Mr Octobers 2020 Tennis Plays thread

[Mr0ctober]

Aussy on the Horizon

[Mr0ctober]

1/11

WTA
Jabeur/Kontaveit (-136) 0.5u
Kontaveit -1.5 sets (-235) 0.5u

[Mr0ctober]

WTA
Jabeur/Kontaveit (-136) 0.5u✅
Kontaveit -1.5 sets (-235) 0.5u✅

Tennis Record 149-123 +21.075✅

[Mr0ctober]

1/12:
wta
Brengle +130 (0.5u)

atp:
Nakashima-140 (0.5u)

parlay
Men’s qualifier:
Safiullin/Toronto maple leafs (-121) (0.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

1/12:
wta
Brengle +130 (0.5u) Push

atp:
Nakashima-140 (0.5u)❌

parlay
Men’s qualifier:
Safiullin/Toronto maple leafs (-121) (0.5u)❌

0-2 -1.3u❌

Tennis Record 149-125 +19.775u✅

[Mr0ctober]

Australian Open:

1/16 ATP:
Nodskov Rune +115 (1u)
Nakashima +1.5 sets (+120) (0.5u)
Nakashima +255 (0.5u)

WtA:
Busca +250 (0.5u)
Busca +4.5 games (-115) (0.7u)

money line parlay:
krejcikova/alcaraz Garfia/ kokkinakas (-127) (1u)
WTA:

[Mr0ctober]

Australian Open:

1/16 ATP:
Nodskov Rune +115 (1u)❌
Nakashima +1.5 sets (+120) (0.5u)❌
Nakashima +255 (0.5u)❌

WtA:
Busca +250 (0.5u)❌
Busca +4.5 games (-115) (0.7u)❌

money line parlay:
krejcikova/alcaraz Garfia/ kokkinakas (-127) (1u)❌

That didn’t go well 0-4 -4.07u❌

[Conqueror]

You'll get back on track.
BOL in your next plays!

[Mr0ctober]

You'll get back on track.
BOL in your next plays!

thanks!! Always annoying to get trucked on opening night ugh!! Best of luck to you as well

[Mr0ctober]

1/17:

WTA
Cirstea +4 games (-120) (1u)
su jeong Jang -105 (1.2u)
storm sanders +4.5 games (-125) (1u)


ATP:
Skatov +133 (1u)
Ruusuivuori +5 games (-115) (1u)
Murray -190 (1.2u)
O’Connell -130 (1.2u)
sebastian Baez -3.5 games -112 (1u)

[Conqueror]

Always love your thread.

Honestly speaking, I've been eyeing a Cirstea win for the past 72 hours but haven't pulled the trigger.
Kvitova has proved her mettle in tennis but she's no longer where she was once. A lot of the lines involving her matches pay so much respect to her historical accomplishments - so she's often overvalued these days.
BOL!

[Conqueror]

A WTA upset I'm quietly looking forward to is:
Inglis ML (+654)

[Mr0ctober]

Always love your thread.

Honestly speaking, I've been eyeing a Cirstea win for the past 72 hours but haven't pulled the trigger.
Kvitova has proved her mettle in tennis but she's no longer where she was once. A lot of the lines involving her matches pay so much respect to her historical accomplishments - so she's often overvalued these days.
BOL!

Exactly!! And this is honestly a play on that! I almost took Cirstea outright and did throw a little
on it but felt more comfortable taking the +4. Either way I think there is plenty of value! Best of luck tonight brother!!

[Mr0ctober]

A WTA upset I'm quietly looking forward to is:
Inglis ML (+654)

And funny here bc I actually have actually been contemplating taking her + the games!

[Conqueror]

And funny here bc I actually have actually been contemplating taking her + the games!

Do what you want to do but this game is shaping up to be much closer than the odds seem to suggest.

[Conqueror]

Cirstea!

[Mr0ctober]

Do what you want to do but this game is shaping up to be much closer than the odds seem to suggest.

Tremendous call on Ingles!! Congrats!

[Conqueror]

A parlay of Cirstea and Inglis would have paid around +1800.

[Mr0ctober]

1/17:

WTA
Cirstea +4 games (-120) (1u) Win +1u

✅

su jeong Jang -105 (1.2u) Loss -1.26u❌
storm sanders +4.5 games (-125) (1u) -1.25u❌


ATP:
Skatov +133 (1u) Loss -1u❌
Ruusuivuori +5 games (-115) (1u) Win +!u

✅

Murray -190 (1.2u) Win +1.2u

✅

O’Connell -130 (1.2u) Win +1.2u

✅

sebastian Baez -3.5 games -112 (1u) Loss -1.12u❌

4-4 -0.23u❌

2022 Tennis Record 4-8 -4.3u❌
2021 Tennis Record 149-125 +19.775u

✅

Hey at least we didn't go 0 for again last night! long season do not freak out and chase day 3 people and do not bet more than you can afford and try to practice bankroll management!

