Stacocakes BNP Paribas Open Thread

**Stacocakes** · 03-16-10, 10:43 AM

Radwanska is 4-0 head to head over Bartoli. Going to forget about that match for sure

Jankovic +142 against Peer. How can I pass this up?I figured Jankovic would be the small favorite based on name alone.

Definately passing on the Robredo match.I can see why you guys lean Sela though. Robredo isn't that great on hardcourts.

People are betting Blake because the Almagro number is going up. I have it locked in at +200 geez

Plays for today:

Almagro +200
Jankovic +142

Going to pass on the other matches. Best of luck to you guys today

**tailmypicks** · 03-16-10, 11:11 AM

why not wickmayer?

**Stacocakes** · 03-16-10, 11:20 AM

Not really sure about wickmayer.Still debating about it. The reason I picked the two above was because they were both dogs so as long as I hit one of them i'm good to go.
Do you like Wickmayer in that match tmp?

**Stacocakes** · 03-16-10, 11:23 AM

Head to head is 2-0 MjMS. However the first match was a challenger event in 2007 so that doesn't mean much but the other match was in 2009 and Martinez Sanchez won easily 6-0 6-4. Its a tough call. Wickmayer is the better player but this is wta so since she is the better player does that mean she loses in three sets?Seems to be the way this tournament is working haha.
Trying to limit my plays because this tournament seems to be like running through a mine field.Just hoping you don't get hit

**tailmypicks** · 03-16-10, 11:28 AM

Very much but sbrlines show 77% on the spanish girl. I think i'll take wickmayer her 0-1 h2h doesnt mean much cos wick is a different player now. Need to know why u opted against it while sounding so sure yesterday.

**tailmypicks** · 03-16-10, 11:30 AM

Alright BOL with jankovic and almagro
i'm gonna take wicky and a small one on Rezai

**princesspolamalu** · 03-16-10, 12:37 PM

Im wanting to be with you on Jankovic...but she has provided me with the royal screw job more often than not....I think Im going to trail my play from yesterday....Just hoping Fed beats Marcos up pretty bad....GL!!!!

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-16-10, 12:40 PM

Only way you can take Jankovic now-a-days is at plus money, so not a bad play. Get your antacids out for this one. Should be a break fest.

**Stacocakes** · 03-16-10, 04:33 PM

Zvonareva loses in straight sets today so both my women outrights are gone
Djokovic and Soderling, who won today, are both still alive on the mens side

**Stacocakes** · 03-16-10, 08:22 PM

Jankovic the easy winner today. Glad I stayed away from Wickmayer because she lost in 2 sets

Almagro coming up later tonight vs Blake. Hopefully he can pull the upset over Blake but if he doesn't at least Jankovic won

**princesspolamalu** · 03-16-10, 08:30 PM

Originally posted by Stacocakes

Jankovic the easy winner today. Glad I stayed away from Wickmayer because she lost in 2 sets

Almagro coming up later tonight vs Blake. Hopefully he can pull the upset over Blake but if he doesn't at least Jankovic won

I need Almagro in the worst way....got a 10 teamer all winners...him and Fed left. Yikes!

**Stacocakes** · 03-16-10, 09:11 PM

If Almagro can serve out this set it might be a good time to hedge out that 10 teamer Princess

If I can get some good odds on Blake after this first set I might hedge my bet to guarantee some profit. Will see what the line is

**Stacocakes** · 03-16-10, 09:15 PM

Blake +158 live right now thank you very much

Going to hedge my ALmagro +200 with the Blake +158 to guarantee some nice profit on both.For those that are letting it ride I hope Almagro does it for you

**princesspolamalu** · 03-16-10, 09:21 PM

Hoping he kills Blake in 2 straight. But thats just me. Im letting it ride. Was a very small parlay.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-16-10, 09:32 PM

Anyone playing Fed-Baghdatis? Thinking perhaps on the over at 20.5. Fed wasn't great against Hanescu and even though he owns Baggy, I think it will be a two set battle with 22 games or so.

