2018 Tennis Thread (and some of 2017) Selections

[gambleForLife]

Istomin retired, I think the Harrison bet will be a push.

[Jeff_Black]

Handicap: Grigor Dimitrov -3.5 @ 2.02 on Pinnacle - (+$102)
Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev -1.5 sets @ 1.925 on Pinnacle (-$100)

YTD: 19 - 30 - 1 (-$962.11)

[Jeff_Black]

Istomin retired, I think the Harrison bet will be a push.

I dont know whether it happened for others but when I was checking the odds for the other games I saw the money pop up so I figured it finished, on the tiny text for flashscore on my laptop I saw that Harrisons name was bold but didnt even realise the 1-0 till later, so ill keep an eye out to see if they void the mistake. Sometimes its the other way too where they cancel a winning bet without emailing.

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Brisbane International 250, Brisbane International Presented by Suncorp, SF
Mens Singles: Ryan Harrison vs Alex De Mineur
Handicap: Ryan Harrison -2 @ 1.98 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $98

[Jeff_Black]

Handicap: Ryan Harrison -2 @ 1.98 on Pinnacle (-$100)
Dimitrov/Verdasco outrights (-$100)

YTD: 19 - 33 - 1 (-$1162.11)

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Auckland 250, ASB Classic, Mens Singles, R1
David Ferrer vs Yibing **
Handicap: Yibing ** +4.5 @ 1.917 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $91.70

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Auckland 250, ASB Classic, Mens Singles, R1
Yuichi Sugita vs Karen Khachanov
Handicap: Karen Khachanov -2.5 @ 1.98 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $98

[Jeff_Black]

Handicap: Yibing ** +4.5 @ 1.917 on Pinnacle - (+$91.70)

YTD: 20 - 33 - 1 (-$1070.11)

Not sure why it was censored but anyway

[Jeff_Black]

Kind of thought it was weird to give him half a game extra for a guy who he beat comfortably despite being an exhibition but Khachanov was bad for half this match yet still won.

Handicap: Karen Khachanov -2.5 @ 1.98 on Pinnacle - (+$98)

YTD: 21 - 33 - 1 (-$972.11)

nATP Auckland 250, ASB Classic, Mens Singles, R1
Michael Venus vs Roberto Bautista Agut
Handicap: Michael Venus +6 @ 1.909 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $90.90

[Jeff_Black]

Handicap: Michael Venus +6 @ 1.909 on Pinnacle (-$100)

YTD: 21 - 34 - 1 (-$1072.11)

ATP Auckland 250, ASB Classic, Mens Singles, R1
Denis Shapovalov vs Rogerio Dutra Silva
Handicap: Denis Shapovalov -3.5 @ 1.862 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $86.20

[Jeff_Black]

Handicap: Denis Shapovalov -3.5 @ 1.862 on Pinnacle - (+$86.20)

YTD: 22 - 34 - 1 (-$985.91)

ATP Auckland 250, ASB Classic, Mens Singles, R1
Steve Johnson vs Ryan Harrison
Handicap: Steve Johnson -2 @ 1.909 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $90.90

ATP Auckland 250, ASB Classic, Mens Singles, R1
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lukas Lacko
Handicap: Lukas Lacko +3.5 @ 1.847 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $84.70

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Sydney 250, Sydney International, Mens Singles, R1
Mischa Zverev vs Leonardo Mayer
Moneyline: Leonardo Mayer @ 1.97 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $97

ATP Sydney 250, Sydney International, Mens Singles, R1
Aleksander Vukic vs Feliciano Lopez
Handicap: Aleksander Vukic +3.5 @ 1.909 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $90.90

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Sydney 250, Sydney International, Mens Singles, R1
Ricardis Berankis vs Adrian Mannarino
Handicap: Adrian Mannarino -3.5 @ 1.909 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $90.90

ATP Sydney 250, Sydney International, Mens Singles, R1
Alex De Minaur vs Fernando Verdasco
Handicap: Fernando Verdasco -2.5 @ 1.917 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $91.70

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Sydney 250, Sydney International, Mens Singles, R1
Aljaz Bedene vs Benoit Paire
Handicap: Aljaz Bedene -2 @ 1.99 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $99

[Jeff_Black]

Handicap: Steve Johnson -2 @ 1.909 on Pinnacle - (+$0)
Handicap: Lukas Lacko +3.5 @ 1.847 on Pinnacle - (+$84.70)
Moneyline: Leonardo Mayer @ 1.97 on Pinnacle - (+$97)
Handicap: Aleksander Vukic +3.5 @ 1.909 on Pinnacle - (+$90.90)
Handicap: Fernando Verdasco -2.5 @ 1.917 on Pinnacle (-$100)
Handicap: Aljaz Bedene -2 @ 1.99 on Pinnacle (-$100)

YTD: 25 - 36 - 2 (-$913.93)

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Auckland 250, ASB Classic, Mens Singles, R2
Steve Johnson vs Roberto Bautista Agut
Handicap: Steve Johnson +3.5 @ 2.12 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $112

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Auckland 250, ASB Classic, Mens Singles, R2
Robin Haase vs Lukas Lacko
Moneyline: Lukas Lacko @ 2.12 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $112

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Auckland 250, ASB Classic, Mens Singles, R2
Pablo Cuevas vs Karen Khachanov
Handicap: Pablo Cuevas +1.5 @ 2.00 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $100

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Sydney 250, Sydney International, Mens Singles, R2
Leonardo Mayer vs Benoit Paire
Moneyline: Leonardo Mayer @ 2.00 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $100

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Sydney 250, Sydney International, Mens Singles, R2
Fabio Fognini vs Alexandr Dolgopolov
Handicap: Alexandr Dolgopolov -3 @ 1.877 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $87.70

[JC1186]

Geez mate rough day. Can see why you went with some of those plays too. Wait for the right play and smash 15 units on it hehe.