[Mr0ctober]

1/18:

ATP:
Otte +210 (1u)

WTA:
Sorribes Torro +145 (1u)
Anisimova +145 (1u)

Money line parlay:
Alcaraz Garfia/Kercjikova/Korda (-150) (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

1/18 Full Card with Adds

ATP:
Otte +210 (1u)
McDonald +166 (1u)
Griekspoor +231 (0.4u)
Griekspoor +5 Games -125 (0.6u)
Kecmanovic +190 (0.4u)
Kecmanovic +4.5 Games (-125) (0.6u)


WTA:
Sorribes Torro +145 (1u)
Anisimova +145 (1u)
Riske +144 (1u)
Quiang Wang +135 (1u)

Money line parlay:
Alcaraz Garfia/Kercjikova/Korda (-150) (1u)

[Conqueror]

You were lucky on the Otte line. Line is down to +167 at Bookmaker. Definitely playing him.

[Mr0ctober]

Man it sure is! I have it closer to a coin flip thought the +210 was way off!

[Mr0ctober]

1/18 Full Card with Adds

ATP:
Otte +210 (1u)❌
McDonald +166 (1u)❌
Griekspoor +231 (0.4u)❌
Griekspoor +5 Games -125 (0.6u)✅
Kecmanovic +190 (0.4u)✅
Kecmanovic +4.5 Games (-125) (0.6u)✅

-0.44u


WTA:
Sorribes Torro +145 (1u)❌
Anisimova +145 (1u)✅
Riske +144 (1u)❌
Quiang Wang +135 (1u)✅

Money line parlay:
Alcaraz Garfia/Kercjikova/Korda (-150) (1u)✅
5-4 day +1.36u✅


2022 Tennis Record 9-12 -2.94❌
2021 Tennis Record 149-125 +19.775u

[Capybara]

Hey October, appreciate the way you run this thread. Top-shelf accounting, brother!

What you got for today?

[Mr0ctober]

1/19:

ATP:
Molcan/Utah Jazz Money line (-154) (1u). Molcan the hard court superior player here. I don't love him at -200 though would try to find a heavier favorite that can knock down the juice a little here.


WTA:
Raducanu/Vondrousova money line parlay -120 (1u). If you follow me you know my love affair with Raducanu despite her inconsistencies/. Think we have a couple favorites who should move on easily here tonight. I have Vondrousova closer to -250 so i still see value in the -190 if you feel comfortable with the juice. Me i paired it with Radu who i think should get past Kovinic.

Bouzkova +115 (1u). Kanepi was impressive vs Kerber but im not sure she deserves to be the favorite here against a more than competent Bouzkova

Dont love the price here much anymore but would have to imagine that Tauson is a live dog here.
Tauson +5 games (-130) (0.5u)
Tauson +358 (0.3u)

[Conqueror]

Muguruza!
None of us caught that.

[Mr0ctober]

Hey October, appreciate the way you run this thread. Top-shelf accounting, brother!

What you got for today?

Thanks man!

[Mr0ctober]

Muguruza!
None of us caught that.

didn’t see that coming!

[Mr0ctober]

ATP:
Molcan/Utah Jazz Money line (-154) (1u). Molcan the hard court superior player here. I don't love him at -200 though would try to find a heavier favorite that can knock down the juice a little here.❌ -1.54u


WTA:
Raducanu/Vondrousova money line parlay -120 (1u). If you follow me you know my love affair with Raducanu despite her inconsistencies/. Think we have a couple favorites who should move on easily here tonight. I have Vondrousova closer to -250 so i still see value in the -190 if you feel comfortable with the juice. Me i paired it with Radu who i think should get past Kovinic.❌ -1.2u

Bouzkova +115 (1u). Kanepi was impressive vs Kerber but im not sure she deserves to be the favorite here against a more than competent Bouzkova❌ -1u

Dont love the price here much anymore but would have to imagine that Tauson is a live dog here.
Tauson +5 games (-130) (0.5u)✅ +0.5u
Tauson +358 (0.3u)✅ +1.074u

1-3 night -2.166u❌

2022 Tennis Record 10-15 -5.106u❌
2021 Tennis Record 149-125 +19.775u✅


just a heads up anytime I play a moneyline/+ games on the same player I only count it as 1-1 if it splits, or 1-0 if it sweeps, or 0-1 if both lose.

either way rough night thanks to Raducanu not holding up vs Kovinic.

[pabonaparte]

Playing with blisters sucks!

[Mr0ctober]

1/20:
ATP:
shapovalov +100 (1u)
Kecmanovic +157 (0.6u)
Korda +110 (1u)

WTA:
Anisimova +4.5 games (-130) (1.2u)

[Mr0ctober]

1/20:
ATP:
shapovalov +100 (1u)✅
Kecmanovic +157 (0.6u)✅
Korda +110 (1u)❌

WTA:
Anisimova +4.5 games (-130) (1.2u)✅

3-1 night +2.142u✅

2022 Tennis Record 13-16 -2.964u❌
2021 Tennis Record 149-125 +19.775u✅

[Conqueror]

Curiously waiting to see what Benoit Paire will do tonight.

[Mr0ctober]

1/21
RBA -130 (1u)