**princesspolamalu** · 03-16-10, 09:48 PM

Thought about taking Fed minus the spread but I backed off. GL!

**Stacocakes** · 03-16-10, 10:07 PM

No play on the Federer match for me. Think he wins in two sets but don't see much value in taking Federer or the spread. Will just stay away.

**Stacocakes** · 03-16-10, 10:16 PM

Almagro with the break in the third set

**Stacocakes** · 03-16-10, 10:16 PM

Hope he holds for you guys.2 more games

**princesspolamalu** · 03-16-10, 10:22 PM

One more game for Almagro....hope he hangs on

**Stacocakes** · 03-16-10, 10:23 PM

This is how I expected the Blake/Ferrer match to go because neither make the matches easy. Was really surprised when Blake destroyed him
Hope Almagro finishes him off here

**Stacocakes** · 03-16-10, 10:31 PM

Almagro goes from 40-0 to deuce trying to serve it out

**Stacocakes** · 03-16-10, 10:32 PM

GSM Almagro
Nice hit guys
Seems like alot were on him

**princesspolamalu** · 03-16-10, 10:35 PM

This clown was making me nervous....whew!!! Dont know why Fed is playing with Marcos. Get rid of him for god sakes. Immediately!

**Stacocakes** · 03-16-10, 10:39 PM

from the 3 games I have seen Federer is hitting the ball very well

**Stacocakes** · 03-16-10, 10:47 PM

Federer takes the first set

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-17-10, 12:18 AM

3rd set tie break. Baghdatis was +630 or so, great play if you nutted up even if he loses.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-17-10, 12:23 AM

Baggy WINS.

**emeka** · 03-17-10, 12:36 AM

Yo Staco,is there any play today where i can put all my money?

**Stacocakes** · 03-17-10, 01:53 AM

Wow what a win by Baghdatis.Came back to my computer here to check to see how much Federer won by and see that he lost.I am shocked though this is a non-major so I guess it shouldn't be that big of a surprise.

Emeka when I go really really big on a bet I hit at about a 20% rate.I think it's gods way of saying "Don't bet that way". With that being said some good possible bets tomorrow are Isner +349, Dementieva -147. I wouldn't go big on either of those plays though.Pinnacle doesn't have all of the lines up yet I don't think for tomorrow so I will think about these overnight.

Radwanska is 3-2 lifetime vs dementieva winning 3 of the last 4. That is going to make me think twice abotu the Dementieva bet though it's really hard to pass her up at -147. I like Nadal to beat Isner but the price is just to high for me that it makes Isner look tempting.With a big serve you are always in a best of 3 match.

Will think about these overnight and post something tomorrow morning

Hope you guys made some money today

**Stacocakes** · 03-17-10, 11:34 AM

Everything is pointing to Radwanska defeating Dementieva but I am going to take Dementieva -134.Just a guy feeling on this one. Dementieva is the better player but this is WTA and anything can happen really.

Need Soderling and Djokovic to win to preserve my outrights. Have to admit that I am very scared of the Soderling/Tsonga match. If I didn't have Soderling outrights I would take Tsonga as the dog today for sure. I was hoping someone would have taken out Tsonga already.

Going to pass on Isner today. He is really good value at +316 but I think Nadal will find a way to win a tight match but I am not going to bet -353 on Nadal.

If you want to see something funny check out Melzer's head to head vs Roddick. 0 for 9. Not going to take Roddick at -411 though

Just one play for today guys. Dementieva -134

Best of luck today.Let's make some money

**emeka** · 03-17-10, 03:43 PM

****!!! Before 2min. i lost all my money on ****ing Dementieva- FAKKKKKKK

**tailmypicks** · 03-17-10, 03:44 PM

dementieva's serve

she lost

**Stacocakes** · 03-17-10, 04:27 PM

Dementieva loses.Right on

No more plays for today.Have lost enough today

**Stacocakes** · 03-17-10, 04:38 PM

Djokovic loses the first set