Shari's tennis plays

757sFinest · 02-10-11, 11:13 AM

What happened to sharapova?

shari91 · 02-10-11, 11:15 AM

Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE

PARLAY

any thoughts on this parlay. istomin, mello, starace.

Sorry but you're asking the wrong girl. I don't bet Istomin and I was actually going to take Dolgo until 10 minutes ago but the price is too short now. One of the guys in here might have better advice on Istomin for you. Best of luck.

shari91 · 02-10-11, 11:17 AM

Originally posted by 757sFinest

What happened to sharapova?

She withdrew due to illness. I think it was bronchitis or something similar.

ItsMeMrMattE · 02-10-11, 11:19 AM

anyone disagree with mello winning? it seems like it should be an easy win.

mukas pukas · 02-10-11, 11:27 AM

ha, well i'm already on Starace. If he's not the favorite, it's at least a pick and I love the value. I like that you dig out good dogs as it's the best way to win tennis. *I nailed Baghdatis - Murray too, CONGRATS!!!*

early thoughts on Ljubicic - Baghdatis? I think this is a tough match to cap and something interesting could happen here

JayDelight729 · 02-10-11, 11:31 AM

Originally posted by shari91

To be honest I've been ignoring the clay tournament this week for the most part so I'm a bit blind when it comes to these guys and have to rely only on numbers and other peoples' accounts of matches which I don't really like to do. I actually think Mello can win against Andujar and it's hard for me to go against Chela in this one so I'm better off just avoiding these two matches altogether.

Have to agree with this. Was just looking at some historicals on both players and it screams stay away.

I actually parlayed Dolgo and Almagro. Gave me odds of I believe -111.

Starace has been playing pretty well of late, but Dolgo is a significant step up in competition.

shari91 · 02-10-11, 11:31 AM

Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE

anyone disagree with mello winning? it seems like it should be an easy win.

I like Mello. From everything I've read he's been playing really well this week.

Ok guys, I'm off to sleep for an hour or two before my son wakes up. Best of luck everyone on your plays.

BathingApe · 02-10-11, 01:18 PM

I told myself too stay away from tennis, but I went heavy on melo at -150 after my fellow japanese decided to choke on a spicy tuna roll

BathingApe · 02-10-11, 01:44 PM

Mello takes the first set easy 6-1, hope it continues.

Ok he just bowled over him 6-0 second set. Haven't had a win that easy in forever. Do I go on potato?

Mirar Baseball · 02-10-11, 03:05 PM

Whoever bet that $5,000 on istomin, barely broke a sweat

... kind of

JayDelight729 · 02-10-11, 03:09 PM

Trend this week, losing in the early day matches, but winning in late afternoon / night matches.

ItsMeMrMattE · 02-10-11, 03:15 PM

WINNER

one parlay down. istomin, mello, youzhny

ItsMeMrMattE · 02-10-11, 03:19 PM

PARLAy #2

let me hear your thoughts. Baghdatis, Nishikori, Hewitt, Del Potro, Monfils

blackbeSSt · 02-10-11, 03:24 PM

ugh. watching womens tennis gives me indigestion. kucova up 3-0 in the first and now back on serve at about to be 5-4

blackbeSSt · 02-10-11, 03:31 PM

and theres a loser on the first set by kucova

BathingApe · 02-10-11, 03:46 PM

Potato is an asshole

ItsMeMrMattE · 02-10-11, 04:17 PM

Nishikori is making me nervous. losing the first set is not a good sign for him.

mukas pukas · 02-10-11, 04:40 PM

Shari, gotta know what you think. I've been riding the Milos train straight to the bank and next round seems like an obvious win at -165. Almost a little too easy, don't you think? Berankis has a bright future 'n all but he's 5'9 and beat Donald Young (ehh) in a grueling 3 sets with a million break points and Becker, who frankly played a little better. Should we be expecting a mental breakdown? I don't see any way he doesnt blow him away, 33 aces in two rounds!

BathingApe · 02-10-11, 05:12 PM

What do you guys think? Belucci or chela?

Untied · 02-10-11, 05:25 PM

Soderling/Kohlschreiber going to third set tie break

Soderling got it done by the skin of his teeth. I'm taking a break from tennis, I don't have the stomach for this sh!t.

757sFinest · 02-10-11, 05:41 PM

Leaning Belucci in this one. Home crowd plus Chela has had some long matches.

shari91 · 02-10-11, 06:43 PM

Originally posted by Untied

Soderling/Kohlschreiber going to third set tie break

Soderling got it done by the skin of his teeth. I'm taking a break from tennis, I don't have the stomach for this sh!t.

Why do people always leave my thread after we've had a close winner but not after a loser?!

