevic & Tsonga should give you a finalist. I find it very difficult to see one of those two not being in the final. Murray @ +120 is a bit short to me given his back issues. If healthy, he should/can win this - but that's not a given.
Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 06-10-12, 10:44 PM.Comment -
Great analysis. Lu is no schlub on grass but given his recent form, i wouldnt put it past him to lose tuo Kunitsyn.Comment -
Monday - June 11th
ATP Aegon: Bolelli +120
ATP Aegon: Hewitt -135Comment -
first day of grass season in Britain and guess what, its pissing all over the place
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aren't you rooting for djokovic to win though?Comment -
I can't stand it when rain screws with these smaller tournaments. It messes up my sleep and my process serving ...
Every tournament should have a court or two with a roof. lol.Comment -
Mandy Minella ML -140 should be good right?Comment -
Yeah if you dont want money tied up, dont bet Queens Club. Forecast all week is rainy. Fun. Fun.Comment -
Unless Minella is playing in her home tourney in Luxembourg, I don't bet her..Comment -
Adding ...
ATP Halle: Youzhny-Haase Under 23 (-115)
Cool conditions should be taking some of the zip off these courts. Either Youzhny repeats his whip job on Haase @ RG or lack of giving two shits.Comment