[chargers4222]

Can't believe Fognini beat Dolgo. Bounce back today Jeff!

[Kiddpokerr]

Can't believe Fognini beat Dolgo. Bounce back today Jeff!

Really? Dolgo is a known flopper and Fog on the other hand is a solid grinder.

[chargers4222]

Really? Dolgo is a known flopper and Fog on the other hand is a solid grinder.

Fog was like +170 last time I looked. With the difference in seeding (Fog being higher), the odds made it seem like a dead giveaway for Dolgo. Turned out to be almost like a reverse trap.

[Jeff_Black]

I don't even know how Fognini did it against Mannarino!

[Jeff_Black]

Handicap: Steve Johnson +3.5 @ 2.12 on Pinnacle (-$100)
Handicap: Lukas Lacko @ 2.12 on Pinnacle - (+$112)
Handicap: Pablo Cuevas +1.5 @ 2.00 on Pinnacle (-$100)
Handicap: Leonardo Mayer @ 2.00 on Pinnacle (-$100)
Handicap: Alexandr Dolgopolov -3 @ 1.877 on Pinnacle (-$100)

YTD: 26 - 40 - 2 (-$1201.93)

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
Tomas Berdych vs Alex De Minaur
Handicap: Tomas Berdych -5 @ 1.99 on Pinnacle
Stake: 100 to profit $99

Feel that this line would normally be bigger if it wasn't for De Minaurs heroics over the last two weeks. Not even taking into account the matches he has played because I honestly think it does more good then harm to him, but I think this is more of a mismatch compared to the opponents he has played over the past two weeks. Berdych is a stronger server, and harder hitter then the opponents De Minaur has played over the past few weeks, and I feel he will be behind the whole game.

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
Dudi Sela vs Ryan Harrison
Total Score: Over 37 games @ 1.925 on Pinnacle
Stake: 100 to profit $92.50

Think this is a bit of a tease of whether it will be 3 sets or not, but I think even with Dudi Sela not having played with a lot of confidence so far in 2018 he has still been able to navigate his way past the first round for the last three years. Ryan Harrison had a good Brisbane campaign as his first tournament with new coach Michael Russell but his form over five sets is still questionable. It explains why he's only made it past the 2nd round of a slam once at the 2016 US Open and twice past the first round in the Australian Open in 2017 and 2013. So despite a good campaign in Brisbane and Harrison seemingly a favourite I don't think it will be as easy of a match for either player in this match up. Harrison has shown in Brisbane he can get himself into a hole sometimes and today could be a similar story.

[Kiddpokerr]

I like Sela.

[Jeff_Black]

I like Sela.

The ML odds are tempting at that price for sure.

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
Alex Bolt vs Viktor Troicki
Handicap: Alex Bolt +6 @ 1.925 on Pinnacle
Stake: 100 to profit $92.50

This is more of a fade on the inconsistent Troicki who I've never been a fan of backing a large line, which also explains why a lot of the time at slams he is never usually a bigger handicap then the above. He has made it past the 3rd round the last three years in Australia and with a cooler day expected it will be beneficial to him. In 2017 he beat Dzuhmir in in 5 sets after going up 2-0 sets. The year before that he dropped the first two sets against Munoz De La Nava before beating him. So like a lot of inconsistent players on the tour he is capable of dropping sets and dipping in form. And despite his slam form he has also struggled on the tour losing his last five matches, so i'll take that line against him despite Bolts ranking (and rise).

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
David Ferrer vs Andrey Rublev
Moneyline: David Ferrer @ 1.952 on Pinnacle
Stake: 100 to profit $95.20

The young vs the old, I've been happy enough to be convinced Ferrer is playing at a high enough level to be the better player at the end of a possible five set match, so i'll back the veteran with experience. Sure Rublev will be around for much longer but I think the odds are too good to pass up for a guy who (before his 1R exit at the US open) did not lose in the first round of a slam since Wimbledon of 2005. And likewise with the Australian Open.

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
Mackenzie McDonald vs Elias Ymer
Moneyline: Mackenzie McDonald @ 2.00 on Pinnacle
Stake: 100 to profit $100

I prefer the odds on McDonald, a guy who is far superior on hardcourts despite both players being impressive in qualifiers. Ymer is more comfortable on European clay and McDonald has won a lot of matches toughing out the challenger circuit in the US. I think he gets the job done today.

[innn]

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
David Ferrer vs Andrey Rublev
Moneyline: David Ferrer @ 1.952 on Pinnacle
Stake: 100 to profit $95.20

The young vs the old, I've been happy enough to be convinced Ferrer is playing at a high enough level to be the better player at the end of a possible five set match.

you really thinkit will be a five setter. what if the young really sends gran home?

[Jeff_Black]

Oh I meant even if it is. If what you say happens, guess I got it wrong ey?