I completely understand, Untied. It's actually better for your sanity not to pay attention to matches and just check your bank account. Unfortunately that doesn't help with tennis capping so it's a Catch 22.

All the best with your bets in other sports and I hope you come back and visit us in here from time to time.

danller · 02-10-11, 06:45 PM

Any winnings today Shari?

BathingApe · 02-10-11, 06:46 PM

I think I need to quit tennis too, damn bellucci hurt himself and my book doesn't void matches. I'm boned

Coochiemudlo · 02-10-11, 07:15 PM

Originally posted by shari91

I completely understand, Untied. It's actually better for your sanity not to pay attention to matches and just check your bank account.

Totally agree. Was getting a massage while Soderling and Kanepi completed a parlay with Baggy. If i had been watching that second set of soderling's i would have been in knots!

Mirar Baseball · 02-10-11, 07:15 PM

to watch or not to watch

Originally posted by shari91

Why do people always leave my thread after we've had a close winner but not after a loser?!

I completely understand, Untied. It's actually better for your sanity not to pay attention to matches and just check your bank account. Unfortunately that doesn't help with tennis capping so it's a Catch 22.

All the best with your bets in other sports and I hope you come back and visit us in here from time to time.

Have you read 'Fooled by Randomness' shari? There is a fantastic explanation on why a good investor shouldn't check his portfolio status more often than necessary (monthly reports preferred to daily reports, annual reports preferred to quarterly ones).

read page 37 (Philostratus in Monte Carlo)

For people not very fond of reading, this sentence summarizes the point Taleb is making:

He (the successfully retired dentist who is also a skillful investor with 15% expected ROI) feels some pleasure when the performance is positive, but not in equivalent amount as the pain experienced when the performance is negative.

brettels · 02-10-11, 08:12 PM

nishikori has joined querrey on my never bet on list. maybe i should just never back anything below 1.5 as i have the worst luck with favourites. its getting depressing. watch monfils lose cause i backed him!!!

Erock87 · 02-10-11, 08:32 PM

Any thought on Errani against Voskoboeva as a -260 line?

Obviously expensive, but I feel it will close at a higher line and Sara is a decent value here. Thoughts, Shari?

Gaskan · 02-10-11, 08:46 PM

Originally posted by shari91

To be honest I've been ignoring the clay tournament this week for the most part so I'm a bit blind when it comes to these guys and have to rely only on numbers and other peoples' accounts of matches which I don't really like to do. I actually think Mello can win against Andujar and it's hard for me to go against Chela in this one so I'm better off just avoiding these two matches altogether.

This was a great recommendation on my part ... LOL! You'd never know I'm up for the tournament.

Mirar Baseball · 02-10-11, 10:26 PM

Originally posted by shari91

Half unit parlay:

Berdych/Kvitova/Soderling $1.80

three three setters, with two 7-6, one 7-5 scorelines in the final sets

way to pick winners!

shari91 · 02-10-11, 11:54 PM

Originally posted by Mirar Baseball

three three setters, with two 7-6, one 7-5 scorelines in the final sets

way to pick winners!

Never in doubt.

Optional · 02-11-11, 12:02 AM

Originally posted by shari91

Optional - I don't think the actual injury is bothering him anymore but I did see him post on Twitter after his Aussie Open loss to Dodig that he thinks he still needs to work on his volleying after being out of competition for so long. I think I'm going to put a bit on him though and cross my fingers. The price is a bit out of control considering Verdasco can be an utter flake and Ivo's got that massive serve.

And Karlovic hardly came near the net in the first set... :\

BathingApe · 02-11-11, 02:22 AM

Long shot for fun...
STRAIGHT BET
[4047] R KENDRICK +370
(R KENDRICK vrs G MONFILS)

30 / 111

Gee · 02-11-11, 02:47 AM

Originally posted by Mirar Baseball

Have you read 'Fooled by Randomness' shari? There is a fantastic explanation on why a good investor shouldn't check his portfolio status more often than necessary (monthly reports preferred to daily reports, annual reports preferred to quarterly ones). read page 37 (Philostratus in Monte Carlo) For people not very fond of reading, this sentence summarizes the point Taleb is making: He (the successfully retired dentist who is also a skillful investor with 15% expected ROI) feels some pleasure when the performance is positive, but not in equivalent amount as the pain experienced when the performance is negative.

its so true and i wish it wasn't. i'm up about a few grand this week, but was up substantially more a few days ago... winning the money felt easy. losing even some of it the last two days feels crap.

BathingApe · 02-11-11, 02:58 AM

wtf, Monfils cranked up the serve by 10 notches in the last set... ahhhh oh well....